|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
530.8 |
453.0 |
53.4 |
-42.7 |
216.2 |
687.1 |
1284.9 |
1947.2 |
2623.2 |
3285.0 |
3912.2 |
4491.4 |
5011.5 |
5463.8 |
5841.1 |
6137.8 |
6350.2 |
6477.1 |
6519.2 |
6480.1 |
6366.0 |
6185.5 |
5949.8 |
5671.8 |
5366.5 |
5049.6 |
4737.5 |
4446.4 |
4192.2 |
3989.0 |
3849.4 |
3783.4 |
3798.5 |
3898.8 |
4085.5 |
4356.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-296.7 |
-426.1 |
-417.7 |
-335.6 |
-202.2 |
-34.0 |
154.0 |
345.5 |
523.7 |
674.9 |
787.9 |
855.0 |
871.6 |
835.9 |
749.1 |
614.6 |
437.9 |
226.2 |
-12.1 |
-267.4 |
-529.9 |
-789.4 |
-1036.3 |
-1261.2 |
-1455.9 |
-1613.4 |
-1728.2 |
-1796.4 |
-1816.0 |
-1786.9 |
-1710.8 |
-1591.3 |
-1433.6 |
-1244.5 |
-1032.0 |
-805.0 |
Investment |
fI |
-1960.1 |
-3443.0 |
-3386.7 |
-2726.3 |
-2173.9 |
-1626.9 |
-1107.3 |
-645.0 |
-239.2 |
87.1 |
324.2 |
461.6 |
496.8 |
430.3 |
267.1 |
15.1 |
-314.6 |
-708.9 |
-1152.8 |
-1630.4 |
-2124.7 |
-2618.9 |
-3096.4 |
-3541.6 |
-3940.1 |
-4279.6 |
-4550.1 |
-4744.0 |
-4856.9 |
-4887.3 |
-4837.0 |
-4710.7 |
-4516.3 |
-4264.2 |
-3967.0 |
-3639.3 |
Export |
fE |
212.4 |
544.6 |
919.8 |
1347.2 |
1791.2 |
2239.8 |
2663.8 |
3041.5 |
3348.1 |
3565.6 |
3679.2 |
3680.8 |
3567.6 |
3343.3 |
3016.8 |
2601.8 |
2116.4 |
1581.5 |
1020.4 |
457.2 |
-83.9 |
-579.6 |
-1008.7 |
-1352.7 |
-1596.5 |
-1729.2 |
-1744.1 |
-1639.2 |
-1417.5 |
-1086.2 |
-656.9 |
-145.1 |
430.5 |
1048.7 |
1686.7 |
2321.0 |
Import |
fM |
-893.0 |
-1366.2 |
-1074.1 |
-692.3 |
-218.8 |
313.1 |
880.4 |
1451.8 |
1991.0 |
2474.0 |
2882.1 |
3201.8 |
3423.6 |
3542.1 |
3556.1 |
3468.0 |
3284.1 |
3013.9 |
2669.9 |
2267.1 |
1822.7 |
1355.0 |
883.3 |
426.6 |
3.7 |
-368.2 |
-673.9 |
-900.7 |
-1038.7 |
-1081.7 |
-1027.0 |
-875.6 |
-632.4 |
-305.7 |
93.0 |
549.2 |
GDP |
fY |
-457.9 |
-1210.2 |
-1420.0 |
-723.6 |
188.1 |
1270.0 |
2401.6 |
3488.0 |
4476.2 |
5309.1 |
5951.1 |
6377.3 |
6577.4 |
6551.2 |
6308.8 |
5868.2 |
5254.9 |
4499.7 |
3638.0 |
2708.1 |
1750.2 |
804.2 |
-90.6 |
-897.9 |
-1584.7 |
-2123.3 |
-2491.5 |
-2673.8 |
-2662.0 |
-2455.0 |
-2059.5 |
-1489.4 |
-765.2 |
86.7 |
1034.7 |
2043.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.708 |
-2.210 |
-1.863 |
-1.156 |
-0.170 |
0.992 |
2.229 |
3.435 |
4.511 |
5.386 |
6.007 |
6.349 |
6.402 |
6.174 |
5.687 |
4.971 |
4.068 |
3.023 |
1.886 |
0.706 |
-0.466 |
-1.584 |
-2.606 |
-3.495 |
-4.219 |
-4.758 |
-5.095 |
-5.224 |
-5.146 |
-4.873 |
-4.419 |
-3.808 |
-3.069 |
-2.234 |
-1.338 |
-0.419 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.965 |
1.122 |
0.899 |
0.536 |
0.038 |
-0.546 |
-1.165 |
-1.766 |
-2.301 |
-2.735 |
-3.042 |
-3.209 |
-3.233 |
-3.116 |
-2.868 |
-2.507 |
-2.052 |
-1.525 |
-0.952 |
-0.358 |
0.233 |
0.797 |
1.312 |
1.760 |
2.126 |
2.398 |
2.568 |
2.634 |
2.596 |
2.458 |
2.230 |
1.923 |
1.550 |
1.129 |
0.678 |
0.214 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.025 |
-0.039 |
-0.060 |
-0.055 |
-0.046 |
-0.034 |
-0.021 |
-0.007 |
0.005 |
0.016 |
0.025 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
0.032 |
0.028 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.016 |
-0.027 |
-0.037 |
-0.046 |
-0.054 |
-0.061 |
-0.066 |
-0.070 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.069 |
-0.066 |
-0.061 |
-0.055 |
-0.049 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.052 |
0.079 |
0.091 |
0.083 |
0.072 |
0.055 |
0.036 |
0.017 |
-0.001 |
-0.016 |
-0.029 |
-0.038 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.049 |
-0.047 |
-0.043 |
-0.038 |
-0.031 |
-0.024 |
-0.016 |
-0.007 |
0.002 |
0.010 |
0.018 |
0.024 |
0.030 |
0.035 |
0.039 |
0.041 |
0.042 |
0.041 |
0.040 |
0.037 |
0.033 |
0.029 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.027 |
0.040 |
0.031 |
0.029 |
0.026 |
0.021 |
0.016 |
0.010 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.013 |
-0.016 |
-0.019 |
-0.022 |
-0.025 |
-0.027 |
-0.030 |
-0.032 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.032 |
-0.030 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.022 |
-0.021 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.070 |
0.140 |
0.178 |
0.191 |
0.193 |
0.187 |
0.173 |
0.153 |
0.129 |
0.101 |
0.071 |
0.040 |
0.009 |
-0.021 |
-0.050 |
-0.079 |
-0.106 |
-0.133 |
-0.158 |
-0.182 |
-0.205 |
-0.226 |
-0.246 |
-0.264 |
-0.280 |
-0.295 |
-0.308 |
-0.319 |
-0.328 |
-0.336 |
-0.342 |
-0.347 |
-0.351 |
-0.354 |
-0.356 |
-0.358 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.035 |
0.090 |
0.156 |
0.203 |
0.236 |
0.251 |
0.249 |
0.232 |
0.201 |
0.160 |
0.113 |
0.062 |
0.012 |
-0.035 |
-0.076 |
-0.107 |
-0.129 |
-0.139 |
-0.138 |
-0.124 |
-0.098 |
-0.061 |
-0.015 |
0.039 |
0.099 |
0.164 |
0.231 |
0.298 |
0.363 |
0.424 |
0.479 |
0.528 |
0.570 |
0.602 |
0.626 |
0.641 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.005 |
-0.034 |
-0.076 |
-0.115 |
-0.152 |
-0.185 |
-0.213 |
-0.233 |
-0.243 |
-0.244 |
-0.236 |
-0.219 |
-0.195 |
-0.165 |
-0.130 |
-0.093 |
-0.055 |
-0.018 |
0.017 |
0.049 |
0.077 |
0.099 |
0.116 |
0.126 |
0.130 |
0.128 |
0.120 |
0.107 |
0.090 |
0.069 |
0.045 |
0.020 |
-0.006 |
-0.031 |
-0.055 |
-0.076 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.036 |
-0.048 |
-0.060 |
-0.068 |
-0.073 |
-0.076 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.075 |
-0.073 |
-0.070 |
-0.067 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.064 |
-0.066 |
-0.068 |
-0.072 |
-0.075 |
-0.079 |
-0.083 |
-0.086 |
-0.090 |
-0.093 |
-0.095 |
-0.097 |
-0.098 |
-0.099 |
-0.099 |
-0.098 |
-0.097 |
-0.095 |
-0.093 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.036 |
-0.057 |
-0.069 |
-0.079 |
-0.085 |
-0.087 |
-0.083 |
-0.074 |
-0.060 |
-0.041 |
-0.020 |
0.004 |
0.030 |
0.055 |
0.080 |
0.102 |
0.121 |
0.137 |
0.149 |
0.157 |
0.159 |
0.158 |
0.152 |
0.142 |
0.129 |
0.114 |
0.096 |
0.078 |
0.058 |
0.040 |
0.022 |
0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.018 |
-0.026 |
-0.031 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.029 |
-0.060 |
-0.085 |
-0.103 |
-0.110 |
-0.103 |
-0.082 |
-0.047 |
0.000 |
0.057 |
0.123 |
0.193 |
0.264 |
0.334 |
0.399 |
0.457 |
0.506 |
0.544 |
0.569 |
0.582 |
0.583 |
0.571 |
0.548 |
0.516 |
0.475 |
0.428 |
0.377 |
0.324 |
0.271 |
0.221 |
0.174 |
0.134 |
0.100 |
0.075 |
0.058 |
0.051 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.024 |
-0.043 |
-0.060 |
-0.073 |
-0.083 |
-0.088 |
-0.088 |
-0.083 |
-0.074 |
-0.060 |
-0.042 |
-0.021 |
0.002 |
0.026 |
0.050 |
0.073 |
0.094 |
0.113 |
0.128 |
0.139 |
0.147 |
0.150 |
0.149 |
0.144 |
0.136 |
0.124 |
0.110 |
0.094 |
0.077 |
0.060 |
0.042 |
0.026 |
0.011 |
-0.002 |
-0.012 |
-0.020 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.022 |
-0.035 |
-0.047 |
-0.056 |
-0.062 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.046 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.009 |
0.005 |
0.018 |
0.031 |
0.042 |
0.051 |
0.058 |
0.063 |
0.065 |
0.065 |
0.062 |
0.057 |
0.051 |
0.043 |
0.033 |
0.023 |
0.013 |
0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.017 |
-0.025 |
-0.031 |
-0.036 |
-0.040 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.039 |
0.077 |
0.055 |
0.033 |
0.026 |
0.029 |
0.038 |
0.050 |
0.062 |
0.073 |
0.084 |
0.093 |
0.100 |
0.107 |
0.113 |
0.117 |
0.122 |
0.125 |
0.127 |
0.129 |
0.130 |
0.131 |
0.131 |
0.130 |
0.128 |
0.126 |
0.123 |
0.120 |
0.117 |
0.114 |
0.111 |
0.108 |
0.105 |
0.103 |
0.101 |
0.100 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.013 |
-0.017 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.016 |
-0.006 |
0.007 |
0.024 |
0.042 |
0.062 |
0.082 |
0.100 |
0.117 |
0.131 |
0.142 |
0.149 |
0.152 |
0.152 |
0.149 |
0.142 |
0.132 |
0.120 |
0.107 |
0.092 |
0.076 |
0.061 |
0.047 |
0.033 |
0.022 |
0.012 |
0.005 |
0.000 |
-0.002 |
-0.002 |
0.001 |
|
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