|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1191.3 |
-2004.5 |
-2661.8 |
-3237.3 |
-3677.1 |
-3974.0 |
-4149.4 |
-4230.0 |
-4244.6 |
-4217.6 |
-4168.3 |
-4110.6 |
-4053.7 |
-4003.5 |
-3962.8 |
-3933.3 |
-3915.0 |
-3907.6 |
-3910.4 |
-3922.8 |
-3944.2 |
-3974.1 |
-4012.1 |
-4058.1 |
-4112.1 |
-4173.9 |
-4243.5 |
-4321.0 |
-4406.2 |
-4499.0 |
-4599.2 |
-4706.5 |
-4820.5 |
-4940.8 |
-5066.8 |
-5198.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
2418.9 |
2516.6 |
2610.4 |
2700.1 |
2784.0 |
2861.2 |
2932.2 |
2998.0 |
3060.2 |
3120.0 |
3178.7 |
3237.3 |
3296.7 |
3357.3 |
3419.5 |
3483.8 |
3550.1 |
3618.5 |
3689.2 |
3762.0 |
3837.0 |
3914.2 |
3993.4 |
4074.7 |
4158.0 |
4243.3 |
4330.7 |
4420.0 |
4511.3 |
4604.6 |
4699.9 |
4797.0 |
4896.2 |
4997.3 |
5100.4 |
5205.4 |
Investment |
fI |
-134.7 |
-440.5 |
-1019.4 |
-1417.6 |
-1655.8 |
-1762.8 |
-1773.5 |
-1713.7 |
-1603.5 |
-1461.9 |
-1304.6 |
-1144.3 |
-990.3 |
-849.4 |
-725.6 |
-621.1 |
-536.6 |
-471.7 |
-425.0 |
-395.1 |
-380.0 |
-377.8 |
-386.7 |
-404.8 |
-430.5 |
-462.3 |
-499.0 |
-539.3 |
-582.3 |
-626.9 |
-672.5 |
-718.2 |
-763.4 |
-807.7 |
-850.4 |
-891.4 |
Export |
fE |
-35.5 |
-37.9 |
-18.9 |
15.8 |
66.1 |
129.6 |
204.3 |
287.3 |
374.8 |
462.9 |
547.4 |
624.7 |
691.5 |
745.1 |
783.7 |
805.9 |
811.4 |
800.4 |
773.4 |
731.8 |
677.1 |
611.1 |
536.0 |
453.8 |
366.7 |
277.0 |
186.5 |
97.4 |
11.3 |
-70.1 |
-145.6 |
-213.9 |
-274.2 |
-325.7 |
-368.1 |
-401.2 |
Import |
fM |
290.3 |
-39.5 |
-391.7 |
-648.6 |
-785.8 |
-834.6 |
-817.6 |
-753.4 |
-658.6 |
-546.4 |
-427.5 |
-309.6 |
-198.0 |
-96.2 |
-6.2 |
70.9 |
134.9 |
186.3 |
225.8 |
254.1 |
272.4 |
281.5 |
282.6 |
276.5 |
264.3 |
246.9 |
225.0 |
199.6 |
171.4 |
141.1 |
109.6 |
77.4 |
45.3 |
13.7 |
-16.8 |
-45.7 |
GDP |
fY |
659.5 |
26.1 |
-677.2 |
-1216.6 |
-1587.2 |
-1780.1 |
-1826.7 |
-1759.8 |
-1611.7 |
-1413.2 |
-1190.1 |
-963.1 |
-747.3 |
-553.3 |
-387.7 |
-253.8 |
-152.6 |
-83.5 |
-44.6 |
-33.3 |
-46.5 |
-81.0 |
-133.5 |
-200.8 |
-280.1 |
-368.3 |
-463.0 |
-561.8 |
-662.4 |
-763.0 |
-861.8 |
-957.3 |
-1048.3 |
-1133.7 |
-1212.6 |
-1284.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
0.655 |
0.336 |
-0.164 |
-0.626 |
-0.970 |
-1.159 |
-1.201 |
-1.115 |
-0.933 |
-0.687 |
-0.407 |
-0.117 |
0.161 |
0.414 |
0.631 |
0.808 |
0.942 |
1.035 |
1.088 |
1.105 |
1.091 |
1.051 |
0.989 |
0.910 |
0.819 |
0.719 |
0.614 |
0.508 |
0.402 |
0.301 |
0.204 |
0.115 |
0.035 |
-0.037 |
-0.099 |
-0.150 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-0.370 |
-0.141 |
0.113 |
0.336 |
0.498 |
0.585 |
0.600 |
0.554 |
0.461 |
0.338 |
0.198 |
0.054 |
-0.084 |
-0.210 |
-0.318 |
-0.407 |
-0.474 |
-0.521 |
-0.548 |
-0.558 |
-0.551 |
-0.532 |
-0.501 |
-0.462 |
-0.417 |
-0.367 |
-0.314 |
-0.260 |
-0.207 |
-0.156 |
-0.107 |
-0.062 |
-0.021 |
0.016 |
0.047 |
0.074 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.023 |
0.006 |
-0.016 |
-0.031 |
-0.043 |
-0.050 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.047 |
-0.041 |
-0.035 |
-0.028 |
-0.021 |
-0.015 |
-0.010 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.005 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.001 |
-0.002 |
-0.003 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.007 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.043 |
-0.008 |
0.030 |
0.059 |
0.078 |
0.089 |
0.092 |
0.091 |
0.085 |
0.078 |
0.069 |
0.061 |
0.053 |
0.045 |
0.039 |
0.034 |
0.029 |
0.026 |
0.024 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.022 |
0.022 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.020 |
-0.002 |
0.014 |
0.027 |
0.035 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.033 |
0.032 |
0.030 |
0.030 |
0.029 |
0.028 |
0.028 |
0.027 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.059 |
-0.038 |
-0.001 |
0.043 |
0.088 |
0.132 |
0.173 |
0.210 |
0.242 |
0.269 |
0.293 |
0.314 |
0.332 |
0.347 |
0.361 |
0.373 |
0.384 |
0.393 |
0.402 |
0.410 |
0.416 |
0.422 |
0.427 |
0.431 |
0.434 |
0.437 |
0.438 |
0.439 |
0.438 |
0.438 |
0.436 |
0.435 |
0.432 |
0.430 |
0.427 |
0.425 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
0.001 |
0.039 |
0.085 |
0.134 |
0.183 |
0.227 |
0.265 |
0.295 |
0.317 |
0.331 |
0.338 |
0.338 |
0.333 |
0.323 |
0.310 |
0.295 |
0.279 |
0.262 |
0.245 |
0.229 |
0.213 |
0.199 |
0.186 |
0.175 |
0.165 |
0.158 |
0.151 |
0.146 |
0.143 |
0.141 |
0.140 |
0.140 |
0.141 |
0.143 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.082 |
-0.066 |
-0.053 |
-0.049 |
-0.054 |
-0.067 |
-0.083 |
-0.102 |
-0.121 |
-0.140 |
-0.156 |
-0.170 |
-0.182 |
-0.190 |
-0.196 |
-0.200 |
-0.201 |
-0.201 |
-0.199 |
-0.197 |
-0.193 |
-0.189 |
-0.184 |
-0.180 |
-0.175 |
-0.171 |
-0.166 |
-0.162 |
-0.159 |
-0.155 |
-0.152 |
-0.150 |
-0.148 |
-0.146 |
-0.145 |
-0.144 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.060 |
-0.049 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.038 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
User cost |
uim |
0.003 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.009 |
0.007 |
0.003 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.016 |
0.020 |
0.024 |
0.028 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.036 |
0.039 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
Wage |
lna |
0.006 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.000 |
-0.012 |
-0.026 |
-0.041 |
-0.055 |
-0.067 |
-0.077 |
-0.084 |
-0.087 |
-0.087 |
-0.085 |
-0.080 |
-0.073 |
-0.064 |
-0.055 |
-0.044 |
-0.033 |
-0.023 |
-0.012 |
-0.002 |
0.007 |
0.015 |
0.022 |
0.028 |
0.033 |
0.037 |
0.040 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.042 |
0.040 |
0.038 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.009 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.027 |
-0.032 |
-0.036 |
-0.039 |
-0.042 |
-0.043 |
-0.043 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.037 |
-0.034 |
-0.031 |
-0.027 |
-0.023 |
-0.019 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.009 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.003 |
-0.006 |
-0.009 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.005 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.047 |
0.008 |
-0.022 |
-0.047 |
-0.067 |
-0.080 |
-0.087 |
-0.089 |
-0.087 |
-0.083 |
-0.079 |
-0.074 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.061 |
-0.058 |
-0.056 |
-0.054 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.048 |
-0.048 |
-0.047 |
-0.047 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.045 |
-0.044 |
-0.044 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.004 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.011 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.004 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.015 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.024 |
0.025 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.027 |
0.027 |
0.026 |
0.026 |
0.025 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.021 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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