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|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1037.5 |
2586.1 |
4182.3 |
5557.0 |
6821.9 |
7995.8 |
9098.2 |
10140.8 |
11127.0 |
12052.5 |
12903.9 |
13663.1 |
14309.5 |
14823.2 |
15187.0 |
15388.3 |
15420.6 |
15284.7 |
14988.6 |
14548.3 |
13986.5 |
13332.5 |
12620.8 |
11889.7 |
11179.7 |
10532.0 |
9986.5 |
9580.2 |
9345.7 |
9309.3 |
9490.1 |
9898.9 |
10537.4 |
11398.4 |
12465.3 |
13713.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3401.0 |
3863.7 |
4526.5 |
5298.6 |
6104.1 |
6879.1 |
7582.8 |
8188.2 |
8678.1 |
9043.1 |
9279.8 |
9390.1 |
9380.2 |
9260.2 |
9043.8 |
8747.5 |
8390.2 |
7992.9 |
7577.7 |
7167.4 |
6784.4 |
6450.5 |
6185.7 |
6007.5 |
5930.6 |
5965.7 |
6119.8 |
6395.0 |
6789.2 |
7295.3 |
7902.0 |
8593.7 |
9351.3 |
10152.9 |
10974.5 |
11791.2 |
Investment |
fI |
2327.3 |
5080.2 |
7004.1 |
8568.5 |
9919.0 |
11032.2 |
11904.8 |
12540.3 |
12948.3 |
13137.8 |
13121.4 |
12911.8 |
12525.1 |
11979.2 |
11295.6 |
10499.0 |
9617.6 |
8682.6 |
7728.2 |
6789.9 |
5904.5 |
5108.1 |
4435.0 |
3916.4 |
3578.9 |
3443.4 |
3523.9 |
3826.7 |
4349.8 |
5082.5 |
6006.1 |
7093.7 |
8311.6 |
9620.0 |
10975.2 |
12330.6 |
Export |
fE |
4223.3 |
7052.8 |
9744.6 |
12356.2 |
14784.8 |
16996.1 |
18911.1 |
20481.2 |
21671.0 |
22468.0 |
22875.5 |
22914.4 |
22618.9 |
22035.9 |
21221.7 |
20240.0 |
19159.3 |
18049.9 |
16981.7 |
16021.6 |
15231.4 |
14664.9 |
14366.9 |
14371.1 |
14699.0 |
15359.3 |
16347.1 |
17644.4 |
19220.8 |
21034.2 |
23032.6 |
25155.8 |
27338.2 |
29511.0 |
31604.8 |
33553.1 |
Import |
fM |
1987.8 |
4763.7 |
7157.8 |
9243.9 |
11131.9 |
12887.4 |
14473.6 |
15873.1 |
17068.3 |
18044.6 |
18789.8 |
19296.2 |
19561.6 |
19590.4 |
19394.1 |
18992.0 |
18410.5 |
17682.8 |
16848.2 |
15950.9 |
15038.4 |
14159.9 |
13364.4 |
12698.6 |
12205.7 |
11922.6 |
11879.2 |
12096.3 |
12585.2 |
13346.3 |
14369.7 |
15634.5 |
17110.1 |
18756.8 |
20527.9 |
22370.6 |
GDP |
fY |
9046.9 |
13996.2 |
18655.5 |
23045.7 |
27184.9 |
30818.0 |
33918.7 |
36451.3 |
38398.8 |
39761.8 |
40554.1 |
40801.8 |
40543.3 |
39828.6 |
38719.2 |
37287.0 |
35613.3 |
33786.9 |
31901.8 |
30054.6 |
28341.4 |
26854.7 |
25680.2 |
24893.5 |
24556.8 |
24717.0 |
25402.9 |
26623.9 |
28369.0 |
30607.0 |
33286.9 |
36339.9 |
39681.0 |
43212.9 |
46829.3 |
50419.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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Employment |
Q |
-9.955 |
-7.152 |
-3.441 |
0.619 |
4.617 |
8.208 |
11.203 |
13.498 |
15.046 |
15.844 |
15.916 |
15.315 |
14.109 |
12.382 |
10.229 |
7.754 |
5.067 |
2.279 |
-0.501 |
-3.166 |
-5.616 |
-7.765 |
-9.538 |
-10.874 |
-11.733 |
-12.091 |
-11.944 |
-11.309 |
-10.220 |
-8.729 |
-6.901 |
-4.817 |
-2.564 |
-0.237 |
2.070 |
4.262 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.626 |
3.289 |
1.457 |
-0.522 |
-2.476 |
-4.229 |
-5.694 |
-6.819 |
-7.577 |
-7.966 |
-7.997 |
-7.692 |
-7.085 |
-6.218 |
-5.138 |
-3.896 |
-2.546 |
-1.146 |
0.251 |
1.589 |
2.821 |
3.901 |
4.791 |
5.463 |
5.894 |
6.073 |
5.999 |
5.679 |
5.131 |
4.380 |
3.461 |
2.413 |
1.280 |
0.110 |
-1.049 |
-2.150 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.125 |
-0.092 |
-0.024 |
0.024 |
0.066 |
0.102 |
0.130 |
0.151 |
0.165 |
0.172 |
0.174 |
0.171 |
0.162 |
0.150 |
0.134 |
0.116 |
0.095 |
0.074 |
0.052 |
0.030 |
0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.027 |
-0.040 |
-0.050 |
-0.057 |
-0.059 |
-0.057 |
-0.052 |
-0.043 |
-0.030 |
-0.015 |
0.002 |
0.020 |
0.039 |
0.059 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.034 |
-0.040 |
-0.129 |
-0.180 |
-0.215 |
-0.238 |
-0.251 |
-0.256 |
-0.254 |
-0.247 |
-0.237 |
-0.224 |
-0.208 |
-0.191 |
-0.172 |
-0.151 |
-0.130 |
-0.108 |
-0.085 |
-0.063 |
-0.042 |
-0.021 |
-0.003 |
0.014 |
0.027 |
0.038 |
0.045 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.043 |
0.036 |
0.025 |
0.012 |
-0.003 |
-0.019 |
-0.037 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.091 |
-0.132 |
-0.153 |
-0.156 |
-0.149 |
-0.136 |
-0.121 |
-0.105 |
-0.089 |
-0.075 |
-0.063 |
-0.053 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
-0.029 |
-0.027 |
-0.023 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.004 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.010 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.009 |
-0.153 |
-0.298 |
-0.434 |
-0.548 |
-0.646 |
-0.722 |
-0.776 |
-0.812 |
-0.830 |
-0.834 |
-0.827 |
-0.811 |
-0.789 |
-0.762 |
-0.733 |
-0.701 |
-0.667 |
-0.632 |
-0.595 |
-0.556 |
-0.515 |
-0.471 |
-0.424 |
-0.375 |
-0.321 |
-0.265 |
-0.205 |
-0.143 |
-0.078 |
-0.012 |
0.056 |
0.123 |
0.190 |
0.256 |
0.320 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.148 |
0.210 |
0.201 |
0.142 |
0.039 |
-0.098 |
-0.258 |
-0.433 |
-0.614 |
-0.793 |
-0.964 |
-1.120 |
-1.258 |
-1.373 |
-1.463 |
-1.526 |
-1.562 |
-1.570 |
-1.551 |
-1.508 |
-1.443 |
-1.360 |
-1.263 |
-1.156 |
-1.045 |
-0.933 |
-0.827 |
-0.729 |
-0.644 |
-0.576 |
-0.527 |
-0.499 |
-0.493 |
-0.510 |
-0.547 |
-0.605 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.358 |
-0.509 |
-0.617 |
-0.696 |
-0.748 |
-0.772 |
-0.769 |
-0.743 |
-0.697 |
-0.634 |
-0.558 |
-0.472 |
-0.379 |
-0.283 |
-0.188 |
-0.095 |
-0.008 |
0.070 |
0.138 |
0.192 |
0.233 |
0.259 |
0.270 |
0.265 |
0.246 |
0.215 |
0.172 |
0.120 |
0.061 |
-0.002 |
-0.066 |
-0.130 |
-0.189 |
-0.243 |
-0.289 |
-0.324 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.695 |
-0.805 |
-0.864 |
-0.896 |
-0.912 |
-0.917 |
-0.915 |
-0.911 |
-0.905 |
-0.899 |
-0.894 |
-0.889 |
-0.886 |
-0.885 |
-0.885 |
-0.887 |
-0.890 |
-0.895 |
-0.900 |
-0.906 |
-0.913 |
-0.920 |
-0.927 |
-0.934 |
-0.940 |
-0.946 |
-0.951 |
-0.955 |
-0.957 |
-0.958 |
-0.959 |
-0.957 |
-0.955 |
-0.952 |
-0.948 |
-0.943 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.382 |
-0.424 |
-0.450 |
-0.462 |
-0.458 |
-0.439 |
-0.405 |
-0.361 |
-0.307 |
-0.248 |
-0.186 |
-0.124 |
-0.064 |
-0.008 |
0.040 |
0.081 |
0.111 |
0.132 |
0.141 |
0.140 |
0.128 |
0.107 |
0.078 |
0.043 |
0.002 |
-0.042 |
-0.086 |
-0.130 |
-0.172 |
-0.209 |
-0.240 |
-0.265 |
-0.282 |
-0.291 |
-0.292 |
-0.284 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.250 |
-0.347 |
-0.394 |
-0.401 |
-0.362 |
-0.283 |
-0.169 |
-0.028 |
0.132 |
0.303 |
0.478 |
0.648 |
0.807 |
0.949 |
1.069 |
1.163 |
1.229 |
1.266 |
1.272 |
1.250 |
1.200 |
1.128 |
1.035 |
0.927 |
0.810 |
0.687 |
0.564 |
0.447 |
0.340 |
0.246 |
0.171 |
0.115 |
0.082 |
0.071 |
0.083 |
0.116 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.326 |
-0.386 |
-0.425 |
-0.451 |
-0.462 |
-0.457 |
-0.439 |
-0.408 |
-0.368 |
-0.320 |
-0.267 |
-0.212 |
-0.157 |
-0.104 |
-0.055 |
-0.013 |
0.023 |
0.049 |
0.067 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.062 |
0.042 |
0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.054 |
-0.093 |
-0.134 |
-0.175 |
-0.213 |
-0.247 |
-0.276 |
-0.300 |
-0.316 |
-0.325 |
-0.326 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.248 |
-0.282 |
-0.305 |
-0.317 |
-0.318 |
-0.309 |
-0.291 |
-0.265 |
-0.233 |
-0.197 |
-0.158 |
-0.118 |
-0.080 |
-0.044 |
-0.012 |
0.015 |
0.036 |
0.050 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.052 |
0.040 |
0.023 |
0.001 |
-0.024 |
-0.052 |
-0.080 |
-0.108 |
-0.135 |
-0.160 |
-0.181 |
-0.198 |
-0.211 |
-0.218 |
-0.220 |
-0.216 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.080 |
-0.079 |
-0.015 |
0.012 |
0.026 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.024 |
0.018 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.010 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.028 |
-0.035 |
-0.042 |
-0.049 |
-0.055 |
-0.061 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.068 |
-0.067 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.172 |
-0.236 |
-0.258 |
-0.255 |
-0.234 |
-0.201 |
-0.159 |
-0.113 |
-0.065 |
-0.019 |
0.025 |
0.063 |
0.096 |
0.121 |
0.139 |
0.148 |
0.149 |
0.143 |
0.129 |
0.110 |
0.084 |
0.055 |
0.023 |
-0.010 |
-0.043 |
-0.075 |
-0.105 |
-0.130 |
-0.151 |
-0.167 |
-0.177 |
-0.180 |
-0.178 |
-0.170 |
-0.156 |
-0.138 |
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