|
|
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
2059 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
420.1 |
1073.5 |
1700.0 |
2218.8 |
2651.6 |
3020.4 |
3339.2 |
3612.3 |
3839.5 |
4021.3 |
4158.7 |
4253.1 |
4307.3 |
4324.4 |
4308.3 |
4263.3 |
4193.6 |
4104.1 |
3999.4 |
3883.9 |
3762.2 |
3638.4 |
3516.5 |
3400.1 |
3292.5 |
3196.4 |
3114.3 |
3048.0 |
2999.2 |
2968.7 |
2957.3 |
2965.0 |
2991.5 |
3036.4 |
3098.5 |
3176.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3528.7 |
3577.9 |
3626.6 |
3678.4 |
3734.4 |
3794.1 |
3857.3 |
3923.7 |
3993.0 |
4065.2 |
4140.1 |
4217.4 |
4296.8 |
4378.2 |
4461.1 |
4545.4 |
4630.7 |
4716.8 |
4803.4 |
4890.3 |
4977.3 |
5064.3 |
5151.2 |
5238.0 |
5324.4 |
5410.6 |
5496.5 |
5582.3 |
5667.9 |
5753.6 |
5839.3 |
5925.2 |
6011.6 |
6098.4 |
6186.0 |
6274.5 |
Investment |
fI |
727.7 |
1220.7 |
1305.5 |
1352.6 |
1391.9 |
1404.1 |
1383.5 |
1325.4 |
1230.8 |
1103.7 |
949.6 |
774.3 |
584.1 |
385.0 |
182.9 |
-17.0 |
-209.8 |
-391.3 |
-557.9 |
-706.8 |
-835.7 |
-943.1 |
-1028.2 |
-1090.6 |
-1130.7 |
-1149.3 |
-1147.5 |
-1126.9 |
-1089.6 |
-1037.5 |
-973.0 |
-898.6 |
-816.7 |
-729.7 |
-640.2 |
-550.2 |
Export |
fE |
-261.9 |
-593.8 |
-1017.8 |
-1522.8 |
-2099.6 |
-2734.8 |
-3418.3 |
-4136.1 |
-4875.6 |
-5622.8 |
-6365.0 |
-7089.4 |
-7785.0 |
-8441.4 |
-9049.9 |
-9603.6 |
-10096.8 |
-10525.8 |
-10888.4 |
-11184.1 |
-11413.8 |
-11580.0 |
-11686.2 |
-11737.3 |
-11738.8 |
-11697.2 |
-11619.5 |
-11513.1 |
-11385.3 |
-11243.8 |
-11096.0 |
-10948.8 |
-10808.9 |
-10682.4 |
-10574.6 |
-10490.4 |
Import |
fM |
951.3 |
1389.6 |
1563.3 |
1655.9 |
1695.7 |
1705.1 |
1678.4 |
1616.4 |
1520.5 |
1394.3 |
1242.2 |
1069.0 |
879.9 |
680.1 |
474.8 |
269.0 |
67.3 |
-126.0 |
-307.3 |
-473.3 |
-621.6 |
-750.1 |
-857.3 |
-942.5 |
-1005.4 |
-1046.1 |
-1065.5 |
-1064.5 |
-1044.8 |
-1008.0 |
-956.3 |
-891.9 |
-817.1 |
-734.3 |
-646.1 |
-554.6 |
GDP |
fY |
3498.7 |
3954.9 |
4130.1 |
4158.9 |
4066.8 |
3867.1 |
3576.9 |
3208.1 |
2772.6 |
2284.4 |
1757.9 |
1207.9 |
648.5 |
93.4 |
-444.9 |
-954.9 |
-1427.0 |
-1853.0 |
-2226.4 |
-2542.5 |
-2798.2 |
-2992.2 |
-3124.5 |
-3196.6 |
-3211.3 |
-3172.5 |
-3084.9 |
-2954.1 |
-2786.3 |
-2587.8 |
-2365.6 |
-2126.4 |
-1876.9 |
-1623.5 |
-1372.5 |
-1129.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
6.610 |
6.904 |
6.932 |
6.790 |
6.500 |
6.085 |
5.565 |
4.959 |
4.288 |
3.573 |
2.835 |
2.091 |
1.361 |
0.659 |
0.000 |
-0.605 |
-1.147 |
-1.618 |
-2.014 |
-2.333 |
-2.575 |
-2.741 |
-2.834 |
-2.860 |
-2.824 |
-2.733 |
-2.593 |
-2.414 |
-2.202 |
-1.967 |
-1.714 |
-1.452 |
-1.188 |
-0.928 |
-0.677 |
-0.440 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-3.736 |
-3.402 |
-3.431 |
-3.383 |
-3.253 |
-3.055 |
-2.802 |
-2.503 |
-2.170 |
-1.812 |
-1.442 |
-1.068 |
-0.701 |
-0.347 |
-0.014 |
0.292 |
0.567 |
0.806 |
1.007 |
1.170 |
1.294 |
1.379 |
1.428 |
1.443 |
1.427 |
1.382 |
1.313 |
1.224 |
1.118 |
1.000 |
0.873 |
0.741 |
0.608 |
0.477 |
0.350 |
0.231 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.066 |
-0.057 |
-0.055 |
-0.057 |
-0.061 |
-0.067 |
-0.075 |
-0.086 |
-0.098 |
-0.112 |
-0.126 |
-0.141 |
-0.156 |
-0.171 |
-0.186 |
-0.200 |
-0.214 |
-0.226 |
-0.238 |
-0.249 |
-0.258 |
-0.267 |
-0.274 |
-0.281 |
-0.286 |
-0.291 |
-0.294 |
-0.297 |
-0.300 |
-0.302 |
-0.304 |
-0.305 |
-0.306 |
-0.307 |
-0.308 |
-0.310 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.020 |
-0.005 |
-0.020 |
-0.031 |
-0.039 |
-0.046 |
-0.050 |
-0.052 |
-0.053 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.049 |
-0.046 |
-0.043 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.046 |
-0.063 |
-0.075 |
-0.087 |
-0.100 |
-0.112 |
-0.125 |
-0.138 |
-0.152 |
-0.165 |
-0.178 |
-0.190 |
-0.202 |
-0.214 |
-0.225 |
-0.235 |
-0.245 |
-0.253 |
-0.261 |
-0.269 |
-0.275 |
-0.281 |
-0.287 |
-0.291 |
-0.295 |
-0.299 |
-0.302 |
-0.305 |
-0.308 |
-0.310 |
-0.312 |
-0.315 |
-0.317 |
-0.319 |
-0.321 |
-0.323 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.133 |
-0.210 |
-0.294 |
-0.388 |
-0.486 |
-0.596 |
-0.714 |
-0.839 |
-0.971 |
-1.109 |
-1.254 |
-1.403 |
-1.557 |
-1.714 |
-1.875 |
-2.037 |
-2.202 |
-2.367 |
-2.532 |
-2.696 |
-2.859 |
-3.021 |
-3.180 |
-3.337 |
-3.491 |
-3.642 |
-3.789 |
-3.933 |
-4.074 |
-4.211 |
-4.345 |
-4.475 |
-4.602 |
-4.726 |
-4.848 |
-4.967 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.002 |
0.040 |
0.076 |
0.113 |
0.152 |
0.196 |
0.248 |
0.308 |
0.377 |
0.458 |
0.550 |
0.653 |
0.766 |
0.891 |
1.024 |
1.166 |
1.316 |
1.472 |
1.633 |
1.797 |
1.964 |
2.132 |
2.299 |
2.466 |
2.631 |
2.794 |
2.952 |
3.107 |
3.258 |
3.404 |
3.545 |
3.681 |
3.812 |
3.939 |
4.061 |
4.179 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.111 |
-0.106 |
-0.089 |
-0.067 |
-0.041 |
-0.013 |
0.017 |
0.048 |
0.078 |
0.108 |
0.136 |
0.162 |
0.185 |
0.205 |
0.221 |
0.235 |
0.245 |
0.251 |
0.254 |
0.255 |
0.252 |
0.247 |
0.240 |
0.232 |
0.222 |
0.211 |
0.199 |
0.187 |
0.175 |
0.164 |
0.152 |
0.141 |
0.131 |
0.122 |
0.114 |
0.108 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.090 |
0.092 |
0.095 |
0.098 |
0.100 |
0.101 |
0.102 |
0.103 |
0.103 |
0.103 |
0.102 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
0.097 |
0.096 |
0.094 |
0.092 |
0.090 |
0.088 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.081 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.078 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.075 |
0.075 |
0.074 |
0.074 |
0.074 |
User cost |
uim |
0.030 |
0.056 |
0.084 |
0.112 |
0.141 |
0.170 |
0.198 |
0.224 |
0.248 |
0.269 |
0.288 |
0.304 |
0.317 |
0.327 |
0.334 |
0.338 |
0.339 |
0.339 |
0.336 |
0.331 |
0.325 |
0.317 |
0.308 |
0.299 |
0.289 |
0.279 |
0.269 |
0.259 |
0.250 |
0.241 |
0.233 |
0.226 |
0.219 |
0.214 |
0.209 |
0.205 |
Wage |
lna |
0.066 |
0.147 |
0.225 |
0.302 |
0.377 |
0.448 |
0.514 |
0.574 |
0.626 |
0.671 |
0.707 |
0.735 |
0.756 |
0.768 |
0.773 |
0.770 |
0.762 |
0.748 |
0.730 |
0.708 |
0.683 |
0.656 |
0.627 |
0.598 |
0.569 |
0.541 |
0.514 |
0.489 |
0.466 |
0.445 |
0.426 |
0.411 |
0.397 |
0.387 |
0.379 |
0.373 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.022 |
0.044 |
0.067 |
0.091 |
0.117 |
0.143 |
0.169 |
0.195 |
0.218 |
0.240 |
0.260 |
0.278 |
0.293 |
0.305 |
0.315 |
0.321 |
0.326 |
0.327 |
0.327 |
0.324 |
0.320 |
0.314 |
0.307 |
0.299 |
0.290 |
0.280 |
0.270 |
0.261 |
0.251 |
0.242 |
0.233 |
0.225 |
0.218 |
0.211 |
0.206 |
0.201 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.016 |
0.032 |
0.049 |
0.067 |
0.085 |
0.103 |
0.120 |
0.136 |
0.150 |
0.164 |
0.175 |
0.185 |
0.192 |
0.198 |
0.202 |
0.204 |
0.204 |
0.203 |
0.201 |
0.197 |
0.192 |
0.187 |
0.180 |
0.174 |
0.167 |
0.160 |
0.153 |
0.147 |
0.140 |
0.134 |
0.129 |
0.124 |
0.120 |
0.116 |
0.113 |
0.111 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.052 |
-0.038 |
-0.016 |
-0.001 |
0.011 |
0.020 |
0.028 |
0.035 |
0.041 |
0.046 |
0.050 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.061 |
0.063 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.053 |
0.072 |
0.091 |
0.109 |
0.125 |
0.140 |
0.152 |
0.161 |
0.168 |
0.173 |
0.175 |
0.175 |
0.173 |
0.170 |
0.165 |
0.158 |
0.151 |
0.143 |
0.134 |
0.125 |
0.117 |
0.108 |
0.100 |
0.092 |
0.084 |
0.078 |
0.072 |
0.067 |
0.063 |
0.060 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.055 |
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