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|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
4825.6 |
1859.7 |
8310.4 |
13723.5 |
18736.6 |
23267.6 |
27262.9 |
30832.8 |
33992.9 |
36778.5 |
39204.1 |
41277.1 |
42995.3 |
44354.0 |
45348.0 |
45975.5 |
46239.3 |
46148.5 |
45718.5 |
44971.5 |
43936.1 |
42646.8 |
41143.5 |
39470.8 |
37676.7 |
35812.0 |
33928.9 |
32079.8 |
30315.9 |
28686.3 |
27236.2 |
26006.3 |
25031.1 |
24338.5 |
23948.9 |
23874.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-168.1 |
-133.4 |
-373.7 |
-640.1 |
-893.1 |
-1115.6 |
-1300.4 |
-1448.4 |
-1559.9 |
-1637.0 |
-1681.4 |
-1695.7 |
-1682.1 |
-1642.8 |
-1580.4 |
-1497.4 |
-1396.4 |
-1280.2 |
-1151.7 |
-1013.9 |
-869.9 |
-722.7 |
-575.2 |
-430.6 |
-291.5 |
-160.6 |
-40.5 |
66.6 |
158.9 |
234.7 |
292.7 |
332.2 |
352.7 |
354.3 |
337.6 |
303.3 |
Investment |
fI |
13882.0 |
21308.9 |
28907.3 |
34271.8 |
38284.1 |
41372.7 |
43599.0 |
45013.3 |
45724.8 |
45789.5 |
45301.5 |
44332.5 |
42961.0 |
41255.9 |
39286.4 |
37116.5 |
34808.7 |
32422.2 |
30013.7 |
27636.7 |
25341.6 |
23175.8 |
21182.8 |
19402.2 |
17869.2 |
16614.2 |
15662.3 |
15032.8 |
14738.6 |
14786.3 |
15175.4 |
15898.1 |
16939.9 |
18279.4 |
19888.7 |
21734.1 |
Export |
fE |
2039.3 |
8338.7 |
14104.3 |
19632.6 |
24285.3 |
28223.6 |
31154.3 |
33041.6 |
33785.9 |
33403.3 |
31921.1 |
29424.9 |
26022.0 |
21849.5 |
17058.5 |
11812.3 |
6277.4 |
620.1 |
-4999.2 |
-10429.6 |
-15532.9 |
-20185.8 |
-24282.4 |
-27735.2 |
-30476.1 |
-32456.7 |
-33649.0 |
-34044.3 |
-33653.5 |
-32505.4 |
-30646.3 |
-28137.9 |
-25056.2 |
-21488.8 |
-17533.3 |
-13294.6 |
Import |
fM |
8542.7 |
12309.7 |
19265.9 |
24899.4 |
29373.1 |
33403.7 |
36778.0 |
39539.3 |
41669.3 |
43175.1 |
44070.8 |
44379.7 |
44131.5 |
43364.9 |
42126.2 |
40469.2 |
38454.2 |
36146.8 |
33616.3 |
30934.5 |
28174.0 |
25407.1 |
22704.3 |
20133.2 |
17757.1 |
15633.7 |
13814.4 |
12343.0 |
11254.8 |
10576.0 |
10323.0 |
10502.3 |
11110.1 |
12132.5 |
13546.0 |
15317.8 |
GDP |
fY |
12464.0 |
19537.7 |
32526.8 |
43232.3 |
52483.3 |
60005.5 |
65772.2 |
69876.4 |
72372.3 |
73366.8 |
72987.5 |
71378.7 |
68694.3 |
65095.3 |
60746.4 |
55814.0 |
50463.5 |
44856.8 |
39150.2 |
33492.0 |
28020.8 |
22864.3 |
18137.1 |
13940.4 |
10360.7 |
7468.6 |
5318.6 |
3948.1 |
3377.3 |
3608.8 |
4627.4 |
6401.0 |
8880.7 |
12002.2 |
15687.1 |
19845.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
4.667 |
10.710 |
20.939 |
30.301 |
38.596 |
45.391 |
50.416 |
53.640 |
55.084 |
54.859 |
53.120 |
50.054 |
45.866 |
40.769 |
34.976 |
28.699 |
22.137 |
15.478 |
8.896 |
2.546 |
-3.434 |
-8.928 |
-13.838 |
-18.089 |
-21.624 |
-24.406 |
-26.417 |
-27.659 |
-28.148 |
-27.917 |
-27.015 |
-25.501 |
-23.447 |
-20.932 |
-18.045 |
-14.875 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.638 |
-5.700 |
-11.049 |
-15.623 |
-19.703 |
-23.049 |
-25.521 |
-27.111 |
-27.820 |
-27.702 |
-26.830 |
-25.295 |
-23.197 |
-20.641 |
-17.732 |
-14.577 |
-11.275 |
-7.920 |
-4.601 |
-1.396 |
1.626 |
4.405 |
6.892 |
9.047 |
10.843 |
12.260 |
13.288 |
13.928 |
14.188 |
14.084 |
13.640 |
12.887 |
11.859 |
10.598 |
9.146 |
7.552 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.238 |
-0.723 |
-0.444 |
-0.253 |
-0.100 |
0.015 |
0.085 |
0.117 |
0.113 |
0.078 |
0.016 |
-0.069 |
-0.174 |
-0.293 |
-0.424 |
-0.563 |
-0.707 |
-0.853 |
-0.998 |
-1.141 |
-1.279 |
-1.410 |
-1.532 |
-1.644 |
-1.746 |
-1.836 |
-1.914 |
-1.980 |
-2.034 |
-2.076 |
-2.106 |
-2.127 |
-2.137 |
-2.140 |
-2.135 |
-2.124 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.215 |
-1.042 |
-1.349 |
-1.527 |
-1.641 |
-1.719 |
-1.751 |
-1.749 |
-1.720 |
-1.670 |
-1.605 |
-1.529 |
-1.448 |
-1.362 |
-1.275 |
-1.188 |
-1.102 |
-1.019 |
-0.940 |
-0.864 |
-0.793 |
-0.727 |
-0.667 |
-0.612 |
-0.563 |
-0.521 |
-0.485 |
-0.456 |
-0.433 |
-0.417 |
-0.406 |
-0.402 |
-0.403 |
-0.408 |
-0.419 |
-0.432 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.976 |
-1.765 |
-1.793 |
-1.780 |
-1.741 |
-1.705 |
-1.666 |
-1.632 |
-1.606 |
-1.591 |
-1.589 |
-1.599 |
-1.621 |
-1.655 |
-1.699 |
-1.751 |
-1.809 |
-1.872 |
-1.938 |
-2.005 |
-2.072 |
-2.137 |
-2.199 |
-2.256 |
-2.309 |
-2.357 |
-2.399 |
-2.436 |
-2.467 |
-2.492 |
-2.513 |
-2.528 |
-2.540 |
-2.548 |
-2.554 |
-2.557 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.393 |
-3.971 |
-5.697 |
-7.360 |
-8.932 |
-10.443 |
-11.880 |
-13.248 |
-14.558 |
-15.823 |
-17.056 |
-18.270 |
-19.478 |
-20.690 |
-21.914 |
-23.159 |
-24.428 |
-25.725 |
-27.049 |
-28.401 |
-29.777 |
-31.174 |
-32.587 |
-34.010 |
-35.438 |
-36.863 |
-38.278 |
-39.678 |
-41.056 |
-42.406 |
-43.724 |
-45.004 |
-46.245 |
-47.442 |
-48.595 |
-49.704 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
1.248 |
1.537 |
1.523 |
1.375 |
1.116 |
0.787 |
0.428 |
0.075 |
-0.242 |
-0.496 |
-0.662 |
-0.726 |
-0.673 |
-0.494 |
-0.185 |
0.256 |
0.829 |
1.529 |
2.350 |
3.285 |
4.322 |
5.451 |
6.659 |
7.932 |
9.256 |
10.617 |
12.000 |
13.391 |
14.777 |
16.144 |
17.481 |
18.778 |
20.026 |
21.218 |
22.347 |
23.412 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.333 |
-0.467 |
-0.688 |
-0.776 |
-0.773 |
-0.687 |
-0.531 |
-0.319 |
-0.063 |
0.226 |
0.536 |
0.858 |
1.184 |
1.505 |
1.814 |
2.105 |
2.374 |
2.615 |
2.826 |
3.005 |
3.149 |
3.258 |
3.332 |
3.372 |
3.379 |
3.356 |
3.305 |
3.229 |
3.132 |
3.016 |
2.887 |
2.747 |
2.601 |
2.453 |
2.305 |
2.162 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.337 |
-0.501 |
-0.676 |
-0.783 |
-0.850 |
-0.888 |
-0.904 |
-0.905 |
-0.895 |
-0.879 |
-0.858 |
-0.834 |
-0.809 |
-0.784 |
-0.759 |
-0.737 |
-0.716 |
-0.699 |
-0.684 |
-0.671 |
-0.662 |
-0.656 |
-0.653 |
-0.653 |
-0.655 |
-0.659 |
-0.665 |
-0.674 |
-0.683 |
-0.694 |
-0.705 |
-0.716 |
-0.728 |
-0.739 |
-0.750 |
-0.760 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.470 |
-5.649 |
-5.758 |
-5.812 |
-5.816 |
-5.775 |
-5.696 |
-5.586 |
-5.452 |
-5.302 |
-5.141 |
-4.978 |
-4.816 |
-4.662 |
-4.519 |
-4.391 |
-4.282 |
-4.192 |
-4.124 |
-4.078 |
-4.054 |
-4.051 |
-4.068 |
-4.104 |
-4.156 |
-4.223 |
-4.301 |
-4.388 |
-4.482 |
-4.579 |
-4.678 |
-4.775 |
-4.868 |
-4.956 |
-5.037 |
-5.109 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.022 |
-0.031 |
0.089 |
0.332 |
0.681 |
1.120 |
1.628 |
2.187 |
2.776 |
3.375 |
3.967 |
4.534 |
5.063 |
5.542 |
5.961 |
6.314 |
6.594 |
6.800 |
6.932 |
6.992 |
6.982 |
6.910 |
6.780 |
6.600 |
6.379 |
6.125 |
5.846 |
5.553 |
5.252 |
4.952 |
4.661 |
4.384 |
4.128 |
3.897 |
3.696 |
3.527 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.077 |
-0.470 |
-0.789 |
-1.024 |
-1.185 |
-1.282 |
-1.322 |
-1.314 |
-1.268 |
-1.193 |
-1.097 |
-0.988 |
-0.872 |
-0.755 |
-0.644 |
-0.543 |
-0.455 |
-0.383 |
-0.330 |
-0.298 |
-0.285 |
-0.294 |
-0.322 |
-0.370 |
-0.434 |
-0.513 |
-0.606 |
-0.708 |
-0.819 |
-0.934 |
-1.051 |
-1.169 |
-1.283 |
-1.392 |
-1.495 |
-1.589 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.094 |
-0.214 |
-0.290 |
-0.323 |
-0.318 |
-0.281 |
-0.215 |
-0.128 |
-0.024 |
0.092 |
0.213 |
0.336 |
0.457 |
0.571 |
0.675 |
0.768 |
0.847 |
0.911 |
0.959 |
0.991 |
1.006 |
1.006 |
0.992 |
0.964 |
0.925 |
0.876 |
0.818 |
0.755 |
0.687 |
0.618 |
0.547 |
0.478 |
0.412 |
0.350 |
0.294 |
0.244 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
2.066 |
0.212 |
0.305 |
0.348 |
0.379 |
0.399 |
0.392 |
0.369 |
0.336 |
0.296 |
0.254 |
0.212 |
0.172 |
0.135 |
0.102 |
0.073 |
0.046 |
0.022 |
0.001 |
-0.019 |
-0.038 |
-0.056 |
-0.074 |
-0.092 |
-0.111 |
-0.129 |
-0.148 |
-0.168 |
-0.187 |
-0.207 |
-0.227 |
-0.246 |
-0.265 |
-0.283 |
-0.301 |
-0.317 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.121 |
0.029 |
0.171 |
0.341 |
0.530 |
0.733 |
0.939 |
1.143 |
1.338 |
1.520 |
1.686 |
1.833 |
1.959 |
2.064 |
2.147 |
2.208 |
2.248 |
2.268 |
2.270 |
2.255 |
2.225 |
2.183 |
2.131 |
2.071 |
2.006 |
1.938 |
1.869 |
1.800 |
1.735 |
1.674 |
1.618 |
1.569 |
1.529 |
1.496 |
1.472 |
1.457 |
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