|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1223.3 |
2163.7 |
3790.1 |
4770.8 |
5043.4 |
4900.9 |
4489.2 |
3935.7 |
3346.8 |
2800.2 |
2349.6 |
2029.2 |
1857.2 |
1839.3 |
1971.8 |
2243.9 |
2639.7 |
3140.1 |
3724.2 |
4370.3 |
5057.0 |
5763.7 |
6471.5 |
7163.3 |
7824.2 |
8441.7 |
9005.7 |
9508.5 |
9944.8 |
10311.7 |
10608.3 |
10835.9 |
10997.5 |
11097.8 |
11142.9 |
11140.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-139.1 |
-203.3 |
-300.2 |
-385.0 |
-446.1 |
-487.3 |
-513.2 |
-528.8 |
-538.8 |
-547.1 |
-556.7 |
-569.8 |
-587.7 |
-611.1 |
-640.1 |
-674.1 |
-712.6 |
-754.6 |
-798.9 |
-844.4 |
-890.0 |
-934.6 |
-977.3 |
-1017.2 |
-1053.9 |
-1086.7 |
-1115.4 |
-1139.9 |
-1160.2 |
-1176.6 |
-1189.3 |
-1198.9 |
-1205.7 |
-1210.4 |
-1213.6 |
-1215.9 |
Investment |
fI |
1140.1 |
2260.2 |
3811.8 |
4992.1 |
5643.2 |
6049.1 |
6278.4 |
6383.1 |
6417.6 |
6432.2 |
6465.9 |
6547.9 |
6695.5 |
6916.3 |
7208.3 |
7563.2 |
7967.1 |
8403.1 |
8853.0 |
9298.6 |
9722.7 |
10110.3 |
10449.3 |
10730.2 |
10947.1 |
11097.0 |
11179.9 |
11198.6 |
11158.5 |
11066.5 |
10931.5 |
10763.6 |
10573.3 |
10371.9 |
10170.5 |
9979.9 |
Export |
fE |
1326.0 |
3068.1 |
5242.6 |
7609.8 |
10166.6 |
12858.3 |
15624.3 |
18408.4 |
21172.3 |
23883.6 |
26518.5 |
29056.6 |
31481.1 |
33776.4 |
35928.4 |
37923.8 |
39750.6 |
41398.4 |
42858.7 |
44125.5 |
45196.2 |
46071.4 |
46755.6 |
47257.1 |
47588.2 |
47765.0 |
47806.9 |
47736.3 |
47578.1 |
47358.9 |
47106.6 |
46849.4 |
46615.2 |
46431.2 |
46322.6 |
46312.8 |
Import |
fM |
1012.9 |
2102.5 |
3791.9 |
5109.6 |
5953.3 |
6643.5 |
7252.3 |
7821.8 |
8394.8 |
9001.4 |
9661.8 |
10387.3 |
11180.8 |
12038.6 |
12951.4 |
13905.5 |
14884.3 |
15869.4 |
16841.9 |
17783.3 |
18676.6 |
19506.5 |
20260.5 |
20928.9 |
21505.0 |
21985.5 |
22370.1 |
22661.4 |
22865.0 |
22988.9 |
23043.0 |
23039.2 |
22990.7 |
22911.4 |
22816.1 |
22719.3 |
GDP |
fY |
2587.7 |
5290.1 |
8978.8 |
12206.7 |
14883.7 |
17148.2 |
19111.0 |
20856.5 |
22466.6 |
24008.7 |
25533.3 |
27073.7 |
28646.8 |
30255.2 |
31889.5 |
33531.4 |
35156.8 |
36737.9 |
38246.5 |
39655.5 |
40940.9 |
42083.1 |
43067.8 |
43886.4 |
44536.7 |
45022.0 |
45351.5 |
45539.2 |
45603.7 |
45567.1 |
45454.2 |
45291.7 |
45107.5 |
44929.5 |
44785.0 |
44700.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-28.736 |
-26.018 |
-22.436 |
-18.980 |
-15.864 |
-13.090 |
-10.648 |
-8.499 |
-6.589 |
-4.862 |
-3.272 |
-1.784 |
-0.377 |
0.958 |
2.218 |
3.393 |
4.467 |
5.423 |
6.241 |
6.905 |
7.401 |
7.719 |
7.855 |
7.811 |
7.593 |
7.212 |
6.685 |
6.029 |
5.269 |
4.427 |
3.529 |
2.601 |
1.667 |
0.752 |
-0.123 |
-0.938 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.241 |
12.528 |
10.864 |
9.312 |
7.871 |
6.560 |
5.385 |
4.335 |
3.388 |
2.522 |
1.717 |
0.960 |
0.241 |
-0.442 |
-1.087 |
-1.688 |
-2.238 |
-2.726 |
-3.144 |
-3.483 |
-3.736 |
-3.899 |
-3.970 |
-3.950 |
-3.842 |
-3.651 |
-3.386 |
-3.057 |
-2.674 |
-2.250 |
-1.797 |
-1.329 |
-0.858 |
-0.396 |
0.046 |
0.458 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.091 |
-0.035 |
-0.065 |
0.023 |
0.090 |
0.140 |
0.180 |
0.212 |
0.238 |
0.261 |
0.283 |
0.304 |
0.326 |
0.350 |
0.374 |
0.400 |
0.426 |
0.451 |
0.476 |
0.500 |
0.523 |
0.543 |
0.561 |
0.576 |
0.588 |
0.599 |
0.606 |
0.612 |
0.615 |
0.617 |
0.618 |
0.618 |
0.617 |
0.617 |
0.616 |
0.616 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.053 |
-0.042 |
-0.052 |
-0.146 |
-0.189 |
-0.201 |
-0.195 |
-0.175 |
-0.147 |
-0.118 |
-0.089 |
-0.063 |
-0.041 |
-0.025 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.015 |
-0.020 |
-0.026 |
-0.032 |
-0.036 |
-0.040 |
-0.042 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.038 |
-0.077 |
-0.117 |
-0.123 |
-0.099 |
-0.061 |
-0.014 |
0.037 |
0.091 |
0.143 |
0.194 |
0.241 |
0.285 |
0.325 |
0.360 |
0.392 |
0.420 |
0.445 |
0.467 |
0.486 |
0.502 |
0.517 |
0.529 |
0.540 |
0.549 |
0.556 |
0.563 |
0.568 |
0.573 |
0.578 |
0.582 |
0.586 |
0.589 |
0.593 |
0.598 |
0.602 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.023 |
0.012 |
-0.057 |
-0.127 |
-0.161 |
-0.154 |
-0.099 |
0.005 |
0.157 |
0.353 |
0.589 |
0.860 |
1.161 |
1.487 |
1.832 |
2.192 |
2.564 |
2.943 |
3.327 |
3.713 |
4.099 |
4.482 |
4.861 |
5.235 |
5.603 |
5.964 |
6.318 |
6.663 |
7.000 |
7.330 |
7.651 |
7.965 |
8.271 |
8.571 |
8.865 |
9.154 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.088 |
0.138 |
0.203 |
0.184 |
0.106 |
-0.015 |
-0.169 |
-0.347 |
-0.544 |
-0.756 |
-0.982 |
-1.222 |
-1.476 |
-1.743 |
-2.025 |
-2.321 |
-2.631 |
-2.954 |
-3.288 |
-3.631 |
-3.981 |
-4.335 |
-4.691 |
-5.046 |
-5.397 |
-5.743 |
-6.080 |
-6.407 |
-6.723 |
-7.027 |
-7.318 |
-7.595 |
-7.860 |
-8.112 |
-8.352 |
-8.582 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.098 |
-0.191 |
-0.300 |
-0.383 |
-0.441 |
-0.483 |
-0.515 |
-0.539 |
-0.560 |
-0.580 |
-0.599 |
-0.619 |
-0.639 |
-0.659 |
-0.676 |
-0.691 |
-0.702 |
-0.709 |
-0.710 |
-0.706 |
-0.696 |
-0.681 |
-0.660 |
-0.635 |
-0.606 |
-0.574 |
-0.540 |
-0.504 |
-0.469 |
-0.434 |
-0.400 |
-0.369 |
-0.340 |
-0.315 |
-0.294 |
-0.277 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.033 |
-0.055 |
-0.083 |
-0.100 |
-0.107 |
-0.109 |
-0.109 |
-0.107 |
-0.106 |
-0.106 |
-0.105 |
-0.106 |
-0.106 |
-0.107 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.106 |
-0.105 |
-0.102 |
-0.099 |
-0.096 |
-0.093 |
-0.089 |
-0.085 |
-0.081 |
-0.077 |
-0.073 |
-0.070 |
-0.067 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.123 |
-0.223 |
-0.319 |
-0.399 |
-0.472 |
-0.537 |
-0.594 |
-0.643 |
-0.686 |
-0.722 |
-0.752 |
-0.776 |
-0.794 |
-0.806 |
-0.812 |
-0.813 |
-0.809 |
-0.800 |
-0.787 |
-0.770 |
-0.749 |
-0.726 |
-0.701 |
-0.674 |
-0.647 |
-0.619 |
-0.593 |
-0.568 |
-0.544 |
-0.523 |
-0.504 |
-0.489 |
-0.476 |
-0.466 |
-0.460 |
-0.457 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.293 |
-0.629 |
-0.908 |
-1.124 |
-1.309 |
-1.464 |
-1.593 |
-1.699 |
-1.783 |
-1.847 |
-1.894 |
-1.924 |
-1.939 |
-1.938 |
-1.924 |
-1.896 |
-1.856 |
-1.806 |
-1.746 |
-1.679 |
-1.605 |
-1.528 |
-1.449 |
-1.369 |
-1.291 |
-1.216 |
-1.146 |
-1.082 |
-1.025 |
-0.977 |
-0.937 |
-0.907 |
-0.885 |
-0.873 |
-0.870 |
-0.875 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.103 |
-0.195 |
-0.285 |
-0.361 |
-0.431 |
-0.494 |
-0.551 |
-0.601 |
-0.645 |
-0.684 |
-0.717 |
-0.745 |
-0.767 |
-0.784 |
-0.796 |
-0.802 |
-0.803 |
-0.799 |
-0.790 |
-0.777 |
-0.760 |
-0.740 |
-0.717 |
-0.691 |
-0.665 |
-0.638 |
-0.611 |
-0.585 |
-0.560 |
-0.536 |
-0.515 |
-0.497 |
-0.482 |
-0.469 |
-0.460 |
-0.454 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.076 |
-0.143 |
-0.206 |
-0.257 |
-0.304 |
-0.346 |
-0.383 |
-0.415 |
-0.442 |
-0.465 |
-0.483 |
-0.498 |
-0.508 |
-0.514 |
-0.516 |
-0.514 |
-0.509 |
-0.501 |
-0.490 |
-0.476 |
-0.460 |
-0.442 |
-0.424 |
-0.404 |
-0.384 |
-0.365 |
-0.346 |
-0.328 |
-0.312 |
-0.298 |
-0.285 |
-0.274 |
-0.266 |
-0.260 |
-0.256 |
-0.254 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.086 |
-0.004 |
-0.028 |
0.061 |
0.104 |
0.112 |
0.100 |
0.074 |
0.041 |
0.005 |
-0.030 |
-0.063 |
-0.092 |
-0.116 |
-0.135 |
-0.150 |
-0.161 |
-0.168 |
-0.171 |
-0.173 |
-0.172 |
-0.170 |
-0.166 |
-0.162 |
-0.157 |
-0.152 |
-0.147 |
-0.142 |
-0.138 |
-0.133 |
-0.129 |
-0.125 |
-0.122 |
-0.119 |
-0.116 |
-0.114 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.103 |
-0.196 |
-0.271 |
-0.318 |
-0.347 |
-0.366 |
-0.377 |
-0.383 |
-0.386 |
-0.385 |
-0.381 |
-0.374 |
-0.365 |
-0.353 |
-0.340 |
-0.323 |
-0.305 |
-0.286 |
-0.265 |
-0.244 |
-0.222 |
-0.200 |
-0.179 |
-0.160 |
-0.141 |
-0.125 |
-0.111 |
-0.099 |
-0.090 |
-0.083 |
-0.079 |
-0.077 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.086 |
-0.092 |
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