|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1384.7 |
2530.7 |
2925.0 |
2682.3 |
2033.1 |
1164.6 |
204.0 |
-748.0 |
-1612.8 |
-2337.4 |
-2888.0 |
-3246.6 |
-3408.2 |
-3377.3 |
-3166.5 |
-2793.8 |
-2281.2 |
-1653.3 |
-935.8 |
-154.9 |
663.8 |
1496.1 |
2319.5 |
3113.7 |
3860.8 |
4545.7 |
5156.2 |
5682.7 |
6118.5 |
6460.0 |
6705.9 |
6857.7 |
6919.1 |
6895.9 |
6795.8 |
6628.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-73.5 |
-142.1 |
-195.9 |
-227.4 |
-241.4 |
-243.5 |
-239.1 |
-233.0 |
-229.0 |
-230.1 |
-238.1 |
-254.1 |
-278.6 |
-311.2 |
-351.2 |
-397.5 |
-448.7 |
-503.4 |
-559.9 |
-616.6 |
-672.3 |
-725.4 |
-774.9 |
-819.9 |
-859.6 |
-893.5 |
-921.3 |
-943.0 |
-958.6 |
-968.6 |
-973.3 |
-973.3 |
-969.4 |
-962.4 |
-953.0 |
-942.2 |
Investment |
fI |
1257.4 |
2498.0 |
3143.4 |
3467.0 |
3620.0 |
3670.7 |
3658.5 |
3639.8 |
3660.2 |
3756.7 |
3951.6 |
4256.6 |
4671.4 |
5186.9 |
5786.4 |
6448.4 |
7148.2 |
7860.4 |
8559.6 |
9222.6 |
9828.9 |
10361.5 |
10807.2 |
11157.2 |
11406.4 |
11553.8 |
11602.0 |
11556.9 |
11427.1 |
11223.5 |
10958.8 |
10647.1 |
10303.2 |
9942.5 |
9579.8 |
9230.0 |
Export |
fE |
1313.8 |
2991.7 |
4987.7 |
7248.7 |
9742.8 |
12421.4 |
15240.3 |
18154.5 |
21130.2 |
24133.4 |
27133.9 |
30100.4 |
33001.8 |
35806.8 |
38484.2 |
41003.7 |
43336.9 |
45458.3 |
47346.2 |
48983.7 |
50359.5 |
51468.2 |
52310.8 |
52894.8 |
53234.1 |
53348.3 |
53262.5 |
53006.5 |
52613.6 |
52120.3 |
51564.7 |
50985.7 |
50422.0 |
49911.1 |
49488.5 |
49186.6 |
Import |
fM |
1149.7 |
2376.5 |
3097.2 |
3524.5 |
3839.7 |
4144.1 |
4482.6 |
4893.4 |
5408.0 |
6044.6 |
6811.0 |
7705.8 |
8719.8 |
9836.8 |
11035.5 |
12291.0 |
13576.2 |
14863.1 |
16124.3 |
17333.8 |
18468.2 |
19507.2 |
20434.1 |
21236.5 |
21906.0 |
22438.6 |
22834.3 |
23097.3 |
23235.3 |
23259.2 |
23182.7 |
23021.9 |
22794.5 |
22519.6 |
22216.7 |
21905.9 |
GDP |
fY |
2790.9 |
5622.8 |
7945.7 |
9867.6 |
11591.3 |
13151.0 |
14650.9 |
16166.8 |
17759.5 |
19468.4 |
21313.0 |
23294.2 |
25397.0 |
27593.5 |
29846.1 |
32111.0 |
34341.6 |
36490.9 |
38514.7 |
40373.2 |
42033.1 |
43468.3 |
44660.8 |
45601.4 |
46288.9 |
46730.5 |
46940.6 |
46940.4 |
46756.6 |
46420.6 |
45967.1 |
45433.3 |
44857.6 |
44278.3 |
43733.0 |
43257.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.559 |
5.529 |
8.390 |
11.061 |
13.558 |
15.894 |
18.112 |
20.261 |
22.388 |
24.523 |
26.683 |
28.867 |
31.061 |
33.238 |
35.364 |
37.401 |
39.308 |
41.046 |
42.580 |
43.882 |
44.930 |
45.710 |
46.217 |
46.454 |
46.432 |
46.169 |
45.688 |
45.019 |
44.193 |
43.247 |
42.215 |
41.134 |
40.040 |
38.967 |
37.944 |
37.001 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.872 |
13.288 |
12.106 |
11.009 |
9.933 |
8.906 |
7.912 |
6.934 |
5.955 |
4.964 |
3.956 |
2.933 |
1.904 |
0.884 |
-0.109 |
-1.056 |
-1.936 |
-2.729 |
-3.419 |
-3.990 |
-4.432 |
-4.739 |
-4.906 |
-4.937 |
-4.836 |
-4.612 |
-4.278 |
-3.847 |
-3.338 |
-2.765 |
-2.149 |
-1.508 |
-0.859 |
-0.219 |
0.396 |
0.972 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.105 |
-0.047 |
0.016 |
0.071 |
0.113 |
0.147 |
0.176 |
0.203 |
0.229 |
0.257 |
0.287 |
0.320 |
0.355 |
0.393 |
0.433 |
0.473 |
0.513 |
0.553 |
0.590 |
0.625 |
0.658 |
0.686 |
0.711 |
0.732 |
0.749 |
0.762 |
0.771 |
0.778 |
0.781 |
0.783 |
0.782 |
0.780 |
0.778 |
0.775 |
0.772 |
0.770 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.062 |
-0.039 |
-0.103 |
-0.135 |
-0.137 |
-0.122 |
-0.097 |
-0.067 |
-0.037 |
-0.009 |
0.013 |
0.030 |
0.041 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.035 |
0.025 |
0.014 |
0.003 |
-0.008 |
-0.018 |
-0.027 |
-0.033 |
-0.038 |
-0.041 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.023 |
-0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.004 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.086 |
-0.087 |
-0.064 |
-0.024 |
0.025 |
0.079 |
0.135 |
0.192 |
0.247 |
0.300 |
0.350 |
0.396 |
0.439 |
0.479 |
0.515 |
0.548 |
0.578 |
0.604 |
0.628 |
0.649 |
0.668 |
0.684 |
0.698 |
0.711 |
0.721 |
0.729 |
0.737 |
0.743 |
0.748 |
0.753 |
0.757 |
0.761 |
0.765 |
0.770 |
0.775 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.034 |
-0.025 |
0.025 |
0.122 |
0.267 |
0.461 |
0.702 |
0.984 |
1.304 |
1.658 |
2.040 |
2.446 |
2.872 |
3.313 |
3.766 |
4.227 |
4.694 |
5.163 |
5.633 |
6.100 |
6.564 |
7.022 |
7.474 |
7.917 |
8.352 |
8.777 |
9.192 |
9.597 |
9.993 |
10.378 |
10.754 |
11.121 |
11.480 |
11.832 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.096 |
0.152 |
0.153 |
0.106 |
0.023 |
-0.088 |
-0.223 |
-0.379 |
-0.557 |
-0.756 |
-0.979 |
-1.228 |
-1.504 |
-1.807 |
-2.139 |
-2.497 |
-2.881 |
-3.288 |
-3.715 |
-4.158 |
-4.613 |
-5.076 |
-5.543 |
-6.009 |
-6.470 |
-6.924 |
-7.366 |
-7.795 |
-8.208 |
-8.604 |
-8.981 |
-9.340 |
-9.681 |
-10.004 |
-10.310 |
-10.601 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.103 |
-0.197 |
-0.268 |
-0.324 |
-0.372 |
-0.417 |
-0.461 |
-0.506 |
-0.554 |
-0.604 |
-0.656 |
-0.708 |
-0.759 |
-0.807 |
-0.850 |
-0.886 |
-0.915 |
-0.935 |
-0.945 |
-0.946 |
-0.938 |
-0.921 |
-0.895 |
-0.862 |
-0.824 |
-0.780 |
-0.734 |
-0.685 |
-0.636 |
-0.588 |
-0.541 |
-0.497 |
-0.457 |
-0.422 |
-0.392 |
-0.367 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.033 |
-0.057 |
-0.068 |
-0.072 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.077 |
-0.079 |
-0.082 |
-0.086 |
-0.090 |
-0.094 |
-0.097 |
-0.100 |
-0.102 |
-0.103 |
-0.103 |
-0.102 |
-0.100 |
-0.097 |
-0.094 |
-0.089 |
-0.084 |
-0.079 |
-0.074 |
-0.069 |
-0.063 |
-0.058 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.037 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.121 |
-0.214 |
-0.303 |
-0.388 |
-0.468 |
-0.544 |
-0.614 |
-0.679 |
-0.737 |
-0.789 |
-0.835 |
-0.873 |
-0.904 |
-0.927 |
-0.942 |
-0.949 |
-0.948 |
-0.941 |
-0.926 |
-0.906 |
-0.881 |
-0.851 |
-0.819 |
-0.783 |
-0.747 |
-0.710 |
-0.674 |
-0.640 |
-0.608 |
-0.578 |
-0.552 |
-0.530 |
-0.512 |
-0.498 |
-0.489 |
-0.484 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.290 |
-0.601 |
-0.865 |
-1.105 |
-1.321 |
-1.515 |
-1.688 |
-1.839 |
-1.969 |
-2.077 |
-2.164 |
-2.229 |
-2.273 |
-2.294 |
-2.295 |
-2.275 |
-2.236 |
-2.181 |
-2.110 |
-2.027 |
-1.933 |
-1.833 |
-1.728 |
-1.621 |
-1.516 |
-1.413 |
-1.317 |
-1.229 |
-1.150 |
-1.082 |
-1.025 |
-0.981 |
-0.950 |
-0.931 |
-0.924 |
-0.928 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.100 |
-0.187 |
-0.270 |
-0.351 |
-0.429 |
-0.503 |
-0.573 |
-0.638 |
-0.699 |
-0.755 |
-0.805 |
-0.849 |
-0.885 |
-0.915 |
-0.937 |
-0.951 |
-0.957 |
-0.956 |
-0.948 |
-0.933 |
-0.912 |
-0.887 |
-0.857 |
-0.824 |
-0.788 |
-0.752 |
-0.715 |
-0.680 |
-0.645 |
-0.613 |
-0.584 |
-0.558 |
-0.536 |
-0.519 |
-0.505 |
-0.496 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.075 |
-0.137 |
-0.195 |
-0.251 |
-0.305 |
-0.355 |
-0.401 |
-0.444 |
-0.483 |
-0.516 |
-0.545 |
-0.569 |
-0.588 |
-0.601 |
-0.608 |
-0.610 |
-0.607 |
-0.599 |
-0.587 |
-0.571 |
-0.551 |
-0.529 |
-0.504 |
-0.479 |
-0.453 |
-0.426 |
-0.401 |
-0.377 |
-0.355 |
-0.335 |
-0.317 |
-0.302 |
-0.290 |
-0.281 |
-0.276 |
-0.273 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.101 |
-0.015 |
0.056 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.073 |
0.042 |
0.004 |
-0.035 |
-0.073 |
-0.107 |
-0.138 |
-0.163 |
-0.184 |
-0.200 |
-0.211 |
-0.219 |
-0.223 |
-0.225 |
-0.224 |
-0.222 |
-0.219 |
-0.214 |
-0.209 |
-0.204 |
-0.198 |
-0.192 |
-0.187 |
-0.181 |
-0.176 |
-0.171 |
-0.167 |
-0.163 |
-0.159 |
-0.156 |
-0.153 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.101 |
-0.189 |
-0.250 |
-0.296 |
-0.331 |
-0.361 |
-0.384 |
-0.403 |
-0.417 |
-0.426 |
-0.431 |
-0.431 |
-0.426 |
-0.417 |
-0.403 |
-0.385 |
-0.364 |
-0.339 |
-0.312 |
-0.284 |
-0.255 |
-0.226 |
-0.197 |
-0.170 |
-0.144 |
-0.121 |
-0.101 |
-0.084 |
-0.071 |
-0.061 |
-0.055 |
-0.052 |
-0.052 |
-0.055 |
-0.061 |
-0.069 |
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