|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
157.6 |
-367.6 |
-1029.3 |
-1070.4 |
-739.4 |
-236.3 |
320.4 |
870.9 |
1388.0 |
1861.3 |
2288.1 |
2669.0 |
3006.3 |
3302.1 |
3558.7 |
3778.0 |
3961.7 |
4111.1 |
4227.8 |
4313.0 |
4368.4 |
4395.7 |
4397.0 |
4374.6 |
4331.4 |
4270.3 |
4194.7 |
4108.3 |
4014.9 |
3918.5 |
3823.0 |
3732.3 |
3650.2 |
3580.0 |
3524.9 |
3487.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-5.3 |
-12.0 |
-11.4 |
-26.7 |
-57.0 |
-96.7 |
-140.2 |
-184.1 |
-226.1 |
-265.1 |
-300.3 |
-331.4 |
-358.5 |
-381.5 |
-400.7 |
-416.3 |
-428.7 |
-438.1 |
-444.9 |
-449.4 |
-451.9 |
-452.9 |
-452.7 |
-451.5 |
-449.8 |
-447.8 |
-445.9 |
-444.3 |
-443.4 |
-443.3 |
-444.3 |
-446.5 |
-450.2 |
-455.4 |
-462.2 |
-470.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-2081.6 |
-3231.2 |
-2807.1 |
-2240.1 |
-1733.0 |
-1286.3 |
-872.4 |
-495.6 |
-163.2 |
114.4 |
330.3 |
480.7 |
565.6 |
587.4 |
550.9 |
462.1 |
327.8 |
155.1 |
-48.6 |
-276.3 |
-521.2 |
-776.8 |
-1037.1 |
-1296.6 |
-1550.2 |
-1793.4 |
-2022.2 |
-2233.2 |
-2423.5 |
-2590.9 |
-2733.7 |
-2850.9 |
-2941.9 |
-3006.9 |
-3046.7 |
-3062.4 |
Export |
fE |
334.8 |
737.4 |
1157.2 |
1647.9 |
2163.5 |
2696.5 |
3221.8 |
3722.0 |
4175.9 |
4566.9 |
4880.2 |
5106.0 |
5237.9 |
5274.1 |
5216.6 |
5070.7 |
4844.6 |
4548.9 |
4195.9 |
3799.3 |
3373.3 |
2932.3 |
2490.6 |
2061.7 |
1658.3 |
1291.7 |
971.8 |
706.8 |
503.3 |
365.7 |
296.8 |
297.5 |
367.0 |
502.5 |
700.1 |
954.1 |
Import |
fM |
-1133.4 |
-1881.6 |
-1772.9 |
-1333.4 |
-803.4 |
-271.7 |
248.1 |
740.6 |
1194.2 |
1600.1 |
1951.9 |
2245.2 |
2477.4 |
2647.9 |
2757.6 |
2808.5 |
2804.1 |
2748.7 |
2647.3 |
2505.8 |
2330.3 |
2127.5 |
1904.0 |
1666.8 |
1422.8 |
1178.5 |
940.2 |
714.0 |
505.3 |
318.8 |
158.6 |
28.2 |
-70.0 |
-134.3 |
-163.9 |
-158.8 |
GDP |
fY |
-502.8 |
-1080.0 |
-1009.8 |
-429.4 |
400.4 |
1345.9 |
2312.0 |
3234.6 |
4071.0 |
4793.5 |
5385.5 |
5838.9 |
6152.6 |
6330.6 |
6380.9 |
6314.7 |
6145.1 |
5886.6 |
5554.8 |
5165.6 |
4734.7 |
4277.8 |
3809.9 |
3345.1 |
2896.5 |
2476.1 |
2094.4 |
1760.6 |
1482.2 |
1265.1 |
1113.5 |
1030.0 |
1015.4 |
1068.9 |
1188.3 |
1369.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.432 |
-2.066 |
-2.107 |
-1.705 |
-1.039 |
-0.220 |
0.656 |
1.516 |
2.303 |
2.977 |
3.515 |
3.903 |
4.139 |
4.227 |
4.177 |
4.004 |
3.725 |
3.356 |
2.918 |
2.429 |
1.909 |
1.373 |
0.838 |
0.319 |
-0.173 |
-0.625 |
-1.030 |
-1.380 |
-1.670 |
-1.898 |
-2.062 |
-2.162 |
-2.201 |
-2.181 |
-2.108 |
-1.986 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.809 |
1.059 |
1.042 |
0.823 |
0.485 |
0.076 |
-0.360 |
-0.785 |
-1.175 |
-1.509 |
-1.775 |
-1.968 |
-2.086 |
-2.130 |
-2.105 |
-2.019 |
-1.879 |
-1.695 |
-1.475 |
-1.230 |
-0.969 |
-0.700 |
-0.430 |
-0.169 |
0.079 |
0.308 |
0.512 |
0.690 |
0.837 |
0.953 |
1.037 |
1.088 |
1.109 |
1.100 |
1.064 |
1.003 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.010 |
-0.018 |
-0.021 |
-0.015 |
-0.002 |
0.015 |
0.034 |
0.053 |
0.071 |
0.086 |
0.099 |
0.109 |
0.116 |
0.120 |
0.122 |
0.121 |
0.119 |
0.114 |
0.109 |
0.103 |
0.096 |
0.088 |
0.081 |
0.074 |
0.067 |
0.060 |
0.054 |
0.049 |
0.045 |
0.042 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.041 |
0.075 |
0.085 |
0.078 |
0.061 |
0.040 |
0.018 |
-0.002 |
-0.019 |
-0.034 |
-0.044 |
-0.052 |
-0.056 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
-0.055 |
-0.052 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.017 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.031 |
0.057 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.055 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.046 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.058 |
0.131 |
0.193 |
0.244 |
0.285 |
0.321 |
0.353 |
0.383 |
0.413 |
0.443 |
0.474 |
0.507 |
0.541 |
0.576 |
0.611 |
0.647 |
0.682 |
0.716 |
0.747 |
0.777 |
0.805 |
0.830 |
0.852 |
0.871 |
0.888 |
0.903 |
0.916 |
0.927 |
0.936 |
0.945 |
0.954 |
0.962 |
0.971 |
0.981 |
0.992 |
1.004 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.022 |
0.052 |
0.078 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.070 |
0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.100 |
-0.185 |
-0.280 |
-0.380 |
-0.482 |
-0.584 |
-0.682 |
-0.775 |
-0.861 |
-0.939 |
-1.007 |
-1.066 |
-1.115 |
-1.154 |
-1.184 |
-1.205 |
-1.218 |
-1.224 |
-1.224 |
-1.218 |
-1.209 |
-1.196 |
-1.182 |
-1.166 |
-1.151 |
-1.137 |
-1.124 |
-1.115 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.007 |
-0.027 |
-0.062 |
-0.102 |
-0.142 |
-0.177 |
-0.206 |
-0.229 |
-0.243 |
-0.250 |
-0.250 |
-0.244 |
-0.233 |
-0.217 |
-0.198 |
-0.177 |
-0.154 |
-0.131 |
-0.108 |
-0.086 |
-0.066 |
-0.047 |
-0.031 |
-0.017 |
-0.005 |
0.004 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
-0.001 |
-0.009 |
-0.017 |
-0.027 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.028 |
-0.034 |
-0.046 |
-0.059 |
-0.071 |
-0.080 |
-0.088 |
-0.093 |
-0.096 |
-0.097 |
-0.098 |
-0.097 |
-0.096 |
-0.094 |
-0.091 |
-0.089 |
-0.087 |
-0.084 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.079 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.077 |
-0.078 |
-0.079 |
-0.080 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.022 |
-0.026 |
-0.039 |
-0.052 |
-0.063 |
-0.072 |
-0.077 |
-0.078 |
-0.076 |
-0.070 |
-0.061 |
-0.050 |
-0.037 |
-0.022 |
-0.007 |
0.009 |
0.024 |
0.039 |
0.053 |
0.065 |
0.076 |
0.085 |
0.093 |
0.098 |
0.101 |
0.103 |
0.103 |
0.101 |
0.098 |
0.093 |
0.088 |
0.082 |
0.075 |
0.068 |
0.060 |
0.053 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.054 |
-0.082 |
-0.106 |
-0.122 |
-0.129 |
-0.126 |
-0.113 |
-0.091 |
-0.062 |
-0.026 |
0.015 |
0.059 |
0.104 |
0.150 |
0.194 |
0.235 |
0.273 |
0.306 |
0.334 |
0.357 |
0.375 |
0.386 |
0.392 |
0.393 |
0.390 |
0.381 |
0.369 |
0.354 |
0.336 |
0.317 |
0.296 |
0.274 |
0.253 |
0.232 |
0.212 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.024 |
-0.041 |
-0.058 |
-0.073 |
-0.086 |
-0.096 |
-0.102 |
-0.105 |
-0.104 |
-0.100 |
-0.093 |
-0.083 |
-0.071 |
-0.057 |
-0.042 |
-0.026 |
-0.011 |
0.005 |
0.019 |
0.032 |
0.044 |
0.054 |
0.063 |
0.069 |
0.074 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.078 |
0.075 |
0.072 |
0.067 |
0.062 |
0.055 |
0.048 |
0.041 |
0.034 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.027 |
-0.041 |
-0.055 |
-0.067 |
-0.076 |
-0.083 |
-0.087 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
-0.083 |
-0.077 |
-0.069 |
-0.060 |
-0.050 |
-0.040 |
-0.030 |
-0.019 |
-0.010 |
-0.001 |
0.007 |
0.014 |
0.020 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.017 |
0.013 |
0.008 |
0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.059 |
0.070 |
0.024 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.015 |
0.031 |
0.046 |
0.059 |
0.069 |
0.077 |
0.082 |
0.086 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.016 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.011 |
-0.002 |
0.009 |
0.021 |
0.033 |
0.046 |
0.058 |
0.069 |
0.079 |
0.088 |
0.095 |
0.101 |
0.105 |
0.107 |
0.108 |
0.108 |
0.106 |
0.103 |
0.099 |
0.094 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.078 |
0.072 |
0.066 |
0.060 |
0.055 |
0.050 |
0.046 |
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