|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1311.7 |
1852.4 |
1661.3 |
1933.0 |
2557.2 |
3337.4 |
4147.9 |
4929.8 |
5661.8 |
6343.8 |
6984.3 |
7594.6 |
8184.5 |
8761.3 |
9329.5 |
9890.5 |
10443.6 |
10986.5 |
11515.9 |
12027.9 |
12518.8 |
12985.2 |
13424.5 |
13834.6 |
14214.6 |
14564.2 |
14884.4 |
15176.5 |
15442.9 |
15686.4 |
15910.4 |
16118.5 |
16314.7 |
16503.2 |
16687.9 |
16873.0 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
5812.3 |
5894.1 |
6001.3 |
6102.8 |
6193.9 |
6280.7 |
6368.2 |
6460.2 |
6558.8 |
6664.6 |
6777.8 |
6898.0 |
7024.9 |
7157.8 |
7296.6 |
7440.6 |
7589.8 |
7744.0 |
7902.9 |
8066.7 |
8235.2 |
8408.3 |
8586.2 |
8768.6 |
8955.7 |
9147.2 |
9343.1 |
9543.3 |
9747.7 |
9956.2 |
10168.6 |
10384.9 |
10604.8 |
10828.4 |
11055.6 |
11286.3 |
Investment |
fI |
-1553.3 |
-2148.2 |
-923.2 |
390.0 |
1551.5 |
2514.2 |
3317.0 |
3972.2 |
4503.6 |
4920.5 |
5237.8 |
5467.3 |
5622.7 |
5715.4 |
5756.7 |
5755.7 |
5720.4 |
5657.5 |
5572.3 |
5469.1 |
5351.9 |
5223.9 |
5088.1 |
4947.3 |
4804.3 |
4661.7 |
4522.2 |
4388.6 |
4263.3 |
4148.9 |
4047.6 |
3961.4 |
3892.1 |
3841.1 |
3809.7 |
3798.6 |
Export |
fE |
2799.0 |
4815.0 |
6595.5 |
8340.8 |
9954.5 |
11469.5 |
12848.9 |
14087.3 |
15170.3 |
16096.0 |
16862.3 |
17473.5 |
17935.9 |
18259.6 |
18456.4 |
18540.4 |
18526.7 |
18431.1 |
18269.7 |
18058.8 |
17813.9 |
17550.1 |
17281.5 |
17021.2 |
16781.1 |
16571.7 |
16402.1 |
16280.0 |
16211.8 |
16202.0 |
16254.2 |
16370.3 |
16550.9 |
16795.7 |
17103.0 |
17470.1 |
Import |
fM |
127.9 |
578.1 |
1397.1 |
2341.5 |
3284.0 |
4161.2 |
4961.0 |
5679.6 |
6317.3 |
6879.3 |
7371.8 |
7802.0 |
8176.4 |
8500.8 |
8780.3 |
9019.1 |
9221.1 |
9389.3 |
9527.0 |
9637.0 |
9722.3 |
9785.9 |
9831.1 |
9861.2 |
9879.7 |
9890.3 |
9896.7 |
9902.5 |
9911.3 |
9926.6 |
9951.7 |
9989.4 |
10042.4 |
10113.0 |
10203.0 |
10313.9 |
GDP |
fY |
8276.6 |
10034.3 |
12273.0 |
14890.3 |
17595.3 |
20166.2 |
22535.4 |
24662.0 |
26535.4 |
28158.7 |
29546.3 |
30718.4 |
31698.0 |
32508.5 |
33172.9 |
33712.4 |
34147.0 |
34494.8 |
34772.4 |
34995.1 |
35177.0 |
35331.3 |
35470.4 |
35606.0 |
35748.8 |
35909.1 |
36096.1 |
36318.4 |
36583.5 |
36898.2 |
37268.1 |
37697.6 |
38190.3 |
38748.5 |
39373.5 |
40065.7 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.423 |
-9.594 |
-8.294 |
-6.272 |
-3.932 |
-1.551 |
0.702 |
2.720 |
4.442 |
5.841 |
6.916 |
7.681 |
8.161 |
8.386 |
8.389 |
8.202 |
7.858 |
7.386 |
6.814 |
6.167 |
5.467 |
4.736 |
3.991 |
3.249 |
2.523 |
1.827 |
1.170 |
0.562 |
0.008 |
-0.485 |
-0.915 |
-1.279 |
-1.577 |
-1.810 |
-1.979 |
-2.088 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.324 |
4.724 |
4.030 |
3.031 |
1.883 |
0.715 |
-0.392 |
-1.389 |
-2.243 |
-2.942 |
-3.481 |
-3.869 |
-4.115 |
-4.234 |
-4.242 |
-4.154 |
-3.986 |
-3.753 |
-3.468 |
-3.144 |
-2.793 |
-2.425 |
-2.049 |
-1.674 |
-1.306 |
-0.952 |
-0.619 |
-0.309 |
-0.026 |
0.226 |
0.446 |
0.633 |
0.786 |
0.906 |
0.994 |
1.052 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.170 |
-0.164 |
-0.114 |
-0.074 |
-0.032 |
0.011 |
0.050 |
0.084 |
0.113 |
0.136 |
0.154 |
0.166 |
0.174 |
0.178 |
0.179 |
0.178 |
0.174 |
0.169 |
0.162 |
0.155 |
0.147 |
0.138 |
0.129 |
0.121 |
0.112 |
0.104 |
0.096 |
0.089 |
0.082 |
0.076 |
0.070 |
0.066 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.112 |
0.116 |
0.075 |
0.046 |
0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.039 |
-0.058 |
-0.072 |
-0.080 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.081 |
-0.077 |
-0.072 |
-0.066 |
-0.061 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.045 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.026 |
-0.023 |
-0.020 |
-0.017 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.058 |
-0.048 |
-0.039 |
-0.027 |
-0.016 |
-0.003 |
0.011 |
0.026 |
0.042 |
0.057 |
0.071 |
0.083 |
0.093 |
0.102 |
0.108 |
0.112 |
0.113 |
0.113 |
0.112 |
0.109 |
0.105 |
0.101 |
0.096 |
0.091 |
0.086 |
0.081 |
0.076 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
0.062 |
0.060 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.121 |
0.114 |
0.097 |
0.080 |
0.069 |
0.069 |
0.080 |
0.104 |
0.140 |
0.186 |
0.243 |
0.308 |
0.379 |
0.453 |
0.530 |
0.606 |
0.681 |
0.753 |
0.820 |
0.883 |
0.940 |
0.991 |
1.037 |
1.077 |
1.112 |
1.142 |
1.168 |
1.190 |
1.209 |
1.225 |
1.239 |
1.252 |
1.264 |
1.276 |
1.289 |
1.301 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.203 |
0.376 |
0.490 |
0.553 |
0.567 |
0.537 |
0.468 |
0.365 |
0.237 |
0.090 |
-0.069 |
-0.234 |
-0.401 |
-0.565 |
-0.724 |
-0.875 |
-1.015 |
-1.144 |
-1.261 |
-1.365 |
-1.457 |
-1.535 |
-1.602 |
-1.656 |
-1.699 |
-1.731 |
-1.754 |
-1.768 |
-1.774 |
-1.773 |
-1.767 |
-1.756 |
-1.742 |
-1.725 |
-1.706 |
-1.687 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.370 |
-0.493 |
-0.611 |
-0.712 |
-0.794 |
-0.856 |
-0.899 |
-0.925 |
-0.935 |
-0.933 |
-0.921 |
-0.899 |
-0.872 |
-0.840 |
-0.804 |
-0.767 |
-0.729 |
-0.690 |
-0.653 |
-0.617 |
-0.582 |
-0.550 |
-0.520 |
-0.492 |
-0.468 |
-0.447 |
-0.428 |
-0.413 |
-0.400 |
-0.390 |
-0.383 |
-0.379 |
-0.377 |
-0.377 |
-0.378 |
-0.382 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.652 |
-0.751 |
-0.818 |
-0.862 |
-0.891 |
-0.909 |
-0.919 |
-0.923 |
-0.924 |
-0.923 |
-0.920 |
-0.917 |
-0.914 |
-0.912 |
-0.909 |
-0.908 |
-0.906 |
-0.906 |
-0.906 |
-0.906 |
-0.906 |
-0.907 |
-0.908 |
-0.910 |
-0.912 |
-0.913 |
-0.915 |
-0.917 |
-0.919 |
-0.921 |
-0.922 |
-0.924 |
-0.926 |
-0.927 |
-0.929 |
-0.930 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.392 |
-0.442 |
-0.492 |
-0.536 |
-0.572 |
-0.598 |
-0.614 |
-0.621 |
-0.619 |
-0.610 |
-0.595 |
-0.574 |
-0.550 |
-0.522 |
-0.493 |
-0.463 |
-0.432 |
-0.402 |
-0.373 |
-0.346 |
-0.321 |
-0.297 |
-0.277 |
-0.258 |
-0.243 |
-0.230 |
-0.219 |
-0.211 |
-0.206 |
-0.202 |
-0.201 |
-0.201 |
-0.203 |
-0.206 |
-0.211 |
-0.216 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.266 |
-0.396 |
-0.505 |
-0.594 |
-0.656 |
-0.690 |
-0.698 |
-0.682 |
-0.645 |
-0.591 |
-0.523 |
-0.446 |
-0.362 |
-0.273 |
-0.184 |
-0.095 |
-0.009 |
0.072 |
0.148 |
0.217 |
0.280 |
0.334 |
0.381 |
0.420 |
0.451 |
0.475 |
0.492 |
0.502 |
0.506 |
0.504 |
0.498 |
0.488 |
0.474 |
0.458 |
0.440 |
0.420 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.360 |
-0.451 |
-0.522 |
-0.584 |
-0.637 |
-0.679 |
-0.710 |
-0.732 |
-0.745 |
-0.749 |
-0.746 |
-0.736 |
-0.722 |
-0.703 |
-0.681 |
-0.657 |
-0.632 |
-0.606 |
-0.580 |
-0.555 |
-0.531 |
-0.508 |
-0.487 |
-0.468 |
-0.451 |
-0.437 |
-0.424 |
-0.415 |
-0.407 |
-0.401 |
-0.398 |
-0.396 |
-0.397 |
-0.398 |
-0.401 |
-0.406 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.231 |
-0.279 |
-0.320 |
-0.355 |
-0.383 |
-0.404 |
-0.419 |
-0.428 |
-0.431 |
-0.429 |
-0.423 |
-0.414 |
-0.402 |
-0.388 |
-0.372 |
-0.356 |
-0.340 |
-0.324 |
-0.308 |
-0.293 |
-0.279 |
-0.266 |
-0.255 |
-0.244 |
-0.236 |
-0.229 |
-0.223 |
-0.219 |
-0.216 |
-0.214 |
-0.214 |
-0.214 |
-0.216 |
-0.218 |
-0.221 |
-0.224 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.016 |
0.056 |
0.051 |
0.033 |
0.031 |
0.039 |
0.050 |
0.058 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.053 |
0.050 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.043 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.066 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.070 |
0.071 |
0.071 |
0.072 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.147 |
-0.201 |
-0.232 |
-0.249 |
-0.254 |
-0.248 |
-0.234 |
-0.213 |
-0.187 |
-0.159 |
-0.129 |
-0.099 |
-0.070 |
-0.042 |
-0.017 |
0.006 |
0.027 |
0.045 |
0.060 |
0.073 |
0.082 |
0.090 |
0.095 |
0.098 |
0.099 |
0.098 |
0.095 |
0.092 |
0.087 |
0.081 |
0.075 |
0.068 |
0.061 |
0.054 |
0.047 |
0.041 |
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