|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
158.4 |
-361.5 |
-1011.1 |
-1037.2 |
-696.9 |
-199.2 |
331.8 |
834.7 |
1284.2 |
1673.8 |
2006.0 |
2286.8 |
2523.6 |
2723.5 |
2892.5 |
3035.7 |
3157.3 |
3260.2 |
3347.0 |
3419.3 |
3478.5 |
3525.8 |
3562.2 |
3588.8 |
3606.4 |
3616.4 |
3620.0 |
3618.4 |
3613.3 |
3606.0 |
3598.2 |
3591.5 |
3587.2 |
3586.9 |
3591.8 |
3603.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-5.3 |
-12.5 |
-12.7 |
-28.8 |
-59.4 |
-98.4 |
-140.1 |
-180.9 |
-218.8 |
-252.8 |
-282.5 |
-308.0 |
-329.7 |
-347.9 |
-363.0 |
-375.6 |
-386.0 |
-394.6 |
-401.8 |
-407.9 |
-413.1 |
-417.8 |
-422.0 |
-426.0 |
-429.8 |
-433.8 |
-437.9 |
-442.3 |
-447.1 |
-452.4 |
-458.2 |
-464.6 |
-471.6 |
-479.3 |
-487.8 |
-496.9 |
Investment |
fI |
-2077.3 |
-3212.2 |
-2767.8 |
-2190.9 |
-1695.4 |
-1284.5 |
-928.3 |
-626.2 |
-379.6 |
-192.1 |
-64.3 |
5.8 |
22.9 |
-6.6 |
-75.4 |
-176.1 |
-301.5 |
-445.1 |
-601.0 |
-764.3 |
-930.8 |
-1097.3 |
-1260.8 |
-1419.3 |
-1571.1 |
-1714.8 |
-1849.5 |
-1974.5 |
-2089.2 |
-2193.5 |
-2287.2 |
-2370.5 |
-2443.6 |
-2506.8 |
-2560.8 |
-2606.3 |
Export |
fE |
371.2 |
834.0 |
1282.7 |
1749.9 |
2186.6 |
2589.4 |
2943.3 |
3243.6 |
3483.5 |
3660.2 |
3772.3 |
3821.2 |
3810.0 |
3744.0 |
3629.7 |
3474.8 |
3287.4 |
3076.3 |
2849.6 |
2615.8 |
2382.4 |
2156.4 |
1944.0 |
1750.6 |
1580.6 |
1437.5 |
1324.0 |
1241.8 |
1191.6 |
1173.5 |
1186.9 |
1230.5 |
1302.4 |
1400.1 |
1521.1 |
1662.2 |
Import |
fM |
-1102.4 |
-1800.6 |
-1668.5 |
-1246.7 |
-779.3 |
-352.4 |
27.0 |
352.5 |
622.9 |
839.6 |
1005.8 |
1125.8 |
1204.2 |
1246.2 |
1256.7 |
1240.5 |
1202.3 |
1146.1 |
1075.8 |
994.7 |
906.0 |
812.3 |
716.2 |
619.8 |
525.1 |
434.0 |
347.9 |
268.2 |
196.1 |
132.5 |
78.1 |
33.5 |
-1.0 |
-25.3 |
-39.5 |
-43.8 |
GDP |
fY |
-492.6 |
-1040.2 |
-932.6 |
-332.8 |
479.0 |
1359.3 |
2213.0 |
2982.8 |
3637.9 |
4164.7 |
4561.2 |
4833.1 |
4991.2 |
5049.2 |
5022.0 |
4924.8 |
4772.4 |
4578.6 |
4355.8 |
4115.2 |
3866.6 |
3618.5 |
3378.1 |
3151.5 |
2943.6 |
2758.6 |
2599.6 |
2468.8 |
2368.0 |
2298.1 |
2259.1 |
2251.0 |
2272.6 |
2322.8 |
2399.8 |
2501.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.427 |
-2.039 |
-2.045 |
-1.617 |
-0.955 |
-0.181 |
0.609 |
1.344 |
1.977 |
2.483 |
2.852 |
3.083 |
3.185 |
3.173 |
3.063 |
2.873 |
2.622 |
2.325 |
1.999 |
1.656 |
1.310 |
0.970 |
0.644 |
0.338 |
0.059 |
-0.191 |
-0.409 |
-0.593 |
-0.744 |
-0.861 |
-0.945 |
-0.999 |
-1.023 |
-1.022 |
-0.997 |
-0.951 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.807 |
1.045 |
1.009 |
0.777 |
0.443 |
0.059 |
-0.331 |
-0.693 |
-1.004 |
-1.254 |
-1.436 |
-1.550 |
-1.601 |
-1.596 |
-1.542 |
-1.448 |
-1.323 |
-1.176 |
-1.013 |
-0.842 |
-0.668 |
-0.497 |
-0.333 |
-0.179 |
-0.038 |
0.089 |
0.199 |
0.293 |
0.370 |
0.430 |
0.473 |
0.501 |
0.515 |
0.515 |
0.503 |
0.480 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.010 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.013 |
0.000 |
0.016 |
0.033 |
0.049 |
0.064 |
0.076 |
0.085 |
0.091 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.092 |
0.088 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.075 |
0.071 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.041 |
0.075 |
0.084 |
0.076 |
0.059 |
0.039 |
0.018 |
0.000 |
-0.016 |
-0.028 |
-0.036 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.028 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.031 |
0.058 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.058 |
0.131 |
0.194 |
0.245 |
0.287 |
0.323 |
0.355 |
0.384 |
0.411 |
0.437 |
0.463 |
0.489 |
0.516 |
0.542 |
0.569 |
0.594 |
0.620 |
0.644 |
0.667 |
0.688 |
0.708 |
0.727 |
0.744 |
0.759 |
0.774 |
0.787 |
0.800 |
0.812 |
0.824 |
0.836 |
0.847 |
0.859 |
0.872 |
0.885 |
0.899 |
0.914 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.022 |
0.051 |
0.076 |
0.088 |
0.084 |
0.064 |
0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.091 |
-0.164 |
-0.243 |
-0.325 |
-0.406 |
-0.486 |
-0.561 |
-0.631 |
-0.696 |
-0.753 |
-0.804 |
-0.849 |
-0.887 |
-0.918 |
-0.945 |
-0.966 |
-0.982 |
-0.995 |
-1.004 |
-1.011 |
-1.016 |
-1.019 |
-1.021 |
-1.022 |
-1.024 |
-1.026 |
-1.028 |
-1.031 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.008 |
-0.030 |
-0.065 |
-0.105 |
-0.142 |
-0.174 |
-0.199 |
-0.216 |
-0.225 |
-0.227 |
-0.224 |
-0.215 |
-0.204 |
-0.189 |
-0.173 |
-0.156 |
-0.139 |
-0.122 |
-0.107 |
-0.092 |
-0.079 |
-0.068 |
-0.058 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.035 |
-0.037 |
-0.040 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.029 |
-0.036 |
-0.048 |
-0.060 |
-0.070 |
-0.077 |
-0.082 |
-0.085 |
-0.085 |
-0.085 |
-0.084 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.076 |
-0.077 |
-0.077 |
-0.077 |
-0.078 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.022 |
-0.027 |
-0.039 |
-0.051 |
-0.062 |
-0.070 |
-0.075 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.070 |
-0.063 |
-0.054 |
-0.043 |
-0.032 |
-0.021 |
-0.009 |
0.002 |
0.012 |
0.022 |
0.031 |
0.038 |
0.044 |
0.050 |
0.053 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
0.045 |
0.042 |
0.038 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.054 |
-0.081 |
-0.104 |
-0.119 |
-0.125 |
-0.123 |
-0.112 |
-0.094 |
-0.069 |
-0.040 |
-0.008 |
0.025 |
0.059 |
0.093 |
0.124 |
0.153 |
0.179 |
0.202 |
0.222 |
0.237 |
0.249 |
0.258 |
0.263 |
0.266 |
0.266 |
0.263 |
0.258 |
0.252 |
0.244 |
0.235 |
0.226 |
0.216 |
0.206 |
0.196 |
0.187 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.024 |
-0.041 |
-0.058 |
-0.072 |
-0.085 |
-0.094 |
-0.101 |
-0.105 |
-0.105 |
-0.103 |
-0.097 |
-0.090 |
-0.081 |
-0.071 |
-0.061 |
-0.050 |
-0.039 |
-0.029 |
-0.019 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.027 |
-0.041 |
-0.055 |
-0.066 |
-0.076 |
-0.082 |
-0.086 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
-0.085 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.068 |
-0.061 |
-0.054 |
-0.046 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.027 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.059 |
0.069 |
0.023 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.017 |
0.033 |
0.049 |
0.062 |
0.072 |
0.079 |
0.084 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.089 |
0.089 |
0.088 |
0.088 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.011 |
-0.016 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.015 |
-0.008 |
0.000 |
0.010 |
0.021 |
0.032 |
0.042 |
0.052 |
0.060 |
0.067 |
0.073 |
0.078 |
0.082 |
0.084 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
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