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|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
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|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1114.8 |
2273.7 |
3178.3 |
3854.1 |
4326.3 |
4635.7 |
4822.6 |
4918.6 |
4949.5 |
4936.6 |
4895.9 |
4839.5 |
4776.3 |
4712.4 |
4652.1 |
4598.1 |
4552.3 |
4515.7 |
4489.3 |
4473.5 |
4468.7 |
4475.2 |
4493.4 |
4523.7 |
4566.2 |
4621.2 |
4688.8 |
4769.0 |
4861.6 |
4966.5 |
5083.1 |
5210.9 |
5349.2 |
5497.2 |
5653.9 |
5818.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-36.5 |
-83.9 |
-126.3 |
-160.0 |
-184.1 |
-199.3 |
-207.1 |
-209.0 |
-206.3 |
-200.4 |
-192.5 |
-183.4 |
-173.9 |
-164.6 |
-155.9 |
-148.1 |
-141.4 |
-136.0 |
-131.8 |
-128.9 |
-127.3 |
-126.9 |
-127.6 |
-129.4 |
-132.2 |
-135.9 |
-140.4 |
-145.6 |
-151.4 |
-157.8 |
-164.7 |
-171.9 |
-179.4 |
-187.1 |
-194.9 |
-202.8 |
Investment |
fI |
774.9 |
1515.5 |
1954.1 |
2230.9 |
2389.8 |
2440.5 |
2400.3 |
2286.8 |
2118.8 |
1915.4 |
1693.5 |
1467.3 |
1248.1 |
1044.3 |
861.8 |
704.2 |
573.3 |
469.6 |
392.4 |
340.3 |
311.4 |
303.4 |
313.9 |
340.7 |
381.3 |
433.5 |
495.0 |
563.8 |
638.1 |
716.0 |
796.0 |
876.6 |
956.5 |
1034.5 |
1109.6 |
1181.0 |
Export |
fE |
-29.4 |
-105.9 |
-242.4 |
-426.1 |
-650.8 |
-908.9 |
-1195.5 |
-1503.1 |
-1823.2 |
-2146.5 |
-2463.8 |
-2766.5 |
-3047.3 |
-3299.8 |
-3519.3 |
-3702.4 |
-3847.4 |
-3953.7 |
-4022.1 |
-4054.3 |
-4053.1 |
-4022.0 |
-3964.9 |
-3886.4 |
-3791.0 |
-3683.6 |
-3569.0 |
-3451.7 |
-3336.1 |
-3226.3 |
-3125.8 |
-3038.0 |
-2965.4 |
-2910.4 |
-2874.6 |
-2859.2 |
Import |
fM |
775.3 |
1488.3 |
1885.4 |
2108.0 |
2201.4 |
2214.1 |
2161.3 |
2059.6 |
1923.9 |
1767.3 |
1600.8 |
1433.1 |
1271.1 |
1119.8 |
982.9 |
862.9 |
761.3 |
678.8 |
615.5 |
571.0 |
544.7 |
535.5 |
542.4 |
564.0 |
598.9 |
645.7 |
702.8 |
768.8 |
842.0 |
921.0 |
1004.3 |
1090.3 |
1177.7 |
1265.3 |
1351.8 |
1436.2 |
GDP |
fY |
1100.9 |
2214.9 |
3019.5 |
3559.3 |
3863.3 |
3947.1 |
3856.5 |
3631.1 |
3309.5 |
2927.7 |
2516.6 |
2102.1 |
1704.3 |
1338.6 |
1016.0 |
743.3 |
524.3 |
360.3 |
250.4 |
192.4 |
182.6 |
216.8 |
290.2 |
397.9 |
534.4 |
694.7 |
873.6 |
1066.2 |
1267.8 |
1474.0 |
1680.8 |
1884.4 |
2081.8 |
2269.9 |
2446.4 |
2609.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.767 |
1.612 |
2.285 |
2.757 |
3.012 |
3.056 |
2.915 |
2.625 |
2.226 |
1.757 |
1.253 |
0.746 |
0.259 |
-0.189 |
-0.585 |
-0.921 |
-1.192 |
-1.399 |
-1.542 |
-1.626 |
-1.656 |
-1.637 |
-1.577 |
-1.482 |
-1.359 |
-1.215 |
-1.055 |
-0.886 |
-0.713 |
-0.540 |
-0.372 |
-0.213 |
-0.064 |
0.071 |
0.191 |
0.294 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.434 |
-0.853 |
-1.174 |
-1.398 |
-1.517 |
-1.532 |
-1.458 |
-1.312 |
-1.112 |
-0.879 |
-0.628 |
-0.376 |
-0.133 |
0.091 |
0.289 |
0.458 |
0.595 |
0.699 |
0.772 |
0.816 |
0.832 |
0.824 |
0.794 |
0.748 |
0.687 |
0.615 |
0.535 |
0.450 |
0.364 |
0.277 |
0.192 |
0.112 |
0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.093 |
-0.145 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.076 |
-0.050 |
-0.029 |
-0.016 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.017 |
-0.027 |
-0.039 |
-0.051 |
-0.064 |
-0.077 |
-0.089 |
-0.100 |
-0.110 |
-0.119 |
-0.127 |
-0.133 |
-0.139 |
-0.143 |
-0.147 |
-0.150 |
-0.152 |
-0.154 |
-0.155 |
-0.156 |
-0.157 |
-0.158 |
-0.159 |
-0.159 |
-0.160 |
-0.161 |
-0.162 |
-0.163 |
-0.165 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.041 |
-0.016 |
-0.057 |
-0.084 |
-0.100 |
-0.108 |
-0.109 |
-0.105 |
-0.098 |
-0.088 |
-0.078 |
-0.068 |
-0.058 |
-0.049 |
-0.042 |
-0.035 |
-0.030 |
-0.026 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.035 |
-0.066 |
-0.086 |
-0.099 |
-0.108 |
-0.114 |
-0.119 |
-0.122 |
-0.124 |
-0.127 |
-0.130 |
-0.132 |
-0.135 |
-0.139 |
-0.142 |
-0.146 |
-0.149 |
-0.153 |
-0.156 |
-0.159 |
-0.162 |
-0.164 |
-0.167 |
-0.169 |
-0.171 |
-0.173 |
-0.175 |
-0.176 |
-0.178 |
-0.180 |
-0.181 |
-0.183 |
-0.185 |
-0.186 |
-0.188 |
-0.191 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.037 |
-0.124 |
-0.220 |
-0.323 |
-0.425 |
-0.529 |
-0.632 |
-0.733 |
-0.831 |
-0.927 |
-1.021 |
-1.114 |
-1.205 |
-1.295 |
-1.385 |
-1.473 |
-1.561 |
-1.649 |
-1.735 |
-1.821 |
-1.905 |
-1.988 |
-2.070 |
-2.151 |
-2.230 |
-2.308 |
-2.384 |
-2.458 |
-2.532 |
-2.603 |
-2.674 |
-2.744 |
-2.813 |
-2.880 |
-2.948 |
-3.015 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.041 |
0.074 |
0.088 |
0.090 |
0.085 |
0.080 |
0.080 |
0.087 |
0.105 |
0.133 |
0.174 |
0.225 |
0.287 |
0.359 |
0.437 |
0.522 |
0.612 |
0.706 |
0.801 |
0.898 |
0.994 |
1.090 |
1.184 |
1.277 |
1.367 |
1.454 |
1.538 |
1.620 |
1.699 |
1.775 |
1.848 |
1.919 |
1.988 |
2.054 |
2.119 |
2.182 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.028 |
-0.047 |
-0.051 |
-0.042 |
-0.025 |
-0.001 |
0.027 |
0.056 |
0.085 |
0.112 |
0.137 |
0.158 |
0.176 |
0.189 |
0.199 |
0.205 |
0.209 |
0.209 |
0.207 |
0.204 |
0.198 |
0.192 |
0.185 |
0.177 |
0.170 |
0.162 |
0.154 |
0.147 |
0.141 |
0.135 |
0.129 |
0.125 |
0.121 |
0.118 |
0.115 |
0.114 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.012 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.016 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
User cost |
uim |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.012 |
0.021 |
0.032 |
0.044 |
0.057 |
0.069 |
0.080 |
0.090 |
0.098 |
0.105 |
0.109 |
0.112 |
0.113 |
0.112 |
0.110 |
0.106 |
0.102 |
0.097 |
0.092 |
0.086 |
0.080 |
0.075 |
0.069 |
0.064 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
0.045 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
0.041 |
Wage |
lna |
0.007 |
0.025 |
0.050 |
0.081 |
0.115 |
0.150 |
0.184 |
0.215 |
0.242 |
0.264 |
0.280 |
0.291 |
0.297 |
0.297 |
0.293 |
0.286 |
0.275 |
0.261 |
0.246 |
0.230 |
0.213 |
0.196 |
0.180 |
0.164 |
0.150 |
0.137 |
0.126 |
0.116 |
0.108 |
0.102 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.013 |
0.022 |
0.033 |
0.046 |
0.059 |
0.072 |
0.084 |
0.095 |
0.105 |
0.113 |
0.119 |
0.124 |
0.126 |
0.127 |
0.126 |
0.124 |
0.121 |
0.117 |
0.112 |
0.107 |
0.101 |
0.096 |
0.090 |
0.085 |
0.079 |
0.075 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.011 |
0.017 |
0.025 |
0.034 |
0.042 |
0.050 |
0.058 |
0.064 |
0.069 |
0.073 |
0.076 |
0.077 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.055 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.038 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.071 |
-0.026 |
0.018 |
0.049 |
0.069 |
0.080 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.084 |
0.081 |
0.076 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
0.004 |
0.013 |
0.023 |
0.032 |
0.038 |
0.043 |
0.046 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.044 |
0.041 |
0.037 |
0.032 |
0.026 |
0.021 |
0.015 |
0.010 |
0.005 |
0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
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