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|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
979.0 |
2472.6 |
3905.2 |
4981.6 |
5831.2 |
6499.9 |
7036.0 |
7484.2 |
7881.3 |
8255.4 |
8624.3 |
8998.2 |
9381.0 |
9771.9 |
10167.1 |
10560.7 |
10946.1 |
11316.3 |
11664.8 |
11986.4 |
12276.8 |
12533.3 |
12755.1 |
12942.4 |
13097.3 |
13223.0 |
13324.0 |
13405.5 |
13473.6 |
13534.8 |
13595.8 |
13663.3 |
13743.9 |
13843.6 |
13968.0 |
14122.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5055.1 |
5082.7 |
5111.9 |
5153.3 |
5207.2 |
5274.3 |
5353.2 |
5442.7 |
5541.1 |
5647.2 |
5759.7 |
5877.9 |
6000.9 |
6128.4 |
6260.2 |
6396.1 |
6536.1 |
6680.1 |
6828.2 |
6980.4 |
7136.6 |
7296.9 |
7461.0 |
7628.9 |
7800.3 |
7975.0 |
8152.7 |
8333.3 |
8516.3 |
8701.5 |
8888.7 |
9077.7 |
9268.3 |
9460.4 |
9653.9 |
9848.8 |
Investment |
fI |
2316.9 |
4537.0 |
5856.5 |
6858.8 |
7688.5 |
8330.3 |
8801.8 |
9124.7 |
9326.3 |
9429.2 |
9455.8 |
9424.1 |
9349.4 |
9243.3 |
9114.6 |
8969.4 |
8812.6 |
8647.4 |
8476.6 |
8302.7 |
8128.3 |
7956.4 |
7790.2 |
7633.4 |
7490.2 |
7364.7 |
7261.4 |
7184.5 |
7138.1 |
7125.8 |
7150.6 |
7214.7 |
7319.8 |
7466.5 |
7654.5 |
7882.7 |
Export |
fE |
4227.2 |
6981.7 |
9558.8 |
12052.6 |
14392.8 |
16579.8 |
18563.6 |
20319.6 |
21827.7 |
23082.5 |
24084.8 |
24843.9 |
25374.2 |
25694.7 |
25827.5 |
25797.4 |
25630.2 |
25352.9 |
24992.6 |
24575.9 |
24128.9 |
23676.4 |
23241.8 |
22846.5 |
22510.1 |
22249.7 |
22080.0 |
22012.9 |
22057.7 |
22220.8 |
22505.9 |
22913.8 |
23442.7 |
24088.2 |
24843.7 |
25700.4 |
Import |
fM |
2315.3 |
4806.4 |
6744.5 |
8308.8 |
9642.5 |
10836.1 |
11890.7 |
12822.9 |
13645.7 |
14370.5 |
15005.8 |
15558.4 |
16033.9 |
16436.8 |
16771.3 |
17041.4 |
17251.2 |
17405.4 |
17509.1 |
17568.4 |
17590.0 |
17581.4 |
17550.9 |
17507.1 |
17459.1 |
17416.3 |
17387.7 |
17382.2 |
17408.2 |
17473.4 |
17584.5 |
17747.0 |
17965.6 |
18243.2 |
18581.9 |
18982.1 |
GDP |
fY |
10307.9 |
14426.7 |
18002.4 |
21181.0 |
24071.5 |
26530.7 |
28612.0 |
30346.4 |
31768.9 |
32916.1 |
33822.8 |
34521.0 |
35039.6 |
35404.4 |
35638.4 |
35762.5 |
35796.0 |
35757.0 |
35663.0 |
35531.2 |
35378.6 |
35222.0 |
35078.2 |
34963.5 |
34893.8 |
34884.2 |
34948.6 |
35099.6 |
35347.9 |
35702.5 |
36170.2 |
36755.4 |
37460.1 |
38284.1 |
39224.6 |
40276.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-7.183 |
-5.532 |
-3.346 |
-0.972 |
1.343 |
3.411 |
5.151 |
6.534 |
7.563 |
8.258 |
8.649 |
8.771 |
8.659 |
8.347 |
7.869 |
7.256 |
6.535 |
5.733 |
4.874 |
3.982 |
3.077 |
2.180 |
1.307 |
0.476 |
-0.300 |
-1.007 |
-1.636 |
-2.177 |
-2.626 |
-2.977 |
-3.229 |
-3.384 |
-3.444 |
-3.414 |
-3.301 |
-3.112 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
4.060 |
2.583 |
1.511 |
0.362 |
-0.764 |
-1.770 |
-2.620 |
-3.300 |
-3.809 |
-4.155 |
-4.353 |
-4.417 |
-4.365 |
-4.213 |
-3.977 |
-3.672 |
-3.312 |
-2.911 |
-2.480 |
-2.031 |
-1.575 |
-1.122 |
-0.681 |
-0.260 |
0.133 |
0.491 |
0.810 |
1.086 |
1.314 |
1.493 |
1.623 |
1.703 |
1.735 |
1.722 |
1.666 |
1.572 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.135 |
-0.085 |
-0.007 |
0.050 |
0.099 |
0.140 |
0.171 |
0.195 |
0.212 |
0.223 |
0.229 |
0.231 |
0.230 |
0.226 |
0.221 |
0.214 |
0.206 |
0.197 |
0.188 |
0.178 |
0.168 |
0.158 |
0.149 |
0.140 |
0.131 |
0.124 |
0.117 |
0.111 |
0.107 |
0.103 |
0.101 |
0.101 |
0.101 |
0.103 |
0.106 |
0.111 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.034 |
-0.042 |
-0.126 |
-0.169 |
-0.196 |
-0.210 |
-0.213 |
-0.207 |
-0.196 |
-0.181 |
-0.165 |
-0.149 |
-0.133 |
-0.118 |
-0.105 |
-0.093 |
-0.083 |
-0.074 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.101 |
-0.127 |
-0.132 |
-0.119 |
-0.097 |
-0.070 |
-0.041 |
-0.012 |
0.016 |
0.041 |
0.064 |
0.082 |
0.097 |
0.108 |
0.116 |
0.121 |
0.123 |
0.123 |
0.121 |
0.118 |
0.114 |
0.110 |
0.105 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.092 |
0.088 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
0.081 |
0.082 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.091 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.058 |
-0.180 |
-0.288 |
-0.371 |
-0.421 |
-0.442 |
-0.431 |
-0.391 |
-0.325 |
-0.236 |
-0.129 |
-0.008 |
0.121 |
0.257 |
0.394 |
0.531 |
0.665 |
0.794 |
0.917 |
1.033 |
1.141 |
1.242 |
1.335 |
1.421 |
1.500 |
1.574 |
1.642 |
1.706 |
1.767 |
1.826 |
1.882 |
1.938 |
1.994 |
2.051 |
2.108 |
2.168 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.139 |
0.201 |
0.186 |
0.119 |
0.005 |
-0.144 |
-0.318 |
-0.509 |
-0.708 |
-0.909 |
-1.108 |
-1.300 |
-1.483 |
-1.654 |
-1.813 |
-1.957 |
-2.086 |
-2.201 |
-2.301 |
-2.386 |
-2.457 |
-2.514 |
-2.559 |
-2.592 |
-2.614 |
-2.628 |
-2.633 |
-2.632 |
-2.627 |
-2.618 |
-2.608 |
-2.597 |
-2.587 |
-2.579 |
-2.575 |
-2.575 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.402 |
-0.527 |
-0.609 |
-0.666 |
-0.700 |
-0.715 |
-0.713 |
-0.698 |
-0.673 |
-0.640 |
-0.602 |
-0.561 |
-0.517 |
-0.472 |
-0.427 |
-0.383 |
-0.340 |
-0.300 |
-0.261 |
-0.225 |
-0.193 |
-0.164 |
-0.138 |
-0.116 |
-0.098 |
-0.084 |
-0.074 |
-0.068 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.069 |
-0.076 |
-0.085 |
-0.096 |
-0.109 |
-0.123 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.653 |
-0.767 |
-0.835 |
-0.878 |
-0.906 |
-0.923 |
-0.932 |
-0.936 |
-0.938 |
-0.937 |
-0.935 |
-0.932 |
-0.929 |
-0.926 |
-0.922 |
-0.919 |
-0.916 |
-0.913 |
-0.910 |
-0.908 |
-0.905 |
-0.904 |
-0.902 |
-0.901 |
-0.900 |
-0.900 |
-0.900 |
-0.900 |
-0.901 |
-0.902 |
-0.903 |
-0.904 |
-0.906 |
-0.908 |
-0.909 |
-0.911 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.362 |
-0.400 |
-0.432 |
-0.455 |
-0.468 |
-0.472 |
-0.468 |
-0.456 |
-0.438 |
-0.415 |
-0.389 |
-0.360 |
-0.329 |
-0.298 |
-0.267 |
-0.237 |
-0.209 |
-0.182 |
-0.158 |
-0.136 |
-0.118 |
-0.103 |
-0.091 |
-0.082 |
-0.076 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.075 |
-0.080 |
-0.086 |
-0.095 |
-0.104 |
-0.114 |
-0.125 |
-0.137 |
-0.148 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.222 |
-0.298 |
-0.343 |
-0.366 |
-0.362 |
-0.334 |
-0.285 |
-0.221 |
-0.143 |
-0.057 |
0.035 |
0.130 |
0.224 |
0.316 |
0.403 |
0.485 |
0.559 |
0.625 |
0.682 |
0.729 |
0.767 |
0.796 |
0.815 |
0.825 |
0.827 |
0.821 |
0.808 |
0.789 |
0.765 |
0.738 |
0.707 |
0.674 |
0.641 |
0.607 |
0.575 |
0.543 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.316 |
-0.371 |
-0.410 |
-0.440 |
-0.461 |
-0.471 |
-0.473 |
-0.467 |
-0.454 |
-0.435 |
-0.413 |
-0.387 |
-0.359 |
-0.330 |
-0.300 |
-0.271 |
-0.243 |
-0.216 |
-0.191 |
-0.169 |
-0.149 |
-0.131 |
-0.117 |
-0.106 |
-0.098 |
-0.093 |
-0.090 |
-0.091 |
-0.093 |
-0.098 |
-0.105 |
-0.113 |
-0.123 |
-0.133 |
-0.144 |
-0.155 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.241 |
-0.271 |
-0.294 |
-0.310 |
-0.319 |
-0.321 |
-0.318 |
-0.309 |
-0.296 |
-0.280 |
-0.262 |
-0.242 |
-0.221 |
-0.199 |
-0.178 |
-0.157 |
-0.138 |
-0.120 |
-0.103 |
-0.089 |
-0.077 |
-0.067 |
-0.059 |
-0.054 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.049 |
-0.052 |
-0.055 |
-0.060 |
-0.066 |
-0.073 |
-0.081 |
-0.089 |
-0.096 |
-0.104 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.087 |
-0.077 |
-0.005 |
0.026 |
0.040 |
0.044 |
0.038 |
0.027 |
0.012 |
-0.004 |
-0.019 |
-0.033 |
-0.044 |
-0.053 |
-0.060 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.068 |
-0.068 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.145 |
-0.205 |
-0.231 |
-0.237 |
-0.230 |
-0.214 |
-0.192 |
-0.167 |
-0.141 |
-0.114 |
-0.087 |
-0.062 |
-0.039 |
-0.018 |
0.000 |
0.016 |
0.029 |
0.040 |
0.048 |
0.053 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.045 |
0.039 |
0.031 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.016 |
-0.025 |
-0.033 |
-0.041 |
-0.048 |
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