Population projections
How big will the population be in 30, 40 or 50 years? And how many elderly people will there be at that time? The population projection statistics are based on the current population structure in Denmark, including the number of births, deaths, immigrants and emigrants. The population projection can be disaggregated by e.g. municipalities, sex, age and ancestry.
Explainer on…
A prediction of the future size and composition of the population, subjected to a number of assumptions concerning the future developments in fertility, mortality and net immigration.
Selected statistics on Population projections
The population in the future
The civil registration system (CPR) is the source of all basic data used in the projections.
The future population disaggregated by age
The civil registration system (CPR) is the source of all basic data used in the projections.
The future life expectancy
The civil registration system (CPR) is the source of all basic data used in the projections.
On the statistics – documentation, sources and method
See the documentation of statistics to learn more:
A population projection gives an estimate of the size and composition of the future population with respect to sex, age, municipality and origin. The estimate is subject to a number of conditions and assumptions on migration, mortality and fertility. The projection is based on the assumption that the development in recent years continues. Often the development in e.g. in-migration is different from what was assumed and, for that reason, the projection will typically not match the actual development exactly.
Statistics Denmark has prepared population projections since 1963. Since 2010, the projections have been produced in collaboration with DREAM (Danish Research Institute for Economic Analysis and Modelling), which is an independent institution whose purpose it is to develop and maintain tools for structural policy analysis.