|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
175.1 |
-202.7 |
-800.8 |
-1003.7 |
-859.4 |
-533.6 |
-127.3 |
296.9 |
699.2 |
1064.8 |
1389.3 |
1675.2 |
1927.1 |
2150.6 |
2350.6 |
2531.0 |
2695.0 |
2844.6 |
2981.2 |
3105.5 |
3218.0 |
3318.8 |
3408.2 |
3486.4 |
3553.7 |
3610.7 |
3658.1 |
3696.8 |
3728.0 |
3752.8 |
3772.7 |
3788.9 |
3803.0 |
3816.5 |
3830.6 |
3846.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-5.6 |
-16.9 |
-19.2 |
-29.9 |
-52.8 |
-84.2 |
-120.0 |
-156.8 |
-192.3 |
-225.4 |
-255.3 |
-282.0 |
-305.5 |
-326.2 |
-344.3 |
-360.1 |
-374.1 |
-386.5 |
-397.5 |
-407.4 |
-416.4 |
-424.6 |
-432.2 |
-439.4 |
-446.1 |
-452.7 |
-459.1 |
-465.4 |
-471.8 |
-478.3 |
-485.1 |
-492.1 |
-499.5 |
-507.4 |
-515.7 |
-524.6 |
Investment |
fI |
-2002.9 |
-3361.1 |
-3352.5 |
-2899.3 |
-2536.4 |
-2199.6 |
-1896.7 |
-1642.2 |
-1425.7 |
-1255.0 |
-1129.2 |
-1049.1 |
-1011.1 |
-1011.4 |
-1044.8 |
-1106.4 |
-1190.8 |
-1293.6 |
-1410.4 |
-1537.9 |
-1672.8 |
-1812.8 |
-1955.6 |
-2099.4 |
-2242.8 |
-2384.5 |
-2523.4 |
-2658.6 |
-2789.4 |
-2915.0 |
-3035.0 |
-3149.0 |
-3256.7 |
-3357.9 |
-3452.8 |
-3541.3 |
Export |
fE |
261.1 |
624.3 |
965.4 |
1321.8 |
1658.1 |
1973.1 |
2254.2 |
2498.1 |
2699.1 |
2855.4 |
2965.3 |
3029.2 |
3048.8 |
3026.9 |
2967.5 |
2875.4 |
2755.8 |
2614.3 |
2456.6 |
2288.3 |
2114.8 |
1941.1 |
1772.0 |
1611.5 |
1463.2 |
1330.3 |
1215.2 |
1119.7 |
1045.3 |
992.7 |
962.2 |
953.7 |
966.4 |
999.6 |
1051.7 |
1121.2 |
Import |
fM |
-952.2 |
-1477.9 |
-1350.6 |
-1119.3 |
-831.3 |
-536.2 |
-247.3 |
20.9 |
255.6 |
453.5 |
614.6 |
741.0 |
835.7 |
902.1 |
943.5 |
963.4 |
964.8 |
950.5 |
923.0 |
884.5 |
837.1 |
782.6 |
722.7 |
659.1 |
593.2 |
526.5 |
460.2 |
395.7 |
334.0 |
276.1 |
223.0 |
175.4 |
133.9 |
99.1 |
71.2 |
50.4 |
GDP |
fY |
-450.5 |
-1166.9 |
-1487.5 |
-1101.3 |
-555.1 |
96.6 |
757.9 |
1369.3 |
1911.9 |
2366.3 |
2728.2 |
2997.7 |
3181.4 |
3287.7 |
3326.8 |
3308.9 |
3244.1 |
3142.0 |
3011.2 |
2859.4 |
2693.5 |
2519.6 |
2343.0 |
2168.4 |
1999.8 |
1840.6 |
1693.9 |
1562.1 |
1447.2 |
1350.7 |
1273.7 |
1216.9 |
1180.6 |
1164.8 |
1168.8 |
1192.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-1.377 |
-1.885 |
-1.855 |
-1.542 |
-1.030 |
-0.401 |
0.275 |
0.934 |
1.527 |
2.024 |
2.410 |
2.682 |
2.841 |
2.900 |
2.868 |
2.761 |
2.594 |
2.378 |
2.128 |
1.855 |
1.569 |
1.279 |
0.993 |
0.716 |
0.454 |
0.211 |
-0.010 |
-0.207 |
-0.378 |
-0.523 |
-0.641 |
-0.733 |
-0.800 |
-0.842 |
-0.862 |
-0.862 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
0.778 |
0.963 |
0.916 |
0.752 |
0.492 |
0.177 |
-0.158 |
-0.485 |
-0.779 |
-1.026 |
-1.218 |
-1.354 |
-1.434 |
-1.464 |
-1.450 |
-1.397 |
-1.314 |
-1.207 |
-1.083 |
-0.946 |
-0.802 |
-0.656 |
-0.512 |
-0.372 |
-0.239 |
-0.116 |
-0.003 |
0.097 |
0.185 |
0.259 |
0.320 |
0.367 |
0.402 |
0.424 |
0.435 |
0.436 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.007 |
-0.028 |
-0.045 |
-0.039 |
-0.030 |
-0.017 |
-0.003 |
0.012 |
0.025 |
0.036 |
0.045 |
0.052 |
0.057 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
0.061 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.051 |
0.048 |
0.044 |
0.040 |
0.037 |
0.034 |
0.031 |
0.028 |
0.025 |
0.023 |
0.021 |
0.020 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.039 |
0.079 |
0.096 |
0.093 |
0.084 |
0.070 |
0.054 |
0.038 |
0.024 |
0.012 |
0.003 |
-0.003 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.010 |
-0.009 |
-0.007 |
-0.005 |
-0.003 |
-0.002 |
0.000 |
0.002 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.007 |
0.009 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.017 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
0.032 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.054 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.044 |
0.043 |
0.041 |
0.039 |
0.038 |
0.037 |
0.036 |
0.035 |
0.034 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.033 |
0.034 |
0.034 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.062 |
0.142 |
0.205 |
0.251 |
0.290 |
0.324 |
0.354 |
0.380 |
0.404 |
0.427 |
0.448 |
0.470 |
0.491 |
0.511 |
0.532 |
0.551 |
0.570 |
0.588 |
0.604 |
0.619 |
0.633 |
0.644 |
0.655 |
0.664 |
0.671 |
0.678 |
0.684 |
0.689 |
0.693 |
0.697 |
0.701 |
0.705 |
0.710 |
0.715 |
0.720 |
0.726 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.021 |
0.063 |
0.117 |
0.155 |
0.180 |
0.190 |
0.183 |
0.163 |
0.129 |
0.086 |
0.035 |
-0.020 |
-0.078 |
-0.135 |
-0.191 |
-0.245 |
-0.294 |
-0.339 |
-0.380 |
-0.415 |
-0.445 |
-0.470 |
-0.490 |
-0.506 |
-0.517 |
-0.525 |
-0.530 |
-0.532 |
-0.532 |
-0.529 |
-0.525 |
-0.521 |
-0.515 |
-0.509 |
-0.503 |
-0.498 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.007 |
-0.033 |
-0.068 |
-0.101 |
-0.132 |
-0.160 |
-0.183 |
-0.200 |
-0.210 |
-0.216 |
-0.215 |
-0.211 |
-0.203 |
-0.192 |
-0.180 |
-0.166 |
-0.152 |
-0.138 |
-0.124 |
-0.111 |
-0.098 |
-0.087 |
-0.077 |
-0.068 |
-0.061 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.041 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.040 |
-0.042 |
-0.044 |
-0.046 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.027 |
-0.036 |
-0.048 |
-0.057 |
-0.063 |
-0.068 |
-0.071 |
-0.073 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.067 |
-0.068 |
-0.068 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.022 |
-0.027 |
-0.039 |
-0.051 |
-0.061 |
-0.070 |
-0.075 |
-0.077 |
-0.077 |
-0.073 |
-0.067 |
-0.060 |
-0.051 |
-0.041 |
-0.030 |
-0.019 |
-0.009 |
0.001 |
0.011 |
0.020 |
0.028 |
0.035 |
0.041 |
0.047 |
0.051 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.053 |
0.051 |
0.049 |
0.046 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.026 |
-0.052 |
-0.078 |
-0.100 |
-0.116 |
-0.125 |
-0.126 |
-0.119 |
-0.105 |
-0.086 |
-0.061 |
-0.033 |
-0.003 |
0.028 |
0.060 |
0.090 |
0.119 |
0.146 |
0.170 |
0.192 |
0.211 |
0.226 |
0.238 |
0.248 |
0.254 |
0.258 |
0.260 |
0.259 |
0.257 |
0.252 |
0.247 |
0.240 |
0.233 |
0.225 |
0.216 |
0.208 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.023 |
-0.041 |
-0.057 |
-0.071 |
-0.084 |
-0.094 |
-0.101 |
-0.106 |
-0.107 |
-0.106 |
-0.103 |
-0.097 |
-0.090 |
-0.081 |
-0.072 |
-0.062 |
-0.051 |
-0.041 |
-0.031 |
-0.022 |
-0.014 |
-0.006 |
0.001 |
0.007 |
0.012 |
0.016 |
0.019 |
0.022 |
0.023 |
0.024 |
0.024 |
0.023 |
0.022 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.021 |
-0.034 |
-0.045 |
-0.055 |
-0.063 |
-0.069 |
-0.073 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.068 |
-0.063 |
-0.058 |
-0.052 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.035 |
-0.030 |
-0.025 |
-0.020 |
-0.016 |
-0.013 |
-0.010 |
-0.008 |
-0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.005 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.057 |
0.074 |
0.040 |
0.016 |
0.010 |
0.016 |
0.027 |
0.040 |
0.052 |
0.061 |
0.069 |
0.075 |
0.078 |
0.081 |
0.083 |
0.084 |
0.085 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.088 |
0.089 |
0.089 |
0.090 |
0.091 |
0.092 |
0.092 |
0.093 |
0.093 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
0.094 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.007 |
-0.010 |
-0.014 |
-0.018 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.010 |
-0.002 |
0.008 |
0.018 |
0.028 |
0.038 |
0.047 |
0.056 |
0.064 |
0.070 |
0.075 |
0.080 |
0.083 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
0.085 |
0.084 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.077 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.069 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|