|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1387.9 |
-1618.3 |
-1759.7 |
-1831.8 |
-1867.4 |
-1846.9 |
-1793.1 |
-1718.2 |
-1634.3 |
-1550.4 |
-1474.6 |
-1413.5 |
-1372.1 |
-1354.3 |
-1362.4 |
-1397.7 |
-1460.1 |
-1548.9 |
-1662.1 |
-1797.3 |
-1951.6 |
-2121.6 |
-2303.7 |
-2494.5 |
-2690.3 |
-2887.9 |
-3083.9 |
-3275.7 |
-3460.8 |
-3636.9 |
-3802.5 |
-3956.3 |
-4097.5 |
-4225.4 |
-4340.2 |
-4442.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-49.4 |
-36.4 |
-37.7 |
-41.0 |
-43.3 |
-44.9 |
-46.0 |
-46.6 |
-46.7 |
-46.2 |
-45.0 |
-42.9 |
-39.9 |
-36.1 |
-31.3 |
-25.6 |
-19.2 |
-12.1 |
-4.5 |
3.4 |
11.5 |
19.6 |
27.5 |
35.0 |
42.0 |
48.3 |
53.9 |
58.7 |
62.6 |
65.6 |
67.7 |
68.9 |
69.3 |
68.8 |
67.7 |
66.0 |
Investment |
fI |
813.1 |
1036.3 |
658.7 |
381.0 |
200.9 |
48.7 |
-84.0 |
-202.8 |
-309.7 |
-410.2 |
-507.1 |
-603.7 |
-702.1 |
-803.7 |
-909.2 |
-1018.4 |
-1130.6 |
-1244.3 |
-1357.8 |
-1469.1 |
-1576.0 |
-1676.5 |
-1768.4 |
-1850.2 |
-1920.4 |
-1977.9 |
-2022.1 |
-2052.7 |
-2069.9 |
-2074.3 |
-2066.7 |
-2048.2 |
-2020.2 |
-1984.5 |
-1942.6 |
-1896.4 |
Export |
fE |
4014.3 |
4462.4 |
4808.1 |
5017.5 |
5073.5 |
4992.9 |
4790.0 |
4490.7 |
4113.6 |
3679.8 |
3206.8 |
2711.7 |
2209.4 |
1713.4 |
1235.7 |
786.5 |
374.6 |
7.0 |
-310.6 |
-574.3 |
-781.3 |
-930.5 |
-1021.9 |
-1056.8 |
-1037.7 |
-967.7 |
-851.2 |
-693.0 |
-498.4 |
-273.4 |
-23.8 |
244.0 |
524.0 |
810.2 |
1097.0 |
1379.1 |
Import |
fM |
-893.6 |
-664.6 |
-651.5 |
-585.6 |
-467.6 |
-366.8 |
-290.3 |
-237.2 |
-208.9 |
-205.4 |
-226.6 |
-271.5 |
-338.7 |
-425.9 |
-530.7 |
-650.1 |
-780.9 |
-919.6 |
-1062.9 |
-1207.1 |
-1349.1 |
-1485.8 |
-1614.4 |
-1732.6 |
-1838.4 |
-1930.5 |
-2007.8 |
-2069.8 |
-2116.5 |
-2148.0 |
-2165.2 |
-2169.0 |
-2160.8 |
-2142.2 |
-2114.8 |
-2080.5 |
GDP |
fY |
4219.7 |
4480.2 |
4389.7 |
4261.8 |
4086.1 |
3828.9 |
3515.2 |
3157.6 |
2764.4 |
2343.6 |
1902.4 |
1447.4 |
985.0 |
521.3 |
62.6 |
-385.2 |
-815.9 |
-1223.8 |
-1603.3 |
-1949.5 |
-2258.0 |
-2525.2 |
-2748.3 |
-2925.5 |
-3056.1 |
-3140.3 |
-3179.3 |
-3175.1 |
-3130.7 |
-3049.8 |
-2936.7 |
-2796.1 |
-2633.1 |
-2453.0 |
-2261.2 |
-2063.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
4.623 |
5.840 |
6.307 |
6.457 |
6.371 |
6.112 |
5.727 |
5.251 |
4.711 |
4.130 |
3.523 |
2.907 |
2.293 |
1.691 |
1.111 |
0.562 |
0.050 |
-0.419 |
-0.839 |
-1.207 |
-1.520 |
-1.777 |
-1.976 |
-2.119 |
-2.207 |
-2.243 |
-2.230 |
-2.174 |
-2.078 |
-1.949 |
-1.792 |
-1.612 |
-1.416 |
-1.210 |
-0.999 |
-0.787 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.613 |
-2.951 |
-3.148 |
-3.227 |
-3.190 |
-3.068 |
-2.882 |
-2.649 |
-2.383 |
-2.094 |
-1.791 |
-1.482 |
-1.173 |
-0.870 |
-0.577 |
-0.299 |
-0.040 |
0.198 |
0.412 |
0.600 |
0.759 |
0.890 |
0.993 |
1.066 |
1.112 |
1.132 |
1.127 |
1.100 |
1.052 |
0.988 |
0.909 |
0.819 |
0.721 |
0.617 |
0.511 |
0.404 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.072 |
0.088 |
0.081 |
0.081 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.051 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.038 |
0.034 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
0.030 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.041 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.115 |
-0.099 |
-0.062 |
-0.042 |
-0.029 |
-0.020 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.029 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.042 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.012 |
0.019 |
0.038 |
0.051 |
0.058 |
0.061 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.053 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
0.034 |
0.026 |
0.020 |
0.013 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.111 |
-0.130 |
-0.101 |
-0.051 |
0.018 |
0.091 |
0.166 |
0.240 |
0.311 |
0.376 |
0.435 |
0.487 |
0.532 |
0.570 |
0.602 |
0.628 |
0.649 |
0.665 |
0.678 |
0.688 |
0.696 |
0.703 |
0.709 |
0.716 |
0.723 |
0.731 |
0.740 |
0.752 |
0.765 |
0.781 |
0.798 |
0.819 |
0.841 |
0.867 |
0.894 |
0.923 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.114 |
-0.218 |
-0.310 |
-0.398 |
-0.482 |
-0.562 |
-0.635 |
-0.702 |
-0.761 |
-0.814 |
-0.859 |
-0.897 |
-0.929 |
-0.953 |
-0.971 |
-0.983 |
-0.989 |
-0.991 |
-0.988 |
-0.981 |
-0.972 |
-0.960 |
-0.946 |
-0.932 |
-0.918 |
-0.905 |
-0.893 |
-0.883 |
-0.875 |
-0.870 |
-0.869 |
-0.870 |
-0.876 |
-0.884 |
-0.897 |
-0.913 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.203 |
-0.200 |
-0.186 |
-0.173 |
-0.160 |
-0.146 |
-0.130 |
-0.115 |
-0.099 |
-0.084 |
-0.069 |
-0.055 |
-0.042 |
-0.030 |
-0.019 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.009 |
-0.016 |
-0.024 |
-0.033 |
-0.042 |
-0.050 |
-0.059 |
-0.068 |
-0.076 |
-0.083 |
-0.090 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.057 |
-0.024 |
-0.002 |
0.011 |
0.021 |
0.029 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.044 |
0.047 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
User cost |
uim |
0.529 |
0.568 |
0.607 |
0.647 |
0.686 |
0.725 |
0.761 |
0.796 |
0.827 |
0.857 |
0.883 |
0.907 |
0.927 |
0.945 |
0.959 |
0.971 |
0.981 |
0.988 |
0.992 |
0.994 |
0.995 |
0.993 |
0.990 |
0.986 |
0.981 |
0.976 |
0.969 |
0.963 |
0.956 |
0.949 |
0.943 |
0.937 |
0.931 |
0.926 |
0.922 |
0.918 |
Wage |
lna |
0.109 |
0.183 |
0.259 |
0.338 |
0.416 |
0.492 |
0.563 |
0.628 |
0.688 |
0.740 |
0.786 |
0.825 |
0.857 |
0.882 |
0.900 |
0.912 |
0.918 |
0.918 |
0.914 |
0.905 |
0.893 |
0.877 |
0.859 |
0.839 |
0.818 |
0.796 |
0.774 |
0.753 |
0.732 |
0.712 |
0.694 |
0.678 |
0.663 |
0.651 |
0.640 |
0.632 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.381 |
0.432 |
0.471 |
0.511 |
0.550 |
0.588 |
0.624 |
0.659 |
0.692 |
0.722 |
0.751 |
0.777 |
0.800 |
0.821 |
0.839 |
0.854 |
0.867 |
0.877 |
0.885 |
0.891 |
0.894 |
0.896 |
0.896 |
0.895 |
0.892 |
0.888 |
0.883 |
0.878 |
0.873 |
0.867 |
0.861 |
0.855 |
0.850 |
0.844 |
0.840 |
0.835 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.425 |
-0.392 |
-0.364 |
-0.336 |
-0.309 |
-0.284 |
-0.260 |
-0.237 |
-0.217 |
-0.198 |
-0.182 |
-0.167 |
-0.154 |
-0.144 |
-0.135 |
-0.128 |
-0.123 |
-0.119 |
-0.117 |
-0.117 |
-0.117 |
-0.119 |
-0.122 |
-0.125 |
-0.129 |
-0.134 |
-0.138 |
-0.143 |
-0.148 |
-0.153 |
-0.158 |
-0.162 |
-0.166 |
-0.170 |
-0.173 |
-0.176 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.014 |
-0.019 |
-0.052 |
-0.068 |
-0.081 |
-0.087 |
-0.091 |
-0.091 |
-0.089 |
-0.085 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.068 |
-0.062 |
-0.056 |
-0.051 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.002 |
0.022 |
0.039 |
0.053 |
0.065 |
0.076 |
0.085 |
0.092 |
0.098 |
0.102 |
0.105 |
0.106 |
0.105 |
0.103 |
0.100 |
0.096 |
0.091 |
0.085 |
0.078 |
0.071 |
0.064 |
0.056 |
0.049 |
0.042 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.021 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
|
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