|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1172.0 |
2068.2 |
3857.8 |
4737.6 |
4794.1 |
4350.0 |
3587.1 |
2658.1 |
1690.0 |
770.7 |
-42.9 |
-717.9 |
-1240.0 |
-1607.3 |
-1826.6 |
-1909.7 |
-1871.7 |
-1728.6 |
-1496.5 |
-1191.1 |
-827.1 |
-417.9 |
24.3 |
488.5 |
964.9 |
1444.7 |
1920.4 |
2385.2 |
2833.4 |
3260.1 |
3661.3 |
4033.7 |
4375.2 |
4684.1 |
4959.6 |
5201.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-139.5 |
-199.3 |
-297.9 |
-374.6 |
-420.0 |
-440.2 |
-442.1 |
-432.4 |
-417.3 |
-401.5 |
-388.7 |
-381.2 |
-380.1 |
-386.1 |
-399.0 |
-418.2 |
-442.9 |
-472.2 |
-505.1 |
-540.6 |
-577.9 |
-615.9 |
-654.1 |
-691.8 |
-728.6 |
-764.0 |
-797.7 |
-829.6 |
-859.4 |
-887.2 |
-913.0 |
-936.9 |
-958.8 |
-979.1 |
-997.8 |
-1015.2 |
Investment |
fI |
991.1 |
1873.8 |
3267.3 |
4192.8 |
4518.5 |
4591.3 |
4496.7 |
4301.4 |
4072.4 |
3861.1 |
3703.7 |
3624.1 |
3634.0 |
3735.5 |
3922.9 |
4185.6 |
4509.6 |
4879.3 |
5279.1 |
5694.0 |
6110.8 |
6518.0 |
6906.2 |
7268.1 |
7598.6 |
7894.3 |
8153.4 |
8375.5 |
8561.6 |
8713.5 |
8833.9 |
8926.0 |
8993.4 |
9040.3 |
9070.7 |
9088.8 |
Export |
fE |
872.6 |
1944.9 |
3202.6 |
4510.1 |
5917.8 |
7417.2 |
8988.1 |
10605.9 |
12253.4 |
13912.8 |
15569.1 |
17207.1 |
18812.8 |
20372.0 |
21871.8 |
23299.8 |
24644.9 |
25897.7 |
27050.5 |
28097.8 |
29036.5 |
29865.5 |
30586.1 |
31202.0 |
31718.7 |
32143.6 |
32485.6 |
32755.2 |
32963.5 |
33122.6 |
33244.8 |
33342.6 |
33428.5 |
33514.4 |
33611.6 |
33730.9 |
Import |
fM |
688.8 |
1360.8 |
2572.3 |
3240.1 |
3402.4 |
3394.3 |
3306.1 |
3194.1 |
3108.0 |
3079.6 |
3127.1 |
3258.3 |
3472.9 |
3764.9 |
4124.3 |
4538.9 |
4995.5 |
5480.6 |
5981.4 |
6486.4 |
6985.2 |
7469.0 |
7930.7 |
8364.6 |
8766.6 |
9134.0 |
9465.3 |
9759.9 |
10018.6 |
10242.8 |
10434.6 |
10596.6 |
10732.2 |
10844.9 |
10938.5 |
11016.9 |
GDP |
fY |
2196.1 |
4317.3 |
7411.7 |
9855.7 |
11644.2 |
12982.6 |
14027.0 |
14896.9 |
15702.6 |
16520.8 |
17403.0 |
18377.0 |
19452.2 |
20623.3 |
21875.0 |
23185.6 |
24530.1 |
25883.1 |
27219.9 |
28518.7 |
29760.7 |
30931.1 |
32018.9 |
33017.2 |
33922.4 |
34734.4 |
35456.0 |
36092.2 |
36650.4 |
37139.3 |
37568.9 |
37950.2 |
38294.5 |
38613.5 |
38918.5 |
39220.9 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
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|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
-28.493 |
-25.937 |
-22.479 |
-19.409 |
-16.842 |
-14.714 |
-12.950 |
-11.456 |
-10.138 |
-8.912 |
-7.721 |
-6.526 |
-5.310 |
-4.073 |
-2.828 |
-1.593 |
-0.394 |
0.744 |
1.798 |
2.746 |
3.573 |
4.265 |
4.817 |
5.226 |
5.493 |
5.625 |
5.630 |
5.519 |
5.306 |
5.004 |
4.630 |
4.198 |
3.723 |
3.220 |
2.702 |
2.183 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.097 |
12.546 |
10.941 |
9.589 |
8.427 |
7.438 |
6.599 |
5.873 |
5.218 |
4.599 |
3.991 |
3.378 |
2.753 |
2.118 |
1.480 |
0.848 |
0.235 |
-0.346 |
-0.884 |
-1.368 |
-1.791 |
-2.145 |
-2.428 |
-2.639 |
-2.778 |
-2.848 |
-2.854 |
-2.801 |
-2.696 |
-2.546 |
-2.359 |
-2.142 |
-1.903 |
-1.649 |
-1.388 |
-1.125 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.083 |
-0.044 |
-0.094 |
-0.012 |
0.046 |
0.084 |
0.110 |
0.128 |
0.141 |
0.152 |
0.164 |
0.177 |
0.192 |
0.210 |
0.230 |
0.252 |
0.275 |
0.298 |
0.322 |
0.345 |
0.367 |
0.388 |
0.407 |
0.425 |
0.441 |
0.455 |
0.467 |
0.477 |
0.486 |
0.494 |
0.501 |
0.506 |
0.511 |
0.515 |
0.519 |
0.522 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.052 |
-0.024 |
-0.024 |
-0.117 |
-0.155 |
-0.160 |
-0.146 |
-0.119 |
-0.085 |
-0.051 |
-0.019 |
0.009 |
0.031 |
0.048 |
0.060 |
0.067 |
0.069 |
0.069 |
0.066 |
0.062 |
0.057 |
0.051 |
0.045 |
0.040 |
0.034 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.022 |
0.019 |
0.017 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.031 |
-0.069 |
-0.118 |
-0.129 |
-0.109 |
-0.076 |
-0.036 |
0.010 |
0.056 |
0.102 |
0.145 |
0.186 |
0.224 |
0.258 |
0.290 |
0.318 |
0.344 |
0.367 |
0.388 |
0.407 |
0.424 |
0.439 |
0.453 |
0.464 |
0.475 |
0.484 |
0.492 |
0.499 |
0.506 |
0.511 |
0.516 |
0.521 |
0.525 |
0.530 |
0.534 |
0.538 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.064 |
0.057 |
-0.020 |
-0.099 |
-0.143 |
-0.147 |
-0.107 |
-0.024 |
0.100 |
0.262 |
0.456 |
0.679 |
0.926 |
1.193 |
1.475 |
1.770 |
2.073 |
2.384 |
2.699 |
3.017 |
3.335 |
3.653 |
3.969 |
4.282 |
4.591 |
4.895 |
5.194 |
5.488 |
5.775 |
6.057 |
6.332 |
6.602 |
6.866 |
7.124 |
7.377 |
7.625 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.094 |
0.160 |
0.258 |
0.278 |
0.249 |
0.190 |
0.109 |
0.016 |
-0.088 |
-0.200 |
-0.320 |
-0.451 |
-0.594 |
-0.751 |
-0.922 |
-1.111 |
-1.315 |
-1.535 |
-1.770 |
-2.019 |
-2.280 |
-2.550 |
-2.829 |
-3.112 |
-3.399 |
-3.687 |
-3.975 |
-4.261 |
-4.543 |
-4.820 |
-5.091 |
-5.356 |
-5.613 |
-5.864 |
-6.107 |
-6.343 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
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|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.087 |
-0.165 |
-0.259 |
-0.318 |
-0.352 |
-0.372 |
-0.385 |
-0.397 |
-0.410 |
-0.426 |
-0.447 |
-0.472 |
-0.500 |
-0.529 |
-0.559 |
-0.587 |
-0.613 |
-0.636 |
-0.654 |
-0.667 |
-0.675 |
-0.678 |
-0.676 |
-0.670 |
-0.659 |
-0.646 |
-0.629 |
-0.610 |
-0.589 |
-0.567 |
-0.545 |
-0.522 |
-0.500 |
-0.479 |
-0.460 |
-0.441 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.023 |
-0.033 |
-0.047 |
-0.048 |
-0.040 |
-0.030 |
-0.021 |
-0.012 |
-0.006 |
-0.001 |
0.003 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.012 |
0.014 |
0.017 |
0.020 |
0.023 |
0.027 |
0.031 |
0.034 |
0.038 |
0.041 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.050 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.129 |
-0.231 |
-0.328 |
-0.409 |
-0.483 |
-0.550 |
-0.612 |
-0.669 |
-0.721 |
-0.769 |
-0.812 |
-0.851 |
-0.886 |
-0.916 |
-0.940 |
-0.960 |
-0.975 |
-0.985 |
-0.989 |
-0.990 |
-0.986 |
-0.979 |
-0.968 |
-0.955 |
-0.940 |
-0.923 |
-0.905 |
-0.886 |
-0.867 |
-0.849 |
-0.831 |
-0.814 |
-0.798 |
-0.784 |
-0.771 |
-0.760 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.296 |
-0.637 |
-0.921 |
-1.146 |
-1.344 |
-1.521 |
-1.677 |
-1.816 |
-1.941 |
-2.051 |
-2.147 |
-2.230 |
-2.300 |
-2.355 |
-2.396 |
-2.424 |
-2.438 |
-2.440 |
-2.430 |
-2.409 |
-2.378 |
-2.340 |
-2.295 |
-2.246 |
-2.193 |
-2.137 |
-2.082 |
-2.026 |
-1.973 |
-1.922 |
-1.874 |
-1.831 |
-1.792 |
-1.758 |
-1.729 |
-1.705 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.108 |
-0.205 |
-0.297 |
-0.377 |
-0.452 |
-0.521 |
-0.586 |
-0.647 |
-0.704 |
-0.758 |
-0.808 |
-0.854 |
-0.897 |
-0.935 |
-0.969 |
-0.998 |
-1.022 |
-1.040 |
-1.054 |
-1.062 |
-1.066 |
-1.066 |
-1.062 |
-1.054 |
-1.044 |
-1.031 |
-1.016 |
-0.999 |
-0.982 |
-0.965 |
-0.947 |
-0.930 |
-0.913 |
-0.898 |
-0.884 |
-0.871 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.067 |
-0.125 |
-0.179 |
-0.225 |
-0.268 |
-0.308 |
-0.344 |
-0.378 |
-0.410 |
-0.439 |
-0.465 |
-0.488 |
-0.508 |
-0.526 |
-0.540 |
-0.552 |
-0.560 |
-0.565 |
-0.567 |
-0.567 |
-0.565 |
-0.560 |
-0.553 |
-0.545 |
-0.535 |
-0.525 |
-0.514 |
-0.503 |
-0.491 |
-0.480 |
-0.469 |
-0.459 |
-0.450 |
-0.441 |
-0.433 |
-0.427 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.084 |
-0.005 |
-0.035 |
0.067 |
0.115 |
0.126 |
0.113 |
0.085 |
0.050 |
0.012 |
-0.024 |
-0.057 |
-0.086 |
-0.110 |
-0.129 |
-0.145 |
-0.156 |
-0.165 |
-0.171 |
-0.175 |
-0.177 |
-0.178 |
-0.178 |
-0.177 |
-0.175 |
-0.173 |
-0.170 |
-0.167 |
-0.164 |
-0.161 |
-0.158 |
-0.155 |
-0.151 |
-0.148 |
-0.145 |
-0.142 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.100 |
-0.192 |
-0.266 |
-0.311 |
-0.341 |
-0.363 |
-0.381 |
-0.395 |
-0.408 |
-0.418 |
-0.427 |
-0.433 |
-0.436 |
-0.435 |
-0.432 |
-0.425 |
-0.416 |
-0.404 |
-0.389 |
-0.373 |
-0.356 |
-0.337 |
-0.319 |
-0.300 |
-0.282 |
-0.265 |
-0.249 |
-0.234 |
-0.221 |
-0.209 |
-0.200 |
-0.192 |
-0.185 |
-0.181 |
-0.178 |
-0.176 |
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