|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1167.9 |
-2082.6 |
-2801.3 |
-3425.8 |
-3909.7 |
-4244.8 |
-4449.6 |
-4548.8 |
-4569.0 |
-4535.3 |
-4468.1 |
-4383.7 |
-4293.9 |
-4207.5 |
-4130.1 |
-4065.3 |
-4015.1 |
-3980.4 |
-3961.3 |
-3957.5 |
-3968.5 |
-3993.5 |
-4031.9 |
-4082.9 |
-4145.9 |
-4220.2 |
-4305.4 |
-4400.7 |
-4505.6 |
-4619.4 |
-4741.5 |
-4871.2 |
-5007.6 |
-5150.0 |
-5297.6 |
-5449.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2388.7 |
2486.4 |
2580.3 |
2669.9 |
2753.5 |
2830.2 |
2900.4 |
2965.0 |
3025.3 |
3082.6 |
3138.3 |
3193.5 |
3249.1 |
3305.8 |
3364.1 |
3424.6 |
3487.3 |
3552.5 |
3620.3 |
3690.7 |
3763.6 |
3839.0 |
3916.8 |
3997.0 |
4079.4 |
4164.1 |
4250.9 |
4339.7 |
4430.6 |
4523.4 |
4618.1 |
4714.7 |
4813.2 |
4913.5 |
5015.6 |
5119.5 |
Investment |
fI |
-173.7 |
-541.2 |
-1136.5 |
-1573.1 |
-1842.0 |
-1971.5 |
-1991.4 |
-1925.3 |
-1795.0 |
-1621.6 |
-1423.9 |
-1217.7 |
-1015.8 |
-827.9 |
-660.8 |
-518.6 |
-403.3 |
-315.3 |
-253.6 |
-216.2 |
-200.9 |
-204.7 |
-224.9 |
-258.6 |
-303.1 |
-355.9 |
-414.7 |
-477.5 |
-542.5 |
-608.1 |
-672.9 |
-736.0 |
-796.4 |
-853.2 |
-906.0 |
-954.3 |
Export |
fE |
-42.5 |
-43.9 |
-11.6 |
44.9 |
125.1 |
225.8 |
344.5 |
477.0 |
617.6 |
760.1 |
898.0 |
1025.2 |
1136.4 |
1227.1 |
1293.9 |
1334.8 |
1348.7 |
1335.8 |
1297.2 |
1234.7 |
1151.0 |
1049.2 |
932.8 |
805.5 |
671.0 |
533.2 |
395.4 |
261.1 |
133.2 |
14.4 |
-93.0 |
-187.3 |
-267.0 |
-331.2 |
-379.3 |
-411.3 |
Import |
fM |
302.2 |
-144.3 |
-563.2 |
-859.6 |
-1020.8 |
-1080.8 |
-1062.4 |
-985.5 |
-867.5 |
-724.3 |
-568.6 |
-410.7 |
-258.3 |
-117.3 |
8.6 |
116.9 |
206.4 |
277.0 |
329.2 |
364.0 |
382.7 |
386.9 |
378.2 |
358.5 |
329.5 |
292.7 |
249.9 |
202.6 |
152.1 |
99.9 |
47.1 |
-5.1 |
-55.8 |
-104.1 |
-149.2 |
-190.5 |
GDP |
fY |
663.1 |
-111.0 |
-916.8 |
-1566.6 |
-2016.8 |
-2258.8 |
-2320.7 |
-2235.6 |
-2040.4 |
-1771.5 |
-1461.6 |
-1138.4 |
-824.1 |
-535.2 |
-283.4 |
-76.1 |
83.2 |
193.7 |
256.9 |
276.0 |
255.3 |
199.6 |
114.5 |
5.1 |
-123.1 |
-265.1 |
-416.2 |
-572.0 |
-728.7 |
-882.8 |
-1031.2 |
-1171.6 |
-1301.9 |
-1420.3 |
-1525.8 |
-1617.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.581 |
0.178 |
-0.378 |
-0.884 |
-1.260 |
-1.473 |
-1.524 |
-1.433 |
-1.228 |
-0.944 |
-0.614 |
-0.266 |
0.075 |
0.390 |
0.665 |
0.892 |
1.067 |
1.188 |
1.258 |
1.280 |
1.261 |
1.205 |
1.119 |
1.010 |
0.884 |
0.747 |
0.604 |
0.460 |
0.318 |
0.183 |
0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.159 |
-0.247 |
-0.320 |
-0.377 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.328 |
-0.056 |
0.224 |
0.467 |
0.645 |
0.742 |
0.761 |
0.711 |
0.607 |
0.465 |
0.300 |
0.128 |
-0.042 |
-0.198 |
-0.335 |
-0.448 |
-0.535 |
-0.596 |
-0.631 |
-0.643 |
-0.634 |
-0.606 |
-0.564 |
-0.510 |
-0.447 |
-0.379 |
-0.307 |
-0.235 |
-0.164 |
-0.096 |
-0.032 |
0.026 |
0.077 |
0.122 |
0.159 |
0.189 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.025 |
0.007 |
-0.014 |
-0.031 |
-0.044 |
-0.051 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.047 |
-0.040 |
-0.032 |
-0.024 |
-0.015 |
-0.007 |
0.000 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.044 |
-0.004 |
0.036 |
0.067 |
0.088 |
0.099 |
0.104 |
0.102 |
0.096 |
0.088 |
0.078 |
0.067 |
0.057 |
0.048 |
0.040 |
0.033 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.020 |
0.003 |
0.022 |
0.035 |
0.044 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.050 |
-0.023 |
0.017 |
0.064 |
0.113 |
0.162 |
0.208 |
0.252 |
0.291 |
0.327 |
0.358 |
0.387 |
0.412 |
0.435 |
0.456 |
0.475 |
0.492 |
0.508 |
0.523 |
0.537 |
0.550 |
0.562 |
0.572 |
0.582 |
0.590 |
0.598 |
0.604 |
0.610 |
0.615 |
0.619 |
0.622 |
0.625 |
0.627 |
0.629 |
0.631 |
0.633 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
0.000 |
0.038 |
0.085 |
0.136 |
0.186 |
0.231 |
0.269 |
0.298 |
0.317 |
0.327 |
0.328 |
0.321 |
0.307 |
0.288 |
0.265 |
0.239 |
0.212 |
0.184 |
0.156 |
0.129 |
0.104 |
0.080 |
0.059 |
0.040 |
0.023 |
0.009 |
-0.003 |
-0.013 |
-0.021 |
-0.028 |
-0.033 |
-0.037 |
-0.040 |
-0.042 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.081 |
-0.061 |
-0.046 |
-0.042 |
-0.048 |
-0.061 |
-0.080 |
-0.101 |
-0.123 |
-0.145 |
-0.165 |
-0.182 |
-0.195 |
-0.206 |
-0.213 |
-0.217 |
-0.219 |
-0.218 |
-0.216 |
-0.212 |
-0.206 |
-0.200 |
-0.194 |
-0.187 |
-0.181 |
-0.175 |
-0.169 |
-0.164 |
-0.159 |
-0.155 |
-0.151 |
-0.149 |
-0.146 |
-0.145 |
-0.144 |
-0.143 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.061 |
-0.048 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.033 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
User cost |
uim |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.005 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
Wage |
lna |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.019 |
-0.036 |
-0.053 |
-0.070 |
-0.085 |
-0.097 |
-0.105 |
-0.109 |
-0.110 |
-0.107 |
-0.102 |
-0.093 |
-0.083 |
-0.071 |
-0.058 |
-0.045 |
-0.032 |
-0.020 |
-0.008 |
0.003 |
0.013 |
0.021 |
0.028 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.031 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.011 |
-0.018 |
-0.025 |
-0.031 |
-0.038 |
-0.043 |
-0.047 |
-0.049 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.032 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.009 |
-0.013 |
-0.017 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.029 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.047 |
0.008 |
-0.024 |
-0.051 |
-0.072 |
-0.086 |
-0.094 |
-0.096 |
-0.095 |
-0.091 |
-0.086 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.070 |
-0.065 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.046 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.005 |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.007 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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