|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1379.8 |
2493.2 |
2806.9 |
2425.3 |
1585.4 |
485.9 |
-733.4 |
-1961.8 |
-3113.0 |
-4130.7 |
-4979.4 |
-5641.5 |
-6112.1 |
-6396.7 |
-6507.5 |
-6461.3 |
-6278.1 |
-5979.0 |
-5585.6 |
-5119.1 |
-4599.6 |
-4045.7 |
-3474.3 |
-2900.7 |
-2338.1 |
-1798.0 |
-1290.1 |
-822.3 |
-400.9 |
-30.4 |
285.9 |
546.4 |
750.5 |
898.9 |
993.6 |
1037.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-73.2 |
-139.2 |
-187.4 |
-210.3 |
-213.1 |
-201.8 |
-183.0 |
-161.7 |
-142.5 |
-128.5 |
-121.8 |
-123.7 |
-134.4 |
-153.8 |
-181.0 |
-214.9 |
-254.4 |
-298.0 |
-344.4 |
-392.2 |
-440.3 |
-487.5 |
-532.9 |
-575.9 |
-615.7 |
-652.1 |
-684.7 |
-713.5 |
-738.3 |
-759.5 |
-777.0 |
-791.4 |
-802.7 |
-811.6 |
-818.3 |
-823.4 |
Investment |
fI |
1231.4 |
2380.5 |
2864.3 |
2984.9 |
2912.9 |
2731.5 |
2488.5 |
2247.4 |
2057.4 |
1956.8 |
1967.8 |
2101.6 |
2357.0 |
2724.6 |
3188.0 |
3726.8 |
4318.3 |
4939.5 |
5568.2 |
6184.6 |
6771.5 |
7314.7 |
7803.3 |
8229.9 |
8589.9 |
8881.4 |
9105.1 |
9263.9 |
9362.0 |
9405.4 |
9400.9 |
9355.9 |
9278.5 |
9176.6 |
9058.5 |
8931.9 |
Export |
fE |
1092.1 |
2386.7 |
3905.7 |
5637.7 |
7579.7 |
9702.2 |
11975.3 |
14361.3 |
16829.8 |
19347.7 |
21884.1 |
24407.0 |
26885.8 |
29290.3 |
31592.5 |
33766.8 |
35790.7 |
37645.6 |
39317.3 |
40795.9 |
42076.7 |
43159.5 |
44048.7 |
44753.2 |
45285.6 |
45662.0 |
45901.2 |
46024.4 |
46054.1 |
46013.9 |
45927.9 |
45819.6 |
45712.0 |
45626.8 |
45584.2 |
45602.3 |
Import |
fM |
961.2 |
1868.9 |
2184.2 |
2153.6 |
1982.8 |
1781.8 |
1605.2 |
1495.4 |
1485.2 |
1591.6 |
1820.9 |
2170.6 |
2631.2 |
3188.1 |
3823.4 |
4517.1 |
5248.9 |
5998.6 |
6747.5 |
7478.7 |
8177.4 |
8831.6 |
9431.7 |
9970.8 |
10444.2 |
10849.8 |
11187.4 |
11458.8 |
11667.2 |
11817.3 |
11914.8 |
11966.3 |
11979.0 |
11960.4 |
11918.4 |
11860.7 |
GDP |
fY |
2728.8 |
5376.4 |
7390.6 |
8906.1 |
10156.0 |
11210.8 |
12199.6 |
13218.5 |
14341.2 |
15613.6 |
17057.4 |
18673.1 |
20444.7 |
22343.0 |
24330.6 |
26365.3 |
28403.7 |
30403.7 |
32326.9 |
34140.1 |
35815.9 |
37334.1 |
38680.9 |
39849.2 |
40838.2 |
41652.6 |
42302.0 |
42800.0 |
43163.6 |
43412.2 |
43567.0 |
43650.0 |
43683.8 |
43690.7 |
43692.3 |
43709.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.533 |
5.365 |
7.969 |
10.283 |
12.360 |
14.242 |
16.004 |
17.718 |
19.447 |
21.233 |
23.096 |
25.038 |
27.042 |
29.081 |
31.118 |
33.112 |
35.023 |
36.813 |
38.448 |
39.901 |
41.151 |
42.187 |
43.001 |
43.597 |
43.982 |
44.168 |
44.174 |
44.020 |
43.729 |
43.324 |
42.832 |
42.277 |
41.682 |
41.070 |
40.461 |
39.874 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.886 |
13.378 |
12.333 |
11.418 |
10.555 |
9.756 |
8.992 |
8.233 |
7.454 |
6.638 |
5.779 |
4.879 |
3.947 |
2.998 |
2.051 |
1.127 |
0.245 |
-0.574 |
-1.314 |
-1.962 |
-2.507 |
-2.942 |
-3.266 |
-3.479 |
-3.585 |
-3.591 |
-3.504 |
-3.335 |
-3.097 |
-2.800 |
-2.458 |
-2.084 |
-1.688 |
-1.282 |
-0.877 |
-0.483 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.106 |
-0.050 |
0.007 |
0.054 |
0.087 |
0.110 |
0.129 |
0.145 |
0.162 |
0.181 |
0.203 |
0.228 |
0.257 |
0.289 |
0.324 |
0.359 |
0.396 |
0.432 |
0.467 |
0.501 |
0.532 |
0.561 |
0.587 |
0.610 |
0.630 |
0.647 |
0.661 |
0.673 |
0.683 |
0.691 |
0.697 |
0.702 |
0.706 |
0.709 |
0.712 |
0.716 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.062 |
-0.039 |
-0.100 |
-0.126 |
-0.122 |
-0.100 |
-0.068 |
-0.032 |
0.005 |
0.037 |
0.065 |
0.086 |
0.100 |
0.108 |
0.111 |
0.109 |
0.103 |
0.095 |
0.085 |
0.075 |
0.064 |
0.054 |
0.044 |
0.036 |
0.029 |
0.023 |
0.019 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.025 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.044 |
-0.089 |
-0.093 |
-0.072 |
-0.036 |
0.010 |
0.061 |
0.113 |
0.167 |
0.218 |
0.268 |
0.314 |
0.357 |
0.397 |
0.434 |
0.468 |
0.499 |
0.527 |
0.553 |
0.576 |
0.596 |
0.615 |
0.631 |
0.646 |
0.659 |
0.670 |
0.681 |
0.690 |
0.697 |
0.705 |
0.711 |
0.717 |
0.723 |
0.729 |
0.735 |
0.741 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.037 |
-0.034 |
0.006 |
0.089 |
0.217 |
0.390 |
0.605 |
0.859 |
1.148 |
1.467 |
1.812 |
2.179 |
2.563 |
2.962 |
3.371 |
3.789 |
4.210 |
4.635 |
5.060 |
5.483 |
5.903 |
6.319 |
6.728 |
7.131 |
7.527 |
7.915 |
8.295 |
8.667 |
9.030 |
9.385 |
9.733 |
10.073 |
10.406 |
10.733 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.097 |
0.159 |
0.172 |
0.147 |
0.095 |
0.025 |
-0.060 |
-0.157 |
-0.268 |
-0.395 |
-0.541 |
-0.707 |
-0.898 |
-1.114 |
-1.357 |
-1.626 |
-1.922 |
-2.241 |
-2.582 |
-2.941 |
-3.316 |
-3.703 |
-4.099 |
-4.500 |
-4.903 |
-5.305 |
-5.703 |
-6.096 |
-6.480 |
-6.856 |
-7.221 |
-7.575 |
-7.918 |
-8.249 |
-8.569 |
-8.878 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.098 |
-0.180 |
-0.238 |
-0.280 |
-0.316 |
-0.349 |
-0.384 |
-0.423 |
-0.467 |
-0.517 |
-0.571 |
-0.627 |
-0.684 |
-0.739 |
-0.791 |
-0.837 |
-0.877 |
-0.910 |
-0.934 |
-0.949 |
-0.956 |
-0.955 |
-0.947 |
-0.932 |
-0.911 |
-0.885 |
-0.856 |
-0.824 |
-0.790 |
-0.756 |
-0.722 |
-0.688 |
-0.657 |
-0.627 |
-0.600 |
-0.576 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.028 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.028 |
-0.028 |
-0.029 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.023 |
-0.019 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.013 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.120 |
-0.214 |
-0.302 |
-0.388 |
-0.471 |
-0.550 |
-0.626 |
-0.697 |
-0.765 |
-0.827 |
-0.884 |
-0.936 |
-0.980 |
-1.018 |
-1.048 |
-1.072 |
-1.087 |
-1.096 |
-1.098 |
-1.094 |
-1.085 |
-1.071 |
-1.052 |
-1.031 |
-1.007 |
-0.981 |
-0.955 |
-0.928 |
-0.902 |
-0.877 |
-0.853 |
-0.831 |
-0.811 |
-0.794 |
-0.780 |
-0.768 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.290 |
-0.603 |
-0.872 |
-1.119 |
-1.349 |
-1.561 |
-1.755 |
-1.934 |
-2.095 |
-2.239 |
-2.364 |
-2.471 |
-2.557 |
-2.624 |
-2.670 |
-2.697 |
-2.705 |
-2.695 |
-2.670 |
-2.630 |
-2.579 |
-2.518 |
-2.449 |
-2.376 |
-2.299 |
-2.221 |
-2.145 |
-2.070 |
-2.000 |
-1.936 |
-1.877 |
-1.825 |
-1.781 |
-1.744 |
-1.716 |
-1.694 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.100 |
-0.188 |
-0.272 |
-0.356 |
-0.438 |
-0.517 |
-0.595 |
-0.670 |
-0.742 |
-0.810 |
-0.874 |
-0.933 |
-0.987 |
-1.035 |
-1.075 |
-1.109 |
-1.135 |
-1.154 |
-1.167 |
-1.172 |
-1.172 |
-1.165 |
-1.154 |
-1.139 |
-1.120 |
-1.099 |
-1.076 |
-1.051 |
-1.026 |
-1.002 |
-0.978 |
-0.955 |
-0.934 |
-0.914 |
-0.897 |
-0.882 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.075 |
-0.137 |
-0.197 |
-0.255 |
-0.311 |
-0.366 |
-0.418 |
-0.467 |
-0.513 |
-0.556 |
-0.595 |
-0.629 |
-0.659 |
-0.684 |
-0.704 |
-0.718 |
-0.728 |
-0.733 |
-0.733 |
-0.730 |
-0.722 |
-0.711 |
-0.698 |
-0.683 |
-0.666 |
-0.648 |
-0.629 |
-0.611 |
-0.592 |
-0.575 |
-0.559 |
-0.544 |
-0.530 |
-0.519 |
-0.509 |
-0.501 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.099 |
-0.010 |
0.063 |
0.100 |
0.102 |
0.081 |
0.049 |
0.010 |
-0.031 |
-0.071 |
-0.107 |
-0.138 |
-0.164 |
-0.185 |
-0.202 |
-0.214 |
-0.223 |
-0.228 |
-0.231 |
-0.232 |
-0.232 |
-0.230 |
-0.228 |
-0.225 |
-0.221 |
-0.218 |
-0.213 |
-0.209 |
-0.205 |
-0.201 |
-0.197 |
-0.193 |
-0.190 |
-0.186 |
-0.183 |
-0.180 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.100 |
-0.186 |
-0.246 |
-0.292 |
-0.328 |
-0.360 |
-0.388 |
-0.411 |
-0.432 |
-0.448 |
-0.461 |
-0.469 |
-0.472 |
-0.471 |
-0.465 |
-0.454 |
-0.440 |
-0.423 |
-0.402 |
-0.380 |
-0.356 |
-0.332 |
-0.308 |
-0.284 |
-0.261 |
-0.239 |
-0.220 |
-0.202 |
-0.187 |
-0.174 |
-0.164 |
-0.156 |
-0.151 |
-0.148 |
-0.147 |
-0.148 |
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