|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1200.6 |
1586.8 |
1499.8 |
2107.9 |
3212.1 |
4572.6 |
6027.8 |
7492.1 |
8923.4 |
10302.1 |
11617.6 |
12864.2 |
14037.1 |
15131.8 |
16143.2 |
17066.5 |
17896.8 |
18629.9 |
19262.5 |
19792.9 |
20221.0 |
20548.7 |
20779.9 |
20920.7 |
20978.9 |
20964.7 |
20889.5 |
20766.3 |
20609.1 |
20432.5 |
20251.7 |
20081.4 |
19936.3 |
19830.1 |
19775.3 |
19783.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5943.1 |
6024.7 |
6123.4 |
6207.5 |
6273.9 |
6330.5 |
6384.6 |
6441.6 |
6505.2 |
6577.8 |
6660.7 |
6754.9 |
6860.7 |
6978.4 |
7107.9 |
7249.1 |
7401.6 |
7565.0 |
7738.8 |
7922.5 |
8115.2 |
8316.2 |
8524.8 |
8740.1 |
8961.2 |
9187.1 |
9417.0 |
9650.0 |
9885.3 |
10122.1 |
10359.6 |
10597.3 |
10834.7 |
11071.4 |
11307.1 |
11541.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-1402.5 |
-1812.5 |
-175.9 |
1597.8 |
3282.7 |
4786.7 |
6141.2 |
7334.5 |
8363.0 |
9214.7 |
9885.7 |
10375.1 |
10687.9 |
10832.9 |
10822.1 |
10669.9 |
10392.3 |
10006.2 |
9529.4 |
8979.7 |
8375.4 |
7734.3 |
7074.1 |
6411.9 |
5763.9 |
5145.7 |
4571.3 |
4053.8 |
3604.5 |
3232.9 |
2946.8 |
2752.0 |
2651.9 |
2648.1 |
2739.9 |
2924.5 |
Export |
fE |
4558.1 |
7851.5 |
10980.2 |
14176.7 |
17290.8 |
20318.5 |
23166.4 |
25779.4 |
28095.5 |
30073.5 |
31679.5 |
32895.9 |
33716.5 |
34148.5 |
34209.9 |
33929.1 |
33342.6 |
32493.7 |
31430.7 |
30205.0 |
28870.1 |
27479.3 |
26085.0 |
24737.1 |
23482.0 |
22361.7 |
21413.1 |
20667.4 |
20149.3 |
19877.5 |
19863.6 |
20113.2 |
20625.0 |
21392.0 |
22401.4 |
23635.1 |
Import |
fM |
849.8 |
1859.8 |
3516.3 |
5519.8 |
7608.6 |
9680.4 |
11685.5 |
13588.3 |
15360.6 |
16980.8 |
18431.1 |
19698.8 |
20775.3 |
21656.8 |
22343.5 |
22839.5 |
23152.9 |
23294.9 |
23279.7 |
23124.3 |
22848.1 |
22472.1 |
22018.8 |
21511.5 |
20974.1 |
20430.1 |
19902.8 |
19414.0 |
18984.4 |
18632.6 |
18375.0 |
18225.4 |
18194.8 |
18291.3 |
18519.7 |
18881.9 |
GDP |
fY |
9420.5 |
11780.8 |
15030.7 |
18834.7 |
22920.2 |
26944.2 |
30781.2 |
34322.2 |
37493.7 |
40248.8 |
42561.4 |
44422.6 |
45837.8 |
46823.5 |
47405.9 |
47618.7 |
47501.3 |
47097.7 |
46455.1 |
45623.0 |
44651.6 |
43591.5 |
42492.3 |
41402.1 |
40366.5 |
39427.8 |
38624.6 |
37990.9 |
37556.1 |
37344.0 |
37372.9 |
37655.2 |
38197.5 |
39000.5 |
40059.2 |
41363.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.409 |
-9.300 |
-7.482 |
-4.729 |
-1.509 |
1.850 |
5.113 |
8.109 |
10.720 |
12.868 |
14.511 |
15.634 |
16.245 |
16.367 |
16.039 |
15.308 |
14.228 |
12.857 |
11.255 |
9.483 |
7.599 |
5.662 |
3.723 |
1.831 |
0.030 |
-1.643 |
-3.155 |
-4.481 |
-5.602 |
-6.504 |
-7.181 |
-7.631 |
-7.859 |
-7.874 |
-7.690 |
-7.324 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.318 |
4.544 |
3.575 |
2.204 |
0.612 |
-1.046 |
-2.657 |
-4.140 |
-5.435 |
-6.503 |
-7.323 |
-7.885 |
-8.192 |
-8.256 |
-8.094 |
-7.731 |
-7.191 |
-6.505 |
-5.702 |
-4.812 |
-3.865 |
-2.889 |
-1.912 |
-0.958 |
-0.048 |
0.797 |
1.563 |
2.235 |
2.804 |
3.263 |
3.608 |
3.839 |
3.958 |
3.969 |
3.880 |
3.699 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.170 |
-0.146 |
-0.086 |
-0.031 |
0.031 |
0.095 |
0.157 |
0.215 |
0.265 |
0.308 |
0.342 |
0.367 |
0.384 |
0.393 |
0.394 |
0.389 |
0.378 |
0.363 |
0.343 |
0.321 |
0.297 |
0.271 |
0.245 |
0.219 |
0.194 |
0.171 |
0.149 |
0.130 |
0.114 |
0.100 |
0.090 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.081 |
0.085 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.105 |
0.103 |
0.061 |
0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.068 |
-0.110 |
-0.146 |
-0.174 |
-0.195 |
-0.209 |
-0.216 |
-0.218 |
-0.215 |
-0.208 |
-0.199 |
-0.187 |
-0.173 |
-0.159 |
-0.143 |
-0.128 |
-0.112 |
-0.097 |
-0.082 |
-0.068 |
-0.055 |
-0.043 |
-0.032 |
-0.023 |
-0.015 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.066 |
-0.043 |
-0.025 |
-0.008 |
0.008 |
0.027 |
0.047 |
0.069 |
0.091 |
0.113 |
0.133 |
0.151 |
0.166 |
0.177 |
0.185 |
0.190 |
0.191 |
0.189 |
0.185 |
0.178 |
0.169 |
0.159 |
0.148 |
0.137 |
0.126 |
0.116 |
0.107 |
0.098 |
0.091 |
0.086 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.087 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.036 |
0.030 |
0.023 |
0.027 |
0.047 |
0.085 |
0.144 |
0.223 |
0.322 |
0.438 |
0.571 |
0.716 |
0.869 |
1.028 |
1.189 |
1.348 |
1.502 |
1.649 |
1.787 |
1.914 |
2.029 |
2.132 |
2.222 |
2.300 |
2.367 |
2.424 |
2.471 |
2.511 |
2.545 |
2.574 |
2.601 |
2.626 |
2.652 |
2.680 |
2.710 |
2.745 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.187 |
0.336 |
0.412 |
0.423 |
0.366 |
0.244 |
0.063 |
-0.171 |
-0.446 |
-0.752 |
-1.079 |
-1.417 |
-1.756 |
-2.088 |
-2.406 |
-2.703 |
-2.976 |
-3.221 |
-3.434 |
-3.615 |
-3.762 |
-3.877 |
-3.960 |
-4.013 |
-4.037 |
-4.037 |
-4.015 |
-3.975 |
-3.919 |
-3.852 |
-3.778 |
-3.700 |
-3.621 |
-3.546 |
-3.475 |
-3.413 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.407 |
-0.549 |
-0.694 |
-0.828 |
-0.942 |
-1.034 |
-1.101 |
-1.144 |
-1.163 |
-1.161 |
-1.139 |
-1.100 |
-1.046 |
-0.981 |
-0.908 |
-0.828 |
-0.745 |
-0.661 |
-0.578 |
-0.499 |
-0.423 |
-0.354 |
-0.293 |
-0.239 |
-0.194 |
-0.158 |
-0.131 |
-0.114 |
-0.105 |
-0.104 |
-0.111 |
-0.125 |
-0.145 |
-0.170 |
-0.199 |
-0.232 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.686 |
-0.797 |
-0.880 |
-0.942 |
-0.990 |
-1.025 |
-1.049 |
-1.066 |
-1.076 |
-1.080 |
-1.081 |
-1.079 |
-1.075 |
-1.069 |
-1.062 |
-1.055 |
-1.047 |
-1.040 |
-1.032 |
-1.026 |
-1.020 |
-1.015 |
-1.011 |
-1.007 |
-1.005 |
-1.003 |
-1.003 |
-1.003 |
-1.004 |
-1.006 |
-1.008 |
-1.011 |
-1.014 |
-1.017 |
-1.021 |
-1.024 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.380 |
-0.428 |
-0.477 |
-0.519 |
-0.550 |
-0.569 |
-0.575 |
-0.567 |
-0.547 |
-0.516 |
-0.476 |
-0.427 |
-0.373 |
-0.315 |
-0.254 |
-0.194 |
-0.134 |
-0.077 |
-0.024 |
0.024 |
0.067 |
0.103 |
0.132 |
0.154 |
0.170 |
0.179 |
0.181 |
0.177 |
0.168 |
0.154 |
0.136 |
0.115 |
0.092 |
0.066 |
0.040 |
0.014 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.257 |
-0.382 |
-0.479 |
-0.549 |
-0.584 |
-0.580 |
-0.540 |
-0.465 |
-0.360 |
-0.229 |
-0.079 |
0.086 |
0.260 |
0.437 |
0.613 |
0.782 |
0.942 |
1.088 |
1.217 |
1.328 |
1.420 |
1.491 |
1.542 |
1.572 |
1.583 |
1.576 |
1.552 |
1.514 |
1.463 |
1.403 |
1.334 |
1.261 |
1.184 |
1.106 |
1.029 |
0.956 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.345 |
-0.428 |
-0.494 |
-0.550 |
-0.594 |
-0.625 |
-0.641 |
-0.644 |
-0.633 |
-0.611 |
-0.578 |
-0.536 |
-0.487 |
-0.433 |
-0.375 |
-0.316 |
-0.257 |
-0.199 |
-0.144 |
-0.094 |
-0.048 |
-0.008 |
0.026 |
0.053 |
0.073 |
0.087 |
0.094 |
0.095 |
0.090 |
0.080 |
0.065 |
0.047 |
0.026 |
0.002 |
-0.023 |
-0.049 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.269 |
-0.322 |
-0.365 |
-0.401 |
-0.427 |
-0.443 |
-0.448 |
-0.444 |
-0.431 |
-0.410 |
-0.382 |
-0.349 |
-0.312 |
-0.272 |
-0.231 |
-0.190 |
-0.150 |
-0.112 |
-0.077 |
-0.046 |
-0.018 |
0.005 |
0.023 |
0.037 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.045 |
0.037 |
0.026 |
0.013 |
-0.002 |
-0.019 |
-0.037 |
-0.055 |
-0.074 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.019 |
0.053 |
0.029 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.016 |
0.032 |
0.047 |
0.058 |
0.065 |
0.070 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.076 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.084 |
0.087 |
0.089 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.096 |
0.098 |
0.099 |
0.099 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
0.099 |
0.098 |
0.097 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.146 |
-0.201 |
-0.234 |
-0.252 |
-0.256 |
-0.247 |
-0.227 |
-0.196 |
-0.159 |
-0.116 |
-0.070 |
-0.023 |
0.023 |
0.067 |
0.108 |
0.144 |
0.176 |
0.203 |
0.224 |
0.239 |
0.249 |
0.253 |
0.252 |
0.247 |
0.237 |
0.224 |
0.207 |
0.189 |
0.169 |
0.148 |
0.126 |
0.105 |
0.084 |
0.064 |
0.046 |
0.030 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|