|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1387.5 |
2159.3 |
2239.0 |
2865.4 |
3900.1 |
5135.3 |
6432.6 |
7720.8 |
8965.0 |
10153.0 |
11282.7 |
12356.3 |
13375.8 |
14342.2 |
15254.8 |
16111.3 |
16908.1 |
17641.3 |
18306.8 |
18901.1 |
19421.9 |
19867.9 |
20239.7 |
20539.4 |
20770.8 |
20939.4 |
21052.2 |
21117.3 |
21144.3 |
21143.2 |
21124.8 |
21100.0 |
21079.7 |
21074.6 |
21094.6 |
21149.2 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5808.8 |
5877.0 |
5967.4 |
6048.2 |
6115.5 |
6176.2 |
6236.5 |
6301.1 |
6373.0 |
6453.8 |
6544.3 |
6645.0 |
6755.7 |
6876.3 |
7006.5 |
7146.0 |
7294.5 |
7451.6 |
7617.0 |
7790.2 |
7970.8 |
8158.4 |
8352.5 |
8552.5 |
8758.0 |
8968.4 |
9183.0 |
9401.4 |
9623.0 |
9847.2 |
10073.6 |
10301.7 |
10531.2 |
10761.7 |
10993.0 |
11225.0 |
Investment |
fI |
-1403.6 |
-1662.1 |
-68.5 |
1611.0 |
3161.6 |
4516.1 |
5702.8 |
6715.4 |
7564.1 |
8246.0 |
8768.6 |
9138.4 |
9367.0 |
9466.3 |
9450.1 |
9331.8 |
9125.6 |
8844.7 |
8502.3 |
8111.1 |
7683.4 |
7230.8 |
6764.9 |
6296.6 |
5836.3 |
5393.9 |
4978.6 |
4599.0 |
4262.5 |
3975.8 |
3744.4 |
3572.6 |
3463.3 |
3418.5 |
3438.4 |
3522.1 |
Export |
fE |
3980.8 |
6773.5 |
9412.9 |
12092.8 |
14671.5 |
17154.2 |
19463.7 |
21563.3 |
23408.9 |
24976.0 |
26245.5 |
27211.3 |
27875.1 |
28248.5 |
28349.6 |
28203.4 |
27839.3 |
27290.8 |
26593.6 |
25784.9 |
24902.3 |
23982.7 |
23061.8 |
22173.0 |
21347.3 |
20612.3 |
19992.3 |
19507.5 |
19174.4 |
19004.9 |
19007.2 |
19185.2 |
19538.6 |
20063.9 |
20753.5 |
21597.2 |
Import |
fM |
947.9 |
2078.9 |
3645.2 |
5399.7 |
7192.8 |
8951.9 |
10635.3 |
12214.3 |
13666.7 |
14979.0 |
16143.0 |
17155.2 |
18014.9 |
18724.3 |
19287.8 |
19711.8 |
20004.4 |
20175.7 |
20236.7 |
20200.1 |
20079.6 |
19889.8 |
19645.9 |
19363.6 |
19058.8 |
18747.2 |
18444.0 |
18163.9 |
17920.6 |
17726.6 |
17592.9 |
17529.1 |
17542.8 |
17639.9 |
17824.5 |
18098.6 |
GDP |
fY |
8943.3 |
11380.5 |
14385.7 |
17861.3 |
21485.9 |
24990.5 |
28271.2 |
31250.3 |
33882.9 |
36144.8 |
38030.2 |
39546.1 |
40709.4 |
41543.4 |
42076.5 |
42340.5 |
42369.1 |
42197.7 |
41862.2 |
41398.5 |
40842.5 |
40229.0 |
39591.9 |
38963.4 |
38374.0 |
37851.5 |
37421.6 |
37106.8 |
36926.4 |
36896.5 |
37029.4 |
37334.0 |
37815.4 |
38475.0 |
39310.8 |
40317.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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Employment |
Q |
-9.244 |
-8.878 |
-6.928 |
-4.165 |
-1.031 |
2.159 |
5.192 |
7.921 |
10.247 |
12.114 |
13.500 |
14.406 |
14.852 |
14.873 |
14.511 |
13.814 |
12.834 |
11.623 |
10.233 |
8.715 |
7.117 |
5.484 |
3.858 |
2.274 |
0.767 |
-0.636 |
-1.911 |
-3.039 |
-4.007 |
-4.805 |
-5.428 |
-5.875 |
-6.150 |
-6.260 |
-6.214 |
-6.026 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.223 |
4.332 |
3.310 |
1.937 |
0.388 |
-1.187 |
-2.688 |
-4.042 |
-5.199 |
-6.132 |
-6.828 |
-7.285 |
-7.514 |
-7.529 |
-7.352 |
-7.006 |
-6.517 |
-5.910 |
-5.212 |
-4.448 |
-3.642 |
-2.817 |
-1.994 |
-1.192 |
-0.428 |
0.285 |
0.934 |
1.508 |
2.003 |
2.411 |
2.731 |
2.962 |
3.105 |
3.165 |
3.146 |
3.054 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.163 |
-0.141 |
-0.076 |
-0.016 |
0.046 |
0.109 |
0.168 |
0.222 |
0.268 |
0.306 |
0.335 |
0.356 |
0.370 |
0.377 |
0.377 |
0.372 |
0.363 |
0.350 |
0.334 |
0.316 |
0.297 |
0.277 |
0.256 |
0.236 |
0.217 |
0.199 |
0.183 |
0.168 |
0.155 |
0.145 |
0.137 |
0.131 |
0.128 |
0.127 |
0.128 |
0.132 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.118 |
0.110 |
0.060 |
0.020 |
-0.022 |
-0.063 |
-0.100 |
-0.129 |
-0.152 |
-0.167 |
-0.176 |
-0.179 |
-0.179 |
-0.174 |
-0.167 |
-0.159 |
-0.149 |
-0.138 |
-0.127 |
-0.116 |
-0.105 |
-0.094 |
-0.084 |
-0.074 |
-0.064 |
-0.055 |
-0.047 |
-0.039 |
-0.033 |
-0.027 |
-0.021 |
-0.017 |
-0.013 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.045 |
-0.031 |
-0.016 |
0.004 |
0.024 |
0.046 |
0.069 |
0.092 |
0.116 |
0.139 |
0.159 |
0.177 |
0.191 |
0.202 |
0.210 |
0.213 |
0.214 |
0.212 |
0.207 |
0.200 |
0.192 |
0.182 |
0.173 |
0.163 |
0.153 |
0.144 |
0.135 |
0.128 |
0.123 |
0.118 |
0.115 |
0.114 |
0.114 |
0.116 |
0.119 |
0.124 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.116 |
0.114 |
0.111 |
0.116 |
0.137 |
0.175 |
0.234 |
0.313 |
0.412 |
0.529 |
0.662 |
0.806 |
0.960 |
1.118 |
1.279 |
1.438 |
1.592 |
1.741 |
1.880 |
2.011 |
2.130 |
2.239 |
2.337 |
2.425 |
2.503 |
2.572 |
2.633 |
2.688 |
2.738 |
2.784 |
2.828 |
2.871 |
2.915 |
2.959 |
3.007 |
3.057 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.190 |
0.332 |
0.398 |
0.395 |
0.323 |
0.188 |
-0.003 |
-0.242 |
-0.518 |
-0.820 |
-1.138 |
-1.463 |
-1.788 |
-2.103 |
-2.405 |
-2.687 |
-2.946 |
-3.180 |
-3.387 |
-3.565 |
-3.715 |
-3.837 |
-3.932 |
-4.001 |
-4.048 |
-4.073 |
-4.080 |
-4.071 |
-4.049 |
-4.017 |
-3.979 |
-3.936 |
-3.891 |
-3.848 |
-3.808 |
-3.774 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.406 |
-0.558 |
-0.702 |
-0.828 |
-0.932 |
-1.013 |
-1.069 |
-1.101 |
-1.112 |
-1.104 |
-1.078 |
-1.038 |
-0.987 |
-0.927 |
-0.860 |
-0.789 |
-0.717 |
-0.644 |
-0.573 |
-0.505 |
-0.441 |
-0.382 |
-0.329 |
-0.283 |
-0.244 |
-0.212 |
-0.187 |
-0.169 |
-0.158 |
-0.154 |
-0.156 |
-0.163 |
-0.175 |
-0.191 |
-0.211 |
-0.233 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.684 |
-0.799 |
-0.880 |
-0.938 |
-0.979 |
-1.008 |
-1.027 |
-1.039 |
-1.045 |
-1.047 |
-1.045 |
-1.042 |
-1.038 |
-1.033 |
-1.028 |
-1.023 |
-1.018 |
-1.013 |
-1.010 |
-1.006 |
-1.004 |
-1.002 |
-1.000 |
-1.000 |
-1.000 |
-1.000 |
-1.001 |
-1.003 |
-1.005 |
-1.007 |
-1.009 |
-1.012 |
-1.014 |
-1.017 |
-1.019 |
-1.022 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.393 |
-0.444 |
-0.492 |
-0.533 |
-0.562 |
-0.579 |
-0.583 |
-0.575 |
-0.555 |
-0.525 |
-0.487 |
-0.442 |
-0.392 |
-0.339 |
-0.284 |
-0.229 |
-0.176 |
-0.125 |
-0.077 |
-0.034 |
0.005 |
0.038 |
0.066 |
0.087 |
0.103 |
0.113 |
0.118 |
0.118 |
0.113 |
0.105 |
0.093 |
0.078 |
0.060 |
0.041 |
0.021 |
0.001 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.264 |
-0.387 |
-0.480 |
-0.546 |
-0.576 |
-0.569 |
-0.526 |
-0.452 |
-0.349 |
-0.224 |
-0.082 |
0.073 |
0.235 |
0.399 |
0.561 |
0.717 |
0.863 |
0.997 |
1.117 |
1.221 |
1.308 |
1.377 |
1.428 |
1.463 |
1.481 |
1.483 |
1.471 |
1.447 |
1.412 |
1.367 |
1.316 |
1.259 |
1.199 |
1.136 |
1.074 |
1.013 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.359 |
-0.448 |
-0.514 |
-0.569 |
-0.611 |
-0.640 |
-0.655 |
-0.657 |
-0.646 |
-0.625 |
-0.593 |
-0.555 |
-0.509 |
-0.460 |
-0.407 |
-0.354 |
-0.300 |
-0.248 |
-0.199 |
-0.153 |
-0.111 |
-0.074 |
-0.043 |
-0.017 |
0.004 |
0.018 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.031 |
0.025 |
0.016 |
0.003 |
-0.012 |
-0.030 |
-0.049 |
-0.069 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.231 |
-0.277 |
-0.315 |
-0.345 |
-0.367 |
-0.380 |
-0.385 |
-0.381 |
-0.371 |
-0.354 |
-0.332 |
-0.306 |
-0.277 |
-0.247 |
-0.215 |
-0.183 |
-0.152 |
-0.123 |
-0.096 |
-0.071 |
-0.049 |
-0.031 |
-0.016 |
-0.004 |
0.004 |
0.009 |
0.011 |
0.010 |
0.006 |
0.000 |
-0.008 |
-0.018 |
-0.029 |
-0.040 |
-0.052 |
-0.065 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.001 |
0.041 |
0.034 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.027 |
0.041 |
0.053 |
0.061 |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.067 |
0.071 |
0.075 |
0.079 |
0.083 |
0.086 |
0.090 |
0.093 |
0.095 |
0.097 |
0.099 |
0.100 |
0.100 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
0.099 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.161 |
-0.220 |
-0.254 |
-0.270 |
-0.271 |
-0.259 |
-0.236 |
-0.203 |
-0.164 |
-0.121 |
-0.075 |
-0.029 |
0.016 |
0.059 |
0.098 |
0.134 |
0.164 |
0.190 |
0.210 |
0.225 |
0.235 |
0.241 |
0.241 |
0.238 |
0.231 |
0.220 |
0.207 |
0.192 |
0.175 |
0.157 |
0.139 |
0.120 |
0.102 |
0.085 |
0.069 |
0.054 |
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