|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1181.6 |
1456.3 |
1152.1 |
1442.6 |
2158.7 |
3070.6 |
4027.9 |
4956.8 |
5829.8 |
6641.9 |
7397.8 |
8106.0 |
8774.8 |
9411.0 |
10019.2 |
10602.0 |
11159.9 |
11692.3 |
12197.5 |
12673.6 |
13118.5 |
13530.7 |
13908.8 |
14252.7 |
14562.6 |
14840.1 |
15087.3 |
15307.0 |
15503.1 |
15679.5 |
15841.0 |
15992.3 |
16138.4 |
16284.3 |
16434.8 |
16594.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5944.3 |
6035.0 |
6147.5 |
6250.2 |
6339.2 |
6421.5 |
6503.3 |
6589.2 |
6681.9 |
6782.5 |
6891.4 |
7008.7 |
7134.0 |
7266.8 |
7406.8 |
7553.5 |
7706.6 |
7865.7 |
8030.5 |
8200.9 |
8376.7 |
8557.5 |
8743.3 |
8933.9 |
9129.1 |
9328.7 |
9532.5 |
9740.3 |
9952.0 |
10167.4 |
10386.2 |
10608.4 |
10833.8 |
11062.4 |
11293.9 |
11528.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-1502.3 |
-2185.0 |
-915.3 |
484.5 |
1762.4 |
2840.5 |
3760.3 |
4531.4 |
5168.2 |
5675.6 |
6063.6 |
6341.9 |
6523.0 |
6619.4 |
6643.9 |
6608.3 |
6523.7 |
6399.6 |
6244.6 |
6066.0 |
5870.4 |
5663.5 |
5450.4 |
5235.9 |
5024.2 |
4819.4 |
4625.2 |
4445.3 |
4282.8 |
4140.6 |
4021.3 |
3927.0 |
3859.3 |
3819.4 |
3808.0 |
3825.2 |
Export |
fE |
3707.2 |
6205.8 |
8459.6 |
10680.5 |
12758.2 |
14713.9 |
16499.9 |
18101.4 |
19497.6 |
20681.8 |
21649.6 |
22404.5 |
22954.6 |
23313.0 |
23496.3 |
23524.1 |
23418.2 |
23201.5 |
22897.5 |
22529.8 |
22121.2 |
21693.8 |
21268.1 |
20863.0 |
20495.3 |
20180.1 |
19929.9 |
19755.0 |
19663.7 |
19661.7 |
19752.5 |
19937.8 |
20216.9 |
20587.8 |
21046.5 |
21587.8 |
Import |
fM |
126.6 |
500.1 |
1386.3 |
2529.1 |
3693.5 |
4782.2 |
5776.3 |
6669.2 |
7462.1 |
8158.9 |
8765.0 |
9286.7 |
9730.6 |
10103.3 |
10411.0 |
10659.9 |
10855.7 |
11004.0 |
11110.1 |
11179.2 |
11216.7 |
11227.8 |
11217.8 |
11192.2 |
11156.3 |
11115.5 |
11075.0 |
11040.0 |
11015.2 |
11005.2 |
11013.9 |
11045.1 |
11101.7 |
11186.1 |
11300.1 |
11445.1 |
GDP |
fY |
9182.5 |
11008.1 |
13578.4 |
16589.3 |
19784.9 |
22863.7 |
25736.3 |
28336.7 |
30635.0 |
32623.8 |
34310.8 |
35713.8 |
36856.8 |
37766.8 |
38472.4 |
39001.9 |
39383.0 |
39641.9 |
39803.3 |
39890.5 |
39925.0 |
39927.1 |
39915.4 |
39907.1 |
39918.2 |
39963.2 |
40054.9 |
40205.1 |
40423.6 |
40718.8 |
41097.4 |
41564.4 |
42123.1 |
42775.2 |
43520.9 |
44358.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.508 |
-9.847 |
-8.629 |
-6.589 |
-4.160 |
-1.640 |
0.779 |
2.971 |
4.860 |
6.406 |
7.599 |
8.447 |
8.972 |
9.205 |
9.180 |
8.934 |
8.504 |
7.925 |
7.231 |
6.452 |
5.618 |
4.752 |
3.878 |
3.016 |
2.183 |
1.393 |
0.659 |
-0.010 |
-0.606 |
-1.125 |
-1.563 |
-1.919 |
-2.194 |
-2.389 |
-2.510 |
-2.560 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.374 |
4.846 |
4.183 |
3.172 |
1.979 |
0.744 |
-0.443 |
-1.522 |
-2.456 |
-3.223 |
-3.818 |
-4.244 |
-4.510 |
-4.632 |
-4.624 |
-4.506 |
-4.295 |
-4.009 |
-3.664 |
-3.275 |
-2.857 |
-2.422 |
-1.983 |
-1.548 |
-1.128 |
-0.728 |
-0.357 |
-0.017 |
0.285 |
0.549 |
0.773 |
0.955 |
1.096 |
1.197 |
1.260 |
1.287 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.173 |
-0.158 |
-0.112 |
-0.073 |
-0.029 |
0.016 |
0.059 |
0.097 |
0.130 |
0.157 |
0.177 |
0.192 |
0.201 |
0.206 |
0.207 |
0.205 |
0.200 |
0.193 |
0.185 |
0.176 |
0.165 |
0.155 |
0.144 |
0.133 |
0.123 |
0.113 |
0.104 |
0.095 |
0.088 |
0.081 |
0.075 |
0.071 |
0.067 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.104 |
0.107 |
0.073 |
0.045 |
0.012 |
-0.021 |
-0.051 |
-0.074 |
-0.092 |
-0.103 |
-0.109 |
-0.111 |
-0.109 |
-0.105 |
-0.099 |
-0.092 |
-0.085 |
-0.077 |
-0.070 |
-0.063 |
-0.056 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.024 |
-0.020 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.069 |
-0.052 |
-0.039 |
-0.027 |
-0.017 |
-0.005 |
0.008 |
0.023 |
0.038 |
0.054 |
0.068 |
0.081 |
0.092 |
0.101 |
0.108 |
0.113 |
0.115 |
0.116 |
0.115 |
0.112 |
0.109 |
0.105 |
0.100 |
0.095 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.079 |
0.075 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.062 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.038 |
0.029 |
0.014 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
0.009 |
0.030 |
0.064 |
0.111 |
0.170 |
0.239 |
0.317 |
0.401 |
0.489 |
0.579 |
0.668 |
0.756 |
0.841 |
0.920 |
0.994 |
1.062 |
1.124 |
1.179 |
1.228 |
1.270 |
1.307 |
1.339 |
1.367 |
1.391 |
1.413 |
1.432 |
1.450 |
1.467 |
1.484 |
1.502 |
1.520 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.192 |
0.358 |
0.468 |
0.528 |
0.538 |
0.502 |
0.423 |
0.308 |
0.165 |
0.001 |
-0.177 |
-0.363 |
-0.550 |
-0.734 |
-0.912 |
-1.080 |
-1.236 |
-1.379 |
-1.507 |
-1.620 |
-1.718 |
-1.801 |
-1.870 |
-1.924 |
-1.966 |
-1.996 |
-2.015 |
-2.024 |
-2.026 |
-2.020 |
-2.009 |
-1.993 |
-1.975 |
-1.955 |
-1.933 |
-1.913 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.385 |
-0.504 |
-0.625 |
-0.734 |
-0.826 |
-0.898 |
-0.950 |
-0.983 |
-0.999 |
-0.999 |
-0.987 |
-0.965 |
-0.935 |
-0.898 |
-0.858 |
-0.814 |
-0.770 |
-0.726 |
-0.682 |
-0.640 |
-0.601 |
-0.564 |
-0.530 |
-0.500 |
-0.474 |
-0.451 |
-0.432 |
-0.417 |
-0.406 |
-0.397 |
-0.393 |
-0.391 |
-0.391 |
-0.395 |
-0.400 |
-0.407 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.667 |
-0.765 |
-0.836 |
-0.886 |
-0.923 |
-0.947 |
-0.963 |
-0.972 |
-0.976 |
-0.977 |
-0.976 |
-0.974 |
-0.971 |
-0.968 |
-0.965 |
-0.962 |
-0.959 |
-0.957 |
-0.955 |
-0.954 |
-0.953 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.952 |
-0.953 |
-0.954 |
-0.955 |
-0.956 |
-0.957 |
-0.959 |
-0.960 |
-0.961 |
-0.963 |
-0.964 |
-0.965 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.378 |
-0.426 |
-0.476 |
-0.521 |
-0.558 |
-0.585 |
-0.602 |
-0.610 |
-0.608 |
-0.598 |
-0.581 |
-0.559 |
-0.532 |
-0.502 |
-0.470 |
-0.437 |
-0.404 |
-0.372 |
-0.341 |
-0.311 |
-0.285 |
-0.260 |
-0.239 |
-0.221 |
-0.205 |
-0.193 |
-0.184 |
-0.177 |
-0.173 |
-0.172 |
-0.172 |
-0.175 |
-0.179 |
-0.184 |
-0.191 |
-0.198 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.258 |
-0.388 |
-0.498 |
-0.589 |
-0.652 |
-0.687 |
-0.694 |
-0.675 |
-0.635 |
-0.576 |
-0.503 |
-0.418 |
-0.327 |
-0.231 |
-0.134 |
-0.039 |
0.052 |
0.139 |
0.218 |
0.290 |
0.354 |
0.408 |
0.454 |
0.490 |
0.518 |
0.537 |
0.548 |
0.553 |
0.551 |
0.543 |
0.530 |
0.514 |
0.494 |
0.472 |
0.448 |
0.424 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.345 |
-0.431 |
-0.500 |
-0.563 |
-0.616 |
-0.658 |
-0.691 |
-0.712 |
-0.724 |
-0.728 |
-0.723 |
-0.712 |
-0.695 |
-0.674 |
-0.649 |
-0.623 |
-0.595 |
-0.566 |
-0.538 |
-0.511 |
-0.485 |
-0.461 |
-0.440 |
-0.420 |
-0.404 |
-0.390 |
-0.378 |
-0.369 |
-0.363 |
-0.360 |
-0.358 |
-0.359 |
-0.361 |
-0.365 |
-0.370 |
-0.376 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.269 |
-0.323 |
-0.370 |
-0.410 |
-0.443 |
-0.468 |
-0.485 |
-0.494 |
-0.497 |
-0.493 |
-0.485 |
-0.472 |
-0.456 |
-0.438 |
-0.418 |
-0.397 |
-0.376 |
-0.356 |
-0.336 |
-0.317 |
-0.300 |
-0.285 |
-0.271 |
-0.259 |
-0.250 |
-0.242 |
-0.236 |
-0.233 |
-0.230 |
-0.230 |
-0.231 |
-0.233 |
-0.236 |
-0.240 |
-0.245 |
-0.250 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.024 |
0.066 |
0.046 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.031 |
0.044 |
0.056 |
0.064 |
0.068 |
0.069 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.062 |
0.058 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.070 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
0.072 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.142 |
-0.194 |
-0.226 |
-0.245 |
-0.253 |
-0.250 |
-0.238 |
-0.218 |
-0.193 |
-0.165 |
-0.135 |
-0.104 |
-0.074 |
-0.046 |
-0.019 |
0.005 |
0.026 |
0.044 |
0.060 |
0.072 |
0.081 |
0.088 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.087 |
0.082 |
0.076 |
0.069 |
0.061 |
0.054 |
0.046 |
0.038 |
0.031 |
0.024 |
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