|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
4510.0 |
850.8 |
5878.8 |
9658.9 |
12871.0 |
15536.1 |
17721.1 |
19622.8 |
21329.4 |
22911.4 |
24408.5 |
25838.5 |
27201.3 |
28487.9 |
29683.3 |
30771.8 |
31738.6 |
32571.7 |
33262.8 |
33807.6 |
34205.7 |
34460.8 |
34580.3 |
34574.4 |
34456.3 |
34241.0 |
33945.3 |
33586.9 |
33184.2 |
32755.3 |
32318.2 |
31890.0 |
31486.4 |
31121.9 |
30809.2 |
30559.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-166.0 |
-100.0 |
-285.0 |
-475.2 |
-639.5 |
-768.8 |
-863.5 |
-930.8 |
-976.1 |
-1004.4 |
-1019.5 |
-1024.2 |
-1020.6 |
-1009.9 |
-993.1 |
-970.8 |
-943.5 |
-911.5 |
-875.3 |
-835.4 |
-792.3 |
-746.5 |
-698.8 |
-649.9 |
-600.6 |
-551.5 |
-503.4 |
-457.2 |
-413.4 |
-372.8 |
-335.8 |
-302.9 |
-274.5 |
-250.9 |
-232.1 |
-218.3 |
Investment |
fI |
12750.4 |
19142.9 |
25068.4 |
28808.1 |
31270.7 |
32896.3 |
33870.4 |
34319.9 |
34403.2 |
34191.9 |
33778.2 |
33218.0 |
32562.2 |
31844.2 |
31091.0 |
30321.2 |
29549.6 |
28787.1 |
28043.1 |
27325.6 |
26642.5 |
26001.4 |
25409.9 |
24875.8 |
24406.5 |
24009.5 |
23691.5 |
23458.5 |
23315.8 |
23267.2 |
23315.4 |
23461.7 |
23705.8 |
24045.9 |
24478.8 |
25000.1 |
Export |
fE |
784.4 |
5141.8 |
8438.6 |
11318.4 |
13382.3 |
14942.9 |
15891.7 |
16311.9 |
16197.9 |
15612.9 |
14599.2 |
13222.6 |
11543.6 |
9629.5 |
7543.7 |
5349.3 |
3104.9 |
865.0 |
-1320.9 |
-3409.2 |
-5361.8 |
-7146.9 |
-8738.6 |
-10117.0 |
-11268.0 |
-12183.1 |
-12859.2 |
-13298.0 |
-13506.0 |
-13493.4 |
-13274.6 |
-12866.5 |
-12289.2 |
-11564.2 |
-10715.1 |
-9766.1 |
Import |
fM |
6438.6 |
8755.0 |
12940.2 |
15825.3 |
17675.8 |
19165.2 |
20250.8 |
21055.4 |
21628.8 |
22011.8 |
22236.8 |
22328.7 |
22304.7 |
22179.4 |
21964.1 |
21669.9 |
21307.2 |
20886.8 |
20420.0 |
19918.5 |
19394.5 |
18860.8 |
18330.1 |
17815.1 |
17328.1 |
16880.8 |
16484.1 |
16147.6 |
15879.8 |
15687.6 |
15576.3 |
15549.5 |
15609.4 |
15756.0 |
15988.1 |
16302.7 |
GDP |
fY |
10456.5 |
15550.8 |
25142.1 |
32370.2 |
38080.2 |
42277.4 |
45158.9 |
46995.5 |
47961.6 |
48218.8 |
47904.2 |
47134.8 |
46006.7 |
44601.9 |
42989.4 |
41229.3 |
39374.2 |
37471.3 |
35562.8 |
33687.2 |
31879.5 |
30171.1 |
28590.4 |
27162.2 |
25907.9 |
24845.3 |
23988.3 |
23347.0 |
22927.7 |
22732.4 |
22759.6 |
23003.8 |
23456.3 |
24104.8 |
24934.5 |
25927.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
4.200 |
9.401 |
18.033 |
25.283 |
31.164 |
35.491 |
38.249 |
39.617 |
39.771 |
38.910 |
37.227 |
34.900 |
32.087 |
28.927 |
25.539 |
22.024 |
18.471 |
14.952 |
11.531 |
8.259 |
5.182 |
2.333 |
-0.259 |
-2.574 |
-4.597 |
-6.321 |
-7.743 |
-8.867 |
-9.700 |
-10.255 |
-10.547 |
-10.598 |
-10.428 |
-10.063 |
-9.529 |
-8.853 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.373 |
-5.001 |
-9.516 |
-13.024 |
-15.899 |
-18.020 |
-19.375 |
-20.055 |
-20.138 |
-19.719 |
-18.889 |
-17.735 |
-16.333 |
-14.752 |
-13.051 |
-11.282 |
-9.488 |
-7.708 |
-5.974 |
-4.313 |
-2.747 |
-1.296 |
0.027 |
1.211 |
2.247 |
3.132 |
3.865 |
4.445 |
4.878 |
5.170 |
5.328 |
5.362 |
5.285 |
5.107 |
4.843 |
4.505 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.131 |
-0.754 |
-0.537 |
-0.401 |
-0.305 |
-0.248 |
-0.231 |
-0.242 |
-0.278 |
-0.331 |
-0.397 |
-0.473 |
-0.554 |
-0.639 |
-0.726 |
-0.813 |
-0.899 |
-0.984 |
-1.067 |
-1.148 |
-1.225 |
-1.299 |
-1.369 |
-1.435 |
-1.497 |
-1.555 |
-1.609 |
-1.658 |
-1.704 |
-1.745 |
-1.782 |
-1.816 |
-1.846 |
-1.873 |
-1.897 |
-1.918 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-2.009 |
-0.938 |
-1.182 |
-1.306 |
-1.369 |
-1.395 |
-1.382 |
-1.346 |
-1.295 |
-1.235 |
-1.173 |
-1.112 |
-1.054 |
-1.000 |
-0.950 |
-0.904 |
-0.863 |
-0.825 |
-0.790 |
-0.758 |
-0.728 |
-0.701 |
-0.675 |
-0.650 |
-0.627 |
-0.605 |
-0.585 |
-0.566 |
-0.549 |
-0.534 |
-0.520 |
-0.507 |
-0.497 |
-0.488 |
-0.480 |
-0.474 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-1.879 |
-1.691 |
-1.719 |
-1.707 |
-1.674 |
-1.643 |
-1.613 |
-1.588 |
-1.572 |
-1.566 |
-1.570 |
-1.585 |
-1.608 |
-1.638 |
-1.675 |
-1.717 |
-1.762 |
-1.809 |
-1.858 |
-1.906 |
-1.953 |
-1.999 |
-2.043 |
-2.085 |
-2.124 |
-2.160 |
-2.194 |
-2.225 |
-2.253 |
-2.278 |
-2.302 |
-2.323 |
-2.342 |
-2.360 |
-2.377 |
-2.392 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-2.296 |
-3.764 |
-5.405 |
-7.000 |
-8.529 |
-10.009 |
-11.432 |
-12.801 |
-14.125 |
-15.412 |
-16.671 |
-17.910 |
-19.137 |
-20.357 |
-21.576 |
-22.797 |
-24.022 |
-25.251 |
-26.485 |
-27.724 |
-28.965 |
-30.207 |
-31.448 |
-32.685 |
-33.915 |
-35.137 |
-36.348 |
-37.544 |
-38.725 |
-39.889 |
-41.033 |
-42.156 |
-43.257 |
-44.337 |
-45.393 |
-46.427 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
1.208 |
1.542 |
1.638 |
1.655 |
1.615 |
1.555 |
1.506 |
1.490 |
1.525 |
1.624 |
1.794 |
2.040 |
2.363 |
2.763 |
3.238 |
3.784 |
4.398 |
5.075 |
5.810 |
6.598 |
7.434 |
8.311 |
9.225 |
10.170 |
11.140 |
12.129 |
13.132 |
14.144 |
15.160 |
16.175 |
17.185 |
18.186 |
19.175 |
20.148 |
21.103 |
22.039 |
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|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.273 |
-0.363 |
-0.508 |
-0.525 |
-0.461 |
-0.334 |
-0.163 |
0.037 |
0.255 |
0.479 |
0.705 |
0.925 |
1.137 |
1.338 |
1.525 |
1.697 |
1.853 |
1.992 |
2.115 |
2.221 |
2.311 |
2.384 |
2.442 |
2.485 |
2.514 |
2.529 |
2.533 |
2.525 |
2.507 |
2.481 |
2.447 |
2.408 |
2.363 |
2.315 |
2.265 |
2.213 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.286 |
-0.417 |
-0.537 |
-0.595 |
-0.622 |
-0.630 |
-0.628 |
-0.622 |
-0.615 |
-0.610 |
-0.607 |
-0.605 |
-0.606 |
-0.608 |
-0.612 |
-0.617 |
-0.623 |
-0.630 |
-0.637 |
-0.644 |
-0.652 |
-0.660 |
-0.668 |
-0.675 |
-0.682 |
-0.689 |
-0.695 |
-0.701 |
-0.706 |
-0.710 |
-0.714 |
-0.717 |
-0.719 |
-0.721 |
-0.722 |
-0.722 |
User cost |
uim |
-5.545 |
-5.744 |
-5.868 |
-5.938 |
-5.964 |
-5.952 |
-5.909 |
-5.844 |
-5.761 |
-5.668 |
-5.568 |
-5.465 |
-5.363 |
-5.266 |
-5.174 |
-5.089 |
-5.014 |
-4.948 |
-4.892 |
-4.847 |
-4.813 |
-4.789 |
-4.774 |
-4.769 |
-4.772 |
-4.782 |
-4.800 |
-4.823 |
-4.850 |
-4.881 |
-4.915 |
-4.951 |
-4.987 |
-5.024 |
-5.060 |
-5.095 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.028 |
-0.055 |
0.033 |
0.224 |
0.496 |
0.831 |
1.210 |
1.617 |
2.038 |
2.458 |
2.868 |
3.259 |
3.625 |
3.959 |
4.259 |
4.521 |
4.745 |
4.930 |
5.078 |
5.188 |
5.263 |
5.305 |
5.317 |
5.303 |
5.264 |
5.205 |
5.130 |
5.040 |
4.941 |
4.834 |
4.724 |
4.612 |
4.501 |
4.393 |
4.290 |
4.195 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.081 |
-0.487 |
-0.821 |
-1.076 |
-1.264 |
-1.394 |
-1.477 |
-1.521 |
-1.535 |
-1.525 |
-1.498 |
-1.459 |
-1.412 |
-1.360 |
-1.308 |
-1.258 |
-1.211 |
-1.170 |
-1.135 |
-1.107 |
-1.087 |
-1.076 |
-1.073 |
-1.077 |
-1.090 |
-1.109 |
-1.135 |
-1.167 |
-1.203 |
-1.244 |
-1.287 |
-1.333 |
-1.380 |
-1.427 |
-1.475 |
-1.521 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.081 |
-0.193 |
-0.269 |
-0.310 |
-0.324 |
-0.314 |
-0.285 |
-0.242 |
-0.189 |
-0.128 |
-0.063 |
0.004 |
0.070 |
0.134 |
0.194 |
0.249 |
0.299 |
0.342 |
0.379 |
0.409 |
0.433 |
0.450 |
0.461 |
0.466 |
0.465 |
0.460 |
0.451 |
0.438 |
0.422 |
0.404 |
0.384 |
0.363 |
0.341 |
0.319 |
0.298 |
0.277 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
2.001 |
0.196 |
0.273 |
0.301 |
0.309 |
0.299 |
0.263 |
0.214 |
0.158 |
0.103 |
0.050 |
0.004 |
-0.036 |
-0.069 |
-0.096 |
-0.117 |
-0.134 |
-0.147 |
-0.158 |
-0.167 |
-0.175 |
-0.182 |
-0.189 |
-0.196 |
-0.204 |
-0.212 |
-0.222 |
-0.231 |
-0.242 |
-0.253 |
-0.264 |
-0.276 |
-0.288 |
-0.300 |
-0.312 |
-0.324 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.098 |
0.055 |
0.212 |
0.390 |
0.578 |
0.769 |
0.954 |
1.127 |
1.287 |
1.430 |
1.557 |
1.667 |
1.761 |
1.839 |
1.903 |
1.953 |
1.990 |
2.015 |
2.030 |
2.036 |
2.033 |
2.024 |
2.008 |
1.988 |
1.965 |
1.938 |
1.910 |
1.882 |
1.853 |
1.825 |
1.799 |
1.774 |
1.751 |
1.731 |
1.714 |
1.700 |
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