|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
171.6 |
-218.7 |
-829.8 |
-1037.4 |
-888.2 |
-544.0 |
-103.9 |
369.2 |
833.4 |
1271.0 |
1673.5 |
2039.9 |
2371.1 |
2669.8 |
2938.2 |
3178.5 |
3392.4 |
3581.1 |
3745.3 |
3885.8 |
4002.9 |
4097.2 |
4169.5 |
4220.8 |
4252.3 |
4265.5 |
4262.5 |
4245.5 |
4217.0 |
4179.7 |
4136.6 |
4090.5 |
4044.5 |
4001.5 |
3964.2 |
3935.3 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-5.5 |
-16.0 |
-17.5 |
-27.8 |
-51.0 |
-83.5 |
-121.3 |
-161.1 |
-200.4 |
-237.8 |
-272.3 |
-303.6 |
-331.5 |
-356.0 |
-377.4 |
-395.8 |
-411.4 |
-424.6 |
-435.6 |
-444.6 |
-451.9 |
-457.7 |
-462.4 |
-466.0 |
-469.0 |
-471.4 |
-473.5 |
-475.5 |
-477.7 |
-480.2 |
-483.2 |
-486.9 |
-491.4 |
-496.8 |
-503.3 |
-511.0 |
Investment |
fI |
-2009.8 |
-3380.6 |
-3381.5 |
-2928.6 |
-2548.2 |
-2176.9 |
-1823.8 |
-1506.7 |
-1220.2 |
-977.4 |
-782.2 |
-639.6 |
-549.4 |
-510.5 |
-519.0 |
-570.8 |
-660.5 |
-783.0 |
-932.7 |
-1104.5 |
-1293.6 |
-1495.2 |
-1705.1 |
-1919.4 |
-2134.3 |
-2346.7 |
-2553.5 |
-2752.0 |
-2939.9 |
-3115.3 |
-3276.5 |
-3422.3 |
-3551.7 |
-3664.5 |
-3760.3 |
-3839.6 |
Export |
fE |
206.8 |
515.0 |
852.1 |
1244.2 |
1657.9 |
2088.1 |
2514.2 |
2922.8 |
3297.0 |
3624.6 |
3894.2 |
4098.5 |
4232.7 |
4295.3 |
4287.3 |
4212.5 |
4076.3 |
3886.1 |
3650.2 |
3378.1 |
3079.5 |
2764.4 |
2442.6 |
2123.5 |
1816.1 |
1528.3 |
1267.5 |
1039.7 |
850.0 |
702.3 |
599.2 |
542.4 |
532.1 |
567.8 |
647.6 |
769.0 |
Import |
fM |
-989.9 |
-1561.0 |
-1444.8 |
-1190.2 |
-844.2 |
-459.5 |
-54.4 |
349.7 |
731.6 |
1080.0 |
1387.6 |
1650.3 |
1865.8 |
2033.8 |
2155.1 |
2231.4 |
2265.3 |
2259.9 |
2218.8 |
2145.9 |
2045.5 |
1921.9 |
1779.8 |
1623.7 |
1458.2 |
1288.1 |
1117.5 |
950.8 |
791.9 |
644.3 |
511.3 |
395.5 |
299.3 |
224.3 |
171.7 |
142.2 |
GDP |
fY |
-481.2 |
-1234.4 |
-1568.4 |
-1171.4 |
-578.9 |
156.1 |
934.7 |
1690.1 |
2393.0 |
3013.4 |
3535.8 |
3950.9 |
4257.2 |
4457.0 |
4556.6 |
4564.2 |
4489.5 |
4343.5 |
4137.1 |
3881.9 |
3589.1 |
3269.5 |
2933.9 |
2592.1 |
2253.5 |
1926.7 |
1619.4 |
1338.5 |
1089.9 |
878.4 |
707.9 |
581.1 |
499.8 |
464.5 |
474.9 |
529.5 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.385 |
-1.921 |
-1.923 |
-1.623 |
-1.097 |
-0.419 |
0.337 |
1.106 |
1.829 |
2.467 |
2.991 |
3.389 |
3.655 |
3.792 |
3.807 |
3.712 |
3.521 |
3.249 |
2.913 |
2.527 |
2.107 |
1.667 |
1.220 |
0.779 |
0.353 |
-0.047 |
-0.415 |
-0.745 |
-1.031 |
-1.270 |
-1.460 |
-1.602 |
-1.694 |
-1.739 |
-1.740 |
-1.699 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.783 |
0.983 |
0.952 |
0.793 |
0.524 |
0.184 |
-0.194 |
-0.577 |
-0.937 |
-1.255 |
-1.516 |
-1.715 |
-1.848 |
-1.917 |
-1.926 |
-1.879 |
-1.784 |
-1.648 |
-1.480 |
-1.286 |
-1.074 |
-0.853 |
-0.627 |
-0.404 |
-0.189 |
0.014 |
0.201 |
0.369 |
0.514 |
0.637 |
0.734 |
0.807 |
0.855 |
0.879 |
0.881 |
0.861 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.008 |
-0.028 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.032 |
-0.017 |
0.000 |
0.017 |
0.033 |
0.048 |
0.060 |
0.070 |
0.078 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.082 |
0.079 |
0.074 |
0.069 |
0.063 |
0.057 |
0.051 |
0.045 |
0.040 |
0.034 |
0.030 |
0.025 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.039 |
0.079 |
0.096 |
0.094 |
0.085 |
0.071 |
0.053 |
0.036 |
0.020 |
0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.013 |
-0.018 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.015 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.002 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.007 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.031 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.058 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.062 |
0.063 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.052 |
0.049 |
0.047 |
0.044 |
0.042 |
0.039 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
0.035 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.062 |
0.142 |
0.204 |
0.250 |
0.288 |
0.322 |
0.352 |
0.380 |
0.407 |
0.433 |
0.460 |
0.489 |
0.517 |
0.547 |
0.577 |
0.607 |
0.636 |
0.664 |
0.691 |
0.715 |
0.737 |
0.757 |
0.774 |
0.789 |
0.801 |
0.811 |
0.820 |
0.826 |
0.831 |
0.836 |
0.839 |
0.843 |
0.846 |
0.850 |
0.855 |
0.860 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.021 |
0.065 |
0.121 |
0.160 |
0.186 |
0.194 |
0.184 |
0.156 |
0.113 |
0.057 |
-0.010 |
-0.084 |
-0.161 |
-0.240 |
-0.318 |
-0.393 |
-0.463 |
-0.527 |
-0.584 |
-0.634 |
-0.675 |
-0.709 |
-0.735 |
-0.754 |
-0.765 |
-0.771 |
-0.770 |
-0.765 |
-0.756 |
-0.743 |
-0.728 |
-0.712 |
-0.695 |
-0.677 |
-0.661 |
-0.645 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.006 |
-0.030 |
-0.064 |
-0.099 |
-0.133 |
-0.164 |
-0.191 |
-0.213 |
-0.229 |
-0.238 |
-0.241 |
-0.238 |
-0.230 |
-0.218 |
-0.203 |
-0.186 |
-0.167 |
-0.148 |
-0.128 |
-0.109 |
-0.091 |
-0.074 |
-0.058 |
-0.045 |
-0.033 |
-0.023 |
-0.015 |
-0.009 |
-0.006 |
-0.004 |
-0.004 |
-0.005 |
-0.008 |
-0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.023 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.026 |
-0.034 |
-0.045 |
-0.055 |
-0.064 |
-0.072 |
-0.078 |
-0.082 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.086 |
-0.085 |
-0.084 |
-0.082 |
-0.081 |
-0.079 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.077 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.022 |
-0.027 |
-0.039 |
-0.051 |
-0.062 |
-0.071 |
-0.076 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.073 |
-0.066 |
-0.057 |
-0.045 |
-0.032 |
-0.019 |
-0.004 |
0.010 |
0.024 |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.060 |
0.069 |
0.078 |
0.084 |
0.089 |
0.092 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.093 |
0.091 |
0.088 |
0.084 |
0.080 |
0.075 |
0.069 |
0.063 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.053 |
-0.079 |
-0.102 |
-0.119 |
-0.128 |
-0.128 |
-0.120 |
-0.103 |
-0.078 |
-0.048 |
-0.012 |
0.027 |
0.068 |
0.110 |
0.151 |
0.191 |
0.228 |
0.261 |
0.291 |
0.316 |
0.336 |
0.352 |
0.363 |
0.369 |
0.371 |
0.369 |
0.363 |
0.354 |
0.343 |
0.329 |
0.314 |
0.298 |
0.281 |
0.264 |
0.247 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.023 |
-0.041 |
-0.057 |
-0.072 |
-0.085 |
-0.095 |
-0.102 |
-0.106 |
-0.107 |
-0.104 |
-0.099 |
-0.090 |
-0.080 |
-0.068 |
-0.055 |
-0.041 |
-0.026 |
-0.012 |
0.002 |
0.015 |
0.026 |
0.037 |
0.046 |
0.054 |
0.060 |
0.065 |
0.068 |
0.069 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.059 |
0.054 |
0.049 |
0.043 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.021 |
-0.034 |
-0.045 |
-0.055 |
-0.063 |
-0.070 |
-0.074 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.073 |
-0.069 |
-0.064 |
-0.057 |
-0.050 |
-0.042 |
-0.034 |
-0.026 |
-0.018 |
-0.011 |
-0.004 |
0.002 |
0.008 |
0.012 |
0.015 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.013 |
0.010 |
0.007 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.058 |
0.075 |
0.041 |
0.016 |
0.009 |
0.014 |
0.025 |
0.037 |
0.049 |
0.059 |
0.067 |
0.074 |
0.078 |
0.081 |
0.084 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.090 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.095 |
0.095 |
0.096 |
0.096 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
0.097 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.021 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.014 |
-0.006 |
0.004 |
0.015 |
0.027 |
0.039 |
0.051 |
0.062 |
0.072 |
0.081 |
0.089 |
0.095 |
0.100 |
0.104 |
0.106 |
0.106 |
0.106 |
0.104 |
0.102 |
0.098 |
0.094 |
0.090 |
0.085 |
0.080 |
0.075 |
0.070 |
0.065 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
|
|
|
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