|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
826.0 |
1538.7 |
2114.3 |
2523.5 |
2811.3 |
3009.5 |
3143.0 |
3230.8 |
3286.7 |
3321.1 |
3341.9 |
3354.4 |
3362.5 |
3368.9 |
3375.3 |
3383.0 |
3392.8 |
3405.1 |
3420.5 |
3439.3 |
3462.0 |
3489.1 |
3521.0 |
3558.1 |
3601.0 |
3650.1 |
3705.8 |
3768.4 |
3838.1 |
3915.1 |
3999.3 |
4090.7 |
4189.0 |
4293.9 |
4405.1 |
4522.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-27.6 |
-58.4 |
-85.0 |
-105.2 |
-119.3 |
-128.2 |
-132.8 |
-134.1 |
-133.0 |
-130.1 |
-126.2 |
-121.6 |
-116.8 |
-111.9 |
-107.4 |
-103.3 |
-99.7 |
-96.7 |
-94.3 |
-92.5 |
-91.4 |
-90.9 |
-91.0 |
-91.8 |
-93.0 |
-94.9 |
-97.2 |
-99.9 |
-103.1 |
-106.7 |
-110.6 |
-114.7 |
-119.2 |
-123.8 |
-128.6 |
-133.5 |
Investment |
fI |
686.1 |
1238.7 |
1481.0 |
1633.1 |
1723.2 |
1755.5 |
1736.3 |
1675.4 |
1583.7 |
1471.8 |
1349.2 |
1223.5 |
1101.0 |
986.1 |
882.2 |
791.2 |
714.1 |
651.2 |
602.5 |
567.3 |
544.8 |
534.1 |
534.1 |
543.7 |
561.9 |
587.5 |
619.6 |
657.1 |
699.2 |
744.7 |
793.0 |
843.1 |
894.3 |
945.9 |
997.1 |
1047.3 |
Export |
fE |
102.7 |
91.1 |
32.1 |
-62.1 |
-188.0 |
-340.2 |
-516.3 |
-711.6 |
-920.8 |
-1137.8 |
-1356.5 |
-1571.4 |
-1777.2 |
-1969.7 |
-2145.1 |
-2300.9 |
-2435.1 |
-2546.7 |
-2635.4 |
-2701.5 |
-2746.1 |
-2770.7 |
-2777.0 |
-2767.4 |
-2744.3 |
-2710.4 |
-2668.2 |
-2620.4 |
-2569.9 |
-2518.9 |
-2470.0 |
-2425.3 |
-2386.8 |
-2356.0 |
-2334.5 |
-2323.4 |
Import |
fM |
623.8 |
1093.7 |
1321.9 |
1445.3 |
1496.0 |
1507.2 |
1483.1 |
1432.7 |
1363.8 |
1283.1 |
1196.1 |
1107.3 |
1020.3 |
937.7 |
861.6 |
793.4 |
734.0 |
684.0 |
643.7 |
613.1 |
592.3 |
580.9 |
578.5 |
584.8 |
599.3 |
621.2 |
650.0 |
685.0 |
725.4 |
770.4 |
819.4 |
871.3 |
925.6 |
981.4 |
1037.9 |
1094.5 |
GDP |
fY |
1003.4 |
1795.8 |
2337.5 |
2689.2 |
2901.7 |
2976.0 |
2945.2 |
2834.0 |
2665.0 |
2458.8 |
2232.8 |
2001.4 |
1776.0 |
1565.3 |
1375.8 |
1211.7 |
1075.7 |
969.1 |
892.0 |
844.0 |
823.6 |
829.3 |
859.0 |
910.3 |
980.8 |
1068.0 |
1169.3 |
1282.1 |
1404.0 |
1532.4 |
1665.0 |
1799.5 |
1934.0 |
2066.5 |
2195.3 |
2318.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.666 |
1.292 |
1.756 |
2.068 |
2.236 |
2.270 |
2.187 |
2.010 |
1.766 |
1.477 |
1.165 |
0.846 |
0.536 |
0.245 |
-0.018 |
-0.249 |
-0.445 |
-0.604 |
-0.727 |
-0.815 |
-0.870 |
-0.896 |
-0.895 |
-0.870 |
-0.826 |
-0.766 |
-0.693 |
-0.611 |
-0.522 |
-0.430 |
-0.336 |
-0.244 |
-0.155 |
-0.071 |
0.007 |
0.077 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.376 |
-0.680 |
-0.898 |
-1.046 |
-1.125 |
-1.139 |
-1.096 |
-1.008 |
-0.886 |
-0.742 |
-0.587 |
-0.428 |
-0.273 |
-0.128 |
0.004 |
0.120 |
0.219 |
0.299 |
0.362 |
0.407 |
0.435 |
0.449 |
0.449 |
0.438 |
0.417 |
0.387 |
0.351 |
0.310 |
0.265 |
0.219 |
0.172 |
0.125 |
0.080 |
0.038 |
-0.001 |
-0.037 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.067 |
-0.048 |
-0.034 |
-0.026 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.023 |
-0.028 |
-0.035 |
-0.042 |
-0.050 |
-0.058 |
-0.067 |
-0.074 |
-0.082 |
-0.088 |
-0.095 |
-0.100 |
-0.105 |
-0.109 |
-0.113 |
-0.116 |
-0.119 |
-0.121 |
-0.123 |
-0.125 |
-0.126 |
-0.128 |
-0.129 |
-0.130 |
-0.131 |
-0.132 |
-0.134 |
-0.135 |
-0.136 |
-0.137 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.032 |
-0.005 |
-0.029 |
-0.044 |
-0.052 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.037 |
-0.031 |
-0.026 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.035 |
-0.052 |
-0.063 |
-0.070 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.079 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.085 |
-0.087 |
-0.090 |
-0.093 |
-0.096 |
-0.099 |
-0.102 |
-0.105 |
-0.108 |
-0.111 |
-0.114 |
-0.116 |
-0.119 |
-0.121 |
-0.123 |
-0.125 |
-0.127 |
-0.129 |
-0.131 |
-0.132 |
-0.134 |
-0.136 |
-0.137 |
-0.139 |
-0.140 |
-0.142 |
-0.144 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.015 |
-0.080 |
-0.148 |
-0.218 |
-0.287 |
-0.356 |
-0.424 |
-0.491 |
-0.556 |
-0.621 |
-0.685 |
-0.748 |
-0.811 |
-0.874 |
-0.937 |
-1.001 |
-1.064 |
-1.127 |
-1.191 |
-1.254 |
-1.317 |
-1.379 |
-1.441 |
-1.502 |
-1.563 |
-1.623 |
-1.682 |
-1.741 |
-1.798 |
-1.855 |
-1.911 |
-1.966 |
-2.021 |
-2.075 |
-2.128 |
-2.182 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.060 |
0.096 |
0.119 |
0.135 |
0.146 |
0.157 |
0.171 |
0.189 |
0.212 |
0.242 |
0.279 |
0.322 |
0.371 |
0.426 |
0.485 |
0.549 |
0.615 |
0.684 |
0.754 |
0.826 |
0.898 |
0.969 |
1.041 |
1.111 |
1.181 |
1.249 |
1.315 |
1.380 |
1.444 |
1.506 |
1.566 |
1.624 |
1.681 |
1.737 |
1.792 |
1.845 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.027 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.033 |
-0.021 |
-0.005 |
0.013 |
0.033 |
0.052 |
0.070 |
0.086 |
0.101 |
0.113 |
0.123 |
0.131 |
0.137 |
0.141 |
0.143 |
0.144 |
0.144 |
0.142 |
0.140 |
0.137 |
0.133 |
0.130 |
0.126 |
0.122 |
0.118 |
0.114 |
0.110 |
0.107 |
0.104 |
0.102 |
0.100 |
0.098 |
0.096 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.013 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.039 |
-0.032 |
-0.023 |
-0.015 |
-0.006 |
0.002 |
0.009 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.025 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
Wage |
lna |
0.003 |
0.016 |
0.035 |
0.057 |
0.082 |
0.107 |
0.132 |
0.155 |
0.175 |
0.193 |
0.207 |
0.218 |
0.225 |
0.230 |
0.231 |
0.230 |
0.226 |
0.221 |
0.214 |
0.206 |
0.197 |
0.188 |
0.179 |
0.170 |
0.161 |
0.153 |
0.146 |
0.139 |
0.133 |
0.129 |
0.125 |
0.122 |
0.120 |
0.119 |
0.118 |
0.119 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.124 |
-0.124 |
-0.122 |
-0.118 |
-0.113 |
-0.106 |
-0.099 |
-0.091 |
-0.084 |
-0.077 |
-0.070 |
-0.065 |
-0.061 |
-0.057 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.053 |
-0.054 |
-0.055 |
-0.057 |
-0.059 |
-0.061 |
-0.064 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.074 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.083 |
-0.085 |
-0.088 |
-0.090 |
-0.092 |
-0.093 |
-0.094 |
-0.095 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.008 |
0.013 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.030 |
0.035 |
0.039 |
0.042 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.030 |
0.028 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.022 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.058 |
-0.033 |
-0.006 |
0.011 |
0.021 |
0.027 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.001 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.029 |
0.035 |
0.039 |
0.042 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.024 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
|
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