|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1939.4 |
-4183.8 |
-5577.6 |
-6604.3 |
-7407.4 |
-8077.0 |
-8652.7 |
-9152.3 |
-9589.0 |
-9971.1 |
-10305.0 |
-10595.8 |
-10848.4 |
-11066.9 |
-11255.0 |
-11416.4 |
-11554.2 |
-11671.9 |
-11772.7 |
-11860.0 |
-11937.4 |
-12008.5 |
-12077.1 |
-12146.8 |
-12221.4 |
-12304.6 |
-12399.5 |
-12509.4 |
-12637.0 |
-12784.8 |
-12954.5 |
-13147.8 |
-13365.7 |
-13608.7 |
-13876.9 |
-14170.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
65.5 |
149.9 |
218.5 |
271.5 |
310.9 |
339.6 |
359.7 |
372.8 |
380.1 |
382.4 |
380.8 |
376.0 |
368.7 |
359.6 |
349.1 |
337.9 |
326.4 |
314.9 |
303.8 |
293.3 |
283.6 |
275.1 |
267.8 |
261.9 |
257.5 |
254.6 |
253.4 |
253.8 |
255.8 |
259.4 |
264.7 |
271.3 |
279.4 |
288.7 |
299.2 |
310.7 |
Investment |
fI |
-1576.2 |
-3524.3 |
-4335.2 |
-4806.0 |
-5185.1 |
-5454.1 |
-5599.2 |
-5631.8 |
-5565.7 |
-5422.6 |
-5221.1 |
-4979.1 |
-4711.7 |
-4432.2 |
-4151.1 |
-3877.2 |
-3617.4 |
-3376.9 |
-3159.9 |
-2969.4 |
-2807.4 |
-2675.2 |
-2573.5 |
-2502.5 |
-2461.7 |
-2450.3 |
-2467.2 |
-2511.0 |
-2579.8 |
-2671.5 |
-2784.0 |
-2914.7 |
-3061.2 |
-3220.9 |
-3390.9 |
-3568.8 |
Export |
fE |
-1222.6 |
-1933.9 |
-2296.6 |
-2439.7 |
-2419.1 |
-2250.1 |
-1946.8 |
-1517.0 |
-980.6 |
-356.4 |
333.5 |
1068.3 |
1826.8 |
2589.7 |
3339.0 |
4058.9 |
4735.7 |
5357.9 |
5916.6 |
6405.3 |
6819.5 |
7157.2 |
7418.4 |
7604.7 |
7719.7 |
7768.2 |
7756.3 |
7691.2 |
7580.5 |
7432.6 |
7256.0 |
7059.4 |
6851.3 |
6639.9 |
6432.8 |
6237.3 |
Import |
fM |
-1701.1 |
-3650.5 |
-4388.3 |
-4757.8 |
-4971.5 |
-5170.9 |
-5305.7 |
-5372.1 |
-5377.0 |
-5328.9 |
-5237.2 |
-5110.7 |
-4958.3 |
-4787.9 |
-4606.8 |
-4421.8 |
-4238.5 |
-4062.2 |
-3897.5 |
-3748.3 |
-3617.9 |
-3509.0 |
-3423.9 |
-3364.2 |
-3331.0 |
-3325.0 |
-3346.2 |
-3394.2 |
-3468.3 |
-3567.2 |
-3689.4 |
-3832.8 |
-3995.4 |
-4174.8 |
-4368.4 |
-4573.8 |
GDP |
fY |
-3054.5 |
-5994.0 |
-7696.7 |
-8853.6 |
-9658.7 |
-10147.0 |
-10367.3 |
-10355.7 |
-10149.0 |
-9785.3 |
-9300.6 |
-8728.7 |
-8100.3 |
-7442.7 |
-6779.9 |
-6132.2 |
-5516.8 |
-4947.7 |
-4436.2 |
-3990.7 |
-3617.6 |
-3320.8 |
-3102.4 |
-2962.8 |
-2900.8 |
-2913.7 |
-2997.8 |
-3148.1 |
-3358.9 |
-3623.7 |
-3935.4 |
-4286.8 |
-4670.2 |
-5078.1 |
-5502.8 |
-5937.1 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.169 |
-4.525 |
-6.195 |
-7.392 |
-8.183 |
-8.598 |
-8.674 |
-8.458 |
-7.998 |
-7.348 |
-6.556 |
-5.666 |
-4.721 |
-3.756 |
-2.801 |
-1.882 |
-1.018 |
-0.227 |
0.482 |
1.100 |
1.622 |
2.048 |
2.378 |
2.616 |
2.766 |
2.834 |
2.829 |
2.757 |
2.628 |
2.451 |
2.235 |
1.989 |
1.721 |
1.440 |
1.154 |
0.870 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.226 |
2.393 |
3.170 |
3.744 |
4.128 |
4.330 |
4.367 |
4.258 |
4.030 |
3.707 |
3.313 |
2.869 |
2.396 |
1.913 |
1.434 |
0.972 |
0.537 |
0.137 |
-0.222 |
-0.535 |
-0.800 |
-1.018 |
-1.187 |
-1.309 |
-1.387 |
-1.425 |
-1.424 |
-1.390 |
-1.327 |
-1.239 |
-1.132 |
-1.009 |
-0.874 |
-0.734 |
-0.590 |
-0.446 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.031 |
-0.101 |
-0.152 |
-0.186 |
-0.209 |
-0.223 |
-0.231 |
-0.232 |
-0.228 |
-0.220 |
-0.210 |
-0.198 |
-0.185 |
-0.172 |
-0.159 |
-0.146 |
-0.134 |
-0.124 |
-0.114 |
-0.106 |
-0.099 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.087 |
-0.086 |
-0.086 |
-0.087 |
-0.089 |
-0.092 |
-0.096 |
-0.100 |
-0.105 |
-0.110 |
-0.116 |
-0.122 |
-0.128 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.055 |
0.049 |
0.110 |
0.143 |
0.163 |
0.174 |
0.178 |
0.176 |
0.171 |
0.162 |
0.153 |
0.142 |
0.131 |
0.120 |
0.110 |
0.101 |
0.092 |
0.085 |
0.078 |
0.072 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.086 |
-0.052 |
-0.042 |
-0.043 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.053 |
-0.056 |
-0.057 |
-0.058 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.033 |
-0.035 |
-0.038 |
-0.041 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.052 |
-0.057 |
-0.061 |
-0.066 |
-0.070 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.000 |
-0.095 |
-0.192 |
-0.285 |
-0.384 |
-0.475 |
-0.565 |
-0.654 |
-0.741 |
-0.825 |
-0.905 |
-0.980 |
-1.051 |
-1.117 |
-1.178 |
-1.234 |
-1.285 |
-1.333 |
-1.377 |
-1.418 |
-1.457 |
-1.495 |
-1.531 |
-1.568 |
-1.605 |
-1.644 |
-1.684 |
-1.726 |
-1.770 |
-1.817 |
-1.866 |
-1.918 |
-1.973 |
-2.031 |
-2.091 |
-2.154 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.059 |
0.186 |
0.351 |
0.542 |
0.746 |
0.957 |
1.165 |
1.365 |
1.552 |
1.722 |
1.873 |
2.005 |
2.117 |
2.209 |
2.283 |
2.341 |
2.383 |
2.412 |
2.429 |
2.437 |
2.437 |
2.432 |
2.422 |
2.410 |
2.396 |
2.383 |
2.371 |
2.362 |
2.356 |
2.353 |
2.356 |
2.362 |
2.374 |
2.391 |
2.413 |
2.440 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.103 |
0.174 |
0.193 |
0.187 |
0.165 |
0.131 |
0.087 |
0.037 |
-0.016 |
-0.069 |
-0.122 |
-0.172 |
-0.218 |
-0.260 |
-0.298 |
-0.330 |
-0.357 |
-0.379 |
-0.395 |
-0.408 |
-0.416 |
-0.420 |
-0.420 |
-0.418 |
-0.413 |
-0.406 |
-0.397 |
-0.387 |
-0.376 |
-0.364 |
-0.352 |
-0.341 |
-0.329 |
-0.318 |
-0.308 |
-0.299 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.049 |
0.079 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.089 |
0.087 |
0.083 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
0.073 |
0.075 |
0.076 |
0.078 |
0.080 |
0.082 |
0.084 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
User cost |
uim |
0.073 |
0.084 |
0.075 |
0.059 |
0.038 |
0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.047 |
-0.077 |
-0.106 |
-0.134 |
-0.160 |
-0.182 |
-0.202 |
-0.219 |
-0.232 |
-0.242 |
-0.248 |
-0.252 |
-0.253 |
-0.252 |
-0.248 |
-0.243 |
-0.236 |
-0.227 |
-0.219 |
-0.209 |
-0.199 |
-0.189 |
-0.180 |
-0.171 |
-0.162 |
-0.154 |
-0.147 |
-0.141 |
-0.136 |
Wage |
lna |
0.008 |
-0.032 |
-0.098 |
-0.176 |
-0.265 |
-0.360 |
-0.456 |
-0.551 |
-0.642 |
-0.726 |
-0.802 |
-0.869 |
-0.926 |
-0.972 |
-1.008 |
-1.034 |
-1.050 |
-1.058 |
-1.058 |
-1.051 |
-1.038 |
-1.020 |
-0.999 |
-0.974 |
-0.948 |
-0.921 |
-0.893 |
-0.865 |
-0.839 |
-0.814 |
-0.792 |
-0.771 |
-0.753 |
-0.738 |
-0.725 |
-0.716 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.188 |
0.229 |
0.225 |
0.213 |
0.194 |
0.169 |
0.141 |
0.110 |
0.079 |
0.047 |
0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.040 |
-0.064 |
-0.085 |
-0.103 |
-0.117 |
-0.129 |
-0.137 |
-0.142 |
-0.145 |
-0.145 |
-0.143 |
-0.139 |
-0.134 |
-0.127 |
-0.119 |
-0.111 |
-0.102 |
-0.093 |
-0.085 |
-0.076 |
-0.068 |
-0.061 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.285 |
-0.321 |
-0.329 |
-0.342 |
-0.358 |
-0.377 |
-0.397 |
-0.418 |
-0.440 |
-0.460 |
-0.480 |
-0.497 |
-0.513 |
-0.527 |
-0.539 |
-0.548 |
-0.555 |
-0.560 |
-0.562 |
-0.563 |
-0.563 |
-0.560 |
-0.557 |
-0.552 |
-0.547 |
-0.541 |
-0.535 |
-0.529 |
-0.522 |
-0.516 |
-0.510 |
-0.504 |
-0.499 |
-0.495 |
-0.491 |
-0.488 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.116 |
0.055 |
-0.003 |
-0.036 |
-0.052 |
-0.061 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.066 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.066 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.071 |
0.069 |
0.047 |
0.018 |
-0.012 |
-0.042 |
-0.069 |
-0.094 |
-0.115 |
-0.132 |
-0.146 |
-0.156 |
-0.163 |
-0.166 |
-0.167 |
-0.166 |
-0.162 |
-0.157 |
-0.150 |
-0.142 |
-0.134 |
-0.125 |
-0.116 |
-0.107 |
-0.098 |
-0.090 |
-0.082 |
-0.075 |
-0.069 |
-0.064 |
-0.059 |
-0.056 |
-0.053 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
|
|
|
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|
|
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