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|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1601.9 |
2149.8 |
2177.0 |
3084.6 |
4680.7 |
6706.0 |
8976.3 |
11372.5 |
13811.8 |
16226.9 |
18554.4 |
20732.9 |
22702.7 |
24407.5 |
25797.5 |
26831.4 |
27479.3 |
27725.1 |
27567.3 |
27020.8 |
26116.0 |
24898.6 |
23427.8 |
21774.6 |
20018.7 |
18246.1 |
16545.4 |
15004.6 |
13707.3 |
12729.6 |
12136.4 |
11979.1 |
12292.4 |
13093.0 |
14378.1 |
16125.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3665.8 |
3634.1 |
4150.5 |
4993.2 |
6023.0 |
7144.0 |
8279.7 |
9364.9 |
10344.1 |
11172.2 |
11814.2 |
12245.7 |
12452.6 |
12431.4 |
12188.2 |
11738.7 |
11106.9 |
10324.0 |
9427.5 |
8459.7 |
7465.6 |
6492.0 |
5585.0 |
4788.8 |
4143.9 |
3685.3 |
3441.5 |
3432.8 |
3670.8 |
4157.8 |
4885.9 |
5837.8 |
6986.8 |
8297.7 |
9728.1 |
11230.0 |
Investment |
fI |
-2439.2 |
-3066.7 |
-633.0 |
2084.6 |
4715.6 |
7141.7 |
9365.3 |
11338.3 |
13018.0 |
14355.8 |
15315.1 |
15868.0 |
16001.7 |
15716.4 |
15027.0 |
13961.8 |
12562.3 |
10882.0 |
8985.0 |
6944.0 |
4837.9 |
2749.4 |
761.9 |
-1043.1 |
-2589.8 |
-3810.4 |
-4648.1 |
-5059.8 |
-5018.1 |
-4512.7 |
-3551.7 |
-2161.7 |
-387.3 |
1710.1 |
4054.7 |
6558.7 |
Export |
fE |
4535.8 |
7904.6 |
11210.7 |
14644.0 |
18008.4 |
21244.0 |
24202.9 |
26777.6 |
28862.6 |
30383.5 |
31287.1 |
31551.2 |
31181.1 |
30211.5 |
28703.2 |
26740.6 |
24427.2 |
21881.9 |
19233.1 |
16613.8 |
14156.1 |
11986.1 |
10218.9 |
8954.4 |
8272.7 |
8231.9 |
8864.8 |
10178.0 |
12150.8 |
14736.1 |
17861.3 |
21430.7 |
25329.2 |
29426.1 |
33580.0 |
37644.8 |
Import |
fM |
128.9 |
1041.6 |
3147.2 |
5834.6 |
8739.2 |
11713.2 |
14662.6 |
17497.4 |
20132.5 |
22490.4 |
24500.4 |
26103.2 |
27252.7 |
27918.3 |
28086.6 |
27762.4 |
26968.9 |
25747.4 |
24156.5 |
22270.2 |
20175.1 |
17967.7 |
15750.7 |
13629.2 |
11706.5 |
10080.0 |
8837.2 |
8052.4 |
7783.0 |
8066.7 |
8920.3 |
10337.6 |
12289.7 |
14725.4 |
17573.1 |
20742.9 |
GDP |
fY |
7195.0 |
9560.6 |
13898.5 |
19295.9 |
25263.4 |
31289.1 |
37105.8 |
42466.2 |
47171.4 |
51065.2 |
54031.4 |
55994.1 |
56917.6 |
56806.5 |
55703.7 |
53688.8 |
50874.8 |
47404.6 |
43445.6 |
39184.3 |
34819.8 |
30556.5 |
26596.9 |
23134.3 |
20345.6 |
18384.3 |
17374.7 |
17406.3 |
18529.9 |
20754.6 |
24046.0 |
28327.1 |
33479.2 |
39346.4 |
45740.4 |
52447.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-13.665 |
-13.520 |
-10.208 |
-5.253 |
0.538 |
6.577 |
12.411 |
17.682 |
22.115 |
25.511 |
27.740 |
28.738 |
28.500 |
27.074 |
24.555 |
21.079 |
16.813 |
11.953 |
6.709 |
1.301 |
-4.053 |
-9.139 |
-13.761 |
-17.744 |
-20.942 |
-23.242 |
-24.565 |
-24.875 |
-24.173 |
-22.500 |
-19.937 |
-16.598 |
-12.624 |
-8.186 |
-3.467 |
1.338 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.723 |
6.607 |
4.819 |
2.338 |
-0.535 |
-3.522 |
-6.407 |
-9.014 |
-11.206 |
-12.884 |
-13.982 |
-14.468 |
-14.336 |
-13.610 |
-12.338 |
-10.587 |
-8.440 |
-5.996 |
-3.359 |
-0.641 |
2.050 |
4.606 |
6.927 |
8.928 |
10.534 |
11.687 |
12.349 |
12.502 |
12.147 |
11.303 |
10.012 |
8.331 |
6.331 |
4.098 |
1.725 |
-0.690 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.157 |
-0.121 |
-0.073 |
-0.029 |
0.022 |
0.076 |
0.130 |
0.180 |
0.224 |
0.259 |
0.286 |
0.303 |
0.310 |
0.306 |
0.294 |
0.272 |
0.243 |
0.208 |
0.168 |
0.125 |
0.080 |
0.036 |
-0.007 |
-0.046 |
-0.079 |
-0.107 |
-0.127 |
-0.140 |
-0.144 |
-0.140 |
-0.129 |
-0.110 |
-0.085 |
-0.054 |
-0.020 |
0.016 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.119 |
0.103 |
0.053 |
0.004 |
-0.053 |
-0.111 |
-0.168 |
-0.219 |
-0.263 |
-0.299 |
-0.325 |
-0.343 |
-0.351 |
-0.351 |
-0.342 |
-0.324 |
-0.300 |
-0.269 |
-0.233 |
-0.193 |
-0.150 |
-0.106 |
-0.062 |
-0.020 |
0.019 |
0.054 |
0.082 |
0.104 |
0.118 |
0.125 |
0.124 |
0.115 |
0.099 |
0.077 |
0.050 |
0.019 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.038 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.025 |
-0.031 |
-0.036 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.042 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.057 |
-0.061 |
-0.065 |
-0.068 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.060 |
-0.053 |
-0.045 |
-0.036 |
-0.026 |
-0.015 |
-0.005 |
0.005 |
0.014 |
0.023 |
0.030 |
0.035 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.130 |
0.148 |
0.126 |
0.089 |
0.045 |
-0.002 |
-0.050 |
-0.095 |
-0.136 |
-0.174 |
-0.207 |
-0.238 |
-0.266 |
-0.293 |
-0.318 |
-0.343 |
-0.366 |
-0.388 |
-0.408 |
-0.425 |
-0.438 |
-0.445 |
-0.445 |
-0.438 |
-0.422 |
-0.397 |
-0.362 |
-0.317 |
-0.262 |
-0.199 |
-0.129 |
-0.053 |
0.028 |
0.111 |
0.196 |
0.278 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.206 |
0.339 |
0.396 |
0.391 |
0.320 |
0.188 |
-0.002 |
-0.239 |
-0.513 |
-0.812 |
-1.123 |
-1.434 |
-1.732 |
-2.007 |
-2.250 |
-2.452 |
-2.607 |
-2.711 |
-2.762 |
-2.760 |
-2.706 |
-2.604 |
-2.459 |
-2.279 |
-2.072 |
-1.846 |
-1.611 |
-1.378 |
-1.156 |
-0.953 |
-0.778 |
-0.638 |
-0.537 |
-0.479 |
-0.465 |
-0.496 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.336 |
-0.495 |
-0.687 |
-0.871 |
-1.032 |
-1.161 |
-1.253 |
-1.306 |
-1.319 |
-1.294 |
-1.232 |
-1.139 |
-1.018 |
-0.876 |
-0.718 |
-0.551 |
-0.382 |
-0.217 |
-0.062 |
0.078 |
0.197 |
0.291 |
0.357 |
0.394 |
0.401 |
0.379 |
0.329 |
0.254 |
0.157 |
0.043 |
-0.082 |
-0.214 |
-0.347 |
-0.476 |
-0.595 |
-0.701 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.736 |
-0.848 |
-0.926 |
-0.978 |
-1.010 |
-1.027 |
-1.033 |
-1.031 |
-1.024 |
-1.014 |
-1.003 |
-0.992 |
-0.982 |
-0.974 |
-0.968 |
-0.966 |
-0.966 |
-0.969 |
-0.975 |
-0.983 |
-0.993 |
-1.005 |
-1.018 |
-1.032 |
-1.045 |
-1.058 |
-1.070 |
-1.080 |
-1.089 |
-1.095 |
-1.099 |
-1.100 |
-1.099 |
-1.096 |
-1.090 |
-1.083 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.434 |
-0.516 |
-0.578 |
-0.623 |
-0.646 |
-0.644 |
-0.617 |
-0.567 |
-0.497 |
-0.409 |
-0.307 |
-0.198 |
-0.084 |
0.028 |
0.135 |
0.231 |
0.314 |
0.380 |
0.426 |
0.453 |
0.458 |
0.442 |
0.407 |
0.355 |
0.287 |
0.208 |
0.120 |
0.028 |
-0.065 |
-0.154 |
-0.237 |
-0.309 |
-0.369 |
-0.415 |
-0.444 |
-0.456 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.300 |
-0.474 |
-0.604 |
-0.683 |
-0.698 |
-0.646 |
-0.529 |
-0.352 |
-0.124 |
0.145 |
0.442 |
0.754 |
1.068 |
1.371 |
1.650 |
1.895 |
2.096 |
2.247 |
2.341 |
2.378 |
2.357 |
2.281 |
2.154 |
1.984 |
1.777 |
1.545 |
1.296 |
1.042 |
0.793 |
0.560 |
0.350 |
0.172 |
0.032 |
-0.065 |
-0.116 |
-0.121 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.359 |
-0.457 |
-0.533 |
-0.593 |
-0.632 |
-0.650 |
-0.644 |
-0.616 |
-0.567 |
-0.500 |
-0.418 |
-0.324 |
-0.222 |
-0.118 |
-0.015 |
0.083 |
0.171 |
0.247 |
0.308 |
0.351 |
0.375 |
0.381 |
0.367 |
0.336 |
0.289 |
0.228 |
0.156 |
0.077 |
-0.007 |
-0.091 |
-0.173 |
-0.249 |
-0.317 |
-0.373 |
-0.415 |
-0.444 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.280 |
-0.343 |
-0.393 |
-0.431 |
-0.453 |
-0.459 |
-0.448 |
-0.421 |
-0.379 |
-0.326 |
-0.264 |
-0.195 |
-0.123 |
-0.051 |
0.018 |
0.081 |
0.136 |
0.181 |
0.214 |
0.234 |
0.241 |
0.234 |
0.215 |
0.184 |
0.143 |
0.094 |
0.039 |
-0.019 |
-0.078 |
-0.136 |
-0.190 |
-0.238 |
-0.279 |
-0.310 |
-0.332 |
-0.342 |
|
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Percentage-point |
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Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.021 |
0.075 |
0.044 |
0.013 |
0.006 |
0.015 |
0.031 |
0.050 |
0.068 |
0.087 |
0.104 |
0.121 |
0.138 |
0.154 |
0.168 |
0.182 |
0.193 |
0.202 |
0.209 |
0.212 |
0.212 |
0.208 |
0.201 |
0.191 |
0.179 |
0.164 |
0.148 |
0.130 |
0.113 |
0.096 |
0.080 |
0.065 |
0.053 |
0.044 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.180 |
-0.247 |
-0.285 |
-0.299 |
-0.290 |
-0.260 |
-0.211 |
-0.148 |
-0.075 |
0.005 |
0.087 |
0.166 |
0.240 |
0.305 |
0.359 |
0.399 |
0.424 |
0.435 |
0.429 |
0.410 |
0.377 |
0.332 |
0.277 |
0.216 |
0.150 |
0.082 |
0.016 |
-0.047 |
-0.104 |
-0.152 |
-0.190 |
-0.217 |
-0.231 |
-0.233 |
-0.223 |
-0.202 |
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