|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
420.1 |
-1334.4 |
-3130.0 |
-4451.2 |
-5396.2 |
-5985.9 |
-6293.5 |
-6391.1 |
-6345.6 |
-6212.9 |
-6036.6 |
-5848.6 |
-5671.5 |
-5519.9 |
-5402.5 |
-5323.4 |
-5283.3 |
-5281.0 |
-5313.8 |
-5378.4 |
-5471.0 |
-5588.2 |
-5726.6 |
-5883.3 |
-6055.5 |
-6241.1 |
-6438.1 |
-6644.8 |
-6859.8 |
-7081.8 |
-7309.8 |
-7542.8 |
-7779.9 |
-8020.2 |
-8263.1 |
-8508.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3528.7 |
3656.6 |
3805.3 |
3944.7 |
4069.6 |
4178.3 |
4272.1 |
4353.6 |
4425.8 |
4491.6 |
4553.5 |
4613.7 |
4673.9 |
4735.4 |
4799.0 |
4865.4 |
4934.8 |
5007.3 |
5082.9 |
5161.5 |
5242.9 |
5326.9 |
5413.2 |
5501.7 |
5592.1 |
5684.2 |
5777.9 |
5873.0 |
5969.5 |
6067.3 |
6166.2 |
6266.3 |
6367.5 |
6469.9 |
6573.3 |
6677.9 |
Investment |
fI |
727.7 |
-426.1 |
-1901.3 |
-2748.0 |
-3277.8 |
-3581.8 |
-3693.1 |
-3650.0 |
-3490.4 |
-3253.0 |
-2972.4 |
-2678.2 |
-2393.8 |
-2136.2 |
-1916.6 |
-1741.2 |
-1612.0 |
-1528.0 |
-1485.7 |
-1480.6 |
-1507.1 |
-1559.5 |
-1632.1 |
-1719.7 |
-1817.6 |
-1921.8 |
-2028.7 |
-2135.7 |
-2240.5 |
-2341.3 |
-2437.1 |
-2526.9 |
-2610.4 |
-2687.2 |
-2757.5 |
-2821.4 |
Export |
fE |
-261.9 |
-545.3 |
-794.4 |
-1007.8 |
-1196.4 |
-1363.5 |
-1506.8 |
-1625.5 |
-1722.9 |
-1803.7 |
-1874.4 |
-1941.6 |
-2011.4 |
-2089.0 |
-2178.3 |
-2281.9 |
-2400.8 |
-2534.8 |
-2682.3 |
-2841.2 |
-3008.5 |
-3180.7 |
-3354.2 |
-3525.3 |
-3690.6 |
-3846.8 |
-3990.9 |
-4120.7 |
-4234.1 |
-4329.8 |
-4406.8 |
-4464.9 |
-4504.1 |
-4524.9 |
-4528.3 |
-4515.6 |
Import |
fM |
951.3 |
-270.9 |
-1557.7 |
-2249.8 |
-2640.5 |
-2840.0 |
-2892.6 |
-2840.5 |
-2719.2 |
-2558.6 |
-2382.2 |
-2208.0 |
-2049.2 |
-1914.4 |
-1808.7 |
-1734.6 |
-1692.2 |
-1679.8 |
-1695.1 |
-1734.7 |
-1795.1 |
-1872.8 |
-1964.3 |
-2066.2 |
-2175.7 |
-2290.1 |
-2407.0 |
-2524.7 |
-2641.4 |
-2755.7 |
-2866.8 |
-2973.7 |
-3075.8 |
-3172.9 |
-3264.6 |
-3350.9 |
GDP |
fY |
3498.7 |
1578.9 |
-604.4 |
-2226.6 |
-3434.1 |
-4222.6 |
-4657.9 |
-4808.3 |
-4747.2 |
-4544.2 |
-4260.3 |
-3945.8 |
-3639.4 |
-3368.9 |
-3152.8 |
-3001.2 |
-2917.7 |
-2900.9 |
-2945.9 |
-3045.6 |
-3191.4 |
-3374.2 |
-3584.9 |
-3815.2 |
-4057.1 |
-4303.8 |
-4549.5 |
-4789.2 |
-5019.2 |
-5236.4 |
-5438.7 |
-5624.8 |
-5793.9 |
-5946.0 |
-6081.4 |
-6200.8 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
6.610 |
5.319 |
3.586 |
2.054 |
0.795 |
-0.128 |
-0.718 |
-1.010 |
-1.063 |
-0.941 |
-0.704 |
-0.407 |
-0.095 |
0.200 |
0.453 |
0.650 |
0.786 |
0.859 |
0.874 |
0.836 |
0.755 |
0.640 |
0.501 |
0.346 |
0.184 |
0.021 |
-0.136 |
-0.283 |
-0.415 |
-0.531 |
-0.629 |
-0.707 |
-0.766 |
-0.806 |
-0.828 |
-0.834 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-3.736 |
-2.505 |
-1.659 |
-0.951 |
-0.360 |
0.072 |
0.347 |
0.483 |
0.505 |
0.443 |
0.328 |
0.184 |
0.032 |
-0.110 |
-0.233 |
-0.329 |
-0.394 |
-0.429 |
-0.436 |
-0.417 |
-0.376 |
-0.319 |
-0.249 |
-0.172 |
-0.091 |
-0.010 |
0.069 |
0.143 |
0.209 |
0.268 |
0.317 |
0.357 |
0.387 |
0.407 |
0.419 |
0.422 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.066 |
0.096 |
0.043 |
0.001 |
-0.031 |
-0.053 |
-0.064 |
-0.067 |
-0.064 |
-0.057 |
-0.046 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.012 |
-0.002 |
0.006 |
0.013 |
0.018 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.020 |
-0.086 |
0.019 |
0.089 |
0.135 |
0.162 |
0.172 |
0.171 |
0.160 |
0.145 |
0.126 |
0.108 |
0.089 |
0.073 |
0.059 |
0.048 |
0.039 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.027 |
0.028 |
0.030 |
0.031 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.036 |
0.036 |
0.037 |
0.037 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.046 |
0.010 |
0.062 |
0.089 |
0.103 |
0.109 |
0.108 |
0.103 |
0.096 |
0.088 |
0.080 |
0.073 |
0.067 |
0.061 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.133 |
-0.087 |
0.004 |
0.104 |
0.207 |
0.306 |
0.398 |
0.480 |
0.551 |
0.610 |
0.660 |
0.700 |
0.733 |
0.759 |
0.780 |
0.798 |
0.813 |
0.826 |
0.837 |
0.847 |
0.857 |
0.867 |
0.876 |
0.886 |
0.895 |
0.905 |
0.915 |
0.926 |
0.937 |
0.949 |
0.962 |
0.975 |
0.990 |
1.005 |
1.022 |
1.040 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.002 |
-0.077 |
-0.101 |
-0.088 |
-0.047 |
0.009 |
0.073 |
0.135 |
0.190 |
0.235 |
0.267 |
0.287 |
0.295 |
0.292 |
0.280 |
0.261 |
0.237 |
0.210 |
0.180 |
0.151 |
0.121 |
0.093 |
0.067 |
0.042 |
0.020 |
-0.001 |
-0.019 |
-0.035 |
-0.051 |
-0.065 |
-0.078 |
-0.091 |
-0.103 |
-0.116 |
-0.129 |
-0.142 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.111 |
-0.047 |
0.009 |
0.037 |
0.045 |
0.037 |
0.017 |
-0.009 |
-0.039 |
-0.069 |
-0.096 |
-0.120 |
-0.140 |
-0.155 |
-0.165 |
-0.171 |
-0.173 |
-0.173 |
-0.170 |
-0.166 |
-0.160 |
-0.154 |
-0.148 |
-0.142 |
-0.136 |
-0.132 |
-0.128 |
-0.124 |
-0.122 |
-0.121 |
-0.120 |
-0.120 |
-0.121 |
-0.122 |
-0.124 |
-0.126 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.086 |
0.112 |
0.133 |
0.141 |
0.143 |
0.141 |
0.136 |
0.130 |
0.125 |
0.121 |
0.118 |
0.115 |
0.114 |
0.113 |
0.113 |
0.113 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.115 |
0.115 |
0.116 |
0.116 |
0.116 |
0.116 |
0.115 |
0.115 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.113 |
0.112 |
0.111 |
0.111 |
0.110 |
0.109 |
0.108 |
0.107 |
User cost |
uim |
0.030 |
0.053 |
0.072 |
0.087 |
0.097 |
0.103 |
0.105 |
0.105 |
0.104 |
0.103 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.101 |
0.102 |
0.104 |
0.107 |
0.110 |
0.114 |
0.118 |
0.122 |
0.125 |
0.129 |
0.132 |
0.134 |
0.136 |
0.137 |
0.138 |
0.138 |
0.137 |
0.136 |
0.134 |
0.132 |
0.130 |
0.127 |
0.124 |
0.121 |
Wage |
lna |
0.066 |
0.132 |
0.174 |
0.199 |
0.210 |
0.211 |
0.206 |
0.196 |
0.185 |
0.175 |
0.167 |
0.162 |
0.161 |
0.162 |
0.166 |
0.173 |
0.181 |
0.190 |
0.199 |
0.208 |
0.216 |
0.223 |
0.229 |
0.233 |
0.236 |
0.237 |
0.236 |
0.234 |
0.230 |
0.225 |
0.219 |
0.213 |
0.205 |
0.197 |
0.189 |
0.181 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.022 |
0.040 |
0.055 |
0.066 |
0.073 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.067 |
0.070 |
0.074 |
0.078 |
0.082 |
0.086 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
0.099 |
0.099 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
0.098 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.088 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.016 |
0.029 |
0.039 |
0.045 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.052 |
0.117 |
0.026 |
-0.043 |
-0.093 |
-0.123 |
-0.138 |
-0.141 |
-0.136 |
-0.126 |
-0.114 |
-0.101 |
-0.089 |
-0.078 |
-0.068 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.044 |
-0.044 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.053 |
0.086 |
0.109 |
0.118 |
0.117 |
0.112 |
0.104 |
0.096 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.079 |
0.080 |
0.082 |
0.084 |
0.087 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
0.098 |
0.098 |
0.098 |
0.098 |
0.097 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.092 |
0.090 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.076 |
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