|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
2848.5 |
5758.0 |
7876.9 |
9286.4 |
10177.8 |
10724.7 |
11049.9 |
11242.1 |
11368.0 |
11472.6 |
11583.1 |
11713.4 |
11868.2 |
12045.6 |
12239.7 |
12442.7 |
12646.3 |
12843.0 |
13026.9 |
13194.0 |
13343.0 |
13474.9 |
13593.1 |
13703.1 |
13812.1 |
13928.8 |
14062.5 |
14222.8 |
14418.9 |
14659.4 |
14951.6 |
15301.1 |
15711.6 |
16184.6 |
16719.3 |
17312.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
733.8 |
1676.7 |
2644.5 |
3585.2 |
4462.4 |
5245.5 |
5921.0 |
6486.3 |
6946.4 |
7310.4 |
7589.5 |
7795.6 |
7940.2 |
8034.6 |
8089.0 |
8112.9 |
8114.9 |
8102.9 |
8084.3 |
8065.9 |
8054.0 |
8054.6 |
8073.0 |
8113.9 |
8181.6 |
8279.4 |
8409.9 |
8574.5 |
8773.9 |
9007.3 |
9273.1 |
9568.6 |
9889.9 |
10232.5 |
10590.9 |
10959.3 |
Investment |
fI |
2581.8 |
5518.3 |
7552.5 |
8995.7 |
10037.5 |
10739.4 |
11143.3 |
11304.5 |
11277.7 |
11116.4 |
10864.7 |
10558.9 |
10226.3 |
9887.1 |
9555.1 |
9239.7 |
8946.8 |
8680.5 |
8443.5 |
8238.7 |
8068.7 |
7936.8 |
7846.6 |
7802.0 |
7806.9 |
7864.9 |
7979.0 |
8151.2 |
8382.1 |
8670.8 |
9014.6 |
9409.2 |
9848.2 |
10323.8 |
10826.6 |
11346.2 |
Export |
fE |
1389.1 |
3148.2 |
5125.0 |
7212.7 |
9322.4 |
11369.4 |
13279.0 |
14995.1 |
16487.3 |
17742.0 |
18760.7 |
19555.2 |
20145.3 |
20555.9 |
20815.5 |
20954.3 |
21002.6 |
20990.6 |
20947.1 |
20898.9 |
20870.3 |
20883.1 |
20955.5 |
21102.6 |
21335.7 |
21662.3 |
22086.2 |
22607.2 |
23221.6 |
23922.2 |
24698.7 |
25538.2 |
26425.4 |
27343.7 |
28275.4 |
29202.6 |
Import |
fM |
2539.0 |
5458.7 |
7629.5 |
9306.2 |
10648.9 |
11797.7 |
12765.0 |
13573.7 |
14247.5 |
14807.4 |
15270.1 |
15649.2 |
15955.7 |
16199.0 |
16386.9 |
16527.0 |
16626.4 |
16692.9 |
16734.9 |
16761.4 |
16782.6 |
16808.9 |
16851.6 |
16921.9 |
17030.8 |
17188.5 |
17404.2 |
17685.4 |
18037.6 |
18464.3 |
18966.2 |
19541.5 |
20185.9 |
20892.5 |
21652.1 |
22453.6 |
GDP |
fY |
5147.2 |
10933.0 |
16002.0 |
20313.6 |
23992.3 |
26974.5 |
29350.1 |
31189.5 |
32571.3 |
33573.4 |
34266.8 |
34713.9 |
34968.5 |
35076.3 |
35075.9 |
35000.3 |
34878.3 |
34736.0 |
34597.2 |
34484.3 |
34419.0 |
34421.8 |
34512.1 |
34707.8 |
35024.8 |
35476.3 |
36072.2 |
36818.5 |
37717.0 |
38764.9 |
39954.7 |
41274.2 |
42706.8 |
44232.1 |
45826.4 |
47463.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
5.210 |
11.550 |
17.633 |
23.114 |
27.858 |
31.769 |
34.849 |
37.156 |
38.777 |
39.812 |
40.362 |
40.520 |
40.370 |
39.987 |
39.434 |
38.765 |
38.027 |
37.259 |
36.496 |
35.768 |
35.099 |
34.513 |
34.028 |
33.659 |
33.417 |
33.311 |
33.342 |
33.511 |
33.812 |
34.235 |
34.767 |
35.391 |
36.087 |
36.833 |
37.605 |
38.380 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
15.371 |
10.081 |
7.317 |
4.841 |
2.663 |
0.865 |
-0.546 |
-1.592 |
-2.310 |
-2.745 |
-2.942 |
-2.946 |
-2.795 |
-2.527 |
-2.171 |
-1.754 |
-1.301 |
-0.830 |
-0.359 |
0.096 |
0.522 |
0.909 |
1.245 |
1.523 |
1.738 |
1.886 |
1.964 |
1.974 |
1.917 |
1.800 |
1.627 |
1.409 |
1.155 |
0.876 |
0.585 |
0.292 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.216 |
-0.148 |
-0.074 |
-0.011 |
0.035 |
0.067 |
0.088 |
0.099 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.095 |
0.088 |
0.079 |
0.069 |
0.060 |
0.051 |
0.042 |
0.033 |
0.026 |
0.019 |
0.013 |
0.008 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.016 |
0.022 |
0.027 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.117 |
-0.054 |
-0.179 |
-0.259 |
-0.301 |
-0.316 |
-0.313 |
-0.296 |
-0.271 |
-0.242 |
-0.212 |
-0.183 |
-0.157 |
-0.133 |
-0.113 |
-0.096 |
-0.082 |
-0.070 |
-0.060 |
-0.052 |
-0.045 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.028 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.040 |
-0.044 |
-0.049 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.099 |
-0.202 |
-0.253 |
-0.270 |
-0.266 |
-0.249 |
-0.225 |
-0.197 |
-0.169 |
-0.141 |
-0.117 |
-0.096 |
-0.078 |
-0.064 |
-0.053 |
-0.045 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.068 |
-0.276 |
-0.508 |
-0.740 |
-0.942 |
-1.121 |
-1.265 |
-1.374 |
-1.449 |
-1.493 |
-1.510 |
-1.506 |
-1.484 |
-1.449 |
-1.403 |
-1.352 |
-1.295 |
-1.237 |
-1.177 |
-1.118 |
-1.059 |
-1.000 |
-0.943 |
-0.887 |
-0.832 |
-0.778 |
-0.725 |
-0.671 |
-0.619 |
-0.566 |
-0.514 |
-0.462 |
-0.411 |
-0.359 |
-0.309 |
-0.258 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.147 |
0.258 |
0.296 |
0.274 |
0.209 |
0.116 |
0.008 |
-0.106 |
-0.218 |
-0.324 |
-0.420 |
-0.503 |
-0.574 |
-0.631 |
-0.676 |
-0.709 |
-0.731 |
-0.743 |
-0.746 |
-0.741 |
-0.729 |
-0.712 |
-0.690 |
-0.666 |
-0.640 |
-0.614 |
-0.588 |
-0.564 |
-0.543 |
-0.527 |
-0.515 |
-0.508 |
-0.508 |
-0.513 |
-0.525 |
-0.543 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.172 |
-0.332 |
-0.443 |
-0.513 |
-0.550 |
-0.559 |
-0.546 |
-0.516 |
-0.476 |
-0.430 |
-0.379 |
-0.328 |
-0.278 |
-0.230 |
-0.185 |
-0.144 |
-0.107 |
-0.074 |
-0.046 |
-0.023 |
-0.004 |
0.010 |
0.019 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.016 |
0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.019 |
-0.034 |
-0.049 |
-0.065 |
-0.079 |
-0.092 |
-0.103 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.033 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.040 |
-0.024 |
-0.007 |
0.010 |
0.024 |
0.037 |
0.047 |
0.054 |
0.060 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.066 |
0.066 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.046 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.110 |
-0.178 |
-0.229 |
-0.265 |
-0.287 |
-0.296 |
-0.294 |
-0.283 |
-0.266 |
-0.245 |
-0.220 |
-0.195 |
-0.169 |
-0.145 |
-0.122 |
-0.102 |
-0.085 |
-0.071 |
-0.061 |
-0.054 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.052 |
-0.057 |
-0.064 |
-0.072 |
-0.082 |
-0.092 |
-0.102 |
-0.112 |
-0.121 |
-0.129 |
-0.135 |
-0.139 |
-0.142 |
-0.142 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.263 |
-0.511 |
-0.675 |
-0.784 |
-0.844 |
-0.864 |
-0.851 |
-0.814 |
-0.759 |
-0.694 |
-0.624 |
-0.552 |
-0.483 |
-0.419 |
-0.361 |
-0.312 |
-0.272 |
-0.242 |
-0.221 |
-0.210 |
-0.208 |
-0.214 |
-0.227 |
-0.246 |
-0.270 |
-0.296 |
-0.325 |
-0.355 |
-0.383 |
-0.410 |
-0.433 |
-0.453 |
-0.467 |
-0.477 |
-0.480 |
-0.478 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.092 |
-0.160 |
-0.215 |
-0.255 |
-0.283 |
-0.298 |
-0.303 |
-0.299 |
-0.288 |
-0.273 |
-0.255 |
-0.234 |
-0.213 |
-0.193 |
-0.173 |
-0.155 |
-0.139 |
-0.126 |
-0.116 |
-0.108 |
-0.103 |
-0.101 |
-0.102 |
-0.105 |
-0.110 |
-0.117 |
-0.125 |
-0.134 |
-0.143 |
-0.153 |
-0.162 |
-0.170 |
-0.178 |
-0.183 |
-0.187 |
-0.190 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.069 |
-0.116 |
-0.152 |
-0.179 |
-0.196 |
-0.205 |
-0.206 |
-0.202 |
-0.193 |
-0.181 |
-0.167 |
-0.152 |
-0.137 |
-0.122 |
-0.108 |
-0.095 |
-0.084 |
-0.076 |
-0.069 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.065 |
-0.069 |
-0.075 |
-0.081 |
-0.087 |
-0.094 |
-0.100 |
-0.106 |
-0.111 |
-0.115 |
-0.119 |
-0.120 |
-0.121 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.203 |
-0.081 |
0.035 |
0.109 |
0.142 |
0.149 |
0.140 |
0.121 |
0.097 |
0.072 |
0.049 |
0.027 |
0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.016 |
-0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.029 |
-0.028 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.097 |
-0.170 |
-0.203 |
-0.211 |
-0.202 |
-0.184 |
-0.161 |
-0.135 |
-0.109 |
-0.084 |
-0.061 |
-0.040 |
-0.023 |
-0.009 |
0.002 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.010 |
0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.011 |
-0.020 |
-0.028 |
-0.036 |
-0.044 |
-0.051 |
-0.057 |
-0.061 |
-0.064 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.061 |
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