|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1202.9 |
3010.2 |
4676.9 |
6022.2 |
7196.9 |
8233.5 |
9168.8 |
10030.1 |
10830.4 |
11575.0 |
12261.4 |
12881.5 |
13423.2 |
13873.8 |
14221.2 |
14456.6 |
14575.0 |
14576.4 |
14466.0 |
14254.4 |
13957.3 |
13594.3 |
13189.0 |
12767.1 |
12356.1 |
11983.5 |
11675.8 |
11457.6 |
11350.5 |
11371.8 |
11534.2 |
11845.2 |
12306.4 |
12913.9 |
13658.2 |
14524.5 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
3358.9 |
3860.5 |
4537.7 |
5300.0 |
6075.7 |
6803.4 |
7447.2 |
7986.6 |
8410.0 |
8713.9 |
8900.3 |
8975.7 |
8949.8 |
8835.1 |
8646.2 |
8399.1 |
8111.1 |
7800.3 |
7484.6 |
7181.9 |
6909.3 |
6682.5 |
6515.5 |
6419.9 |
6405.0 |
6477.0 |
6639.1 |
6891.1 |
7229.8 |
7648.7 |
8138.4 |
8687.1 |
9280.8 |
9903.9 |
10539.9 |
11171.9 |
Investment |
fI |
2263.6 |
5028.9 |
6863.0 |
8323.5 |
9527.2 |
10473.9 |
11170.0 |
11631.7 |
11885.0 |
11948.1 |
11844.3 |
11593.5 |
11216.7 |
10733.9 |
10165.7 |
9533.6 |
8859.8 |
8167.6 |
7481.0 |
6824.0 |
6220.5 |
5693.0 |
5262.6 |
4947.3 |
4762.0 |
4717.5 |
4819.9 |
5070.5 |
5465.3 |
5995.1 |
6646.1 |
7399.6 |
8233.5 |
9122.4 |
10039.0 |
10955.0 |
Export |
fE |
3713.3 |
6228.4 |
8571.6 |
10806.1 |
12846.2 |
14673.7 |
16231.6 |
17493.0 |
18439.2 |
19070.9 |
19399.5 |
19449.3 |
19252.6 |
18849.8 |
18286.1 |
17610.5 |
16873.5 |
16125.4 |
15414.7 |
14786.7 |
14281.9 |
13934.9 |
13773.4 |
13817.6 |
14079.2 |
14561.8 |
15260.4 |
16161.9 |
17245.7 |
18484.6 |
19845.5 |
21291.4 |
22782.1 |
24276.1 |
25732.4 |
27111.7 |
Import |
fM |
1946.9 |
4612.0 |
6818.3 |
8664.8 |
10293.1 |
11767.1 |
13063.1 |
14177.9 |
15104.9 |
15841.5 |
16388.2 |
16748.6 |
16928.9 |
16939.3 |
16794.1 |
16511.6 |
16114.3 |
15628.1 |
15082.0 |
14507.2 |
13936.2 |
13401.3 |
12934.1 |
12563.7 |
12316.2 |
12213.0 |
12270.8 |
12500.2 |
12905.6 |
13484.9 |
14229.6 |
15124.9 |
16150.7 |
17281.7 |
18489.0 |
19740.9 |
GDP |
fY |
8596.6 |
13406.5 |
17714.4 |
21720.6 |
25378.0 |
28494.5 |
31072.1 |
33110.1 |
34623.8 |
35637.6 |
36186.7 |
36312.6 |
36062.8 |
35489.8 |
34650.9 |
33607.8 |
32425.2 |
31170.1 |
29910.5 |
28713.4 |
27643.0 |
26759.3 |
26115.4 |
25756.6 |
25718.2 |
26024.4 |
26687.6 |
27707.3 |
29070.5 |
30752.0 |
32714.9 |
34912.3 |
37288.8 |
39782.6 |
42328.1 |
44858.2 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-9.745 |
-6.654 |
-2.834 |
1.163 |
4.973 |
8.276 |
10.923 |
12.849 |
14.042 |
14.529 |
14.365 |
13.622 |
12.380 |
10.731 |
8.769 |
6.589 |
4.285 |
1.949 |
-0.331 |
-2.476 |
-4.415 |
-6.086 |
-7.440 |
-8.442 |
-9.070 |
-9.315 |
-9.185 |
-8.697 |
-7.884 |
-6.790 |
-5.465 |
-3.969 |
-2.366 |
-0.721 |
0.901 |
2.436 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
5.505 |
3.039 |
1.165 |
-0.780 |
-2.642 |
-4.255 |
-5.551 |
-6.496 |
-7.083 |
-7.322 |
-7.238 |
-6.865 |
-6.243 |
-5.417 |
-4.431 |
-3.336 |
-2.176 |
-1.000 |
0.149 |
1.231 |
2.210 |
3.054 |
3.739 |
4.247 |
4.566 |
4.692 |
4.628 |
4.384 |
3.976 |
3.426 |
2.759 |
2.006 |
1.198 |
0.368 |
-0.449 |
-1.224 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.123 |
-0.095 |
-0.022 |
0.031 |
0.074 |
0.110 |
0.137 |
0.155 |
0.167 |
0.172 |
0.171 |
0.166 |
0.156 |
0.144 |
0.129 |
0.113 |
0.095 |
0.077 |
0.059 |
0.042 |
0.026 |
0.012 |
0.000 |
-0.009 |
-0.016 |
-0.019 |
-0.020 |
-0.018 |
-0.013 |
-0.005 |
0.004 |
0.016 |
0.029 |
0.043 |
0.057 |
0.071 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.050 |
-0.024 |
-0.117 |
-0.168 |
-0.201 |
-0.221 |
-0.230 |
-0.231 |
-0.225 |
-0.214 |
-0.201 |
-0.186 |
-0.170 |
-0.154 |
-0.137 |
-0.120 |
-0.103 |
-0.086 |
-0.069 |
-0.054 |
-0.039 |
-0.025 |
-0.012 |
-0.002 |
0.007 |
0.014 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.015 |
0.009 |
0.001 |
-0.007 |
-0.017 |
-0.027 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.073 |
-0.119 |
-0.138 |
-0.138 |
-0.127 |
-0.112 |
-0.094 |
-0.075 |
-0.058 |
-0.043 |
-0.030 |
-0.021 |
-0.014 |
-0.010 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.007 |
-0.009 |
-0.010 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.011 |
-0.008 |
-0.005 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.008 |
0.014 |
0.019 |
0.025 |
0.030 |
0.035 |
0.040 |
0.044 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.054 |
-0.100 |
-0.259 |
-0.406 |
-0.530 |
-0.633 |
-0.712 |
-0.766 |
-0.797 |
-0.810 |
-0.806 |
-0.789 |
-0.761 |
-0.727 |
-0.687 |
-0.644 |
-0.598 |
-0.551 |
-0.503 |
-0.454 |
-0.404 |
-0.353 |
-0.302 |
-0.249 |
-0.194 |
-0.138 |
-0.080 |
-0.020 |
0.041 |
0.103 |
0.167 |
0.232 |
0.297 |
0.361 |
0.426 |
0.490 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.154 |
0.215 |
0.200 |
0.131 |
0.019 |
-0.126 |
-0.293 |
-0.470 |
-0.650 |
-0.826 |
-0.990 |
-1.139 |
-1.268 |
-1.375 |
-1.458 |
-1.517 |
-1.551 |
-1.561 |
-1.550 |
-1.519 |
-1.471 |
-1.410 |
-1.338 |
-1.259 |
-1.178 |
-1.098 |
-1.023 |
-0.955 |
-0.898 |
-0.854 |
-0.825 |
-0.812 |
-0.815 |
-0.835 |
-0.870 |
-0.920 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.358 |
-0.516 |
-0.621 |
-0.692 |
-0.733 |
-0.746 |
-0.733 |
-0.699 |
-0.647 |
-0.582 |
-0.506 |
-0.424 |
-0.338 |
-0.252 |
-0.168 |
-0.089 |
-0.015 |
0.049 |
0.104 |
0.148 |
0.180 |
0.201 |
0.209 |
0.206 |
0.192 |
0.169 |
0.138 |
0.100 |
0.058 |
0.013 |
-0.033 |
-0.078 |
-0.120 |
-0.158 |
-0.191 |
-0.216 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.693 |
-0.803 |
-0.859 |
-0.886 |
-0.897 |
-0.899 |
-0.896 |
-0.890 |
-0.884 |
-0.878 |
-0.874 |
-0.872 |
-0.871 |
-0.872 |
-0.875 |
-0.879 |
-0.885 |
-0.891 |
-0.898 |
-0.906 |
-0.913 |
-0.920 |
-0.927 |
-0.934 |
-0.939 |
-0.944 |
-0.947 |
-0.950 |
-0.951 |
-0.951 |
-0.950 |
-0.948 |
-0.945 |
-0.942 |
-0.938 |
-0.933 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.399 |
-0.440 |
-0.463 |
-0.473 |
-0.467 |
-0.446 |
-0.413 |
-0.370 |
-0.320 |
-0.266 |
-0.209 |
-0.154 |
-0.101 |
-0.052 |
-0.010 |
0.024 |
0.050 |
0.068 |
0.076 |
0.076 |
0.067 |
0.051 |
0.029 |
0.002 |
-0.029 |
-0.062 |
-0.095 |
-0.129 |
-0.160 |
-0.189 |
-0.213 |
-0.232 |
-0.246 |
-0.255 |
-0.257 |
-0.254 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.257 |
-0.350 |
-0.392 |
-0.393 |
-0.349 |
-0.268 |
-0.154 |
-0.017 |
0.135 |
0.296 |
0.457 |
0.611 |
0.754 |
0.880 |
0.986 |
1.068 |
1.125 |
1.157 |
1.164 |
1.147 |
1.109 |
1.052 |
0.979 |
0.895 |
0.803 |
0.707 |
0.611 |
0.520 |
0.436 |
0.363 |
0.302 |
0.256 |
0.227 |
0.213 |
0.216 |
0.234 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.341 |
-0.404 |
-0.443 |
-0.467 |
-0.476 |
-0.469 |
-0.450 |
-0.420 |
-0.382 |
-0.337 |
-0.289 |
-0.239 |
-0.189 |
-0.143 |
-0.100 |
-0.063 |
-0.033 |
-0.010 |
0.005 |
0.012 |
0.011 |
0.003 |
-0.011 |
-0.031 |
-0.056 |
-0.084 |
-0.115 |
-0.146 |
-0.177 |
-0.206 |
-0.233 |
-0.255 |
-0.274 |
-0.288 |
-0.296 |
-0.300 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.215 |
-0.244 |
-0.263 |
-0.273 |
-0.274 |
-0.266 |
-0.251 |
-0.230 |
-0.205 |
-0.176 |
-0.146 |
-0.116 |
-0.087 |
-0.060 |
-0.036 |
-0.016 |
-0.001 |
0.010 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.014 |
0.006 |
-0.005 |
-0.019 |
-0.036 |
-0.054 |
-0.072 |
-0.091 |
-0.108 |
-0.125 |
-0.139 |
-0.150 |
-0.159 |
-0.165 |
-0.167 |
-0.166 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.097 |
-0.089 |
-0.013 |
0.018 |
0.032 |
0.036 |
0.034 |
0.026 |
0.017 |
0.008 |
0.000 |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.014 |
-0.015 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.012 |
-0.013 |
-0.014 |
-0.017 |
-0.020 |
-0.024 |
-0.028 |
-0.033 |
-0.037 |
-0.042 |
-0.045 |
-0.049 |
-0.051 |
-0.053 |
-0.054 |
-0.054 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.184 |
-0.248 |
-0.268 |
-0.261 |
-0.236 |
-0.200 |
-0.156 |
-0.109 |
-0.062 |
-0.016 |
0.025 |
0.061 |
0.091 |
0.113 |
0.129 |
0.137 |
0.137 |
0.131 |
0.118 |
0.101 |
0.079 |
0.054 |
0.026 |
-0.002 |
-0.030 |
-0.057 |
-0.081 |
-0.102 |
-0.120 |
-0.133 |
-0.142 |
-0.146 |
-0.145 |
-0.140 |
-0.131 |
-0.118 |
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