|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
906.3 |
950.4 |
2736.4 |
4115.5 |
4802.8 |
5004.8 |
4837.6 |
4412.1 |
3821.4 |
3141.2 |
2428.7 |
1726.0 |
1062.8 |
459.0 |
-73.2 |
-527.1 |
-900.4 |
-1193.8 |
-1410.1 |
-1553.8 |
-1630.3 |
-1645.5 |
-1605.8 |
-1517.8 |
-1388.1 |
-1223.4 |
-1030.0 |
-814.3 |
-582.3 |
-339.9 |
-92.5 |
154.8 |
397.3 |
630.8 |
851.5 |
1056.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
43.2 |
60.1 |
14.4 |
-33.9 |
-62.9 |
-72.8 |
-66.3 |
-47.1 |
-19.4 |
13.1 |
47.3 |
80.7 |
111.4 |
138.2 |
160.2 |
177.1 |
188.8 |
195.4 |
197.4 |
195.2 |
189.3 |
180.4 |
169.1 |
156.0 |
141.6 |
126.6 |
111.4 |
96.4 |
82.0 |
68.6 |
56.4 |
45.6 |
36.4 |
29.0 |
23.3 |
19.4 |
Investment |
fI |
-131.7 |
-675.8 |
298.8 |
1032.2 |
1216.5 |
1168.6 |
973.1 |
656.1 |
261.9 |
-168.0 |
-595.0 |
-988.2 |
-1323.9 |
-1586.6 |
-1767.6 |
-1864.7 |
-1880.3 |
-1821.1 |
-1695.9 |
-1515.6 |
-1291.6 |
-1035.6 |
-758.8 |
-471.7 |
-183.7 |
96.9 |
363.0 |
609.0 |
830.2 |
1023.3 |
1186.2 |
1317.5 |
1416.9 |
1484.9 |
1522.7 |
1531.9 |
Export |
fE |
-3054.7 |
-4091.3 |
-4908.8 |
-5657.1 |
-6287.4 |
-6779.6 |
-7138.6 |
-7359.8 |
-7446.1 |
-7398.5 |
-7220.9 |
-6918.6 |
-6499.5 |
-5974.0 |
-5355.0 |
-4657.3 |
-3897.6 |
-3093.6 |
-2263.9 |
-1426.8 |
-600.3 |
198.7 |
954.7 |
1654.0 |
2284.9 |
2838.0 |
3306.2 |
3684.9 |
3971.6 |
4166.3 |
4270.9 |
4289.4 |
4227.4 |
4091.9 |
3891.0 |
3633.9 |
Import |
fM |
613.0 |
24.3 |
777.7 |
1277.1 |
1233.4 |
988.3 |
624.0 |
187.4 |
-277.6 |
-735.0 |
-1157.6 |
-1525.7 |
-1826.1 |
-2051.4 |
-2198.9 |
-2269.7 |
-2267.8 |
-2199.7 |
-2073.1 |
-1897.0 |
-1680.6 |
-1433.5 |
-1164.9 |
-883.5 |
-597.5 |
-314.3 |
-40.6 |
218.1 |
456.9 |
672.0 |
860.5 |
1020.3 |
1150.1 |
1249.4 |
1318.4 |
1358.1 |
GDP |
fY |
-2795.1 |
-3761.3 |
-2608.9 |
-1786.2 |
-1578.6 |
-1718.2 |
-2114.2 |
-2675.6 |
-3313.9 |
-3950.0 |
-4520.6 |
-4978.1 |
-5291.1 |
-5442.1 |
-5425.7 |
-5246.9 |
-4918.2 |
-4457.7 |
-3887.6 |
-3231.9 |
-2515.7 |
-1763.4 |
-998.5 |
-242.5 |
485.4 |
1168.7 |
1793.5 |
2349.1 |
2827.1 |
3222.3 |
3531.8 |
3755.0 |
3893.5 |
3950.8 |
3932.0 |
3843.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-3.647 |
-5.247 |
-5.135 |
-4.924 |
-4.913 |
-5.071 |
-5.383 |
-5.802 |
-6.267 |
-6.713 |
-7.085 |
-7.340 |
-7.448 |
-7.393 |
-7.173 |
-6.796 |
-6.278 |
-5.640 |
-4.908 |
-4.110 |
-3.273 |
-2.424 |
-1.586 |
-0.782 |
-0.030 |
0.656 |
1.264 |
1.786 |
2.216 |
2.554 |
2.799 |
2.955 |
3.028 |
3.022 |
2.947 |
2.811 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
2.061 |
2.690 |
2.525 |
2.441 |
2.470 |
2.571 |
2.744 |
2.964 |
3.201 |
3.426 |
3.611 |
3.735 |
3.785 |
3.754 |
3.640 |
3.447 |
3.185 |
2.862 |
2.493 |
2.091 |
1.669 |
1.241 |
0.819 |
0.413 |
0.032 |
-0.315 |
-0.622 |
-0.887 |
-1.106 |
-1.278 |
-1.404 |
-1.485 |
-1.524 |
-1.523 |
-1.487 |
-1.420 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.119 |
-0.085 |
-0.065 |
-0.058 |
-0.059 |
-0.067 |
-0.079 |
-0.093 |
-0.108 |
-0.121 |
-0.131 |
-0.138 |
-0.143 |
-0.143 |
-0.141 |
-0.136 |
-0.128 |
-0.119 |
-0.109 |
-0.097 |
-0.086 |
-0.074 |
-0.063 |
-0.052 |
-0.042 |
-0.034 |
-0.026 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.026 |
0.038 |
0.064 |
-0.027 |
-0.080 |
-0.106 |
-0.113 |
-0.108 |
-0.093 |
-0.073 |
-0.051 |
-0.030 |
-0.010 |
0.007 |
0.020 |
0.030 |
0.037 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.034 |
0.030 |
0.025 |
0.020 |
0.014 |
0.009 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.045 |
0.023 |
-0.055 |
-0.112 |
-0.144 |
-0.163 |
-0.173 |
-0.175 |
-0.172 |
-0.166 |
-0.159 |
-0.150 |
-0.141 |
-0.132 |
-0.122 |
-0.113 |
-0.104 |
-0.095 |
-0.087 |
-0.078 |
-0.071 |
-0.063 |
-0.056 |
-0.049 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.115 |
-0.091 |
-0.173 |
-0.302 |
-0.441 |
-0.590 |
-0.737 |
-0.877 |
-1.007 |
-1.123 |
-1.227 |
-1.316 |
-1.393 |
-1.456 |
-1.508 |
-1.548 |
-1.577 |
-1.596 |
-1.607 |
-1.608 |
-1.603 |
-1.590 |
-1.572 |
-1.549 |
-1.521 |
-1.490 |
-1.456 |
-1.421 |
-1.384 |
-1.347 |
-1.310 |
-1.273 |
-1.239 |
-1.205 |
-1.174 |
-1.146 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.107 |
-0.088 |
0.011 |
0.078 |
0.130 |
0.180 |
0.234 |
0.297 |
0.372 |
0.458 |
0.555 |
0.661 |
0.772 |
0.885 |
0.996 |
1.102 |
1.199 |
1.287 |
1.362 |
1.424 |
1.472 |
1.505 |
1.525 |
1.532 |
1.527 |
1.511 |
1.486 |
1.453 |
1.414 |
1.370 |
1.322 |
1.273 |
1.223 |
1.173 |
1.125 |
1.080 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.146 |
0.188 |
0.164 |
0.156 |
0.166 |
0.186 |
0.209 |
0.231 |
0.250 |
0.262 |
0.268 |
0.265 |
0.254 |
0.236 |
0.212 |
0.183 |
0.152 |
0.118 |
0.084 |
0.050 |
0.018 |
-0.011 |
-0.037 |
-0.060 |
-0.078 |
-0.093 |
-0.104 |
-0.111 |
-0.114 |
-0.114 |
-0.111 |
-0.106 |
-0.098 |
-0.089 |
-0.078 |
-0.066 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.025 |
0.021 |
-0.002 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
User cost |
uim |
0.315 |
0.307 |
0.294 |
0.289 |
0.282 |
0.273 |
0.261 |
0.246 |
0.229 |
0.208 |
0.185 |
0.159 |
0.132 |
0.103 |
0.074 |
0.045 |
0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.034 |
-0.056 |
-0.075 |
-0.092 |
-0.105 |
-0.115 |
-0.122 |
-0.125 |
-0.127 |
-0.125 |
-0.122 |
-0.117 |
-0.110 |
-0.101 |
-0.092 |
-0.083 |
-0.073 |
-0.063 |
Wage |
lna |
1.107 |
1.030 |
0.951 |
0.904 |
0.855 |
0.803 |
0.748 |
0.686 |
0.620 |
0.548 |
0.471 |
0.391 |
0.309 |
0.228 |
0.148 |
0.073 |
0.002 |
-0.062 |
-0.119 |
-0.167 |
-0.206 |
-0.237 |
-0.258 |
-0.271 |
-0.276 |
-0.274 |
-0.265 |
-0.250 |
-0.231 |
-0.208 |
-0.181 |
-0.153 |
-0.124 |
-0.095 |
-0.066 |
-0.038 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.275 |
0.286 |
0.283 |
0.286 |
0.286 |
0.283 |
0.278 |
0.269 |
0.257 |
0.241 |
0.222 |
0.200 |
0.175 |
0.149 |
0.120 |
0.092 |
0.063 |
0.035 |
0.008 |
-0.016 |
-0.038 |
-0.058 |
-0.075 |
-0.089 |
-0.100 |
-0.108 |
-0.113 |
-0.115 |
-0.115 |
-0.113 |
-0.109 |
-0.103 |
-0.096 |
-0.088 |
-0.079 |
-0.070 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.210 |
0.209 |
0.203 |
0.202 |
0.199 |
0.193 |
0.186 |
0.176 |
0.163 |
0.149 |
0.132 |
0.114 |
0.095 |
0.075 |
0.055 |
0.036 |
0.017 |
-0.001 |
-0.017 |
-0.032 |
-0.045 |
-0.055 |
-0.064 |
-0.070 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.065 |
-0.059 |
-0.053 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.032 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.052 |
-0.040 |
-0.097 |
0.004 |
0.073 |
0.112 |
0.131 |
0.135 |
0.129 |
0.117 |
0.102 |
0.086 |
0.070 |
0.056 |
0.043 |
0.032 |
0.023 |
0.015 |
0.009 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.313 |
0.268 |
0.215 |
0.180 |
0.156 |
0.137 |
0.120 |
0.102 |
0.084 |
0.065 |
0.045 |
0.025 |
0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.031 |
-0.047 |
-0.060 |
-0.071 |
-0.079 |
-0.085 |
-0.088 |
-0.088 |
-0.086 |
-0.082 |
-0.077 |
-0.070 |
-0.062 |
-0.054 |
-0.045 |
-0.035 |
-0.026 |
-0.017 |
-0.008 |
0.000 |
0.007 |
0.013 |
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