|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
507.7 |
297.8 |
-139.3 |
25.3 |
568.3 |
1297.5 |
2097.8 |
2906.4 |
3689.0 |
4425.0 |
5099.3 |
5699.2 |
6213.1 |
6630.7 |
6943.3 |
7144.6 |
7231.3 |
7203.5 |
7065.1 |
6823.9 |
6491.7 |
6083.9 |
5619.3 |
5119.0 |
4606.2 |
4105.2 |
3640.1 |
3234.2 |
2909.2 |
2683.7 |
2572.9 |
2587.8 |
2734.3 |
3013.3 |
3420.5 |
3946.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-308.3 |
-458.6 |
-459.6 |
-346.2 |
-167.1 |
50.6 |
282.9 |
508.5 |
709.1 |
869.8 |
979.4 |
1030.4 |
1018.8 |
943.8 |
807.9 |
616.3 |
376.5 |
98.3 |
-207.1 |
-527.5 |
-849.7 |
-1160.8 |
-1448.0 |
-1699.5 |
-1904.8 |
-2055.3 |
-2144.5 |
-2168.2 |
-2125.0 |
-2016.0 |
-1845.2 |
-1619.2 |
-1346.8 |
-1039.2 |
-708.8 |
-369.5 |
Investment |
fI |
-2025.8 |
-3132.7 |
-2460.1 |
-1613.0 |
-835.3 |
-138.8 |
495.1 |
1052.4 |
1516.8 |
1871.2 |
2102.9 |
2204.2 |
2173.0 |
2012.3 |
1730.0 |
1338.2 |
852.8 |
292.7 |
-320.8 |
-964.5 |
-1614.4 |
-2246.0 |
-2835.7 |
-3361.2 |
-3802.7 |
-4143.2 |
-4369.6 |
-4473.1 |
-4449.7 |
-4300.3 |
-4030.9 |
-3652.5 |
-3180.7 |
-2635.0 |
-2038.5 |
-1416.6 |
Export |
fE |
346.2 |
772.8 |
1225.0 |
1751.7 |
2295.8 |
2836.5 |
3334.6 |
3759.9 |
4081.1 |
4275.3 |
4325.2 |
4222.3 |
3966.4 |
3565.8 |
3036.3 |
2400.4 |
1686.3 |
926.0 |
154.3 |
-593.1 |
-1281.2 |
-1876.9 |
-2350.9 |
-2678.3 |
-2840.5 |
-2825.3 |
-2627.9 |
-2250.8 |
-1704.4 |
-1006.1 |
-179.8 |
744.5 |
1732.6 |
2746.7 |
3747.4 |
4695.2 |
Import |
fM |
-1024.0 |
-1668.2 |
-1368.6 |
-711.0 |
48.4 |
819.2 |
1576.2 |
2290.4 |
2936.2 |
3491.4 |
3937.1 |
4258.1 |
4443.8 |
4488.7 |
4392.1 |
4159.1 |
3799.5 |
3328.4 |
2765.0 |
2132.4 |
1456.7 |
765.9 |
88.9 |
-545.3 |
-1109.2 |
-1577.7 |
-1929.1 |
-2146.0 |
-2216.2 |
-2133.3 |
-1896.9 |
-1512.9 |
-993.4 |
-356.1 |
376.1 |
1176.0 |
GDP |
fY |
-485.9 |
-919.6 |
-523.1 |
503.8 |
1838.6 |
3299.3 |
4754.0 |
6101.5 |
7267.1 |
8196.8 |
8853.6 |
9215.9 |
9276.4 |
9040.6 |
8526.0 |
7760.6 |
6782.1 |
5635.7 |
4372.8 |
3049.2 |
1722.7 |
451.2 |
-709.1 |
-1706.5 |
-2495.0 |
-3036.8 |
-3303.4 |
-3277.0 |
-2951.4 |
-2332.3 |
-1437.5 |
-296.2 |
1052.0 |
2558.0 |
4166.0 |
5814.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.777 |
-2.422 |
-2.127 |
-1.175 |
0.139 |
1.629 |
3.135 |
4.527 |
5.706 |
6.601 |
7.169 |
7.388 |
7.258 |
6.794 |
6.028 |
5.003 |
3.772 |
2.394 |
0.932 |
-0.549 |
-1.988 |
-3.325 |
-4.505 |
-5.484 |
-6.224 |
-6.699 |
-6.894 |
-6.805 |
-6.439 |
-5.816 |
-4.964 |
-3.921 |
-2.732 |
-1.448 |
-0.121 |
1.195 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.005 |
1.234 |
1.028 |
0.525 |
-0.138 |
-0.881 |
-1.628 |
-2.316 |
-2.897 |
-3.337 |
-3.614 |
-3.718 |
-3.647 |
-3.411 |
-3.023 |
-2.507 |
-1.888 |
-1.195 |
-0.461 |
0.283 |
1.006 |
1.677 |
2.269 |
2.760 |
3.131 |
3.369 |
3.466 |
3.420 |
3.235 |
2.921 |
2.492 |
1.967 |
1.369 |
0.723 |
0.056 |
-0.605 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.028 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.015 |
-0.004 |
0.011 |
0.027 |
0.042 |
0.056 |
0.068 |
0.076 |
0.081 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.076 |
0.069 |
0.060 |
0.049 |
0.037 |
0.024 |
0.011 |
-0.002 |
-0.014 |
-0.024 |
-0.033 |
-0.040 |
-0.045 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.042 |
-0.036 |
-0.028 |
-0.020 |
-0.010 |
0.000 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.054 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.054 |
0.031 |
0.006 |
-0.020 |
-0.043 |
-0.063 |
-0.079 |
-0.091 |
-0.099 |
-0.103 |
-0.103 |
-0.100 |
-0.094 |
-0.085 |
-0.075 |
-0.063 |
-0.050 |
-0.037 |
-0.024 |
-0.011 |
0.001 |
0.012 |
0.021 |
0.028 |
0.033 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.032 |
0.027 |
0.020 |
0.012 |
0.003 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.026 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.038 |
0.027 |
0.016 |
0.007 |
-0.001 |
-0.007 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.061 |
0.124 |
0.164 |
0.185 |
0.190 |
0.184 |
0.170 |
0.148 |
0.123 |
0.095 |
0.065 |
0.035 |
0.005 |
-0.025 |
-0.053 |
-0.080 |
-0.105 |
-0.129 |
-0.151 |
-0.171 |
-0.189 |
-0.204 |
-0.216 |
-0.225 |
-0.231 |
-0.234 |
-0.234 |
-0.232 |
-0.226 |
-0.218 |
-0.209 |
-0.198 |
-0.185 |
-0.172 |
-0.160 |
-0.147 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.035 |
0.069 |
0.092 |
0.101 |
0.093 |
0.067 |
0.023 |
-0.036 |
-0.107 |
-0.186 |
-0.269 |
-0.353 |
-0.433 |
-0.505 |
-0.567 |
-0.617 |
-0.653 |
-0.673 |
-0.678 |
-0.668 |
-0.643 |
-0.605 |
-0.556 |
-0.498 |
-0.433 |
-0.365 |
-0.296 |
-0.229 |
-0.166 |
-0.111 |
-0.063 |
-0.027 |
-0.001 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.002 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.007 |
-0.030 |
-0.073 |
-0.122 |
-0.168 |
-0.208 |
-0.237 |
-0.256 |
-0.263 |
-0.258 |
-0.242 |
-0.216 |
-0.182 |
-0.142 |
-0.098 |
-0.052 |
-0.006 |
0.038 |
0.079 |
0.115 |
0.144 |
0.165 |
0.179 |
0.184 |
0.180 |
0.169 |
0.150 |
0.125 |
0.095 |
0.061 |
0.024 |
-0.013 |
-0.050 |
-0.084 |
-0.116 |
-0.142 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.039 |
-0.049 |
-0.062 |
-0.073 |
-0.081 |
-0.086 |
-0.088 |
-0.088 |
-0.086 |
-0.083 |
-0.079 |
-0.076 |
-0.073 |
-0.071 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.084 |
-0.088 |
-0.091 |
-0.095 |
-0.098 |
-0.100 |
-0.102 |
-0.104 |
-0.104 |
-0.104 |
-0.104 |
-0.102 |
-0.100 |
-0.098 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.034 |
-0.054 |
-0.068 |
-0.079 |
-0.085 |
-0.085 |
-0.079 |
-0.067 |
-0.048 |
-0.026 |
0.001 |
0.029 |
0.058 |
0.087 |
0.113 |
0.136 |
0.156 |
0.170 |
0.179 |
0.182 |
0.180 |
0.172 |
0.159 |
0.142 |
0.121 |
0.097 |
0.072 |
0.046 |
0.021 |
-0.003 |
-0.024 |
-0.043 |
-0.057 |
-0.067 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.030 |
-0.062 |
-0.091 |
-0.109 |
-0.112 |
-0.099 |
-0.070 |
-0.024 |
0.035 |
0.105 |
0.182 |
0.263 |
0.343 |
0.419 |
0.487 |
0.546 |
0.591 |
0.622 |
0.638 |
0.638 |
0.623 |
0.594 |
0.551 |
0.498 |
0.437 |
0.370 |
0.300 |
0.231 |
0.165 |
0.104 |
0.051 |
0.008 |
-0.023 |
-0.042 |
-0.048 |
-0.041 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.025 |
-0.044 |
-0.061 |
-0.075 |
-0.084 |
-0.087 |
-0.085 |
-0.077 |
-0.064 |
-0.046 |
-0.023 |
0.002 |
0.029 |
0.056 |
0.083 |
0.108 |
0.129 |
0.147 |
0.161 |
0.169 |
0.172 |
0.170 |
0.163 |
0.151 |
0.136 |
0.117 |
0.095 |
0.072 |
0.048 |
0.025 |
0.003 |
-0.017 |
-0.034 |
-0.047 |
-0.057 |
-0.062 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.028 |
-0.043 |
-0.057 |
-0.068 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.074 |
-0.068 |
-0.057 |
-0.044 |
-0.028 |
-0.010 |
0.008 |
0.027 |
0.044 |
0.059 |
0.072 |
0.082 |
0.088 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.086 |
0.079 |
0.068 |
0.055 |
0.041 |
0.025 |
0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.024 |
-0.038 |
-0.050 |
-0.060 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.041 |
0.069 |
0.032 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.031 |
0.048 |
0.064 |
0.078 |
0.091 |
0.101 |
0.109 |
0.117 |
0.122 |
0.127 |
0.131 |
0.133 |
0.135 |
0.136 |
0.135 |
0.134 |
0.132 |
0.129 |
0.125 |
0.120 |
0.116 |
0.110 |
0.105 |
0.100 |
0.095 |
0.091 |
0.087 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.080 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.020 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.016 |
-0.004 |
0.012 |
0.031 |
0.052 |
0.074 |
0.094 |
0.113 |
0.130 |
0.142 |
0.152 |
0.157 |
0.157 |
0.154 |
0.146 |
0.135 |
0.122 |
0.105 |
0.088 |
0.069 |
0.051 |
0.033 |
0.017 |
0.002 |
-0.009 |
-0.018 |
-0.023 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.010 |
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