|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
4594.6 |
1226.4 |
6699.8 |
11149.5 |
15184.8 |
18781.4 |
21941.9 |
24806.9 |
27423.3 |
29838.2 |
32077.7 |
34147.9 |
36036.1 |
37721.3 |
39179.5 |
40389.6 |
41335.7 |
42008.4 |
42405.0 |
42530.0 |
42394.0 |
42013.9 |
41412.0 |
40615.3 |
39655.1 |
38565.6 |
37383.5 |
36147.2 |
34895.4 |
33666.4 |
32497.2 |
31422.5 |
30474.1 |
29679.6 |
29062.7 |
28641.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-169.9 |
-120.3 |
-331.5 |
-560.4 |
-772.4 |
-954.6 |
-1103.6 |
-1222.7 |
-1314.4 |
-1381.7 |
-1427.2 |
-1453.2 |
-1461.3 |
-1452.8 |
-1428.6 |
-1389.9 |
-1337.7 |
-1273.4 |
-1198.4 |
-1114.3 |
-1023.0 |
-926.3 |
-826.2 |
-724.7 |
-623.7 |
-525.2 |
-431.1 |
-343.2 |
-263.1 |
-192.2 |
-131.8 |
-82.9 |
-46.2 |
-22.1 |
-10.8 |
-12.2 |
Investment |
fI |
12914.3 |
19740.7 |
26302.1 |
30834.8 |
34169.2 |
36644.7 |
38389.8 |
39479.3 |
40044.8 |
40145.8 |
39874.1 |
39288.5 |
38446.1 |
37389.9 |
36161.0 |
34795.5 |
33328.8 |
31794.3 |
30224.3 |
28650.3 |
27102.9 |
25611.4 |
24204.2 |
22907.9 |
21747.3 |
20745.2 |
19921.5 |
19293.2 |
18873.8 |
18673.2 |
18697.1 |
18946.9 |
19419.7 |
20107.9 |
21000.0 |
22080.1 |
Export |
fE |
2065.1 |
7749.6 |
12996.3 |
17929.7 |
22014.7 |
25452.9 |
28027.1 |
29755.5 |
30581.2 |
30541.3 |
29669.9 |
28042.1 |
25741.1 |
22868.5 |
19531.3 |
15843.1 |
11917.8 |
7868.1 |
3802.0 |
-178.6 |
-3980.3 |
-7519.3 |
-10722.4 |
-13528.1 |
-15886.7 |
-17761.0 |
-19125.8 |
-19968.3 |
-20287.7 |
-20094.3 |
-19409.1 |
-18263.2 |
-16696.5 |
-14756.5 |
-12497.7 |
-9979.6 |
Import |
fM |
7329.0 |
10733.3 |
16512.7 |
21156.8 |
24796.0 |
28023.7 |
30707.6 |
32913.0 |
34650.2 |
35940.1 |
36807.6 |
37276.2 |
37366.5 |
37101.6 |
36507.8 |
35616.2 |
34462.5 |
33086.1 |
31529.6 |
29837.8 |
28056.6 |
26232.5 |
24411.5 |
22638.5 |
20956.2 |
19404.6 |
18020.1 |
16835.0 |
15876.8 |
15167.9 |
14724.6 |
14557.5 |
14671.0 |
15063.2 |
15726.0 |
16645.8 |
GDP |
fY |
11181.0 |
17286.8 |
28379.9 |
37402.5 |
45049.0 |
51153.4 |
55773.5 |
59069.3 |
61138.8 |
62104.7 |
62091.9 |
61221.9 |
59607.5 |
57357.7 |
54578.3 |
51375.0 |
47852.0 |
44112.4 |
40255.9 |
36378.9 |
32572.0 |
28920.3 |
25501.4 |
22385.1 |
19632.7 |
17296.1 |
15417.8 |
14029.9 |
13154.2 |
12801.5 |
12972.3 |
13656.0 |
14832.2 |
16470.1 |
18530.2 |
20964.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
4.397 |
10.261 |
19.927 |
28.604 |
36.139 |
42.183 |
46.555 |
49.294 |
50.475 |
50.236 |
48.743 |
46.175 |
42.711 |
38.525 |
33.785 |
28.652 |
23.278 |
17.804 |
12.359 |
7.060 |
2.011 |
-2.697 |
-6.991 |
-10.808 |
-14.103 |
-16.841 |
-19.006 |
-20.589 |
-21.598 |
-22.049 |
-21.971 |
-21.401 |
-20.384 |
-18.973 |
-17.225 |
-15.202 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.484 |
-5.472 |
-10.523 |
-14.766 |
-18.480 |
-21.464 |
-23.626 |
-24.988 |
-25.580 |
-25.465 |
-24.725 |
-23.444 |
-21.710 |
-19.609 |
-17.225 |
-14.638 |
-11.925 |
-9.157 |
-6.400 |
-3.713 |
-1.150 |
1.243 |
3.428 |
5.374 |
7.057 |
8.458 |
9.569 |
10.386 |
10.912 |
11.154 |
11.128 |
10.851 |
10.347 |
9.641 |
8.764 |
7.746 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.138 |
-0.726 |
-0.482 |
-0.309 |
-0.172 |
-0.073 |
-0.015 |
0.009 |
0.003 |
-0.030 |
-0.086 |
-0.159 |
-0.246 |
-0.344 |
-0.450 |
-0.561 |
-0.677 |
-0.794 |
-0.911 |
-1.026 |
-1.138 |
-1.246 |
-1.347 |
-1.443 |
-1.530 |
-1.610 |
-1.681 |
-1.743 |
-1.797 |
-1.842 |
-1.878 |
-1.906 |
-1.927 |
-1.942 |
-1.950 |
-1.953 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.002 |
-0.940 |
-1.196 |
-1.341 |
-1.428 |
-1.480 |
-1.493 |
-1.478 |
-1.444 |
-1.395 |
-1.339 |
-1.278 |
-1.215 |
-1.153 |
-1.093 |
-1.034 |
-0.977 |
-0.922 |
-0.869 |
-0.819 |
-0.770 |
-0.725 |
-0.682 |
-0.642 |
-0.605 |
-0.571 |
-0.541 |
-0.514 |
-0.491 |
-0.471 |
-0.455 |
-0.443 |
-0.435 |
-0.430 |
-0.428 |
-0.429 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.864 |
-1.666 |
-1.678 |
-1.650 |
-1.600 |
-1.553 |
-1.508 |
-1.469 |
-1.441 |
-1.426 |
-1.424 |
-1.436 |
-1.461 |
-1.497 |
-1.542 |
-1.595 |
-1.653 |
-1.716 |
-1.780 |
-1.845 |
-1.909 |
-1.970 |
-2.029 |
-2.084 |
-2.135 |
-2.181 |
-2.222 |
-2.257 |
-2.287 |
-2.313 |
-2.333 |
-2.350 |
-2.362 |
-2.371 |
-2.378 |
-2.382 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.301 |
-3.761 |
-5.378 |
-6.934 |
-8.402 |
-9.805 |
-11.133 |
-12.392 |
-13.594 |
-14.750 |
-15.875 |
-16.981 |
-18.080 |
-19.181 |
-20.293 |
-21.420 |
-22.568 |
-23.738 |
-24.931 |
-26.146 |
-27.381 |
-28.633 |
-29.898 |
-31.172 |
-32.450 |
-33.726 |
-34.995 |
-36.252 |
-37.493 |
-38.713 |
-39.907 |
-41.072 |
-42.206 |
-43.307 |
-44.372 |
-45.401 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
1.193 |
1.487 |
1.511 |
1.417 |
1.227 |
0.978 |
0.708 |
0.447 |
0.221 |
0.052 |
-0.042 |
-0.047 |
0.045 |
0.239 |
0.539 |
0.947 |
1.459 |
2.074 |
2.786 |
3.590 |
4.478 |
5.442 |
6.472 |
7.558 |
8.691 |
9.858 |
11.051 |
12.257 |
13.467 |
14.670 |
15.858 |
17.023 |
18.156 |
19.253 |
20.307 |
21.314 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.313 |
-0.448 |
-0.653 |
-0.729 |
-0.718 |
-0.632 |
-0.485 |
-0.291 |
-0.062 |
0.192 |
0.461 |
0.737 |
1.014 |
1.287 |
1.550 |
1.799 |
2.031 |
2.242 |
2.431 |
2.595 |
2.733 |
2.845 |
2.931 |
2.990 |
3.024 |
3.034 |
3.022 |
2.988 |
2.937 |
2.869 |
2.788 |
2.697 |
2.598 |
2.493 |
2.386 |
2.278 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.320 |
-0.482 |
-0.641 |
-0.735 |
-0.789 |
-0.818 |
-0.828 |
-0.827 |
-0.819 |
-0.808 |
-0.794 |
-0.780 |
-0.766 |
-0.752 |
-0.740 |
-0.730 |
-0.721 |
-0.713 |
-0.708 |
-0.705 |
-0.703 |
-0.703 |
-0.705 |
-0.708 |
-0.712 |
-0.718 |
-0.724 |
-0.731 |
-0.738 |
-0.745 |
-0.753 |
-0.760 |
-0.767 |
-0.773 |
-0.779 |
-0.784 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.546 |
-5.746 |
-5.869 |
-5.936 |
-5.952 |
-5.925 |
-5.861 |
-5.769 |
-5.653 |
-5.522 |
-5.382 |
-5.237 |
-5.093 |
-4.953 |
-4.823 |
-4.703 |
-4.598 |
-4.508 |
-4.435 |
-4.380 |
-4.342 |
-4.322 |
-4.319 |
-4.331 |
-4.358 |
-4.397 |
-4.448 |
-4.507 |
-4.574 |
-4.645 |
-4.720 |
-4.796 |
-4.871 |
-4.944 |
-5.013 |
-5.078 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.044 |
0.065 |
0.292 |
0.620 |
1.030 |
1.504 |
2.022 |
2.568 |
3.123 |
3.672 |
4.201 |
4.699 |
5.155 |
5.563 |
5.915 |
6.208 |
6.440 |
6.610 |
6.719 |
6.770 |
6.765 |
6.710 |
6.609 |
6.470 |
6.297 |
6.098 |
5.880 |
5.650 |
5.412 |
5.174 |
4.941 |
4.718 |
4.509 |
4.318 |
4.148 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.081 |
-0.483 |
-0.811 |
-1.054 |
-1.224 |
-1.331 |
-1.382 |
-1.389 |
-1.360 |
-1.303 |
-1.225 |
-1.133 |
-1.034 |
-0.932 |
-0.833 |
-0.740 |
-0.656 |
-0.584 |
-0.526 |
-0.483 |
-0.456 |
-0.447 |
-0.453 |
-0.475 |
-0.512 |
-0.562 |
-0.625 |
-0.697 |
-0.777 |
-0.864 |
-0.955 |
-1.048 |
-1.141 |
-1.232 |
-1.321 |
-1.405 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.081 |
-0.191 |
-0.262 |
-0.297 |
-0.299 |
-0.275 |
-0.228 |
-0.163 |
-0.084 |
0.004 |
0.097 |
0.192 |
0.286 |
0.377 |
0.461 |
0.538 |
0.605 |
0.662 |
0.708 |
0.743 |
0.767 |
0.779 |
0.780 |
0.772 |
0.755 |
0.730 |
0.698 |
0.661 |
0.619 |
0.575 |
0.529 |
0.482 |
0.435 |
0.390 |
0.348 |
0.309 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
1.984 |
0.174 |
0.242 |
0.267 |
0.277 |
0.275 |
0.249 |
0.212 |
0.167 |
0.120 |
0.075 |
0.034 |
-0.001 |
-0.029 |
-0.053 |
-0.071 |
-0.085 |
-0.096 |
-0.105 |
-0.113 |
-0.120 |
-0.127 |
-0.134 |
-0.142 |
-0.151 |
-0.162 |
-0.173 |
-0.186 |
-0.200 |
-0.214 |
-0.230 |
-0.246 |
-0.262 |
-0.279 |
-0.295 |
-0.310 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.114 |
0.029 |
0.174 |
0.346 |
0.537 |
0.738 |
0.942 |
1.141 |
1.331 |
1.507 |
1.668 |
1.811 |
1.935 |
2.040 |
2.125 |
2.191 |
2.238 |
2.268 |
2.281 |
2.278 |
2.262 |
2.234 |
2.197 |
2.151 |
2.099 |
2.043 |
1.985 |
1.926 |
1.868 |
1.812 |
1.759 |
1.711 |
1.668 |
1.632 |
1.601 |
1.578 |
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