|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1218.7 |
2128.5 |
3676.7 |
4511.4 |
4566.1 |
4142.2 |
3403.1 |
2494.7 |
1539.6 |
626.4 |
-183.4 |
-851.8 |
-1358.9 |
-1698.3 |
-1874.2 |
-1897.4 |
-1783.6 |
-1551.1 |
-1219.5 |
-808.4 |
-336.8 |
177.4 |
717.9 |
1270.2 |
1821.5 |
2360.9 |
2879.2 |
3368.8 |
3823.8 |
4239.7 |
4613.3 |
4942.8 |
5227.2 |
5466.9 |
5663.2 |
5817.9 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-138.8 |
-200.6 |
-292.1 |
-367.5 |
-415.4 |
-440.1 |
-447.5 |
-443.5 |
-434.0 |
-423.5 |
-415.6 |
-412.9 |
-416.7 |
-427.8 |
-446.1 |
-471.3 |
-502.4 |
-538.4 |
-578.2 |
-620.6 |
-664.4 |
-708.7 |
-752.4 |
-794.9 |
-835.5 |
-873.6 |
-909.1 |
-941.7 |
-971.2 |
-997.8 |
-1021.5 |
-1042.6 |
-1061.2 |
-1077.7 |
-1092.4 |
-1105.7 |
Investment |
fI |
1115.7 |
2149.6 |
3535.8 |
4481.5 |
4846.8 |
4946.1 |
4868.2 |
4681.5 |
4450.4 |
4232.0 |
4068.0 |
3988.1 |
4008.4 |
4133.9 |
4360.2 |
4675.8 |
5064.5 |
5507.3 |
5984.7 |
6477.4 |
6967.8 |
7440.7 |
7883.4 |
8286.1 |
8642.0 |
8946.9 |
9199.0 |
9398.7 |
9548.1 |
9651.0 |
9712.2 |
9737.2 |
9732.5 |
9704.4 |
9659.6 |
9604.8 |
Export |
fE |
1119.1 |
2495.6 |
4111.1 |
5802.1 |
7631.9 |
9586.1 |
11637.8 |
13754.2 |
15912.3 |
18087.8 |
20260.2 |
22408.7 |
24513.3 |
26554.4 |
28513.2 |
30372.0 |
32114.7 |
33727.5 |
35199.2 |
36521.6 |
37689.8 |
38702.6 |
39561.9 |
40273.2 |
40845.0 |
41288.9 |
41618.6 |
41850.0 |
42000.3 |
42088.1 |
42132.1 |
42151.5 |
42164.9 |
42190.2 |
42244.2 |
42342.4 |
Import |
fM |
837.0 |
1622.0 |
2833.9 |
3573.6 |
3786.7 |
3817.1 |
3761.9 |
3680.1 |
3625.1 |
3632.4 |
3724.1 |
3911.0 |
4194.9 |
4570.5 |
5027.1 |
5550.6 |
6124.7 |
6732.7 |
7357.6 |
7983.7 |
8597.0 |
9185.3 |
9738.5 |
10248.8 |
10710.7 |
11120.8 |
11477.4 |
11780.9 |
12032.9 |
12236.5 |
12395.7 |
12515.6 |
12601.6 |
12659.8 |
12696.6 |
12718.1 |
GDP |
fY |
2529.8 |
5058.0 |
8427.6 |
11185.0 |
13272.0 |
14881.8 |
16171.3 |
17265.3 |
18276.6 |
19292.4 |
20374.6 |
21560.4 |
22865.6 |
24288.0 |
25811.8 |
27411.8 |
29057.1 |
30714.2 |
32349.8 |
33933.2 |
35437.3 |
36840.0 |
38124.5 |
39279.9 |
40300.3 |
41185.5 |
41939.4 |
42570.0 |
43088.8 |
43509.8 |
43848.8 |
44123.2 |
44350.8 |
44549.8 |
44738.1 |
44932.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-28.760 |
-26.170 |
-22.842 |
-19.781 |
-17.173 |
-14.973 |
-13.125 |
-11.548 |
-10.152 |
-8.857 |
-7.604 |
-6.351 |
-5.078 |
-3.781 |
-2.471 |
-1.168 |
0.102 |
1.311 |
2.432 |
3.439 |
4.312 |
5.035 |
5.598 |
5.996 |
6.232 |
6.311 |
6.243 |
6.042 |
5.724 |
5.307 |
4.809 |
4.250 |
3.649 |
3.024 |
2.392 |
1.768 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.255 |
12.612 |
11.082 |
9.735 |
8.553 |
7.532 |
6.655 |
5.891 |
5.200 |
4.550 |
3.913 |
3.273 |
2.621 |
1.958 |
1.289 |
0.624 |
-0.023 |
-0.638 |
-1.207 |
-1.719 |
-2.163 |
-2.530 |
-2.817 |
-3.021 |
-3.143 |
-3.186 |
-3.154 |
-3.055 |
-2.897 |
-2.689 |
-2.440 |
-2.160 |
-1.858 |
-1.543 |
-1.225 |
-0.910 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.091 |
-0.038 |
-0.074 |
0.005 |
0.061 |
0.098 |
0.125 |
0.143 |
0.157 |
0.169 |
0.181 |
0.194 |
0.211 |
0.230 |
0.251 |
0.275 |
0.300 |
0.326 |
0.353 |
0.378 |
0.403 |
0.426 |
0.448 |
0.467 |
0.484 |
0.499 |
0.512 |
0.522 |
0.531 |
0.538 |
0.544 |
0.548 |
0.552 |
0.555 |
0.557 |
0.560 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.053 |
-0.041 |
-0.049 |
-0.137 |
-0.173 |
-0.177 |
-0.161 |
-0.133 |
-0.097 |
-0.060 |
-0.026 |
0.005 |
0.029 |
0.047 |
0.059 |
0.065 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.061 |
0.054 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.031 |
0.024 |
0.018 |
0.012 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.039 |
-0.080 |
-0.123 |
-0.133 |
-0.113 |
-0.079 |
-0.037 |
0.011 |
0.060 |
0.108 |
0.155 |
0.199 |
0.239 |
0.276 |
0.310 |
0.340 |
0.367 |
0.392 |
0.413 |
0.433 |
0.450 |
0.466 |
0.479 |
0.491 |
0.502 |
0.511 |
0.519 |
0.527 |
0.533 |
0.539 |
0.544 |
0.549 |
0.554 |
0.559 |
0.563 |
0.568 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.024 |
0.011 |
-0.060 |
-0.136 |
-0.181 |
-0.190 |
-0.156 |
-0.078 |
0.043 |
0.204 |
0.402 |
0.632 |
0.889 |
1.169 |
1.468 |
1.782 |
2.106 |
2.439 |
2.777 |
3.119 |
3.461 |
3.802 |
4.141 |
4.477 |
4.808 |
5.134 |
5.454 |
5.768 |
6.075 |
6.375 |
6.669 |
6.956 |
7.236 |
7.511 |
7.779 |
8.043 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.089 |
0.144 |
0.222 |
0.226 |
0.182 |
0.109 |
0.016 |
-0.091 |
-0.207 |
-0.330 |
-0.462 |
-0.604 |
-0.758 |
-0.927 |
-1.111 |
-1.313 |
-1.533 |
-1.770 |
-2.023 |
-2.292 |
-2.574 |
-2.866 |
-3.167 |
-3.474 |
-3.784 |
-4.095 |
-4.405 |
-4.711 |
-5.012 |
-5.307 |
-5.595 |
-5.874 |
-6.145 |
-6.407 |
-6.660 |
-6.905 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.092 |
-0.175 |
-0.270 |
-0.335 |
-0.375 |
-0.401 |
-0.419 |
-0.435 |
-0.452 |
-0.472 |
-0.496 |
-0.524 |
-0.556 |
-0.589 |
-0.623 |
-0.655 |
-0.684 |
-0.709 |
-0.729 |
-0.743 |
-0.751 |
-0.754 |
-0.750 |
-0.741 |
-0.727 |
-0.709 |
-0.688 |
-0.664 |
-0.638 |
-0.612 |
-0.585 |
-0.558 |
-0.533 |
-0.508 |
-0.486 |
-0.466 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.028 |
-0.044 |
-0.062 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.061 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.030 |
-0.027 |
-0.024 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.122 |
-0.223 |
-0.318 |
-0.399 |
-0.474 |
-0.543 |
-0.606 |
-0.664 |
-0.717 |
-0.766 |
-0.810 |
-0.850 |
-0.885 |
-0.915 |
-0.939 |
-0.959 |
-0.972 |
-0.981 |
-0.984 |
-0.983 |
-0.977 |
-0.967 |
-0.954 |
-0.938 |
-0.919 |
-0.900 |
-0.879 |
-0.858 |
-0.837 |
-0.816 |
-0.797 |
-0.778 |
-0.762 |
-0.747 |
-0.734 |
-0.724 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.293 |
-0.631 |
-0.914 |
-1.139 |
-1.337 |
-1.513 |
-1.669 |
-1.807 |
-1.930 |
-2.038 |
-2.131 |
-2.211 |
-2.277 |
-2.329 |
-2.366 |
-2.388 |
-2.397 |
-2.393 |
-2.377 |
-2.349 |
-2.311 |
-2.266 |
-2.214 |
-2.157 |
-2.097 |
-2.035 |
-1.974 |
-1.913 |
-1.856 |
-1.802 |
-1.753 |
-1.709 |
-1.671 |
-1.639 |
-1.612 |
-1.592 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.103 |
-0.196 |
-0.287 |
-0.366 |
-0.440 |
-0.510 |
-0.576 |
-0.637 |
-0.694 |
-0.748 |
-0.799 |
-0.845 |
-0.888 |
-0.926 |
-0.959 |
-0.987 |
-1.010 |
-1.027 |
-1.039 |
-1.046 |
-1.047 |
-1.044 |
-1.038 |
-1.027 |
-1.014 |
-0.998 |
-0.980 |
-0.961 |
-0.942 |
-0.922 |
-0.903 |
-0.884 |
-0.867 |
-0.851 |
-0.836 |
-0.824 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.076 |
-0.144 |
-0.207 |
-0.261 |
-0.311 |
-0.358 |
-0.401 |
-0.441 |
-0.478 |
-0.511 |
-0.542 |
-0.569 |
-0.592 |
-0.612 |
-0.628 |
-0.640 |
-0.649 |
-0.654 |
-0.655 |
-0.653 |
-0.648 |
-0.640 |
-0.631 |
-0.619 |
-0.606 |
-0.592 |
-0.577 |
-0.562 |
-0.548 |
-0.534 |
-0.520 |
-0.508 |
-0.496 |
-0.486 |
-0.478 |
-0.470 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.085 |
0.000 |
-0.021 |
0.072 |
0.116 |
0.124 |
0.111 |
0.082 |
0.046 |
0.007 |
-0.031 |
-0.065 |
-0.096 |
-0.121 |
-0.141 |
-0.157 |
-0.168 |
-0.176 |
-0.181 |
-0.183 |
-0.184 |
-0.183 |
-0.181 |
-0.179 |
-0.176 |
-0.172 |
-0.169 |
-0.165 |
-0.161 |
-0.158 |
-0.154 |
-0.151 |
-0.148 |
-0.145 |
-0.142 |
-0.140 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.102 |
-0.194 |
-0.267 |
-0.313 |
-0.343 |
-0.364 |
-0.380 |
-0.392 |
-0.402 |
-0.410 |
-0.416 |
-0.420 |
-0.421 |
-0.419 |
-0.415 |
-0.407 |
-0.397 |
-0.384 |
-0.369 |
-0.352 |
-0.334 |
-0.315 |
-0.295 |
-0.276 |
-0.258 |
-0.240 |
-0.224 |
-0.209 |
-0.196 |
-0.185 |
-0.176 |
-0.169 |
-0.163 |
-0.160 |
-0.158 |
-0.158 |
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