|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
665.5 |
384.6 |
2277.3 |
3598.2 |
4238.5 |
4418.6 |
4261.8 |
3874.6 |
3345.5 |
2744.3 |
2121.2 |
1511.6 |
938.3 |
415.3 |
-50.0 |
-454.5 |
-797.9 |
-1081.6 |
-1308.2 |
-1480.6 |
-1602.3 |
-1676.7 |
-1707.4 |
-1698.1 |
-1652.6 |
-1574.7 |
-1468.5 |
-1337.9 |
-1187.0 |
-1020.1 |
-841.2 |
-654.3 |
-463.4 |
-272.1 |
-84.0 |
97.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
52.5 |
78.2 |
27.4 |
-22.1 |
-51.1 |
-61.1 |
-55.5 |
-38.3 |
-13.6 |
15.3 |
45.4 |
74.5 |
101.3 |
124.7 |
144.1 |
159.5 |
170.7 |
178.0 |
181.7 |
182.2 |
180.0 |
175.3 |
168.8 |
160.7 |
151.4 |
141.4 |
130.9 |
120.2 |
109.7 |
99.5 |
89.9 |
81.0 |
73.1 |
66.2 |
60.4 |
55.8 |
Investment |
fI |
-210.5 |
-1080.3 |
-278.0 |
418.7 |
569.2 |
527.2 |
360.1 |
88.3 |
-241.5 |
-595.0 |
-940.7 |
-1255.6 |
-1522.7 |
-1732.0 |
-1878.9 |
-1963.0 |
-1987.7 |
-1958.2 |
-1881.7 |
-1765.8 |
-1618.6 |
-1448.0 |
-1261.3 |
-1065.5 |
-866.7 |
-670.3 |
-481.0 |
-302.7 |
-138.5 |
8.9 |
137.7 |
246.6 |
334.8 |
402.0 |
448.4 |
474.6 |
Export |
fE |
-2324.0 |
-3150.5 |
-3795.8 |
-4381.8 |
-4868.7 |
-5244.6 |
-5515.4 |
-5680.3 |
-5743.4 |
-5707.4 |
-5576.8 |
-5356.9 |
-5054.8 |
-4678.7 |
-4238.3 |
-3744.5 |
-3209.1 |
-2644.3 |
-2062.6 |
-1476.2 |
-896.8 |
-335.7 |
197.3 |
693.4 |
1144.9 |
1545.8 |
1891.5 |
2178.8 |
2405.9 |
2572.5 |
2679.4 |
2728.8 |
2723.7 |
2668.2 |
2567.0 |
2425.3 |
Import |
fM |
407.2 |
-236.4 |
547.7 |
1007.8 |
974.0 |
775.2 |
479.8 |
127.1 |
-246.2 |
-610.1 |
-943.5 |
-1231.9 |
-1466.6 |
-1643.5 |
-1762.1 |
-1824.6 |
-1834.7 |
-1797.7 |
-1719.3 |
-1605.8 |
-1463.5 |
-1298.5 |
-1117.0 |
-924.4 |
-726.0 |
-526.7 |
-330.6 |
-141.7 |
36.8 |
202.2 |
352.1 |
484.7 |
598.7 |
693.4 |
768.4 |
823.7 |
GDP |
fY |
-2538.1 |
-3817.6 |
-2839.8 |
-2115.8 |
-1939.0 |
-2047.5 |
-2362.7 |
-2808.8 |
-3304.3 |
-3787.6 |
-4210.4 |
-4540.2 |
-4756.9 |
-4851.9 |
-4825.5 |
-4684.5 |
-4440.4 |
-4107.8 |
-3702.9 |
-3242.8 |
-2744.2 |
-2223.1 |
-1694.5 |
-1171.9 |
-667.1 |
-190.4 |
249.6 |
646.0 |
993.7 |
1288.9 |
1529.3 |
1714.2 |
1843.7 |
1919.5 |
1944.0 |
1920.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-3.671 |
-5.426 |
-5.222 |
-5.005 |
-4.999 |
-5.147 |
-5.425 |
-5.787 |
-6.175 |
-6.533 |
-6.813 |
-6.980 |
-7.013 |
-6.904 |
-6.655 |
-6.276 |
-5.784 |
-5.200 |
-4.546 |
-3.844 |
-3.117 |
-2.385 |
-1.667 |
-0.980 |
-0.336 |
0.254 |
0.780 |
1.239 |
1.625 |
1.938 |
2.178 |
2.348 |
2.450 |
2.489 |
2.472 |
2.403 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
2.074 |
2.794 |
2.570 |
2.490 |
2.522 |
2.618 |
2.773 |
2.964 |
3.163 |
3.343 |
3.482 |
3.564 |
3.577 |
3.519 |
3.391 |
3.199 |
2.949 |
2.654 |
2.323 |
1.968 |
1.600 |
1.230 |
0.866 |
0.517 |
0.190 |
-0.110 |
-0.378 |
-0.612 |
-0.810 |
-0.970 |
-1.094 |
-1.182 |
-1.236 |
-1.258 |
-1.251 |
-1.218 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.026 |
-0.010 |
-0.141 |
-0.107 |
-0.086 |
-0.078 |
-0.078 |
-0.084 |
-0.094 |
-0.105 |
-0.117 |
-0.126 |
-0.134 |
-0.139 |
-0.142 |
-0.141 |
-0.139 |
-0.134 |
-0.128 |
-0.120 |
-0.111 |
-0.102 |
-0.093 |
-0.083 |
-0.074 |
-0.066 |
-0.058 |
-0.051 |
-0.045 |
-0.039 |
-0.035 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.009 |
0.037 |
0.087 |
-0.001 |
-0.051 |
-0.076 |
-0.084 |
-0.080 |
-0.068 |
-0.053 |
-0.035 |
-0.018 |
-0.003 |
0.010 |
0.021 |
0.029 |
0.034 |
0.037 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.033 |
0.030 |
0.027 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.011 |
0.009 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.035 |
0.027 |
-0.054 |
-0.108 |
-0.137 |
-0.154 |
-0.162 |
-0.164 |
-0.162 |
-0.158 |
-0.152 |
-0.145 |
-0.137 |
-0.129 |
-0.121 |
-0.113 |
-0.105 |
-0.097 |
-0.089 |
-0.081 |
-0.074 |
-0.067 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.048 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.034 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.137 |
-0.103 |
-0.190 |
-0.324 |
-0.462 |
-0.603 |
-0.740 |
-0.867 |
-0.983 |
-1.086 |
-1.176 |
-1.253 |
-1.319 |
-1.374 |
-1.418 |
-1.452 |
-1.478 |
-1.495 |
-1.504 |
-1.506 |
-1.501 |
-1.491 |
-1.475 |
-1.455 |
-1.431 |
-1.405 |
-1.375 |
-1.344 |
-1.312 |
-1.280 |
-1.247 |
-1.215 |
-1.184 |
-1.154 |
-1.126 |
-1.100 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.124 |
-0.103 |
0.018 |
0.105 |
0.178 |
0.247 |
0.317 |
0.394 |
0.480 |
0.574 |
0.675 |
0.782 |
0.891 |
1.000 |
1.105 |
1.204 |
1.296 |
1.377 |
1.448 |
1.507 |
1.554 |
1.588 |
1.611 |
1.623 |
1.624 |
1.617 |
1.601 |
1.579 |
1.550 |
1.517 |
1.481 |
1.442 |
1.403 |
1.362 |
1.323 |
1.284 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.141 |
0.186 |
0.157 |
0.148 |
0.157 |
0.173 |
0.191 |
0.209 |
0.223 |
0.232 |
0.234 |
0.229 |
0.218 |
0.201 |
0.180 |
0.155 |
0.128 |
0.100 |
0.071 |
0.043 |
0.017 |
-0.007 |
-0.029 |
-0.048 |
-0.063 |
-0.076 |
-0.086 |
-0.093 |
-0.097 |
-0.099 |
-0.098 |
-0.095 |
-0.090 |
-0.084 |
-0.077 |
-0.069 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.020 |
0.017 |
-0.006 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.021 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
User cost |
uim |
0.325 |
0.317 |
0.304 |
0.298 |
0.290 |
0.280 |
0.268 |
0.253 |
0.236 |
0.216 |
0.193 |
0.168 |
0.142 |
0.116 |
0.089 |
0.062 |
0.037 |
0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.030 |
-0.047 |
-0.062 |
-0.075 |
-0.084 |
-0.091 |
-0.096 |
-0.098 |
-0.098 |
-0.096 |
-0.093 |
-0.088 |
-0.082 |
-0.075 |
-0.067 |
-0.059 |
-0.051 |
Wage |
lna |
1.108 |
1.029 |
0.947 |
0.899 |
0.849 |
0.795 |
0.738 |
0.675 |
0.608 |
0.537 |
0.462 |
0.384 |
0.306 |
0.229 |
0.153 |
0.082 |
0.016 |
-0.045 |
-0.098 |
-0.144 |
-0.182 |
-0.212 |
-0.234 |
-0.249 |
-0.257 |
-0.258 |
-0.254 |
-0.244 |
-0.230 |
-0.213 |
-0.193 |
-0.170 |
-0.146 |
-0.122 |
-0.097 |
-0.073 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.286 |
0.299 |
0.296 |
0.298 |
0.297 |
0.293 |
0.287 |
0.278 |
0.266 |
0.250 |
0.231 |
0.210 |
0.186 |
0.161 |
0.134 |
0.108 |
0.081 |
0.055 |
0.030 |
0.008 |
-0.013 |
-0.032 |
-0.048 |
-0.061 |
-0.072 |
-0.080 |
-0.086 |
-0.090 |
-0.091 |
-0.091 |
-0.088 |
-0.085 |
-0.080 |
-0.074 |
-0.067 |
-0.060 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.180 |
0.180 |
0.175 |
0.175 |
0.172 |
0.167 |
0.160 |
0.152 |
0.141 |
0.129 |
0.116 |
0.101 |
0.086 |
0.070 |
0.054 |
0.038 |
0.023 |
0.009 |
-0.004 |
-0.016 |
-0.026 |
-0.035 |
-0.042 |
-0.047 |
-0.051 |
-0.054 |
-0.055 |
-0.055 |
-0.054 |
-0.051 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.041 |
-0.036 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.034 |
-0.029 |
-0.108 |
-0.009 |
0.059 |
0.097 |
0.115 |
0.119 |
0.114 |
0.104 |
0.092 |
0.079 |
0.066 |
0.055 |
0.044 |
0.036 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.016 |
0.012 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.002 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.314 |
0.272 |
0.220 |
0.188 |
0.164 |
0.145 |
0.126 |
0.107 |
0.088 |
0.067 |
0.046 |
0.025 |
0.005 |
-0.014 |
-0.032 |
-0.047 |
-0.060 |
-0.070 |
-0.078 |
-0.083 |
-0.086 |
-0.087 |
-0.085 |
-0.082 |
-0.078 |
-0.072 |
-0.065 |
-0.058 |
-0.050 |
-0.041 |
-0.033 |
-0.025 |
-0.017 |
-0.010 |
-0.003 |
0.003 |
|
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