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2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-13213.2 |
-35473.4 |
-44620.3 |
-51636.4 |
-56007.1 |
-58215.6 |
-58704.1 |
-57654.2 |
-55300.1 |
-51859.0 |
-47565.7 |
-42672.9 |
-37458.0 |
-32212.8 |
-27210.2 |
-22643.3 |
-18637.7 |
-15350.3 |
-12986.5 |
-11743.1 |
-11767.1 |
-13142.8 |
-15889.8 |
-19966.8 |
-25275.7 |
-31668.9 |
-38955.8 |
-46910.1 |
-55278.3 |
-63787.6 |
-72155.4 |
-80098.9 |
-87345.2 |
-93642.0 |
-98768.1 |
-102544.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-1354.6 |
-2571.4 |
-2717.1 |
-2533.5 |
-1844.1 |
-634.0 |
1048.2 |
3131.5 |
5505.9 |
8042.4 |
10599.7 |
13033.3 |
15202.8 |
16979.7 |
18257.5 |
18964.6 |
19067.4 |
18558.1 |
17447.7 |
15768.7 |
13577.6 |
10954.0 |
7998.1 |
4826.2 |
1566.4 |
-1647.2 |
-4679.4 |
-7399.4 |
-9685.4 |
-11429.5 |
-12541.9 |
-12954.8 |
-12625.4 |
-11539.1 |
-9710.8 |
-7186.6 |
Investment |
fI |
1544.3 |
-4647.0 |
-6240.6 |
-6733.1 |
-6201.5 |
-4303.7 |
-1187.5 |
2962.8 |
7930.9 |
13377.7 |
18979.2 |
24393.8 |
29305.3 |
33424.8 |
36531.7 |
38516.4 |
39368.1 |
39082.6 |
37640.7 |
35054.1 |
31393.9 |
26788.4 |
21412.9 |
15479.1 |
9225.5 |
2907.7 |
-3211.0 |
-8868.8 |
-13814.9 |
-17818.6 |
-20678.8 |
-22232.7 |
-22364.0 |
-21010.6 |
-18170.3 |
-13904.3 |
Export |
fE |
1259.6 |
6592.5 |
12064.4 |
18152.3 |
24434.5 |
31165.6 |
38104.4 |
45133.2 |
51966.8 |
58345.1 |
63964.8 |
68550.7 |
71848.9 |
73660.4 |
73849.0 |
72359.4 |
69219.1 |
64533.8 |
58478.9 |
51293.4 |
43270.0 |
34743.1 |
26075.4 |
17642.5 |
9818.4 |
2960.4 |
-2604.3 |
-6591.7 |
-8771.6 |
-8976.7 |
-7110.7 |
-3153.4 |
2836.2 |
10718.4 |
20274.9 |
31213.1 |
Import |
fM |
-5168.5 |
-15777.3 |
-18319.7 |
-18997.6 |
-18206.7 |
-15879.7 |
-12302.8 |
-7610.9 |
-2049.7 |
4098.3 |
10525.7 |
16911.2 |
22928.0 |
28261.0 |
32640.6 |
35893.4 |
37932.5 |
38676.5 |
38037.5 |
35969.5 |
32497.2 |
27715.8 |
21784.2 |
14915.7 |
7368.4 |
-566.0 |
-8573.2 |
-16328.9 |
-23510.9 |
-29811.9 |
-34951.7 |
-38688.9 |
-40832.1 |
-41249.3 |
-39875.6 |
-36719.2 |
GDP |
fY |
-6997.3 |
-21551.0 |
-24673.6 |
-25362.2 |
-22927.0 |
-17517.5 |
-9677.0 |
164.3 |
11394.8 |
23338.7 |
35289.7 |
46545.5 |
56436.2 |
64360.2 |
69843.8 |
72628.0 |
72656.5 |
69943.5 |
64530.1 |
56538.0 |
46205.8 |
33887.9 |
20037.5 |
5183.5 |
-10093.5 |
-25186.6 |
-39485.8 |
-52401.0 |
-63383.3 |
-71945.2 |
-77678.8 |
-80273.6 |
-79531.4 |
-75379.4 |
-67880.2 |
-57237.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-10.813 |
-23.343 |
-27.101 |
-27.664 |
-24.615 |
-18.234 |
-9.108 |
2.149 |
14.753 |
27.878 |
40.690 |
52.403 |
62.304 |
69.797 |
74.446 |
76.037 |
74.572 |
70.176 |
63.046 |
53.467 |
41.820 |
28.571 |
14.257 |
-0.545 |
-15.241 |
-29.250 |
-42.021 |
-53.056 |
-61.929 |
-68.299 |
-71.921 |
-72.657 |
-70.477 |
-65.466 |
-57.818 |
-47.836 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
6.111 |
12.373 |
13.606 |
13.761 |
12.113 |
8.825 |
4.195 |
-1.481 |
-7.812 |
-14.387 |
-20.794 |
-26.639 |
-31.568 |
-35.284 |
-37.572 |
-38.329 |
-37.560 |
-35.324 |
-31.718 |
-26.881 |
-21.006 |
-14.330 |
-7.121 |
0.329 |
7.722 |
14.765 |
21.183 |
26.725 |
31.177 |
34.370 |
36.179 |
36.536 |
35.427 |
32.893 |
29.035 |
24.004 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
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Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
1.424 |
0.046 |
-0.048 |
-0.148 |
-0.203 |
-0.210 |
-0.176 |
-0.104 |
-0.006 |
0.110 |
0.232 |
0.354 |
0.468 |
0.568 |
0.648 |
0.700 |
0.722 |
0.717 |
0.689 |
0.637 |
0.565 |
0.473 |
0.365 |
0.244 |
0.116 |
-0.016 |
-0.145 |
-0.267 |
-0.376 |
-0.469 |
-0.541 |
-0.591 |
-0.617 |
-0.617 |
-0.594 |
-0.548 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.861 |
-0.751 |
-0.370 |
-0.063 |
0.140 |
0.239 |
0.261 |
0.219 |
0.130 |
0.008 |
-0.131 |
-0.276 |
-0.418 |
-0.547 |
-0.656 |
-0.739 |
-0.795 |
-0.827 |
-0.836 |
-0.822 |
-0.784 |
-0.723 |
-0.641 |
-0.540 |
-0.426 |
-0.301 |
-0.173 |
-0.045 |
0.077 |
0.187 |
0.281 |
0.356 |
0.409 |
0.437 |
0.440 |
0.419 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.437 |
-0.705 |
-0.417 |
-0.211 |
-0.062 |
0.029 |
0.085 |
0.115 |
0.124 |
0.118 |
0.101 |
0.078 |
0.051 |
0.021 |
-0.008 |
-0.039 |
-0.073 |
-0.109 |
-0.147 |
-0.185 |
-0.219 |
-0.250 |
-0.276 |
-0.296 |
-0.310 |
-0.317 |
-0.318 |
-0.312 |
-0.299 |
-0.282 |
-0.260 |
-0.235 |
-0.208 |
-0.181 |
-0.154 |
-0.130 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.627 |
-1.792 |
-2.010 |
-2.107 |
-2.181 |
-2.209 |
-2.241 |
-2.296 |
-2.384 |
-2.512 |
-2.682 |
-2.895 |
-3.147 |
-3.437 |
-3.759 |
-4.113 |
-4.498 |
-4.915 |
-5.363 |
-5.837 |
-6.333 |
-6.846 |
-7.369 |
-7.898 |
-8.424 |
-8.942 |
-9.446 |
-9.928 |
-10.384 |
-10.808 |
-11.198 |
-11.550 |
-11.864 |
-12.142 |
-12.384 |
-12.594 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.569 |
0.442 |
0.351 |
0.380 |
0.461 |
0.539 |
0.565 |
0.504 |
0.332 |
0.040 |
-0.370 |
-0.885 |
-1.487 |
-2.152 |
-2.851 |
-3.553 |
-4.225 |
-4.841 |
-5.377 |
-5.815 |
-6.137 |
-6.330 |
-6.384 |
-6.294 |
-6.062 |
-5.692 |
-5.196 |
-4.590 |
-3.895 |
-3.136 |
-2.342 |
-1.540 |
-0.762 |
-0.035 |
0.613 |
1.162 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.205 |
0.518 |
0.438 |
0.263 |
-0.006 |
-0.342 |
-0.708 |
-1.079 |
-1.426 |
-1.723 |
-1.953 |
-2.100 |
-2.156 |
-2.118 |
-1.987 |
-1.773 |
-1.488 |
-1.146 |
-0.760 |
-0.346 |
0.080 |
0.502 |
0.904 |
1.268 |
1.580 |
1.827 |
1.999 |
2.091 |
2.097 |
2.019 |
1.860 |
1.628 |
1.332 |
0.986 |
0.604 |
0.203 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.160 |
-0.186 |
-0.287 |
-0.374 |
-0.450 |
-0.513 |
-0.560 |
-0.590 |
-0.605 |
-0.607 |
-0.596 |
-0.575 |
-0.547 |
-0.514 |
-0.478 |
-0.443 |
-0.412 |
-0.385 |
-0.365 |
-0.352 |
-0.346 |
-0.347 |
-0.356 |
-0.371 |
-0.393 |
-0.420 |
-0.451 |
-0.484 |
-0.518 |
-0.553 |
-0.585 |
-0.614 |
-0.639 |
-0.658 |
-0.671 |
-0.678 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.459 |
-5.699 |
-5.942 |
-6.164 |
-6.364 |
-6.532 |
-6.659 |
-6.739 |
-6.765 |
-6.737 |
-6.654 |
-6.520 |
-6.340 |
-6.121 |
-5.874 |
-5.609 |
-5.337 |
-5.069 |
-4.816 |
-4.589 |
-4.396 |
-4.247 |
-4.146 |
-4.099 |
-4.107 |
-4.169 |
-4.282 |
-4.441 |
-4.639 |
-4.867 |
-5.116 |
-5.375 |
-5.633 |
-5.881 |
-6.109 |
-6.308 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.174 |
-0.549 |
-0.958 |
-1.356 |
-1.717 |
-2.004 |
-2.189 |
-2.249 |
-2.170 |
-1.946 |
-1.579 |
-1.079 |
-0.463 |
0.246 |
1.019 |
1.825 |
2.631 |
3.406 |
4.117 |
4.736 |
5.238 |
5.601 |
5.811 |
5.861 |
5.750 |
5.484 |
5.077 |
4.547 |
3.920 |
3.223 |
2.484 |
1.736 |
1.009 |
0.329 |
-0.276 |
-0.786 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.126 |
-0.616 |
-1.084 |
-1.515 |
-1.912 |
-2.268 |
-2.575 |
-2.826 |
-3.016 |
-3.143 |
-3.205 |
-3.203 |
-3.143 |
-3.031 |
-2.875 |
-2.685 |
-2.471 |
-2.246 |
-2.020 |
-1.805 |
-1.612 |
-1.449 |
-1.325 |
-1.247 |
-1.218 |
-1.240 |
-1.312 |
-1.433 |
-1.596 |
-1.796 |
-2.025 |
-2.273 |
-2.530 |
-2.787 |
-3.034 |
-3.262 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.127 |
-0.325 |
-0.516 |
-0.692 |
-0.850 |
-0.984 |
-1.088 |
-1.158 |
-1.189 |
-1.182 |
-1.136 |
-1.054 |
-0.938 |
-0.795 |
-0.630 |
-0.451 |
-0.265 |
-0.081 |
0.095 |
0.255 |
0.393 |
0.503 |
0.581 |
0.623 |
0.629 |
0.598 |
0.533 |
0.435 |
0.310 |
0.163 |
0.000 |
-0.171 |
-0.345 |
-0.513 |
-0.670 |
-0.809 |
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Percentage-point |
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|
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Consumption ratio |
bcp |
3.307 |
0.666 |
0.057 |
-0.417 |
-0.748 |
-0.968 |
-1.117 |
-1.208 |
-1.256 |
-1.272 |
-1.261 |
-1.230 |
-1.184 |
-1.126 |
-1.064 |
-1.003 |
-0.946 |
-0.891 |
-0.837 |
-0.787 |
-0.744 |
-0.711 |
-0.692 |
-0.686 |
-0.694 |
-0.716 |
-0.750 |
-0.795 |
-0.850 |
-0.912 |
-0.979 |
-1.049 |
-1.120 |
-1.189 |
-1.254 |
-1.312 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.042 |
0.111 |
0.159 |
0.172 |
0.178 |
0.198 |
0.244 |
0.322 |
0.435 |
0.581 |
0.758 |
0.961 |
1.182 |
1.413 |
1.645 |
1.869 |
2.074 |
2.254 |
2.403 |
2.516 |
2.588 |
2.619 |
2.608 |
2.556 |
2.466 |
2.343 |
2.193 |
2.022 |
1.838 |
1.649 |
1.463 |
1.287 |
1.128 |
0.993 |
0.887 |
0.813 |
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