|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
169.7 |
-1036.8 |
-2410.8 |
-3493.2 |
-4319.8 |
-4889.0 |
-5246.9 |
-5439.5 |
-5510.1 |
-5496.5 |
-5428.9 |
-5330.4 |
-5218.2 |
-5104.6 |
-4997.9 |
-4903.3 |
-4823.9 |
-4761.2 |
-4715.8 |
-4687.6 |
-4676.0 |
-4680.5 |
-4700.4 |
-4735.2 |
-4784.3 |
-4847.2 |
-4923.5 |
-5012.8 |
-5114.5 |
-5228.1 |
-5353.1 |
-5488.7 |
-5634.1 |
-5788.6 |
-5951.2 |
-6120.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-14.0 |
158.3 |
339.4 |
514.4 |
678.6 |
829.9 |
968.9 |
1097.2 |
1216.6 |
1329.2 |
1436.7 |
1540.8 |
1642.9 |
1743.8 |
1844.6 |
1945.7 |
2047.6 |
2150.7 |
2255.0 |
2360.6 |
2467.6 |
2576.0 |
2685.7 |
2796.7 |
2908.9 |
3022.3 |
3136.8 |
3252.3 |
3368.9 |
3486.4 |
3604.9 |
3724.3 |
3844.7 |
3965.9 |
4087.9 |
4210.9 |
Investment |
fI |
2825.1 |
1940.8 |
908.7 |
332.3 |
-13.9 |
-194.6 |
-232.4 |
-148.9 |
31.3 |
282.0 |
577.9 |
897.0 |
1220.6 |
1534.3 |
1827.5 |
2093.1 |
2327.3 |
2528.4 |
2696.8 |
2834.3 |
2943.3 |
3027.1 |
3089.1 |
3132.7 |
3161.3 |
3178.0 |
3185.9 |
3187.6 |
3185.5 |
3181.7 |
3178.0 |
3176.2 |
3177.6 |
3183.3 |
3194.5 |
3211.9 |
Export |
fE |
-65.1 |
-144.0 |
-169.8 |
-146.9 |
-82.2 |
16.5 |
147.0 |
304.6 |
482.7 |
673.0 |
866.7 |
1054.6 |
1228.3 |
1380.4 |
1504.9 |
1597.3 |
1654.7 |
1675.6 |
1660.2 |
1609.7 |
1526.5 |
1414.0 |
1276.0 |
1117.1 |
941.8 |
755.0 |
561.5 |
365.9 |
172.5 |
-14.6 |
-192.0 |
-356.6 |
-505.8 |
-637.6 |
-750.6 |
-843.8 |
Import |
fM |
961.8 |
93.8 |
-847.2 |
-1367.4 |
-1662.4 |
-1807.1 |
-1834.3 |
-1772.6 |
-1646.2 |
-1476.9 |
-1282.8 |
-1078.3 |
-875.0 |
-681.3 |
-503.4 |
-345.3 |
-209.5 |
-96.9 |
-7.6 |
59.1 |
104.6 |
130.2 |
138.0 |
129.8 |
107.5 |
73.1 |
28.6 |
-24.2 |
-83.6 |
-147.7 |
-215.0 |
-284.0 |
-353.2 |
-421.5 |
-487.6 |
-550.7 |
GDP |
fY |
2020.7 |
836.3 |
-543.1 |
-1535.5 |
-2224.2 |
-2606.3 |
-2721.1 |
-2613.2 |
-2332.9 |
-1930.7 |
-1452.8 |
-938.6 |
-420.6 |
76.2 |
533.2 |
938.2 |
1283.9 |
1567.2 |
1788.1 |
1949.3 |
2054.9 |
2110.5 |
2122.3 |
2096.6 |
2040.0 |
1959.0 |
1859.6 |
1747.8 |
1628.6 |
1507.1 |
1387.6 |
1273.8 |
1169.0 |
1076.1 |
997.4 |
934.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
1.643 |
0.930 |
-0.092 |
-0.979 |
-1.671 |
-2.120 |
-2.324 |
-2.305 |
-2.104 |
-1.766 |
-1.340 |
-0.867 |
-0.384 |
0.080 |
0.502 |
0.868 |
1.169 |
1.402 |
1.565 |
1.662 |
1.699 |
1.683 |
1.620 |
1.520 |
1.389 |
1.236 |
1.067 |
0.889 |
0.709 |
0.530 |
0.358 |
0.195 |
0.045 |
-0.089 |
-0.208 |
-0.308 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.929 |
-0.401 |
0.113 |
0.533 |
0.861 |
1.071 |
1.162 |
1.147 |
1.043 |
0.874 |
0.661 |
0.427 |
0.187 |
-0.043 |
-0.253 |
-0.435 |
-0.586 |
-0.702 |
-0.784 |
-0.834 |
-0.853 |
-0.846 |
-0.816 |
-0.766 |
-0.701 |
-0.625 |
-0.541 |
-0.452 |
-0.361 |
-0.272 |
-0.185 |
-0.103 |
-0.027 |
0.041 |
0.101 |
0.152 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.055 |
0.061 |
0.024 |
-0.004 |
-0.026 |
-0.041 |
-0.049 |
-0.051 |
-0.047 |
-0.040 |
-0.031 |
-0.020 |
-0.009 |
0.002 |
0.011 |
0.020 |
0.027 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.041 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.027 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.006 |
-0.071 |
0.004 |
0.055 |
0.091 |
0.114 |
0.125 |
0.127 |
0.122 |
0.113 |
0.101 |
0.087 |
0.074 |
0.062 |
0.051 |
0.042 |
0.034 |
0.028 |
0.023 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.049 |
-0.011 |
0.028 |
0.051 |
0.064 |
0.072 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
0.073 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.084 |
-0.059 |
0.000 |
0.069 |
0.142 |
0.217 |
0.290 |
0.359 |
0.423 |
0.481 |
0.534 |
0.581 |
0.625 |
0.665 |
0.702 |
0.736 |
0.767 |
0.797 |
0.825 |
0.851 |
0.876 |
0.899 |
0.920 |
0.940 |
0.958 |
0.974 |
0.988 |
1.001 |
1.013 |
1.023 |
1.031 |
1.039 |
1.045 |
1.050 |
1.055 |
1.059 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.016 |
-0.031 |
-0.040 |
-0.024 |
0.011 |
0.057 |
0.107 |
0.154 |
0.195 |
0.227 |
0.247 |
0.255 |
0.252 |
0.239 |
0.217 |
0.187 |
0.152 |
0.112 |
0.070 |
0.027 |
-0.017 |
-0.059 |
-0.100 |
-0.138 |
-0.174 |
-0.207 |
-0.236 |
-0.262 |
-0.285 |
-0.305 |
-0.322 |
-0.336 |
-0.348 |
-0.358 |
-0.365 |
-0.371 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.049 |
0.016 |
0.073 |
0.107 |
0.126 |
0.131 |
0.127 |
0.116 |
0.102 |
0.087 |
0.073 |
0.060 |
0.051 |
0.045 |
0.043 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.056 |
0.066 |
0.078 |
0.090 |
0.104 |
0.118 |
0.133 |
0.147 |
0.161 |
0.174 |
0.186 |
0.198 |
0.209 |
0.218 |
0.227 |
0.234 |
0.241 |
0.247 |
0.251 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.027 |
-0.008 |
0.006 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.019 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.026 |
-0.026 |
-0.027 |
User cost |
uim |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.008 |
0.002 |
-0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.022 |
-0.029 |
-0.036 |
-0.040 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.043 |
-0.040 |
-0.035 |
-0.030 |
-0.024 |
-0.017 |
-0.011 |
-0.004 |
0.003 |
0.010 |
0.016 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.038 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
Wage |
lna |
0.016 |
0.029 |
0.029 |
0.019 |
0.002 |
-0.021 |
-0.047 |
-0.073 |
-0.097 |
-0.118 |
-0.135 |
-0.146 |
-0.153 |
-0.154 |
-0.151 |
-0.143 |
-0.132 |
-0.119 |
-0.103 |
-0.087 |
-0.069 |
-0.052 |
-0.035 |
-0.019 |
-0.004 |
0.009 |
0.021 |
0.030 |
0.038 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.000 |
-0.008 |
-0.017 |
-0.027 |
-0.036 |
-0.044 |
-0.051 |
-0.057 |
-0.060 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.054 |
-0.050 |
-0.044 |
-0.038 |
-0.032 |
-0.026 |
-0.020 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.013 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.014 |
-0.020 |
-0.025 |
-0.030 |
-0.033 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.037 |
0.086 |
0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.066 |
-0.092 |
-0.107 |
-0.114 |
-0.114 |
-0.111 |
-0.105 |
-0.098 |
-0.091 |
-0.085 |
-0.079 |
-0.074 |
-0.070 |
-0.067 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.057 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.056 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.010 |
0.003 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.015 |
-0.024 |
-0.033 |
-0.039 |
-0.043 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.041 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.020 |
-0.016 |
-0.012 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
|
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