|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1467.9 |
2870.3 |
5409.8 |
7275.4 |
8491.9 |
9308.9 |
9846.8 |
10206.1 |
10468.5 |
10690.1 |
10906.2 |
11134.6 |
11380.2 |
11639.3 |
11903.1 |
12160.4 |
12400.0 |
12612.0 |
12789.0 |
12926.5 |
13023.5 |
13082.2 |
13107.8 |
13108.3 |
13093.6 |
13075.4 |
13066.2 |
13078.8 |
13125.6 |
13218.0 |
13366.0 |
13577.7 |
13858.8 |
14212.6 |
14639.6 |
15137.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
547.0 |
1279.6 |
2279.0 |
3289.1 |
4243.9 |
5110.6 |
5866.5 |
6503.1 |
7021.6 |
7429.5 |
7737.3 |
7956.9 |
8100.8 |
8180.9 |
8208.5 |
8194.5 |
8148.8 |
8081.4 |
8001.3 |
7917.5 |
7838.6 |
7772.6 |
7726.9 |
7708.5 |
7723.2 |
7775.9 |
7870.3 |
8008.9 |
8192.5 |
8420.7 |
8691.5 |
9001.4 |
9345.9 |
9719.1 |
10114.2 |
10523.9 |
Investment |
fI |
1429.0 |
3091.0 |
5469.1 |
7475.8 |
8793.1 |
9712.5 |
10310.6 |
10640.3 |
10760.8 |
10723.0 |
10571.1 |
10340.4 |
10058.1 |
9744.2 |
9413.1 |
9075.0 |
8737.7 |
8407.5 |
8090.2 |
7791.9 |
7519.0 |
7278.4 |
7077.3 |
6923.2 |
6823.1 |
6783.3 |
6809.1 |
6904.0 |
7069.8 |
7306.2 |
7610.7 |
7978.4 |
8402.3 |
8873.5 |
9381.4 |
9914.0 |
Export |
fE |
1219.4 |
2782.6 |
4727.0 |
6705.6 |
8661.8 |
10533.4 |
12255.8 |
13780.2 |
15080.9 |
16146.8 |
16980.8 |
17595.0 |
18008.9 |
18246.8 |
18336.4 |
18307.2 |
18189.4 |
18013.3 |
17808.0 |
17601.3 |
17418.9 |
17283.9 |
17216.4 |
17233.0 |
17346.7 |
17566.3 |
17896.9 |
18339.2 |
18889.8 |
19541.8 |
20284.6 |
21104.4 |
21985.2 |
22909.0 |
23856.5 |
24808.1 |
Import |
fM |
1277.5 |
2867.8 |
5346.4 |
7415.4 |
8942.7 |
10225.2 |
11302.5 |
12198.5 |
12940.0 |
13549.3 |
14044.5 |
14439.6 |
14745.2 |
14969.9 |
15121.1 |
15205.9 |
15231.9 |
15207.8 |
15143.5 |
15050.3 |
14940.7 |
14828.3 |
14727.2 |
14651.7 |
14615.7 |
14632.2 |
14712.5 |
14866.3 |
15100.7 |
15420.0 |
15825.7 |
16316.4 |
16887.6 |
17531.9 |
18239.3 |
18998.0 |
GDP |
fY |
3314.8 |
7006.3 |
12240.5 |
16968.9 |
20933.3 |
24184.7 |
26797.3 |
28833.5 |
30374.5 |
31495.7 |
32268.9 |
32756.1 |
33010.6 |
33077.7 |
32996.4 |
32801.1 |
32523.4 |
32192.9 |
31838.7 |
31489.1 |
31172.4 |
30916.0 |
30746.4 |
30687.9 |
30762.5 |
30988.3 |
31379.3 |
31944.8 |
32688.5 |
33608.4 |
34696.9 |
35940.8 |
37321.6 |
38816.5 |
40398.8 |
42039.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-26.938 |
-22.357 |
-16.159 |
-10.276 |
-5.138 |
-0.844 |
2.567 |
5.124 |
6.905 |
8.006 |
8.533 |
8.584 |
8.253 |
7.619 |
6.757 |
5.728 |
4.588 |
3.388 |
2.171 |
0.978 |
-0.155 |
-1.195 |
-2.116 |
-2.893 |
-3.510 |
-3.955 |
-4.219 |
-4.304 |
-4.214 |
-3.962 |
-3.562 |
-3.037 |
-2.411 |
-1.712 |
-0.969 |
-0.214 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
15.218 |
10.639 |
7.627 |
4.871 |
2.433 |
0.371 |
-1.282 |
-2.534 |
-3.414 |
-3.967 |
-4.239 |
-4.276 |
-4.122 |
-3.816 |
-3.393 |
-2.884 |
-2.317 |
-1.717 |
-1.107 |
-0.508 |
0.063 |
0.588 |
1.053 |
1.447 |
1.760 |
1.986 |
2.121 |
2.166 |
2.122 |
1.996 |
1.796 |
1.532 |
1.217 |
0.865 |
0.491 |
0.110 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.109 |
-0.075 |
-0.130 |
-0.049 |
0.013 |
0.058 |
0.089 |
0.109 |
0.121 |
0.125 |
0.124 |
0.120 |
0.113 |
0.105 |
0.096 |
0.087 |
0.078 |
0.068 |
0.059 |
0.051 |
0.043 |
0.036 |
0.030 |
0.025 |
0.021 |
0.019 |
0.018 |
0.018 |
0.019 |
0.022 |
0.026 |
0.031 |
0.038 |
0.044 |
0.052 |
0.060 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.065 |
-0.024 |
-0.039 |
-0.154 |
-0.218 |
-0.250 |
-0.261 |
-0.255 |
-0.240 |
-0.219 |
-0.195 |
-0.171 |
-0.149 |
-0.128 |
-0.110 |
-0.094 |
-0.080 |
-0.069 |
-0.058 |
-0.049 |
-0.041 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
-0.023 |
-0.018 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.009 |
-0.008 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
-0.011 |
-0.013 |
-0.017 |
-0.020 |
-0.025 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.044 |
-0.099 |
-0.170 |
-0.203 |
-0.205 |
-0.192 |
-0.171 |
-0.146 |
-0.119 |
-0.094 |
-0.071 |
-0.051 |
-0.035 |
-0.023 |
-0.014 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.000 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.002 |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.006 |
0.008 |
0.011 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.021 |
0.024 |
0.028 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.034 |
-0.052 |
-0.240 |
-0.453 |
-0.641 |
-0.806 |
-0.938 |
-1.035 |
-1.098 |
-1.131 |
-1.138 |
-1.123 |
-1.092 |
-1.047 |
-0.993 |
-0.933 |
-0.869 |
-0.803 |
-0.735 |
-0.667 |
-0.600 |
-0.533 |
-0.466 |
-0.400 |
-0.334 |
-0.268 |
-0.201 |
-0.135 |
-0.068 |
0.000 |
0.068 |
0.136 |
0.205 |
0.274 |
0.344 |
0.413 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.096 |
0.165 |
0.258 |
0.266 |
0.214 |
0.124 |
0.007 |
-0.124 |
-0.260 |
-0.393 |
-0.519 |
-0.635 |
-0.738 |
-0.827 |
-0.902 |
-0.962 |
-1.009 |
-1.043 |
-1.064 |
-1.075 |
-1.076 |
-1.068 |
-1.054 |
-1.035 |
-1.012 |
-0.988 |
-0.964 |
-0.941 |
-0.922 |
-0.908 |
-0.900 |
-0.899 |
-0.905 |
-0.920 |
-0.943 |
-0.973 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.127 |
-0.253 |
-0.404 |
-0.509 |
-0.571 |
-0.599 |
-0.600 |
-0.579 |
-0.544 |
-0.498 |
-0.445 |
-0.390 |
-0.333 |
-0.277 |
-0.223 |
-0.172 |
-0.125 |
-0.083 |
-0.045 |
-0.014 |
0.013 |
0.033 |
0.047 |
0.056 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.050 |
0.039 |
0.024 |
0.006 |
-0.013 |
-0.034 |
-0.054 |
-0.075 |
-0.093 |
-0.110 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.019 |
-0.027 |
-0.036 |
-0.029 |
-0.014 |
0.005 |
0.025 |
0.042 |
0.057 |
0.069 |
0.078 |
0.085 |
0.089 |
0.091 |
0.091 |
0.090 |
0.088 |
0.086 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.076 |
0.072 |
0.069 |
0.065 |
0.062 |
0.059 |
0.057 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.052 |
0.053 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.123 |
-0.209 |
-0.278 |
-0.319 |
-0.344 |
-0.355 |
-0.352 |
-0.339 |
-0.318 |
-0.291 |
-0.260 |
-0.228 |
-0.195 |
-0.164 |
-0.134 |
-0.108 |
-0.085 |
-0.067 |
-0.053 |
-0.044 |
-0.039 |
-0.038 |
-0.042 |
-0.048 |
-0.058 |
-0.070 |
-0.084 |
-0.099 |
-0.114 |
-0.129 |
-0.142 |
-0.155 |
-0.165 |
-0.173 |
-0.179 |
-0.182 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.280 |
-0.582 |
-0.797 |
-0.920 |
-0.989 |
-1.010 |
-0.992 |
-0.945 |
-0.876 |
-0.793 |
-0.702 |
-0.609 |
-0.519 |
-0.434 |
-0.357 |
-0.291 |
-0.237 |
-0.195 |
-0.166 |
-0.150 |
-0.146 |
-0.153 |
-0.171 |
-0.197 |
-0.230 |
-0.268 |
-0.310 |
-0.353 |
-0.395 |
-0.436 |
-0.472 |
-0.504 |
-0.530 |
-0.550 |
-0.561 |
-0.566 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.103 |
-0.187 |
-0.258 |
-0.307 |
-0.340 |
-0.359 |
-0.365 |
-0.360 |
-0.347 |
-0.328 |
-0.304 |
-0.277 |
-0.250 |
-0.222 |
-0.196 |
-0.172 |
-0.150 |
-0.131 |
-0.117 |
-0.106 |
-0.098 |
-0.095 |
-0.095 |
-0.099 |
-0.106 |
-0.115 |
-0.127 |
-0.140 |
-0.153 |
-0.167 |
-0.181 |
-0.194 |
-0.206 |
-0.216 |
-0.224 |
-0.230 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.064 |
-0.114 |
-0.155 |
-0.181 |
-0.198 |
-0.207 |
-0.209 |
-0.204 |
-0.195 |
-0.182 |
-0.167 |
-0.150 |
-0.133 |
-0.116 |
-0.100 |
-0.086 |
-0.074 |
-0.063 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
-0.046 |
-0.047 |
-0.050 |
-0.055 |
-0.062 |
-0.069 |
-0.077 |
-0.085 |
-0.094 |
-0.101 |
-0.108 |
-0.115 |
-0.120 |
-0.123 |
-0.125 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.112 |
-0.041 |
-0.077 |
0.023 |
0.079 |
0.101 |
0.104 |
0.093 |
0.075 |
0.054 |
0.033 |
0.013 |
-0.003 |
-0.016 |
-0.025 |
-0.032 |
-0.036 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.036 |
-0.037 |
-0.039 |
-0.040 |
-0.041 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
-0.042 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.094 |
-0.176 |
-0.230 |
-0.246 |
-0.240 |
-0.220 |
-0.192 |
-0.160 |
-0.126 |
-0.094 |
-0.063 |
-0.036 |
-0.012 |
0.008 |
0.023 |
0.035 |
0.042 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.042 |
0.036 |
0.028 |
0.018 |
0.006 |
-0.007 |
-0.020 |
-0.032 |
-0.044 |
-0.055 |
-0.065 |
-0.072 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.079 |
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