|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
3911.2 |
2259.1 |
1592.3 |
842.6 |
255.5 |
-171.2 |
-453.0 |
-620.6 |
-705.6 |
-734.1 |
-726.8 |
-698.5 |
-659.8 |
-617.1 |
-574.4 |
-533.6 |
-495.4 |
-459.7 |
-426.0 |
-393.7 |
-362.1 |
-330.8 |
-299.4 |
-267.8 |
-236.1 |
-204.5 |
-173.2 |
-142.6 |
-113.0 |
-84.9 |
-58.6 |
-34.5 |
-12.8 |
6.2 |
22.4 |
35.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-133.8 |
-111.3 |
-84.2 |
-51.3 |
-21.3 |
3.1 |
21.1 |
33.0 |
40.0 |
43.0 |
43.2 |
41.5 |
38.4 |
34.6 |
30.5 |
26.3 |
22.3 |
18.4 |
14.9 |
11.6 |
8.6 |
5.9 |
3.5 |
1.3 |
-0.6 |
-2.3 |
-3.8 |
-5.1 |
-6.2 |
-7.0 |
-7.7 |
-8.2 |
-8.5 |
-8.7 |
-8.7 |
-8.5 |
Investment |
fI |
2533.1 |
1265.9 |
369.8 |
5.1 |
-318.4 |
-551.1 |
-715.1 |
-817.2 |
-863.2 |
-864.3 |
-831.1 |
-774.5 |
-703.4 |
-625.4 |
-546.1 |
-469.5 |
-398.4 |
-334.3 |
-277.9 |
-229.3 |
-188.4 |
-154.7 |
-127.7 |
-106.7 |
-91.1 |
-80.5 |
-74.3 |
-72.2 |
-73.6 |
-78.2 |
-85.8 |
-95.9 |
-108.3 |
-122.6 |
-138.5 |
-155.8 |
Export |
fE |
-87.6 |
-205.0 |
-283.5 |
-347.5 |
-391.6 |
-420.7 |
-432.9 |
-427.9 |
-405.4 |
-367.0 |
-314.5 |
-251.0 |
-179.3 |
-102.9 |
-24.6 |
52.6 |
126.3 |
194.4 |
255.4 |
308.1 |
351.5 |
385.1 |
409.0 |
423.1 |
427.7 |
423.5 |
411.2 |
391.5 |
365.4 |
333.9 |
298.0 |
258.7 |
217.0 |
174.0 |
130.6 |
87.7 |
Import |
fM |
2342.1 |
1145.3 |
485.8 |
131.5 |
-155.5 |
-344.0 |
-461.4 |
-522.3 |
-541.8 |
-531.2 |
-500.3 |
-456.2 |
-404.8 |
-350.0 |
-294.9 |
-241.2 |
-190.4 |
-142.9 |
-99.3 |
-59.6 |
-23.8 |
8.1 |
36.2 |
60.6 |
81.5 |
98.8 |
112.7 |
123.4 |
130.8 |
135.3 |
136.8 |
135.8 |
132.3 |
126.6 |
119.0 |
109.8 |
GDP |
fY |
3501.3 |
1861.8 |
998.3 |
260.4 |
-336.5 |
-782.9 |
-1086.2 |
-1265.6 |
-1340.7 |
-1335.3 |
-1271.2 |
-1167.8 |
-1040.3 |
-901.3 |
-759.8 |
-622.4 |
-493.6 |
-376.1 |
-271.5 |
-180.5 |
-103.3 |
-39.4 |
11.7 |
50.5 |
78.1 |
95.0 |
102.3 |
100.7 |
91.2 |
74.6 |
51.8 |
23.8 |
-8.7 |
-44.6 |
-83.1 |
-123.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.689 |
1.914 |
1.323 |
0.638 |
0.003 |
-0.529 |
-0.927 |
-1.187 |
-1.320 |
-1.347 |
-1.292 |
-1.178 |
-1.023 |
-0.847 |
-0.663 |
-0.480 |
-0.307 |
-0.149 |
-0.008 |
0.114 |
0.216 |
0.299 |
0.363 |
0.411 |
0.442 |
0.460 |
0.465 |
0.458 |
0.442 |
0.419 |
0.388 |
0.353 |
0.314 |
0.272 |
0.229 |
0.186 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-1.520 |
-0.883 |
-0.621 |
-0.287 |
0.020 |
0.276 |
0.468 |
0.593 |
0.657 |
0.671 |
0.644 |
0.588 |
0.512 |
0.426 |
0.334 |
0.244 |
0.158 |
0.078 |
0.008 |
-0.054 |
-0.106 |
-0.148 |
-0.181 |
-0.205 |
-0.222 |
-0.231 |
-0.234 |
-0.232 |
-0.224 |
-0.212 |
-0.197 |
-0.180 |
-0.160 |
-0.139 |
-0.117 |
-0.096 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.092 |
0.056 |
0.036 |
0.017 |
-0.001 |
-0.015 |
-0.026 |
-0.033 |
-0.037 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.026 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.212 |
-0.117 |
-0.073 |
-0.039 |
-0.010 |
0.012 |
0.026 |
0.035 |
0.039 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.022 |
0.018 |
0.015 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
0.003 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.120 |
-0.061 |
-0.037 |
-0.022 |
-0.011 |
-0.004 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.227 |
-0.242 |
-0.253 |
-0.253 |
-0.243 |
-0.229 |
-0.214 |
-0.199 |
-0.185 |
-0.174 |
-0.165 |
-0.157 |
-0.152 |
-0.147 |
-0.143 |
-0.140 |
-0.137 |
-0.134 |
-0.131 |
-0.128 |
-0.125 |
-0.122 |
-0.118 |
-0.115 |
-0.112 |
-0.110 |
-0.107 |
-0.105 |
-0.103 |
-0.102 |
-0.101 |
-0.101 |
-0.101 |
-0.101 |
-0.102 |
-0.103 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.111 |
-0.149 |
-0.175 |
-0.181 |
-0.171 |
-0.148 |
-0.115 |
-0.078 |
-0.038 |
0.001 |
0.037 |
0.070 |
0.098 |
0.122 |
0.141 |
0.156 |
0.168 |
0.176 |
0.181 |
0.184 |
0.185 |
0.184 |
0.183 |
0.180 |
0.177 |
0.174 |
0.171 |
0.167 |
0.164 |
0.162 |
0.160 |
0.158 |
0.157 |
0.156 |
0.156 |
0.157 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.094 |
-0.025 |
0.010 |
0.038 |
0.056 |
0.065 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.058 |
0.049 |
0.038 |
0.028 |
0.018 |
0.009 |
0.001 |
-0.006 |
-0.012 |
-0.016 |
-0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.036 |
-0.008 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.003 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
User cost |
uim |
0.005 |
0.012 |
0.019 |
0.023 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.018 |
0.013 |
0.008 |
0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.017 |
-0.016 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
Wage |
lna |
0.027 |
0.052 |
0.068 |
0.076 |
0.078 |
0.074 |
0.065 |
0.052 |
0.038 |
0.023 |
0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.016 |
-0.027 |
-0.035 |
-0.041 |
-0.045 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.046 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.027 |
-0.022 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.009 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.010 |
0.017 |
0.023 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.005 |
0.009 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.012 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.005 |
-0.007 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.195 |
0.120 |
0.097 |
0.060 |
0.029 |
0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.018 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.015 |
0.008 |
0.021 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.022 |
0.016 |
0.010 |
0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.006 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
-0.001 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
0.005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|