|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
4803.1 |
1696.9 |
7828.6 |
12683.9 |
16902.2 |
20435.4 |
23297.3 |
25672.2 |
27645.0 |
29306.1 |
30714.3 |
31912.3 |
32926.1 |
33772.1 |
34458.8 |
34991.4 |
35372.9 |
35606.3 |
35695.9 |
35647.9 |
35470.9 |
35176.2 |
34777.6 |
34291.1 |
33734.9 |
33128.3 |
32491.8 |
31845.9 |
31210.9 |
30606.3 |
30050.1 |
29558.7 |
29146.0 |
28823.8 |
28600.9 |
28483.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-166.7 |
-120.9 |
-340.3 |
-572.4 |
-778.8 |
-945.1 |
-1068.5 |
-1154.0 |
-1206.5 |
-1231.3 |
-1233.4 |
-1216.9 |
-1185.4 |
-1142.0 |
-1089.2 |
-1029.0 |
-963.3 |
-893.4 |
-820.8 |
-746.6 |
-671.9 |
-597.7 |
-524.9 |
-454.5 |
-387.3 |
-324.0 |
-265.5 |
-212.3 |
-164.9 |
-123.9 |
-89.4 |
-61.7 |
-40.9 |
-26.7 |
-19.1 |
-17.6 |
Investment |
fI |
13767.5 |
20833.3 |
27815.0 |
32364.7 |
35406.9 |
37482.4 |
38726.8 |
39265.0 |
39258.6 |
38801.5 |
38011.1 |
36972.3 |
35766.0 |
34454.7 |
33091.8 |
31718.7 |
30368.9 |
29068.2 |
27837.4 |
26692.6 |
25646.7 |
24710.4 |
23892.2 |
23199.2 |
22637.2 |
22210.6 |
21922.6 |
21774.7 |
21767.3 |
21898.6 |
22165.4 |
22562.6 |
23083.3 |
23719.1 |
24459.9 |
25294.3 |
Export |
fE |
1068.1 |
6071.4 |
9903.3 |
13176.6 |
15463.4 |
17085.7 |
17917.0 |
18043.7 |
17466.9 |
16268.9 |
14515.1 |
12300.9 |
9717.9 |
6865.5 |
3838.5 |
729.5 |
-2376.4 |
-5401.4 |
-8277.1 |
-10944.3 |
-13354.3 |
-15468.3 |
-17257.4 |
-18702.4 |
-19793.4 |
-20528.9 |
-20915.5 |
-20967.0 |
-20703.5 |
-20150.7 |
-19338.8 |
-18301.7 |
-17076.3 |
-15700.9 |
-14214.8 |
-12657.5 |
Import |
fM |
7716.3 |
10414.2 |
15693.8 |
19379.3 |
21763.6 |
23669.1 |
25006.7 |
25914.4 |
26450.5 |
26675.4 |
26639.6 |
26387.4 |
25956.5 |
25380.7 |
24689.8 |
23910.8 |
23068.2 |
22184.8 |
21281.7 |
20379.0 |
19495.2 |
18648.2 |
17854.3 |
17129.0 |
16485.9 |
15937.3 |
15493.5 |
15162.8 |
14951.2 |
14862.6 |
14898.4 |
15057.6 |
15336.8 |
15730.6 |
16231.4 |
16830.0 |
GDP |
fY |
12191.6 |
18550.6 |
30369.3 |
39425.8 |
46674.2 |
52036.8 |
55668.7 |
57835.9 |
58733.9 |
58571.7 |
57543.5 |
55828.0 |
53585.7 |
50958.8 |
48072.4 |
45034.8 |
41940.2 |
38869.3 |
35891.0 |
33064.1 |
30437.7 |
28053.0 |
25943.1 |
24134.2 |
22646.0 |
21491.4 |
20677.4 |
20204.8 |
20068.9 |
20259.2 |
20760.0 |
21551.1 |
22607.6 |
23901.2 |
25400.3 |
27071.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
4.552 |
10.036 |
19.308 |
27.258 |
33.810 |
38.686 |
41.797 |
43.285 |
43.314 |
42.104 |
39.878 |
36.858 |
33.249 |
29.239 |
24.991 |
20.647 |
16.326 |
12.128 |
8.134 |
4.408 |
1.001 |
-2.053 |
-4.727 |
-7.009 |
-8.893 |
-10.381 |
-11.484 |
-12.219 |
-12.607 |
-12.675 |
-12.452 |
-11.972 |
-11.271 |
-10.385 |
-9.352 |
-8.208 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.573 |
-5.328 |
-10.177 |
-14.022 |
-17.216 |
-19.594 |
-21.109 |
-21.834 |
-21.844 |
-21.243 |
-20.138 |
-18.636 |
-16.838 |
-14.835 |
-12.709 |
-10.529 |
-8.357 |
-6.243 |
-4.228 |
-2.344 |
-0.618 |
0.931 |
2.291 |
3.454 |
4.417 |
5.180 |
5.749 |
6.132 |
6.338 |
6.383 |
6.280 |
6.046 |
5.699 |
5.258 |
4.742 |
4.169 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.235 |
-0.739 |
-0.480 |
-0.320 |
-0.205 |
-0.133 |
-0.106 |
-0.115 |
-0.154 |
-0.217 |
-0.297 |
-0.391 |
-0.494 |
-0.602 |
-0.712 |
-0.823 |
-0.932 |
-1.038 |
-1.140 |
-1.237 |
-1.329 |
-1.415 |
-1.495 |
-1.569 |
-1.637 |
-1.699 |
-1.755 |
-1.805 |
-1.849 |
-1.889 |
-1.924 |
-1.954 |
-1.981 |
-2.004 |
-2.024 |
-2.042 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.216 |
-1.039 |
-1.335 |
-1.496 |
-1.586 |
-1.637 |
-1.639 |
-1.609 |
-1.556 |
-1.487 |
-1.410 |
-1.328 |
-1.247 |
-1.169 |
-1.094 |
-1.025 |
-0.961 |
-0.903 |
-0.850 |
-0.802 |
-0.759 |
-0.720 |
-0.685 |
-0.654 |
-0.626 |
-0.602 |
-0.580 |
-0.561 |
-0.545 |
-0.532 |
-0.521 |
-0.513 |
-0.506 |
-0.501 |
-0.499 |
-0.498 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.981 |
-1.778 |
-1.816 |
-1.816 |
-1.791 |
-1.770 |
-1.746 |
-1.724 |
-1.710 |
-1.704 |
-1.707 |
-1.720 |
-1.741 |
-1.771 |
-1.807 |
-1.848 |
-1.893 |
-1.941 |
-1.990 |
-2.039 |
-2.088 |
-2.135 |
-2.180 |
-2.223 |
-2.263 |
-2.301 |
-2.335 |
-2.366 |
-2.395 |
-2.421 |
-2.445 |
-2.466 |
-2.487 |
-2.505 |
-2.523 |
-2.540 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.391 |
-3.973 |
-5.714 |
-7.405 |
-9.027 |
-10.604 |
-12.126 |
-13.596 |
-15.021 |
-16.409 |
-17.769 |
-19.110 |
-20.439 |
-21.762 |
-23.084 |
-24.410 |
-25.741 |
-27.078 |
-28.422 |
-29.771 |
-31.124 |
-32.478 |
-33.831 |
-35.179 |
-36.520 |
-37.850 |
-39.166 |
-40.467 |
-41.748 |
-43.009 |
-44.246 |
-45.460 |
-46.649 |
-47.813 |
-48.951 |
-50.064 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
1.253 |
1.565 |
1.600 |
1.535 |
1.399 |
1.233 |
1.076 |
0.955 |
0.895 |
0.913 |
1.021 |
1.225 |
1.530 |
1.934 |
2.436 |
3.029 |
3.710 |
4.471 |
5.303 |
6.200 |
7.153 |
8.154 |
9.195 |
10.268 |
11.364 |
12.477 |
13.600 |
14.725 |
15.848 |
16.963 |
18.065 |
19.149 |
20.213 |
21.254 |
22.269 |
23.258 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.308 |
-0.407 |
-0.576 |
-0.607 |
-0.546 |
-0.412 |
-0.221 |
0.009 |
0.263 |
0.529 |
0.798 |
1.062 |
1.314 |
1.551 |
1.768 |
1.964 |
2.138 |
2.288 |
2.414 |
2.518 |
2.600 |
2.660 |
2.700 |
2.722 |
2.726 |
2.716 |
2.692 |
2.657 |
2.611 |
2.558 |
2.499 |
2.435 |
2.368 |
2.300 |
2.233 |
2.166 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.315 |
-0.456 |
-0.599 |
-0.676 |
-0.715 |
-0.730 |
-0.730 |
-0.722 |
-0.710 |
-0.698 |
-0.686 |
-0.675 |
-0.667 |
-0.660 |
-0.655 |
-0.653 |
-0.651 |
-0.652 |
-0.653 |
-0.656 |
-0.659 |
-0.663 |
-0.668 |
-0.672 |
-0.677 |
-0.682 |
-0.687 |
-0.691 |
-0.696 |
-0.700 |
-0.703 |
-0.706 |
-0.709 |
-0.711 |
-0.712 |
-0.713 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.468 |
-5.647 |
-5.755 |
-5.812 |
-5.824 |
-5.798 |
-5.741 |
-5.660 |
-5.562 |
-5.453 |
-5.339 |
-5.225 |
-5.114 |
-5.010 |
-4.914 |
-4.829 |
-4.756 |
-4.695 |
-4.648 |
-4.613 |
-4.591 |
-4.581 |
-4.581 |
-4.592 |
-4.611 |
-4.637 |
-4.670 |
-4.707 |
-4.748 |
-4.791 |
-4.836 |
-4.880 |
-4.924 |
-4.966 |
-5.005 |
-5.042 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.023 |
-0.039 |
0.063 |
0.274 |
0.570 |
0.935 |
1.348 |
1.790 |
2.244 |
2.695 |
3.131 |
3.541 |
3.916 |
4.252 |
4.544 |
4.790 |
4.989 |
5.142 |
5.250 |
5.317 |
5.345 |
5.338 |
5.300 |
5.236 |
5.150 |
5.046 |
4.928 |
4.802 |
4.670 |
4.537 |
4.405 |
4.277 |
4.156 |
4.043 |
3.941 |
3.851 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.078 |
-0.473 |
-0.797 |
-1.042 |
-1.221 |
-1.341 |
-1.412 |
-1.443 |
-1.443 |
-1.420 |
-1.379 |
-1.329 |
-1.272 |
-1.215 |
-1.159 |
-1.108 |
-1.064 |
-1.029 |
-1.002 |
-0.986 |
-0.979 |
-0.983 |
-0.996 |
-1.018 |
-1.049 |
-1.086 |
-1.129 |
-1.178 |
-1.230 |
-1.285 |
-1.341 |
-1.398 |
-1.454 |
-1.509 |
-1.561 |
-1.611 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.094 |
-0.217 |
-0.297 |
-0.337 |
-0.345 |
-0.324 |
-0.281 |
-0.220 |
-0.147 |
-0.067 |
0.017 |
0.102 |
0.184 |
0.261 |
0.332 |
0.395 |
0.450 |
0.495 |
0.531 |
0.558 |
0.575 |
0.584 |
0.585 |
0.580 |
0.567 |
0.550 |
0.528 |
0.503 |
0.475 |
0.445 |
0.415 |
0.384 |
0.354 |
0.325 |
0.298 |
0.273 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
2.073 |
0.230 |
0.334 |
0.386 |
0.420 |
0.436 |
0.420 |
0.384 |
0.336 |
0.283 |
0.227 |
0.174 |
0.124 |
0.080 |
0.041 |
0.007 |
-0.023 |
-0.048 |
-0.070 |
-0.089 |
-0.106 |
-0.121 |
-0.136 |
-0.150 |
-0.164 |
-0.177 |
-0.191 |
-0.205 |
-0.219 |
-0.233 |
-0.248 |
-0.261 |
-0.275 |
-0.288 |
-0.301 |
-0.314 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.116 |
0.039 |
0.185 |
0.357 |
0.544 |
0.737 |
0.927 |
1.107 |
1.273 |
1.422 |
1.554 |
1.666 |
1.760 |
1.837 |
1.896 |
1.940 |
1.970 |
1.986 |
1.992 |
1.988 |
1.976 |
1.958 |
1.934 |
1.907 |
1.877 |
1.846 |
1.815 |
1.784 |
1.754 |
1.726 |
1.701 |
1.679 |
1.661 |
1.645 |
1.634 |
1.626 |
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