|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1138.2 |
2877.5 |
4355.8 |
5391.5 |
6159.5 |
6724.3 |
7151.6 |
7497.1 |
7801.9 |
8096.6 |
8400.9 |
8725.5 |
9074.1 |
9445.0 |
9833.4 |
10232.4 |
10634.1 |
11030.9 |
11415.6 |
11782.1 |
12125.6 |
12442.8 |
12731.7 |
12991.7 |
13223.5 |
13429.1 |
13611.2 |
13773.4 |
13920.1 |
14055.8 |
14185.4 |
14314.0 |
14446.6 |
14588.0 |
14742.7 |
14914.8 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
4971.3 |
4989.7 |
5014.8 |
5056.8 |
5114.0 |
5186.1 |
5270.7 |
5365.7 |
5469.1 |
5579.1 |
5694.5 |
5814.2 |
5937.5 |
6064.1 |
6193.8 |
6326.5 |
6462.4 |
6601.6 |
6744.1 |
6890.2 |
7040.0 |
7193.4 |
7350.5 |
7511.3 |
7675.6 |
7843.3 |
8014.3 |
8188.4 |
8365.4 |
8545.2 |
8727.5 |
8912.3 |
9099.4 |
9288.7 |
9480.1 |
9673.7 |
Investment |
fI |
2241.0 |
4438.8 |
5640.7 |
6549.7 |
7273.3 |
7812.5 |
8188.0 |
8425.4 |
8559.6 |
8613.9 |
8612.3 |
8572.0 |
8507.0 |
8426.5 |
8337.2 |
8242.9 |
8145.9 |
8047.3 |
7948.0 |
7848.4 |
7749.4 |
7652.3 |
7558.7 |
7470.6 |
7390.7 |
7321.7 |
7266.5 |
7228.2 |
7209.7 |
7213.6 |
7242.3 |
7297.7 |
7381.1 |
7493.5 |
7635.0 |
7805.4 |
Export |
fE |
3790.4 |
6200.1 |
8396.2 |
10482.4 |
12403.2 |
14171.8 |
15755.3 |
17144.6 |
18330.9 |
19317.2 |
20109.6 |
20720.0 |
21162.2 |
21453.0 |
21610.2 |
21652.7 |
21599.6 |
21470.2 |
21283.3 |
21057.3 |
20810.0 |
20558.1 |
20317.2 |
20101.8 |
19924.7 |
19797.6 |
19730.3 |
19730.8 |
19805.7 |
19959.6 |
20195.3 |
20513.9 |
20914.9 |
21396.0 |
21953.8 |
22583.2 |
Import |
fM |
2246.5 |
4612.3 |
6363.0 |
7718.9 |
8850.6 |
9842.9 |
10705.0 |
11458.8 |
12119.5 |
12700.9 |
13213.8 |
13666.7 |
14065.7 |
14415.0 |
14718.2 |
14977.9 |
15196.9 |
15377.8 |
15523.9 |
15638.9 |
15727.0 |
15793.2 |
15842.9 |
15881.9 |
15916.3 |
15952.5 |
15996.8 |
16055.2 |
16133.6 |
16237.3 |
16371.0 |
16538.9 |
16744.2 |
16989.6 |
17276.5 |
17605.9 |
GDP |
fY |
9806.4 |
13744.4 |
16959.3 |
19804.1 |
22315.8 |
24406.0 |
26141.1 |
27566.8 |
28730.7 |
29673.1 |
30431.3 |
31036.0 |
31513.4 |
31885.0 |
32168.6 |
32379.4 |
32530.6 |
32634.5 |
32702.3 |
32745.3 |
32774.8 |
32801.7 |
32837.4 |
32892.8 |
32978.9 |
33106.0 |
33283.8 |
33520.9 |
33825.2 |
34203.0 |
34659.4 |
35198.0 |
35820.6 |
36527.8 |
37318.6 |
38190.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-7.036 |
-5.210 |
-2.983 |
-0.669 |
1.525 |
3.430 |
4.989 |
6.193 |
7.059 |
7.618 |
7.909 |
7.967 |
7.831 |
7.533 |
7.102 |
6.565 |
5.945 |
5.264 |
4.540 |
3.791 |
3.034 |
2.282 |
1.550 |
0.851 |
0.194 |
-0.410 |
-0.953 |
-1.429 |
-1.832 |
-2.160 |
-2.412 |
-2.587 |
-2.687 |
-2.717 |
-2.680 |
-2.583 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
3.975 |
2.424 |
1.340 |
0.222 |
-0.845 |
-1.773 |
-2.536 |
-3.130 |
-3.561 |
-3.843 |
-3.992 |
-4.027 |
-3.964 |
-3.819 |
-3.606 |
-3.339 |
-3.029 |
-2.687 |
-2.323 |
-1.945 |
-1.561 |
-1.180 |
-0.809 |
-0.453 |
-0.119 |
0.189 |
0.466 |
0.709 |
0.915 |
1.084 |
1.213 |
1.304 |
1.357 |
1.374 |
1.357 |
1.309 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.132 |
-0.085 |
-0.002 |
0.057 |
0.105 |
0.144 |
0.174 |
0.195 |
0.209 |
0.218 |
0.222 |
0.224 |
0.222 |
0.219 |
0.215 |
0.209 |
0.203 |
0.196 |
0.189 |
0.182 |
0.175 |
0.167 |
0.160 |
0.153 |
0.147 |
0.142 |
0.137 |
0.133 |
0.129 |
0.127 |
0.126 |
0.125 |
0.126 |
0.128 |
0.130 |
0.134 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.049 |
-0.028 |
-0.114 |
-0.158 |
-0.182 |
-0.193 |
-0.193 |
-0.185 |
-0.172 |
-0.156 |
-0.140 |
-0.124 |
-0.109 |
-0.096 |
-0.084 |
-0.075 |
-0.067 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.039 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.031 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.024 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.020 |
-0.020 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
-0.019 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.083 |
-0.113 |
-0.116 |
-0.101 |
-0.077 |
-0.049 |
-0.019 |
0.010 |
0.037 |
0.062 |
0.083 |
0.100 |
0.113 |
0.123 |
0.130 |
0.134 |
0.136 |
0.136 |
0.135 |
0.133 |
0.129 |
0.126 |
0.122 |
0.118 |
0.114 |
0.111 |
0.108 |
0.106 |
0.105 |
0.104 |
0.104 |
0.105 |
0.107 |
0.109 |
0.112 |
0.115 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.008 |
-0.121 |
-0.233 |
-0.318 |
-0.367 |
-0.385 |
-0.371 |
-0.327 |
-0.257 |
-0.166 |
-0.058 |
0.063 |
0.192 |
0.326 |
0.462 |
0.597 |
0.729 |
0.856 |
0.978 |
1.094 |
1.204 |
1.307 |
1.404 |
1.494 |
1.579 |
1.659 |
1.735 |
1.807 |
1.876 |
1.944 |
2.009 |
2.074 |
2.139 |
2.204 |
2.270 |
2.338 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.142 |
0.201 |
0.182 |
0.106 |
-0.014 |
-0.167 |
-0.343 |
-0.533 |
-0.729 |
-0.925 |
-1.117 |
-1.303 |
-1.479 |
-1.644 |
-1.797 |
-1.937 |
-2.064 |
-2.179 |
-2.281 |
-2.370 |
-2.447 |
-2.513 |
-2.568 |
-2.613 |
-2.649 |
-2.678 |
-2.699 |
-2.715 |
-2.727 |
-2.735 |
-2.742 |
-2.748 |
-2.754 |
-2.761 |
-2.771 |
-2.783 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.403 |
-0.532 |
-0.610 |
-0.659 |
-0.686 |
-0.693 |
-0.684 |
-0.664 |
-0.636 |
-0.602 |
-0.564 |
-0.524 |
-0.483 |
-0.443 |
-0.402 |
-0.363 |
-0.326 |
-0.290 |
-0.257 |
-0.226 |
-0.197 |
-0.172 |
-0.149 |
-0.129 |
-0.112 |
-0.099 |
-0.088 |
-0.081 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.076 |
-0.079 |
-0.084 |
-0.091 |
-0.099 |
-0.109 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.653 |
-0.768 |
-0.832 |
-0.871 |
-0.894 |
-0.907 |
-0.913 |
-0.916 |
-0.916 |
-0.915 |
-0.913 |
-0.911 |
-0.909 |
-0.907 |
-0.905 |
-0.903 |
-0.901 |
-0.900 |
-0.899 |
-0.898 |
-0.897 |
-0.896 |
-0.896 |
-0.896 |
-0.896 |
-0.897 |
-0.897 |
-0.898 |
-0.899 |
-0.900 |
-0.901 |
-0.902 |
-0.903 |
-0.905 |
-0.906 |
-0.907 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.377 |
-0.418 |
-0.449 |
-0.471 |
-0.484 |
-0.488 |
-0.483 |
-0.472 |
-0.455 |
-0.434 |
-0.410 |
-0.384 |
-0.357 |
-0.329 |
-0.301 |
-0.274 |
-0.249 |
-0.225 |
-0.203 |
-0.184 |
-0.167 |
-0.152 |
-0.140 |
-0.131 |
-0.125 |
-0.121 |
-0.119 |
-0.119 |
-0.121 |
-0.125 |
-0.131 |
-0.138 |
-0.145 |
-0.153 |
-0.162 |
-0.171 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.229 |
-0.303 |
-0.346 |
-0.365 |
-0.359 |
-0.330 |
-0.283 |
-0.220 |
-0.147 |
-0.066 |
0.020 |
0.107 |
0.194 |
0.278 |
0.358 |
0.433 |
0.502 |
0.563 |
0.617 |
0.663 |
0.700 |
0.730 |
0.751 |
0.765 |
0.771 |
0.771 |
0.765 |
0.753 |
0.737 |
0.718 |
0.695 |
0.670 |
0.644 |
0.617 |
0.590 |
0.565 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.331 |
-0.390 |
-0.428 |
-0.458 |
-0.477 |
-0.487 |
-0.488 |
-0.482 |
-0.470 |
-0.453 |
-0.432 |
-0.409 |
-0.384 |
-0.357 |
-0.331 |
-0.305 |
-0.279 |
-0.255 |
-0.233 |
-0.212 |
-0.193 |
-0.177 |
-0.164 |
-0.152 |
-0.144 |
-0.138 |
-0.134 |
-0.132 |
-0.133 |
-0.135 |
-0.139 |
-0.145 |
-0.152 |
-0.159 |
-0.168 |
-0.176 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.209 |
-0.236 |
-0.255 |
-0.269 |
-0.276 |
-0.279 |
-0.276 |
-0.269 |
-0.260 |
-0.247 |
-0.233 |
-0.217 |
-0.201 |
-0.184 |
-0.168 |
-0.152 |
-0.137 |
-0.123 |
-0.110 |
-0.099 |
-0.089 |
-0.081 |
-0.074 |
-0.069 |
-0.065 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.065 |
-0.067 |
-0.071 |
-0.075 |
-0.080 |
-0.085 |
-0.090 |
-0.095 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.105 |
-0.084 |
-0.001 |
0.033 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.042 |
0.028 |
0.012 |
-0.005 |
-0.021 |
-0.035 |
-0.047 |
-0.056 |
-0.063 |
-0.067 |
-0.069 |
-0.070 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.065 |
-0.062 |
-0.058 |
-0.055 |
-0.052 |
-0.048 |
-0.045 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.039 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.158 |
-0.219 |
-0.243 |
-0.246 |
-0.236 |
-0.219 |
-0.196 |
-0.171 |
-0.144 |
-0.118 |
-0.092 |
-0.069 |
-0.047 |
-0.027 |
-0.009 |
0.006 |
0.019 |
0.030 |
0.038 |
0.043 |
0.047 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.037 |
0.031 |
0.024 |
0.016 |
0.008 |
0.000 |
-0.008 |
-0.016 |
-0.024 |
-0.031 |
-0.037 |
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