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|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-13794.4 |
-34755.7 |
-43732.8 |
-50519.2 |
-54683.8 |
-56675.1 |
-56981.1 |
-55849.1 |
-53565.5 |
-50393.7 |
-46603.3 |
-42484.0 |
-38391.3 |
-34775.2 |
-31811.9 |
-28943.5 |
-25909.9 |
-23012.0 |
-20624.3 |
-19021.9 |
-18378.5 |
-18783.5 |
-20257.5 |
-22766.7 |
-26234.4 |
-30549.9 |
-35575.5 |
-41152.6 |
-47107.0 |
-53254.5 |
-59406.4 |
-65374.6 |
-70978.8 |
-76051.9 |
-80446.9 |
-84043.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-1445.4 |
-2538.2 |
-2609.2 |
-2319.2 |
-1519.5 |
-206.0 |
1555.1 |
3675.0 |
6028.9 |
8478.3 |
10877.4 |
13082.0 |
14949.9 |
16342.5 |
17177.3 |
17505.0 |
17388.7 |
16840.1 |
15861.5 |
14470.3 |
12704.8 |
10623.1 |
8300.4 |
5825.4 |
3295.4 |
811.6 |
-1525.6 |
-3620.5 |
-5386.2 |
-6747.7 |
-7644.6 |
-8033.3 |
-7888.9 |
-7206.2 |
-6000.4 |
-4307.2 |
Investment |
fI |
1116.4 |
-4198.0 |
-5785.3 |
-6093.2 |
-5242.3 |
-3121.1 |
81.5 |
4120.9 |
8762.9 |
13664.5 |
18512.8 |
22979.4 |
26732.0 |
29405.5 |
30896.8 |
31717.5 |
32186.4 |
32135.4 |
31352.2 |
29764.0 |
27399.4 |
24347.4 |
20736.5 |
16722.1 |
12476.9 |
8181.9 |
4019.2 |
164.5 |
-3218.0 |
-5982.0 |
-8003.4 |
-9184.8 |
-9459.6 |
-8795.3 |
-7195.8 |
-4702.7 |
Export |
fE |
633.2 |
4813.6 |
9339.8 |
14472.9 |
19808.9 |
25573.1 |
31517.0 |
37529.4 |
43347.6 |
48745.4 |
53465.2 |
57283.7 |
59998.4 |
61453.3 |
61576.3 |
60433.2 |
58128.7 |
54762.9 |
50461.7 |
45389.3 |
39742.8 |
33745.2 |
27636.6 |
21664.8 |
16075.6 |
11103.4 |
6961.6 |
3835.2 |
1873.1 |
1183.5 |
1829.0 |
3824.6 |
7135.9 |
11680.2 |
17327.7 |
23905.9 |
Import |
fM |
-5000.2 |
-13499.4 |
-15766.0 |
-16327.5 |
-15447.9 |
-13161.5 |
-9762.1 |
-5434.8 |
-447.0 |
4910.7 |
10337.0 |
15521.6 |
20123.6 |
23761.7 |
26285.7 |
28110.2 |
29450.4 |
30099.3 |
29838.7 |
28579.8 |
26328.2 |
23153.7 |
19175.1 |
14548.3 |
9457.1 |
4103.6 |
-1300.3 |
-6541.2 |
-11412.1 |
-15719.6 |
-19291.2 |
-21981.1 |
-23676.2 |
-24300.9 |
-23820.6 |
-22244.2 |
GDP |
fY |
-7643.0 |
-20226.8 |
-22944.3 |
-23069.4 |
-20276.0 |
-14770.8 |
-7171.9 |
2036.0 |
12223.5 |
22730.5 |
32892.2 |
42059.2 |
49573.6 |
54753.6 |
57333.2 |
58024.8 |
57336.4 |
55161.0 |
51308.1 |
45735.2 |
38549.7 |
29977.3 |
20331.7 |
9986.8 |
-648.1 |
-11150.7 |
-21104.4 |
-30115.8 |
-37828.0 |
-43933.2 |
-48182.5 |
-50394.7 |
-50463.0 |
-48360.3 |
-44142.7 |
-37949.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-11.650 |
-23.337 |
-26.604 |
-26.541 |
-22.866 |
-15.916 |
-6.378 |
5.030 |
17.450 |
30.013 |
41.879 |
52.275 |
60.488 |
65.859 |
68.108 |
67.762 |
65.349 |
61.014 |
54.812 |
46.882 |
37.467 |
26.902 |
15.584 |
3.949 |
-7.553 |
-18.484 |
-28.438 |
-37.054 |
-44.034 |
-49.147 |
-52.238 |
-53.230 |
-52.126 |
-49.007 |
-44.028 |
-37.415 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
6.582 |
12.321 |
13.368 |
13.214 |
11.257 |
7.684 |
2.848 |
-2.908 |
-9.151 |
-15.452 |
-21.393 |
-26.588 |
-30.677 |
-33.326 |
-34.411 |
-34.235 |
-33.046 |
-30.879 |
-27.755 |
-23.748 |
-18.988 |
-13.646 |
-7.925 |
-2.046 |
3.765 |
9.286 |
14.313 |
18.665 |
22.191 |
24.775 |
26.339 |
26.844 |
26.291 |
24.722 |
22.214 |
18.880 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
1.295 |
0.003 |
-0.117 |
-0.212 |
-0.259 |
-0.256 |
-0.211 |
-0.132 |
-0.029 |
0.087 |
0.208 |
0.326 |
0.436 |
0.538 |
0.613 |
0.628 |
0.610 |
0.584 |
0.552 |
0.509 |
0.453 |
0.383 |
0.302 |
0.211 |
0.115 |
0.017 |
-0.079 |
-0.169 |
-0.250 |
-0.318 |
-0.372 |
-0.410 |
-0.431 |
-0.435 |
-0.422 |
-0.394 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.639 |
-0.712 |
-0.332 |
-0.039 |
0.147 |
0.234 |
0.247 |
0.203 |
0.117 |
0.007 |
-0.114 |
-0.237 |
-0.353 |
-0.454 |
-0.523 |
-0.547 |
-0.557 |
-0.573 |
-0.588 |
-0.592 |
-0.580 |
-0.552 |
-0.507 |
-0.448 |
-0.378 |
-0.300 |
-0.217 |
-0.134 |
-0.054 |
0.020 |
0.085 |
0.139 |
0.180 |
0.207 |
0.218 |
0.216 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.345 |
-0.709 |
-0.449 |
-0.252 |
-0.111 |
-0.022 |
0.036 |
0.071 |
0.089 |
0.095 |
0.094 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.085 |
0.090 |
0.081 |
0.053 |
0.011 |
-0.035 |
-0.082 |
-0.127 |
-0.169 |
-0.206 |
-0.237 |
-0.263 |
-0.283 |
-0.296 |
-0.303 |
-0.304 |
-0.298 |
-0.287 |
-0.271 |
-0.251 |
-0.228 |
-0.204 |
-0.178 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-1.908 |
-1.851 |
-1.884 |
-1.844 |
-1.813 |
-1.778 |
-1.777 |
-1.822 |
-1.915 |
-2.055 |
-2.236 |
-2.449 |
-2.682 |
-2.918 |
-3.147 |
-3.386 |
-3.656 |
-3.960 |
-4.297 |
-4.662 |
-5.049 |
-5.451 |
-5.864 |
-6.282 |
-6.699 |
-7.112 |
-7.515 |
-7.905 |
-8.279 |
-8.633 |
-8.964 |
-9.272 |
-9.555 |
-9.814 |
-10.049 |
-10.262 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.552 |
0.467 |
0.443 |
0.525 |
0.645 |
0.745 |
0.782 |
0.721 |
0.545 |
0.249 |
-0.159 |
-0.664 |
-1.247 |
-1.884 |
-2.543 |
-3.172 |
-3.743 |
-4.250 |
-4.682 |
-5.029 |
-5.281 |
-5.427 |
-5.463 |
-5.386 |
-5.197 |
-4.902 |
-4.511 |
-4.038 |
-3.499 |
-2.914 |
-2.302 |
-1.687 |
-1.087 |
-0.525 |
-0.017 |
0.421 |
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|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.240 |
0.506 |
0.409 |
0.218 |
-0.059 |
-0.394 |
-0.752 |
-1.104 |
-1.423 |
-1.686 |
-1.877 |
-1.984 |
-2.001 |
-1.923 |
-1.760 |
-1.541 |
-1.287 |
-1.002 |
-0.690 |
-0.359 |
-0.021 |
0.314 |
0.633 |
0.922 |
1.173 |
1.374 |
1.520 |
1.605 |
1.629 |
1.591 |
1.495 |
1.346 |
1.151 |
0.920 |
0.663 |
0.390 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.152 |
-0.205 |
-0.316 |
-0.409 |
-0.486 |
-0.546 |
-0.585 |
-0.606 |
-0.610 |
-0.599 |
-0.577 |
-0.546 |
-0.509 |
-0.469 |
-0.429 |
-0.398 |
-0.378 |
-0.366 |
-0.360 |
-0.361 |
-0.367 |
-0.378 |
-0.396 |
-0.418 |
-0.445 |
-0.475 |
-0.508 |
-0.541 |
-0.574 |
-0.604 |
-0.632 |
-0.655 |
-0.674 |
-0.687 |
-0.694 |
-0.695 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.530 |
-5.792 |
-6.054 |
-6.284 |
-6.485 |
-6.649 |
-6.769 |
-6.839 |
-6.856 |
-6.820 |
-6.733 |
-6.599 |
-6.426 |
-6.223 |
-6.001 |
-5.768 |
-5.534 |
-5.305 |
-5.089 |
-4.896 |
-4.731 |
-4.601 |
-4.509 |
-4.459 |
-4.451 |
-4.485 |
-4.559 |
-4.669 |
-4.808 |
-4.971 |
-5.152 |
-5.341 |
-5.532 |
-5.718 |
-5.892 |
-6.047 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.188 |
-0.584 |
-1.008 |
-1.413 |
-1.772 |
-2.050 |
-2.219 |
-2.259 |
-2.159 |
-1.917 |
-1.538 |
-1.038 |
-0.438 |
0.235 |
0.946 |
1.669 |
2.378 |
3.053 |
3.670 |
4.209 |
4.651 |
4.982 |
5.190 |
5.270 |
5.222 |
5.051 |
4.769 |
4.389 |
3.930 |
3.413 |
2.860 |
2.292 |
1.734 |
1.205 |
0.724 |
0.308 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.141 |
-0.648 |
-1.129 |
-1.567 |
-1.967 |
-2.322 |
-2.624 |
-2.869 |
-3.052 |
-3.171 |
-3.228 |
-3.224 |
-3.167 |
-3.064 |
-2.925 |
-2.761 |
-2.580 |
-2.390 |
-2.200 |
-2.020 |
-1.856 |
-1.717 |
-1.608 |
-1.534 |
-1.498 |
-1.502 |
-1.544 |
-1.624 |
-1.738 |
-1.880 |
-2.045 |
-2.226 |
-2.417 |
-2.610 |
-2.797 |
-2.974 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.109 |
-0.288 |
-0.458 |
-0.612 |
-0.749 |
-0.863 |
-0.949 |
-1.005 |
-1.029 |
-1.020 |
-0.979 |
-0.909 |
-0.814 |
-0.700 |
-0.572 |
-0.436 |
-0.298 |
-0.161 |
-0.031 |
0.087 |
0.190 |
0.274 |
0.336 |
0.374 |
0.388 |
0.376 |
0.342 |
0.286 |
0.212 |
0.122 |
0.022 |
-0.086 |
-0.196 |
-0.305 |
-0.408 |
-0.501 |
|
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Percentage-point |
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|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
3.258 |
0.625 |
0.026 |
-0.437 |
-0.764 |
-0.978 |
-1.119 |
-1.203 |
-1.245 |
-1.257 |
-1.246 |
-1.218 |
-1.175 |
-1.119 |
-1.072 |
-1.067 |
-1.066 |
-1.039 |
-0.993 |
-0.941 |
-0.892 |
-0.850 |
-0.818 |
-0.799 |
-0.791 |
-0.794 |
-0.808 |
-0.831 |
-0.861 |
-0.899 |
-0.941 |
-0.987 |
-1.034 |
-1.082 |
-1.129 |
-1.174 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.052 |
0.060 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.092 |
0.139 |
0.223 |
0.345 |
0.503 |
0.691 |
0.904 |
1.131 |
1.365 |
1.594 |
1.805 |
1.991 |
2.151 |
2.283 |
2.384 |
2.451 |
2.483 |
2.479 |
2.442 |
2.372 |
2.274 |
2.153 |
2.015 |
1.865 |
1.710 |
1.557 |
1.410 |
1.277 |
1.161 |
1.066 |
0.996 |
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