|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
3896.4 |
2377.5 |
1738.7 |
1014.6 |
438.4 |
3.7 |
-303.3 |
-506.5 |
-629.4 |
-692.9 |
-713.7 |
-705.3 |
-677.6 |
-638.1 |
-592.1 |
-543.1 |
-493.5 |
-444.6 |
-397.1 |
-351.4 |
-307.6 |
-265.7 |
-225.4 |
-186.9 |
-150.2 |
-115.3 |
-82.4 |
-51.8 |
-23.6 |
1.8 |
24.3 |
43.7 |
59.8 |
72.5 |
81.7 |
87.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-127.4 |
-111.3 |
-87.3 |
-56.6 |
-27.7 |
-3.3 |
15.6 |
29.2 |
38.0 |
43.0 |
44.8 |
44.2 |
41.8 |
38.3 |
34.1 |
29.4 |
24.7 |
20.0 |
15.6 |
11.5 |
7.7 |
4.3 |
1.4 |
-1.2 |
-3.4 |
-5.3 |
-6.7 |
-7.9 |
-8.7 |
-9.3 |
-9.6 |
-9.6 |
-9.4 |
-9.1 |
-8.5 |
-7.8 |
Investment |
fI |
2705.2 |
1491.9 |
660.4 |
301.0 |
-40.8 |
-308.8 |
-514.5 |
-654.6 |
-733.5 |
-758.8 |
-740.5 |
-688.8 |
-613.8 |
-524.5 |
-428.1 |
-330.7 |
-236.6 |
-148.9 |
-69.7 |
0.1 |
59.9 |
109.8 |
150.3 |
181.9 |
205.4 |
221.5 |
231.1 |
235.0 |
233.8 |
228.2 |
219.0 |
206.8 |
192.1 |
175.4 |
157.3 |
138.3 |
Export |
fE |
-102.5 |
-255.9 |
-364.8 |
-454.3 |
-520.2 |
-567.3 |
-592.5 |
-594.1 |
-571.3 |
-525.1 |
-458.2 |
-373.9 |
-276.5 |
-170.5 |
-60.4 |
49.7 |
156.1 |
255.4 |
345.0 |
422.9 |
487.5 |
538.0 |
574.0 |
595.5 |
602.9 |
597.1 |
579.1 |
550.3 |
512.1 |
466.0 |
413.7 |
356.9 |
297.0 |
235.8 |
174.7 |
115.0 |
Import |
fM |
2709.1 |
1362.9 |
610.7 |
221.9 |
-99.1 |
-320.0 |
-470.5 |
-562.4 |
-607.1 |
-614.9 |
-594.6 |
-553.9 |
-499.3 |
-436.0 |
-368.3 |
-299.5 |
-232.0 |
-167.6 |
-107.7 |
-52.9 |
-3.8 |
39.4 |
76.7 |
108.0 |
133.5 |
153.5 |
168.1 |
177.7 |
182.7 |
183.3 |
179.9 |
172.9 |
162.9 |
150.2 |
135.2 |
118.5 |
GDP |
fY |
3845.5 |
2250.0 |
1403.8 |
614.1 |
-54.7 |
-585.3 |
-973.4 |
-1226.9 |
-1361.8 |
-1397.6 |
-1354.9 |
-1253.4 |
-1110.9 |
-942.6 |
-761.5 |
-577.8 |
-399.3 |
-231.7 |
-79.1 |
55.9 |
171.9 |
268.5 |
345.8 |
404.5 |
445.5 |
470.1 |
479.8 |
476.0 |
460.4 |
434.4 |
399.8 |
358.1 |
310.8 |
259.4 |
205.5 |
150.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.680 |
1.972 |
1.421 |
0.761 |
0.133 |
-0.415 |
-0.847 |
-1.153 |
-1.335 |
-1.408 |
-1.388 |
-1.298 |
-1.156 |
-0.980 |
-0.785 |
-0.585 |
-0.389 |
-0.205 |
-0.038 |
0.109 |
0.233 |
0.335 |
0.415 |
0.473 |
0.511 |
0.531 |
0.534 |
0.524 |
0.502 |
0.469 |
0.429 |
0.383 |
0.333 |
0.280 |
0.226 |
0.173 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.515 |
-0.912 |
-0.668 |
-0.347 |
-0.044 |
0.221 |
0.430 |
0.577 |
0.665 |
0.700 |
0.690 |
0.646 |
0.576 |
0.489 |
0.393 |
0.294 |
0.197 |
0.106 |
0.022 |
-0.051 |
-0.114 |
-0.166 |
-0.206 |
-0.236 |
-0.255 |
-0.266 |
-0.268 |
-0.264 |
-0.253 |
-0.237 |
-0.217 |
-0.194 |
-0.169 |
-0.143 |
-0.115 |
-0.089 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.097 |
0.063 |
0.047 |
0.028 |
0.011 |
-0.005 |
-0.016 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.220 |
-0.126 |
-0.084 |
-0.051 |
-0.021 |
0.001 |
0.018 |
0.028 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.032 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.020 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.063 |
-0.037 |
-0.022 |
-0.011 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.191 |
-0.207 |
-0.221 |
-0.223 |
-0.217 |
-0.205 |
-0.192 |
-0.178 |
-0.164 |
-0.152 |
-0.141 |
-0.132 |
-0.124 |
-0.118 |
-0.112 |
-0.107 |
-0.102 |
-0.097 |
-0.092 |
-0.087 |
-0.082 |
-0.077 |
-0.072 |
-0.067 |
-0.062 |
-0.057 |
-0.052 |
-0.047 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.028 |
-0.027 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.108 |
-0.154 |
-0.191 |
-0.208 |
-0.208 |
-0.194 |
-0.169 |
-0.137 |
-0.103 |
-0.067 |
-0.034 |
-0.003 |
0.023 |
0.045 |
0.063 |
0.076 |
0.084 |
0.089 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.087 |
0.082 |
0.075 |
0.068 |
0.060 |
0.053 |
0.045 |
0.037 |
0.030 |
0.023 |
0.017 |
0.012 |
0.008 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.099 |
-0.030 |
0.007 |
0.036 |
0.056 |
0.068 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.066 |
0.058 |
0.047 |
0.036 |
0.025 |
0.014 |
0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.011 |
-0.016 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.042 |
-0.013 |
-0.001 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
User cost |
uim |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.018 |
0.023 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.019 |
0.014 |
0.009 |
0.004 |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.009 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
Wage |
lna |
0.026 |
0.051 |
0.067 |
0.077 |
0.081 |
0.078 |
0.069 |
0.058 |
0.044 |
0.029 |
0.014 |
-0.001 |
-0.014 |
-0.025 |
-0.034 |
-0.041 |
-0.047 |
-0.050 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
-0.033 |
-0.028 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.008 |
0.015 |
0.020 |
0.026 |
0.029 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.185 |
0.118 |
0.096 |
0.060 |
0.031 |
0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.015 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.022 |
0.003 |
0.017 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.018 |
0.013 |
0.007 |
0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
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