|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1802.4 |
2727.4 |
2956.4 |
3909.6 |
5443.3 |
7321.0 |
9376.3 |
11504.7 |
13631.9 |
15704.2 |
17676.8 |
19509.5 |
21164.1 |
22605.6 |
23802.4 |
24729.0 |
25367.2 |
25708.1 |
25753.2 |
25514.6 |
25015.5 |
24289.0 |
23377.4 |
22330.7 |
21204.4 |
20057.7 |
18951.4 |
17945.3 |
17096.0 |
16454.7 |
16065.0 |
15961.4 |
16167.6 |
16695.3 |
17544.0 |
18700.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3573.3 |
3592.1 |
4148.8 |
5006.1 |
6023.2 |
7103.2 |
8172.1 |
9169.5 |
10046.1 |
10764.8 |
11299.5 |
11635.6 |
11768.1 |
11701.5 |
11448.3 |
11028.0 |
10466.4 |
9793.9 |
9044.2 |
8253.7 |
7459.5 |
6698.4 |
6005.5 |
5413.2 |
4949.8 |
4639.1 |
4498.8 |
4540.6 |
4769.3 |
5182.9 |
5772.5 |
6522.7 |
7411.9 |
8413.4 |
9496.0 |
10625.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-2444.4 |
-2896.7 |
-455.5 |
2179.2 |
4649.9 |
6866.2 |
8829.2 |
10503.5 |
11868.2 |
12894.9 |
13572.5 |
13896.5 |
13874.6 |
13523.2 |
12868.3 |
11943.2 |
10789.2 |
9453.3 |
7987.7 |
6448.3 |
4892.7 |
3378.9 |
1963.3 |
699.0 |
-366.4 |
-1191.8 |
-1744.6 |
-2001.9 |
-1951.1 |
-1591.1 |
-932.2 |
3.9 |
1185.1 |
2569.2 |
4106.2 |
5740.1 |
Export |
fE |
3836.2 |
6692.1 |
9533.8 |
12480.7 |
15341.5 |
18068.4 |
20536.0 |
22663.8 |
24372.6 |
25613.8 |
26356.1 |
26594.3 |
26343.7 |
25641.4 |
24542.0 |
23115.9 |
21444.9 |
19619.0 |
17732.6 |
15880.5 |
14154.8 |
12641.1 |
11415.5 |
10542.4 |
10071.7 |
10038.1 |
10459.0 |
11334.8 |
12648.7 |
14367.1 |
16441.6 |
18810.1 |
21399.3 |
24127.6 |
26908.4 |
29652.9 |
Import |
fM |
267.9 |
1324.7 |
3361.3 |
5780.4 |
8331.6 |
10900.0 |
13400.6 |
15756.8 |
17898.0 |
19766.6 |
21318.0 |
22519.1 |
23348.8 |
23798.8 |
23872.6 |
23586.4 |
22968.3 |
22057.7 |
20904.0 |
19565.2 |
18105.9 |
16594.8 |
15102.8 |
13699.8 |
12452.7 |
11423.0 |
10663.8 |
10218.8 |
10119.8 |
10385.9 |
11022.2 |
12020.2 |
13357.3 |
14997.8 |
16894.6 |
18990.4 |
GDP |
fY |
6793.6 |
9292.6 |
13428.9 |
18473.0 |
23883.9 |
29222.2 |
34250.6 |
38772.5 |
42639.1 |
45744.8 |
48025.9 |
49455.4 |
50039.7 |
49815.2 |
48844.8 |
47214.8 |
45031.2 |
42416.5 |
39505.0 |
36439.2 |
33364.5 |
30424.7 |
27757.5 |
25489.6 |
23732.5 |
22579.3 |
22100.9 |
22343.7 |
23328.1 |
25046.9 |
27466.2 |
30525.6 |
34140.6 |
38205.4 |
42597.0 |
47179.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-13.467 |
-12.969 |
-9.403 |
-4.375 |
1.316 |
7.089 |
12.517 |
17.279 |
21.140 |
23.949 |
25.630 |
26.167 |
25.599 |
24.010 |
21.519 |
18.272 |
14.434 |
10.184 |
5.705 |
1.180 |
-3.216 |
-7.321 |
-10.991 |
-14.103 |
-16.561 |
-18.294 |
-19.262 |
-19.454 |
-18.888 |
-17.610 |
-15.691 |
-13.224 |
-10.321 |
-7.106 |
-3.713 |
-0.279 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
7.608 |
6.331 |
4.429 |
1.917 |
-0.905 |
-3.762 |
-6.449 |
-8.808 |
-10.722 |
-12.114 |
-12.946 |
-13.207 |
-12.917 |
-12.115 |
-10.860 |
-9.225 |
-7.293 |
-5.152 |
-2.896 |
-0.615 |
1.602 |
3.673 |
5.525 |
7.097 |
8.339 |
9.216 |
9.708 |
9.808 |
9.526 |
8.884 |
7.919 |
6.677 |
5.214 |
3.594 |
1.883 |
0.152 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.150 |
-0.123 |
-0.068 |
-0.018 |
0.036 |
0.091 |
0.145 |
0.192 |
0.232 |
0.264 |
0.285 |
0.298 |
0.300 |
0.294 |
0.280 |
0.259 |
0.232 |
0.201 |
0.167 |
0.131 |
0.095 |
0.059 |
0.027 |
-0.003 |
-0.027 |
-0.047 |
-0.061 |
-0.069 |
-0.071 |
-0.066 |
-0.056 |
-0.042 |
-0.022 |
0.000 |
0.026 |
0.052 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.131 |
0.115 |
0.056 |
0.004 |
-0.051 |
-0.106 |
-0.156 |
-0.199 |
-0.235 |
-0.261 |
-0.279 |
-0.288 |
-0.291 |
-0.286 |
-0.275 |
-0.259 |
-0.238 |
-0.214 |
-0.186 |
-0.156 |
-0.126 |
-0.094 |
-0.064 |
-0.035 |
-0.008 |
0.015 |
0.034 |
0.049 |
0.060 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.061 |
0.053 |
0.040 |
0.025 |
0.007 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.019 |
-0.008 |
-0.012 |
-0.014 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.012 |
-0.007 |
-0.002 |
0.003 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.008 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.006 |
-0.013 |
-0.020 |
-0.026 |
-0.031 |
-0.035 |
-0.037 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.032 |
-0.027 |
-0.020 |
-0.011 |
-0.001 |
0.009 |
0.020 |
0.030 |
0.041 |
0.050 |
0.059 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.207 |
0.236 |
0.213 |
0.166 |
0.109 |
0.048 |
-0.012 |
-0.066 |
-0.113 |
-0.151 |
-0.180 |
-0.201 |
-0.215 |
-0.222 |
-0.224 |
-0.223 |
-0.218 |
-0.211 |
-0.201 |
-0.188 |
-0.172 |
-0.153 |
-0.130 |
-0.102 |
-0.070 |
-0.031 |
0.013 |
0.063 |
0.119 |
0.180 |
0.247 |
0.317 |
0.391 |
0.467 |
0.544 |
0.622 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.214 |
0.347 |
0.397 |
0.377 |
0.289 |
0.139 |
-0.066 |
-0.315 |
-0.596 |
-0.895 |
-1.201 |
-1.501 |
-1.785 |
-2.043 |
-2.267 |
-2.452 |
-2.593 |
-2.689 |
-2.738 |
-2.741 |
-2.702 |
-2.624 |
-2.512 |
-2.373 |
-2.215 |
-2.043 |
-1.867 |
-1.694 |
-1.531 |
-1.384 |
-1.260 |
-1.163 |
-1.096 |
-1.061 |
-1.059 |
-1.090 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.334 |
-0.505 |
-0.699 |
-0.877 |
-1.027 |
-1.142 |
-1.219 |
-1.257 |
-1.257 |
-1.222 |
-1.156 |
-1.062 |
-0.946 |
-0.815 |
-0.673 |
-0.526 |
-0.380 |
-0.241 |
-0.112 |
0.002 |
0.097 |
0.171 |
0.223 |
0.252 |
0.257 |
0.240 |
0.202 |
0.145 |
0.074 |
-0.010 |
-0.101 |
-0.197 |
-0.294 |
-0.387 |
-0.473 |
-0.550 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.733 |
-0.848 |
-0.924 |
-0.971 |
-0.997 |
-1.008 |
-1.008 |
-1.002 |
-0.992 |
-0.981 |
-0.969 |
-0.960 |
-0.952 |
-0.947 |
-0.946 |
-0.947 |
-0.952 |
-0.959 |
-0.969 |
-0.981 |
-0.994 |
-1.008 |
-1.022 |
-1.036 |
-1.049 |
-1.061 |
-1.071 |
-1.079 |
-1.085 |
-1.089 |
-1.090 |
-1.089 |
-1.086 |
-1.081 |
-1.074 |
-1.066 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.455 |
-0.539 |
-0.596 |
-0.636 |
-0.654 |
-0.648 |
-0.619 |
-0.569 |
-0.500 |
-0.417 |
-0.323 |
-0.222 |
-0.120 |
-0.020 |
0.074 |
0.158 |
0.230 |
0.286 |
0.326 |
0.349 |
0.354 |
0.343 |
0.316 |
0.275 |
0.222 |
0.161 |
0.093 |
0.022 |
-0.049 |
-0.118 |
-0.182 |
-0.239 |
-0.286 |
-0.323 |
-0.348 |
-0.361 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.307 |
-0.479 |
-0.602 |
-0.673 |
-0.679 |
-0.620 |
-0.499 |
-0.322 |
-0.099 |
0.159 |
0.439 |
0.730 |
1.018 |
1.292 |
1.543 |
1.760 |
1.937 |
2.069 |
2.152 |
2.186 |
2.172 |
2.112 |
2.010 |
1.874 |
1.710 |
1.525 |
1.328 |
1.127 |
0.930 |
0.744 |
0.577 |
0.433 |
0.318 |
0.235 |
0.185 |
0.169 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.374 |
-0.477 |
-0.553 |
-0.611 |
-0.647 |
-0.662 |
-0.654 |
-0.625 |
-0.576 |
-0.512 |
-0.434 |
-0.346 |
-0.254 |
-0.159 |
-0.067 |
0.019 |
0.096 |
0.162 |
0.215 |
0.252 |
0.274 |
0.280 |
0.271 |
0.247 |
0.211 |
0.164 |
0.109 |
0.047 |
-0.018 |
-0.083 |
-0.147 |
-0.206 |
-0.259 |
-0.304 |
-0.340 |
-0.365 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.240 |
-0.296 |
-0.339 |
-0.370 |
-0.388 |
-0.392 |
-0.382 |
-0.359 |
-0.325 |
-0.283 |
-0.233 |
-0.179 |
-0.124 |
-0.069 |
-0.016 |
0.032 |
0.073 |
0.106 |
0.131 |
0.146 |
0.152 |
0.148 |
0.136 |
0.116 |
0.089 |
0.056 |
0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.058 |
-0.096 |
-0.132 |
-0.165 |
-0.193 |
-0.215 |
-0.231 |
-0.240 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.005 |
0.060 |
0.045 |
0.021 |
0.017 |
0.026 |
0.041 |
0.057 |
0.072 |
0.085 |
0.098 |
0.109 |
0.120 |
0.131 |
0.141 |
0.151 |
0.160 |
0.168 |
0.174 |
0.179 |
0.181 |
0.181 |
0.179 |
0.174 |
0.167 |
0.159 |
0.149 |
0.138 |
0.126 |
0.114 |
0.103 |
0.092 |
0.083 |
0.074 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.195 |
-0.266 |
-0.304 |
-0.315 |
-0.301 |
-0.266 |
-0.213 |
-0.146 |
-0.070 |
0.010 |
0.091 |
0.169 |
0.239 |
0.300 |
0.350 |
0.386 |
0.408 |
0.417 |
0.411 |
0.392 |
0.362 |
0.322 |
0.274 |
0.221 |
0.164 |
0.106 |
0.050 |
-0.004 |
-0.052 |
-0.092 |
-0.125 |
-0.149 |
-0.163 |
-0.167 |
-0.162 |
-0.147 |
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