|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1189.7 |
2154.4 |
4069.0 |
5145.0 |
5453.7 |
5304.2 |
4861.6 |
4264.1 |
3627.4 |
3033.1 |
2535.6 |
2167.2 |
1943.4 |
1867.2 |
1932.5 |
2127.5 |
2436.5 |
2842.1 |
3325.7 |
3869.2 |
4454.9 |
5066.5 |
5689.1 |
6309.3 |
6915.5 |
7497.8 |
8047.8 |
8558.9 |
9026.2 |
9446.2 |
9816.7 |
10137.3 |
10408.5 |
10632.2 |
10811.3 |
10949.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-140.4 |
-204.0 |
-309.9 |
-398.1 |
-458.5 |
-495.8 |
-516.1 |
-524.9 |
-527.6 |
-528.6 |
-531.2 |
-537.5 |
-548.9 |
-565.9 |
-588.6 |
-616.5 |
-648.9 |
-684.8 |
-723.3 |
-763.4 |
-804.1 |
-844.5 |
-883.8 |
-921.4 |
-956.8 |
-989.5 |
-1019.4 |
-1046.3 |
-1070.1 |
-1091.0 |
-1109.2 |
-1124.9 |
-1138.4 |
-1150.1 |
-1160.3 |
-1169.7 |
Investment |
fI |
1026.4 |
2016.6 |
3595.4 |
4771.0 |
5380.1 |
5738.6 |
5916.2 |
5967.9 |
5955.1 |
5926.8 |
5920.3 |
5961.9 |
6066.5 |
6239.5 |
6478.3 |
6774.6 |
7116.0 |
7488.1 |
7875.6 |
8263.5 |
8638.4 |
8988.7 |
9304.8 |
9579.7 |
9808.9 |
9989.9 |
10122.7 |
10208.8 |
10251.7 |
10256.0 |
10227.3 |
10172.2 |
10097.7 |
10011.1 |
9919.7 |
9830.7 |
Export |
fE |
1150.4 |
2632.7 |
4512.1 |
6498.5 |
8586.4 |
10743.8 |
12930.4 |
15110.1 |
17260.5 |
19363.4 |
21405.8 |
23376.3 |
25265.3 |
27063.0 |
28759.9 |
30346.7 |
31814.7 |
33155.9 |
34363.9 |
35434.0 |
36363.7 |
37153.4 |
37805.6 |
38326.2 |
38723.4 |
39008.1 |
39193.6 |
39295.1 |
39329.4 |
39314.3 |
39268.8 |
39211.5 |
39161.4 |
39136.6 |
39154.2 |
39230.0 |
Import |
fM |
881.6 |
1874.0 |
3583.6 |
4822.5 |
5575.5 |
6159.9 |
6648.9 |
7088.8 |
7525.0 |
7989.1 |
8501.4 |
9072.7 |
9705.9 |
10397.1 |
11138.0 |
11916.5 |
12718.7 |
13529.4 |
14333.6 |
15117.2 |
15867.1 |
16572.3 |
17223.6 |
17814.1 |
18339.3 |
18796.7 |
19186.3 |
19509.8 |
19770.8 |
19974.6 |
20127.8 |
20238.1 |
20314.0 |
20364.7 |
20399.7 |
20428.6 |
GDP |
fY |
2352.8 |
4758.5 |
8311.0 |
11326.1 |
13747.8 |
15733.5 |
17405.3 |
18855.8 |
20178.8 |
21442.8 |
22698.3 |
23976.4 |
25292.0 |
26646.3 |
28030.2 |
29427.4 |
30817.1 |
32176.8 |
33483.7 |
34717.0 |
35859.0 |
36895.3 |
37816.1 |
38615.8 |
39293.3 |
39851.5 |
40297.4 |
40640.9 |
40895.1 |
41075.2 |
41198.1 |
41281.8 |
41345.1 |
41406.5 |
41484.4 |
41596.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-28.451 |
-25.736 |
-21.986 |
-18.482 |
-15.391 |
-12.697 |
-10.375 |
-8.369 |
-6.612 |
-5.037 |
-3.592 |
-2.238 |
-0.954 |
0.271 |
1.432 |
2.521 |
3.523 |
4.420 |
5.197 |
5.838 |
6.331 |
6.670 |
6.853 |
6.880 |
6.758 |
6.497 |
6.111 |
5.616 |
5.029 |
4.371 |
3.662 |
2.921 |
2.169 |
1.423 |
0.702 |
0.019 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.073 |
12.435 |
10.677 |
9.101 |
7.671 |
6.398 |
5.279 |
4.297 |
3.422 |
2.628 |
1.893 |
1.200 |
0.540 |
-0.090 |
-0.688 |
-1.248 |
-1.762 |
-2.222 |
-2.621 |
-2.950 |
-3.203 |
-3.379 |
-3.474 |
-3.491 |
-3.431 |
-3.302 |
-3.108 |
-2.859 |
-2.564 |
-2.232 |
-1.873 |
-1.499 |
-1.118 |
-0.740 |
-0.374 |
-0.028 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.082 |
-0.038 |
-0.079 |
0.014 |
0.085 |
0.138 |
0.178 |
0.209 |
0.234 |
0.256 |
0.276 |
0.296 |
0.317 |
0.339 |
0.361 |
0.385 |
0.410 |
0.434 |
0.457 |
0.480 |
0.501 |
0.520 |
0.538 |
0.553 |
0.566 |
0.577 |
0.586 |
0.593 |
0.599 |
0.603 |
0.607 |
0.609 |
0.611 |
0.613 |
0.615 |
0.617 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.054 |
-0.024 |
-0.027 |
-0.126 |
-0.172 |
-0.187 |
-0.181 |
-0.161 |
-0.134 |
-0.105 |
-0.077 |
-0.052 |
-0.031 |
-0.016 |
-0.004 |
0.002 |
0.006 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.008 |
-0.013 |
-0.017 |
-0.020 |
-0.023 |
-0.024 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.021 |
-0.019 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.028 |
-0.062 |
-0.107 |
-0.112 |
-0.087 |
-0.049 |
-0.003 |
0.048 |
0.100 |
0.150 |
0.199 |
0.244 |
0.285 |
0.323 |
0.357 |
0.388 |
0.415 |
0.440 |
0.461 |
0.480 |
0.497 |
0.512 |
0.525 |
0.536 |
0.546 |
0.554 |
0.562 |
0.568 |
0.574 |
0.579 |
0.583 |
0.588 |
0.592 |
0.597 |
0.601 |
0.606 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.063 |
0.057 |
-0.015 |
-0.085 |
-0.112 |
-0.095 |
-0.029 |
0.085 |
0.247 |
0.450 |
0.691 |
0.963 |
1.261 |
1.582 |
1.919 |
2.270 |
2.630 |
2.997 |
3.369 |
3.742 |
4.115 |
4.487 |
4.855 |
5.220 |
5.579 |
5.933 |
6.280 |
6.621 |
6.954 |
7.281 |
7.601 |
7.914 |
8.221 |
8.522 |
8.818 |
9.109 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.090 |
0.147 |
0.224 |
0.212 |
0.137 |
0.018 |
-0.134 |
-0.310 |
-0.505 |
-0.713 |
-0.935 |
-1.169 |
-1.416 |
-1.676 |
-1.949 |
-2.236 |
-2.535 |
-2.846 |
-3.168 |
-3.498 |
-3.835 |
-4.176 |
-4.519 |
-4.861 |
-5.201 |
-5.537 |
-5.866 |
-6.188 |
-6.500 |
-6.803 |
-7.095 |
-7.377 |
-7.647 |
-7.908 |
-8.158 |
-8.400 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.095 |
-0.187 |
-0.301 |
-0.381 |
-0.433 |
-0.469 |
-0.493 |
-0.511 |
-0.525 |
-0.540 |
-0.554 |
-0.570 |
-0.587 |
-0.604 |
-0.619 |
-0.632 |
-0.643 |
-0.650 |
-0.652 |
-0.650 |
-0.642 |
-0.631 |
-0.615 |
-0.594 |
-0.571 |
-0.545 |
-0.517 |
-0.488 |
-0.459 |
-0.429 |
-0.401 |
-0.374 |
-0.349 |
-0.327 |
-0.307 |
-0.291 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.031 |
-0.051 |
-0.078 |
-0.091 |
-0.094 |
-0.092 |
-0.089 |
-0.085 |
-0.081 |
-0.078 |
-0.077 |
-0.076 |
-0.075 |
-0.074 |
-0.074 |
-0.073 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.069 |
-0.067 |
-0.064 |
-0.062 |
-0.059 |
-0.056 |
-0.053 |
-0.050 |
-0.047 |
-0.044 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.130 |
-0.232 |
-0.329 |
-0.409 |
-0.480 |
-0.543 |
-0.599 |
-0.647 |
-0.688 |
-0.724 |
-0.753 |
-0.778 |
-0.796 |
-0.810 |
-0.819 |
-0.822 |
-0.821 |
-0.815 |
-0.805 |
-0.792 |
-0.775 |
-0.756 |
-0.735 |
-0.713 |
-0.690 |
-0.666 |
-0.643 |
-0.621 |
-0.600 |
-0.580 |
-0.563 |
-0.547 |
-0.535 |
-0.524 |
-0.516 |
-0.511 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.296 |
-0.634 |
-0.913 |
-1.128 |
-1.311 |
-1.465 |
-1.593 |
-1.698 |
-1.783 |
-1.851 |
-1.902 |
-1.937 |
-1.957 |
-1.964 |
-1.957 |
-1.939 |
-1.908 |
-1.868 |
-1.818 |
-1.761 |
-1.698 |
-1.631 |
-1.561 |
-1.490 |
-1.420 |
-1.352 |
-1.288 |
-1.228 |
-1.173 |
-1.126 |
-1.085 |
-1.052 |
-1.026 |
-1.008 |
-0.997 |
-0.993 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.108 |
-0.204 |
-0.295 |
-0.371 |
-0.441 |
-0.503 |
-0.559 |
-0.608 |
-0.652 |
-0.690 |
-0.723 |
-0.751 |
-0.775 |
-0.794 |
-0.807 |
-0.816 |
-0.820 |
-0.819 |
-0.814 |
-0.804 |
-0.791 |
-0.775 |
-0.756 |
-0.735 |
-0.713 |
-0.690 |
-0.666 |
-0.643 |
-0.621 |
-0.599 |
-0.580 |
-0.562 |
-0.547 |
-0.534 |
-0.523 |
-0.515 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.067 |
-0.124 |
-0.178 |
-0.221 |
-0.261 |
-0.296 |
-0.327 |
-0.354 |
-0.378 |
-0.397 |
-0.414 |
-0.427 |
-0.436 |
-0.443 |
-0.446 |
-0.447 |
-0.444 |
-0.439 |
-0.432 |
-0.422 |
-0.411 |
-0.399 |
-0.385 |
-0.371 |
-0.356 |
-0.341 |
-0.327 |
-0.313 |
-0.300 |
-0.289 |
-0.278 |
-0.269 |
-0.262 |
-0.256 |
-0.251 |
-0.248 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.087 |
-0.011 |
-0.044 |
0.055 |
0.104 |
0.116 |
0.106 |
0.081 |
0.048 |
0.012 |
-0.023 |
-0.055 |
-0.083 |
-0.106 |
-0.125 |
-0.140 |
-0.151 |
-0.158 |
-0.163 |
-0.165 |
-0.166 |
-0.165 |
-0.163 |
-0.160 |
-0.157 |
-0.153 |
-0.149 |
-0.145 |
-0.141 |
-0.137 |
-0.133 |
-0.129 |
-0.125 |
-0.122 |
-0.119 |
-0.116 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.103 |
-0.199 |
-0.278 |
-0.325 |
-0.355 |
-0.375 |
-0.387 |
-0.395 |
-0.399 |
-0.400 |
-0.399 |
-0.395 |
-0.388 |
-0.378 |
-0.366 |
-0.352 |
-0.336 |
-0.318 |
-0.299 |
-0.278 |
-0.258 |
-0.237 |
-0.217 |
-0.197 |
-0.179 |
-0.163 |
-0.149 |
-0.136 |
-0.126 |
-0.118 |
-0.112 |
-0.109 |
-0.108 |
-0.108 |
-0.111 |
-0.115 |
|
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