|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-kr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
70.4 |
-1323.1 |
-2790.5 |
-3955.8 |
-4842.9 |
-5456.3 |
-5848.6 |
-6068.3 |
-6160.3 |
-6163.2 |
-6108.1 |
-6018.8 |
-5913.0 |
-5803.7 |
-5699.5 |
-5606.4 |
-5527.7 |
-5465.6 |
-5420.7 |
-5393.5 |
-5383.7 |
-5391.1 |
-5415.2 |
-5455.7 |
-5512.3 |
-5584.6 |
-5672.2 |
-5774.8 |
-5891.9 |
-6023.1 |
-6167.5 |
-6324.6 |
-6493.4 |
-6672.9 |
-6862.1 |
-7059.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-8.7 |
395.3 |
728.7 |
1036.4 |
1315.8 |
1566.7 |
1791.4 |
1993.2 |
2175.3 |
2341.0 |
2493.2 |
2634.6 |
2767.4 |
2893.5 |
3014.4 |
3131.4 |
3245.5 |
3357.5 |
3468.1 |
3577.7 |
3686.7 |
3795.6 |
3904.4 |
4013.5 |
4123.0 |
4233.0 |
4343.6 |
4455.0 |
4567.2 |
4680.3 |
4794.4 |
4909.5 |
5025.7 |
5143.1 |
5261.6 |
5381.3 |
Investment |
fI |
2881.8 |
1537.4 |
396.3 |
-198.5 |
-569.0 |
-765.3 |
-811.8 |
-730.5 |
-546.9 |
-288.9 |
16.9 |
347.3 |
682.4 |
1007.0 |
1309.8 |
1583.1 |
1822.6 |
2026.6 |
2195.0 |
2329.7 |
2433.2 |
2508.7 |
2559.8 |
2590.0 |
2603.0 |
2602.1 |
2590.5 |
2571.1 |
2546.6 |
2519.3 |
2491.4 |
2464.7 |
2440.8 |
2421.2 |
2407.1 |
2399.3 |
Export |
fE |
-97.2 |
-170.1 |
-172.8 |
-118.4 |
-13.1 |
132.5 |
315.6 |
529.6 |
766.8 |
1017.2 |
1270.6 |
1516.6 |
1745.6 |
1949.3 |
2120.8 |
2255.0 |
2348.8 |
2400.5 |
2410.2 |
2379.3 |
2310.7 |
2208.1 |
2075.8 |
1919.0 |
1743.1 |
1553.5 |
1355.8 |
1155.4 |
957.2 |
765.9 |
585.6 |
420.1 |
272.2 |
144.5 |
38.7 |
-43.9 |
Import |
fM |
1532.3 |
381.5 |
-605.7 |
-1117.4 |
-1406.8 |
-1538.4 |
-1547.8 |
-1463.9 |
-1312.0 |
-1114.7 |
-890.9 |
-655.9 |
-421.7 |
-197.7 |
9.6 |
195.7 |
358.0 |
495.1 |
606.7 |
693.6 |
757.0 |
798.3 |
819.5 |
822.6 |
809.7 |
783.0 |
744.5 |
696.4 |
640.6 |
579.2 |
513.9 |
446.7 |
379.0 |
312.5 |
248.4 |
188.0 |
GDP |
fY |
1377.8 |
51.3 |
-1314.8 |
-2256.3 |
-2882.3 |
-3192.9 |
-3232.4 |
-3047.3 |
-2690.0 |
-2212.9 |
-1663.5 |
-1083.1 |
-505.2 |
44.0 |
545.4 |
986.0 |
1358.4 |
1659.2 |
1888.7 |
2049.6 |
2146.7 |
2186.0 |
2174.1 |
2118.4 |
2026.0 |
1904.2 |
1759.9 |
1599.8 |
1429.8 |
1255.7 |
1082.5 |
914.7 |
756.2 |
610.5 |
480.2 |
367.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.226 |
0.348 |
-0.728 |
-1.629 |
-2.308 |
-2.722 |
-2.874 |
-2.791 |
-2.517 |
-2.102 |
-1.597 |
-1.046 |
-0.490 |
0.041 |
0.524 |
0.943 |
1.288 |
1.556 |
1.745 |
1.861 |
1.908 |
1.894 |
1.828 |
1.718 |
1.572 |
1.401 |
1.211 |
1.009 |
0.804 |
0.599 |
0.401 |
0.214 |
0.041 |
-0.116 |
-0.254 |
-0.372 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.693 |
-0.104 |
0.431 |
0.858 |
1.180 |
1.372 |
1.438 |
1.391 |
1.251 |
1.043 |
0.792 |
0.518 |
0.242 |
-0.022 |
-0.263 |
-0.472 |
-0.644 |
-0.778 |
-0.874 |
-0.933 |
-0.958 |
-0.952 |
-0.920 |
-0.866 |
-0.794 |
-0.709 |
-0.614 |
-0.513 |
-0.410 |
-0.307 |
-0.207 |
-0.113 |
-0.025 |
0.054 |
0.124 |
0.184 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.063 |
0.054 |
0.013 |
-0.018 |
-0.042 |
-0.058 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
-0.063 |
-0.056 |
-0.045 |
-0.034 |
-0.022 |
-0.011 |
0.000 |
0.009 |
0.017 |
0.024 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.004 |
-0.071 |
0.010 |
0.063 |
0.100 |
0.124 |
0.136 |
0.137 |
0.132 |
0.122 |
0.110 |
0.096 |
0.082 |
0.069 |
0.057 |
0.047 |
0.039 |
0.032 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.067 |
-0.017 |
0.023 |
0.045 |
0.058 |
0.066 |
0.070 |
0.070 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.093 |
-0.074 |
-0.024 |
0.036 |
0.101 |
0.169 |
0.235 |
0.297 |
0.354 |
0.406 |
0.453 |
0.495 |
0.534 |
0.569 |
0.601 |
0.631 |
0.659 |
0.685 |
0.709 |
0.732 |
0.753 |
0.772 |
0.790 |
0.807 |
0.821 |
0.834 |
0.845 |
0.855 |
0.862 |
0.869 |
0.874 |
0.878 |
0.881 |
0.882 |
0.884 |
0.884 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.025 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
0.020 |
0.069 |
0.130 |
0.194 |
0.255 |
0.308 |
0.350 |
0.380 |
0.397 |
0.401 |
0.394 |
0.377 |
0.351 |
0.319 |
0.281 |
0.241 |
0.199 |
0.156 |
0.115 |
0.074 |
0.037 |
0.001 |
-0.031 |
-0.059 |
-0.084 |
-0.106 |
-0.124 |
-0.139 |
-0.151 |
-0.161 |
-0.168 |
-0.173 |
-0.177 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.019 |
0.041 |
0.087 |
0.110 |
0.115 |
0.108 |
0.090 |
0.066 |
0.039 |
0.011 |
-0.016 |
-0.040 |
-0.060 |
-0.076 |
-0.087 |
-0.095 |
-0.098 |
-0.099 |
-0.096 |
-0.091 |
-0.084 |
-0.075 |
-0.066 |
-0.056 |
-0.046 |
-0.036 |
-0.027 |
-0.018 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.004 |
0.010 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.014 |
0.003 |
0.013 |
0.015 |
0.012 |
0.007 |
0.000 |
-0.006 |
-0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.021 |
-0.024 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
-0.028 |
-0.028 |
-0.027 |
-0.027 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
User cost |
uim |
0.222 |
0.279 |
0.342 |
0.396 |
0.439 |
0.475 |
0.503 |
0.527 |
0.546 |
0.563 |
0.578 |
0.593 |
0.607 |
0.620 |
0.634 |
0.648 |
0.662 |
0.676 |
0.691 |
0.705 |
0.718 |
0.732 |
0.744 |
0.756 |
0.767 |
0.778 |
0.787 |
0.795 |
0.802 |
0.809 |
0.814 |
0.818 |
0.821 |
0.824 |
0.826 |
0.827 |
Wage |
lna |
0.013 |
0.020 |
0.013 |
-0.004 |
-0.029 |
-0.059 |
-0.091 |
-0.123 |
-0.152 |
-0.177 |
-0.197 |
-0.211 |
-0.219 |
-0.221 |
-0.218 |
-0.210 |
-0.198 |
-0.184 |
-0.166 |
-0.148 |
-0.128 |
-0.109 |
-0.090 |
-0.072 |
-0.055 |
-0.040 |
-0.027 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
0.000 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.006 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.000 |
-0.009 |
-0.020 |
-0.031 |
-0.043 |
-0.055 |
-0.065 |
-0.073 |
-0.080 |
-0.085 |
-0.087 |
-0.088 |
-0.087 |
-0.084 |
-0.080 |
-0.075 |
-0.069 |
-0.063 |
-0.056 |
-0.049 |
-0.042 |
-0.036 |
-0.030 |
-0.024 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
-0.001 |
-0.008 |
-0.015 |
-0.022 |
-0.030 |
-0.036 |
-0.042 |
-0.046 |
-0.049 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.042 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.020 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.040 |
0.081 |
0.015 |
-0.038 |
-0.080 |
-0.107 |
-0.123 |
-0.129 |
-0.130 |
-0.127 |
-0.121 |
-0.114 |
-0.107 |
-0.101 |
-0.095 |
-0.090 |
-0.086 |
-0.083 |
-0.080 |
-0.078 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.069 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.007 |
0.003 |
0.007 |
0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.020 |
-0.033 |
-0.044 |
-0.054 |
-0.061 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.062 |
-0.058 |
-0.053 |
-0.048 |
-0.042 |
-0.037 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
|
|
|
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|
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|
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