|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1496.6 |
2901.0 |
5174.4 |
6973.8 |
8198.0 |
9087.0 |
9740.9 |
10243.0 |
10660.0 |
11036.3 |
11397.2 |
11753.0 |
12103.4 |
12441.2 |
12755.2 |
13032.8 |
13262.2 |
13433.3 |
13539.6 |
13578.5 |
13551.4 |
13464.4 |
13327.5 |
13154.3 |
12961.6 |
12768.0 |
12593.7 |
12459.3 |
12384.3 |
12387.1 |
12483.3 |
12685.5 |
13002.2 |
13437.9 |
13992.3 |
14660.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
558.0 |
1291.9 |
2258.6 |
3258.9 |
4223.7 |
5119.7 |
5920.9 |
6613.3 |
7192.7 |
7660.5 |
8022.2 |
8285.4 |
8459.0 |
8553.1 |
8577.9 |
8544.3 |
8463.4 |
8346.7 |
8206.0 |
8053.1 |
7899.8 |
7757.9 |
7638.7 |
7552.7 |
7509.3 |
7516.7 |
7581.2 |
7707.6 |
7898.1 |
8152.9 |
8469.9 |
8844.7 |
9270.5 |
9738.9 |
10239.4 |
10760.7 |
Investment |
fI |
1549.6 |
3362.8 |
5714.5 |
7732.7 |
9141.1 |
10186.3 |
10931.5 |
11412.8 |
11671.8 |
11750.9 |
11686.2 |
11508.8 |
11243.7 |
10910.7 |
10525.7 |
10101.6 |
9649.9 |
9181.8 |
8708.5 |
8242.1 |
7795.6 |
7383.1 |
7019.0 |
6717.9 |
6493.8 |
6359.2 |
6325.0 |
6399.1 |
6586.3 |
6887.7 |
7300.6 |
7817.8 |
8428.3 |
9117.6 |
9867.5 |
10657.3 |
Export |
fE |
1347.9 |
3105.5 |
5247.1 |
7490.7 |
9783.8 |
12036.9 |
14158.0 |
16072.1 |
17731.6 |
19107.5 |
20189.5 |
20981.5 |
21499.4 |
21768.6 |
21821.4 |
21695.4 |
21431.6 |
21072.8 |
20662.3 |
20242.7 |
19854.4 |
19534.7 |
19317.0 |
19229.3 |
19294.2 |
19527.7 |
19938.9 |
20530.3 |
21296.9 |
22227.1 |
23302.9 |
24500.7 |
25792.0 |
27144.9 |
28524.6 |
29895.7 |
Import |
fM |
1442.9 |
3190.9 |
5692.8 |
7895.8 |
9591.5 |
11077.2 |
12382.4 |
13515.9 |
14492.5 |
15323.0 |
16015.1 |
16574.2 |
17004.8 |
17311.4 |
17499.3 |
17575.5 |
17549.4 |
17433.0 |
17241.0 |
16991.3 |
16703.8 |
16401.0 |
16106.3 |
15844.1 |
15638.3 |
15511.5 |
15484.3 |
15573.9 |
15793.9 |
16153.1 |
16655.6 |
17299.7 |
18078.6 |
18980.3 |
19987.5 |
21079.2 |
GDP |
fY |
3577.4 |
7625.1 |
13015.6 |
18015.6 |
22344.0 |
26020.8 |
29090.6 |
31583.2 |
33546.4 |
35033.8 |
36098.4 |
36790.1 |
37155.5 |
37238.3 |
37080.5 |
36722.9 |
36206.9 |
35574.8 |
34870.3 |
34138.7 |
33425.9 |
32778.2 |
32240.9 |
31856.9 |
31665.2 |
31699.7 |
31987.4 |
32547.4 |
33389.6 |
34514.5 |
35912.1 |
37562.7 |
39436.7 |
41496.2 |
43695.7 |
45984.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-27.225 |
-22.653 |
-16.723 |
-10.930 |
-5.736 |
-1.262 |
2.419 |
5.298 |
7.415 |
8.832 |
9.627 |
9.877 |
9.662 |
9.057 |
8.134 |
6.963 |
5.608 |
4.133 |
2.597 |
1.057 |
-0.433 |
-1.824 |
-3.072 |
-4.138 |
-4.990 |
-5.606 |
-5.970 |
-6.075 |
-5.927 |
-5.536 |
-4.925 |
-4.122 |
-3.164 |
-2.091 |
-0.950 |
0.213 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
15.387 |
10.741 |
7.882 |
5.170 |
2.705 |
0.557 |
-1.227 |
-2.633 |
-3.676 |
-4.381 |
-4.782 |
-4.915 |
-4.816 |
-4.522 |
-4.068 |
-3.488 |
-2.813 |
-2.077 |
-1.308 |
-0.537 |
0.211 |
0.910 |
1.537 |
2.073 |
2.502 |
2.812 |
2.995 |
3.049 |
2.974 |
2.778 |
2.471 |
2.068 |
1.586 |
1.047 |
0.473 |
-0.111 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.118 |
-0.075 |
-0.119 |
-0.044 |
0.013 |
0.055 |
0.085 |
0.106 |
0.119 |
0.125 |
0.126 |
0.123 |
0.117 |
0.109 |
0.100 |
0.089 |
0.078 |
0.067 |
0.055 |
0.043 |
0.032 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.005 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
0.010 |
0.019 |
0.029 |
0.040 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.064 |
-0.041 |
-0.065 |
-0.175 |
-0.236 |
-0.269 |
-0.281 |
-0.279 |
-0.266 |
-0.247 |
-0.225 |
-0.202 |
-0.179 |
-0.158 |
-0.138 |
-0.120 |
-0.104 |
-0.089 |
-0.075 |
-0.062 |
-0.051 |
-0.040 |
-0.030 |
-0.021 |
-0.013 |
-0.007 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.013 |
-0.020 |
-0.028 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.055 |
-0.116 |
-0.184 |
-0.219 |
-0.224 |
-0.214 |
-0.196 |
-0.172 |
-0.147 |
-0.122 |
-0.099 |
-0.079 |
-0.062 |
-0.049 |
-0.039 |
-0.031 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.013 |
-0.096 |
-0.265 |
-0.462 |
-0.639 |
-0.801 |
-0.934 |
-1.036 |
-1.107 |
-1.151 |
-1.169 |
-1.166 |
-1.147 |
-1.114 |
-1.072 |
-1.023 |
-0.970 |
-0.914 |
-0.857 |
-0.799 |
-0.741 |
-0.683 |
-0.625 |
-0.567 |
-0.509 |
-0.450 |
-0.391 |
-0.330 |
-0.269 |
-0.206 |
-0.143 |
-0.079 |
-0.015 |
0.050 |
0.114 |
0.178 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.096 |
0.163 |
0.251 |
0.259 |
0.212 |
0.126 |
0.014 |
-0.114 |
-0.249 |
-0.383 |
-0.513 |
-0.633 |
-0.741 |
-0.835 |
-0.913 |
-0.976 |
-1.023 |
-1.055 |
-1.071 |
-1.073 |
-1.062 |
-1.039 |
-1.007 |
-0.968 |
-0.923 |
-0.875 |
-0.826 |
-0.779 |
-0.736 |
-0.699 |
-0.670 |
-0.651 |
-0.642 |
-0.644 |
-0.657 |
-0.682 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.129 |
-0.255 |
-0.399 |
-0.507 |
-0.575 |
-0.611 |
-0.621 |
-0.610 |
-0.581 |
-0.539 |
-0.489 |
-0.432 |
-0.372 |
-0.311 |
-0.250 |
-0.190 |
-0.134 |
-0.082 |
-0.035 |
0.005 |
0.039 |
0.065 |
0.084 |
0.094 |
0.097 |
0.093 |
0.081 |
0.064 |
0.041 |
0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.048 |
-0.080 |
-0.110 |
-0.139 |
-0.164 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.021 |
-0.031 |
-0.041 |
-0.039 |
-0.028 |
-0.013 |
0.004 |
0.020 |
0.034 |
0.046 |
0.056 |
0.063 |
0.069 |
0.072 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.069 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.052 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
0.043 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.038 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.116 |
-0.202 |
-0.271 |
-0.315 |
-0.342 |
-0.355 |
-0.353 |
-0.340 |
-0.317 |
-0.288 |
-0.253 |
-0.216 |
-0.178 |
-0.141 |
-0.106 |
-0.075 |
-0.048 |
-0.025 |
-0.009 |
0.002 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.000 |
-0.010 |
-0.025 |
-0.043 |
-0.063 |
-0.084 |
-0.106 |
-0.127 |
-0.147 |
-0.164 |
-0.179 |
-0.190 |
-0.197 |
-0.200 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.278 |
-0.578 |
-0.795 |
-0.923 |
-0.997 |
-1.023 |
-1.008 |
-0.960 |
-0.887 |
-0.797 |
-0.697 |
-0.592 |
-0.489 |
-0.390 |
-0.299 |
-0.221 |
-0.156 |
-0.106 |
-0.072 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.065 |
-0.091 |
-0.129 |
-0.176 |
-0.230 |
-0.289 |
-0.349 |
-0.409 |
-0.465 |
-0.515 |
-0.559 |
-0.593 |
-0.617 |
-0.630 |
-0.632 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.098 |
-0.180 |
-0.250 |
-0.299 |
-0.334 |
-0.355 |
-0.363 |
-0.359 |
-0.345 |
-0.325 |
-0.299 |
-0.269 |
-0.237 |
-0.205 |
-0.173 |
-0.144 |
-0.117 |
-0.095 |
-0.076 |
-0.063 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.053 |
-0.059 |
-0.069 |
-0.083 |
-0.099 |
-0.118 |
-0.137 |
-0.157 |
-0.177 |
-0.195 |
-0.211 |
-0.225 |
-0.235 |
-0.242 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.073 |
-0.131 |
-0.180 |
-0.212 |
-0.233 |
-0.244 |
-0.246 |
-0.241 |
-0.229 |
-0.212 |
-0.192 |
-0.169 |
-0.146 |
-0.123 |
-0.101 |
-0.081 |
-0.063 |
-0.048 |
-0.037 |
-0.030 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.029 |
-0.035 |
-0.044 |
-0.055 |
-0.067 |
-0.081 |
-0.095 |
-0.109 |
-0.121 |
-0.133 |
-0.143 |
-0.150 |
-0.156 |
-0.158 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.110 |
-0.034 |
-0.060 |
0.031 |
0.081 |
0.101 |
0.103 |
0.093 |
0.076 |
0.056 |
0.037 |
0.019 |
0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.016 |
-0.022 |
-0.026 |
-0.028 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.029 |
-0.030 |
-0.032 |
-0.034 |
-0.036 |
-0.038 |
-0.041 |
-0.043 |
-0.045 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.094 |
-0.174 |
-0.227 |
-0.245 |
-0.241 |
-0.224 |
-0.197 |
-0.166 |
-0.132 |
-0.098 |
-0.065 |
-0.035 |
-0.008 |
0.015 |
0.033 |
0.047 |
0.056 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
0.048 |
0.038 |
0.024 |
0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.024 |
-0.040 |
-0.056 |
-0.070 |
-0.082 |
-0.091 |
-0.098 |
-0.102 |
-0.103 |
-0.101 |
-0.096 |
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