|
|
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
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|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
2849.1 |
5617.4 |
7638.7 |
8865.5 |
9556.2 |
9891.0 |
10011.7 |
10023.0 |
9997.6 |
9985.3 |
10016.3 |
10105.6 |
10256.4 |
10464.5 |
10720.9 |
11013.8 |
11331.0 |
11660.6 |
11991.9 |
12316.2 |
12626.9 |
12919.8 |
13192.9 |
13446.2 |
13681.7 |
13903.1 |
14115.1 |
14323.7 |
14535.3 |
14756.5 |
14994.0 |
15254.2 |
15542.5 |
15863.8 |
16221.7 |
16618.7 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
725.8 |
1656.3 |
2605.6 |
3508.2 |
4336.5 |
5065.2 |
5687.3 |
6206.9 |
6633.5 |
6979.6 |
7258.1 |
7481.2 |
7659.9 |
7803.1 |
7918.3 |
8011.6 |
8087.8 |
8151.2 |
8205.3 |
8253.5 |
8299.1 |
8345.1 |
8395.0 |
8451.9 |
8519.1 |
8599.6 |
8696.5 |
8812.1 |
8948.5 |
9107.3 |
9289.5 |
9495.2 |
9723.9 |
9974.5 |
10245.2 |
10533.5 |
Investment |
fI |
2424.4 |
5084.5 |
6894.3 |
8164.7 |
9012.3 |
9541.8 |
9805.4 |
9869.4 |
9795.9 |
9636.5 |
9433.6 |
9217.7 |
9009.6 |
8821.1 |
8658.1 |
8521.7 |
8410.1 |
8320.0 |
8248.1 |
8191.1 |
8147.0 |
8114.8 |
8094.9 |
8088.8 |
8098.9 |
8128.5 |
8180.9 |
8259.8 |
8368.2 |
8509.0 |
8683.8 |
8893.6 |
9138.2 |
9416.2 |
9725.0 |
10061.1 |
Export |
fE |
1319.8 |
2948.3 |
4715.7 |
6516.4 |
8291.1 |
9983.5 |
11547.3 |
12950.8 |
14180.5 |
15233.8 |
16117.3 |
16842.4 |
17424.3 |
17880.0 |
18227.1 |
18483.3 |
18666.1 |
18792.3 |
18877.9 |
18938.1 |
18987.4 |
19039.1 |
19105.6 |
19197.9 |
19325.8 |
19497.8 |
19720.4 |
19998.6 |
20335.5 |
20732.2 |
21188.2 |
21700.7 |
22265.5 |
22876.6 |
23526.9 |
24208.1 |
Import |
fM |
2267.7 |
4831.2 |
6776.4 |
8206.5 |
9303.3 |
10208.9 |
10951.3 |
11567.4 |
12086.7 |
12534.1 |
12929.5 |
13286.6 |
13614.1 |
13917.1 |
14198.2 |
14458.3 |
14697.4 |
14915.7 |
15113.8 |
15293.2 |
15456.4 |
15607.2 |
15750.1 |
15891.0 |
16036.2 |
16192.5 |
16366.8 |
16565.9 |
16795.9 |
17062.2 |
17369.3 |
17720.3 |
18116.9 |
18559.4 |
19046.7 |
19576.0 |
GDP |
fY |
4835.8 |
10027.6 |
14537.3 |
18316.3 |
21447.9 |
23923.3 |
25859.1 |
27351.2 |
28493.8 |
29367.8 |
30042.9 |
30573.4 |
31000.6 |
31354.1 |
31655.1 |
31917.7 |
32152.3 |
32366.5 |
32567.3 |
32761.6 |
32957.3 |
33163.0 |
33389.0 |
33646.0 |
33945.5 |
34298.8 |
34717.0 |
35209.8 |
35785.5 |
36450.2 |
37207.7 |
38059.1 |
39002.7 |
40034.0 |
41145.7 |
42328.3 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Employment |
Q |
5.222 |
11.484 |
17.447 |
22.678 |
27.113 |
30.694 |
33.467 |
35.528 |
36.988 |
37.959 |
38.548 |
38.842 |
38.916 |
38.827 |
38.619 |
38.326 |
37.974 |
37.582 |
37.167 |
36.743 |
36.324 |
35.923 |
35.551 |
35.221 |
34.944 |
34.729 |
34.586 |
34.521 |
34.538 |
34.639 |
34.824 |
35.088 |
35.426 |
35.829 |
36.287 |
36.787 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
15.155 |
9.973 |
7.268 |
4.912 |
2.883 |
1.243 |
-0.023 |
-0.955 |
-1.600 |
-2.010 |
-2.232 |
-2.309 |
-2.274 |
-2.155 |
-1.974 |
-1.747 |
-1.487 |
-1.205 |
-0.909 |
-0.607 |
-0.306 |
-0.012 |
0.267 |
0.527 |
0.760 |
0.962 |
1.129 |
1.256 |
1.342 |
1.386 |
1.388 |
1.350 |
1.276 |
1.169 |
1.034 |
0.879 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.204 |
-0.145 |
-0.072 |
-0.007 |
0.039 |
0.071 |
0.091 |
0.101 |
0.104 |
0.103 |
0.100 |
0.094 |
0.089 |
0.083 |
0.077 |
0.072 |
0.068 |
0.064 |
0.060 |
0.057 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.050 |
0.048 |
0.046 |
0.045 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.044 |
0.045 |
0.047 |
0.049 |
0.051 |
0.054 |
0.058 |
0.062 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.118 |
-0.032 |
-0.150 |
-0.225 |
-0.261 |
-0.272 |
-0.265 |
-0.245 |
-0.220 |
-0.192 |
-0.165 |
-0.139 |
-0.117 |
-0.099 |
-0.083 |
-0.072 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
-0.043 |
-0.041 |
-0.039 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.035 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.087 |
-0.177 |
-0.221 |
-0.232 |
-0.222 |
-0.201 |
-0.174 |
-0.145 |
-0.116 |
-0.089 |
-0.065 |
-0.045 |
-0.029 |
-0.016 |
-0.006 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.008 |
0.010 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.011 |
0.012 |
0.013 |
0.014 |
0.016 |
0.018 |
0.020 |
0.022 |
0.024 |
0.027 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.010 |
-0.210 |
-0.444 |
-0.666 |
-0.852 |
-1.006 |
-1.121 |
-1.199 |
-1.241 |
-1.253 |
-1.240 |
-1.207 |
-1.158 |
-1.099 |
-1.031 |
-0.958 |
-0.883 |
-0.807 |
-0.730 |
-0.655 |
-0.580 |
-0.508 |
-0.437 |
-0.367 |
-0.299 |
-0.232 |
-0.166 |
-0.101 |
-0.036 |
0.028 |
0.092 |
0.156 |
0.220 |
0.284 |
0.347 |
0.411 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.144 |
0.254 |
0.291 |
0.266 |
0.199 |
0.106 |
-0.002 |
-0.115 |
-0.227 |
-0.333 |
-0.431 |
-0.519 |
-0.598 |
-0.668 |
-0.730 |
-0.783 |
-0.829 |
-0.868 |
-0.902 |
-0.930 |
-0.953 |
-0.972 |
-0.986 |
-0.998 |
-1.007 |
-1.014 |
-1.019 |
-1.024 |
-1.029 |
-1.035 |
-1.043 |
-1.052 |
-1.064 |
-1.080 |
-1.099 |
-1.122 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.171 |
-0.328 |
-0.435 |
-0.497 |
-0.527 |
-0.531 |
-0.516 |
-0.488 |
-0.452 |
-0.411 |
-0.370 |
-0.329 |
-0.290 |
-0.253 |
-0.219 |
-0.188 |
-0.159 |
-0.133 |
-0.110 |
-0.089 |
-0.070 |
-0.054 |
-0.040 |
-0.029 |
-0.020 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.010 |
-0.011 |
-0.014 |
-0.019 |
-0.025 |
-0.033 |
-0.041 |
-0.050 |
-0.058 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.030 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.025 |
-0.005 |
0.014 |
0.032 |
0.047 |
0.059 |
0.068 |
0.075 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.083 |
0.083 |
0.083 |
0.082 |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.077 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.072 |
0.071 |
0.069 |
0.067 |
0.066 |
0.064 |
0.063 |
0.062 |
0.061 |
0.061 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.060 |
0.061 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.115 |
-0.184 |
-0.235 |
-0.272 |
-0.296 |
-0.308 |
-0.310 |
-0.305 |
-0.294 |
-0.278 |
-0.260 |
-0.240 |
-0.220 |
-0.199 |
-0.180 |
-0.161 |
-0.145 |
-0.130 |
-0.117 |
-0.106 |
-0.097 |
-0.091 |
-0.087 |
-0.084 |
-0.084 |
-0.086 |
-0.089 |
-0.093 |
-0.099 |
-0.105 |
-0.111 |
-0.117 |
-0.123 |
-0.129 |
-0.134 |
-0.138 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.266 |
-0.514 |
-0.680 |
-0.791 |
-0.858 |
-0.886 |
-0.885 |
-0.862 |
-0.823 |
-0.775 |
-0.720 |
-0.663 |
-0.606 |
-0.552 |
-0.500 |
-0.453 |
-0.411 |
-0.375 |
-0.345 |
-0.322 |
-0.304 |
-0.293 |
-0.288 |
-0.287 |
-0.292 |
-0.301 |
-0.314 |
-0.330 |
-0.347 |
-0.366 |
-0.384 |
-0.403 |
-0.419 |
-0.434 |
-0.447 |
-0.456 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.096 |
-0.167 |
-0.222 |
-0.264 |
-0.293 |
-0.311 |
-0.319 |
-0.319 |
-0.313 |
-0.304 |
-0.291 |
-0.276 |
-0.261 |
-0.245 |
-0.229 |
-0.214 |
-0.200 |
-0.187 |
-0.175 |
-0.165 |
-0.157 |
-0.150 |
-0.145 |
-0.142 |
-0.141 |
-0.141 |
-0.143 |
-0.146 |
-0.150 |
-0.155 |
-0.161 |
-0.167 |
-0.173 |
-0.178 |
-0.183 |
-0.188 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.060 |
-0.101 |
-0.132 |
-0.155 |
-0.171 |
-0.180 |
-0.184 |
-0.183 |
-0.179 |
-0.173 |
-0.164 |
-0.155 |
-0.145 |
-0.135 |
-0.124 |
-0.115 |
-0.106 |
-0.098 |
-0.091 |
-0.085 |
-0.080 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.072 |
-0.073 |
-0.074 |
-0.076 |
-0.079 |
-0.083 |
-0.086 |
-0.089 |
-0.093 |
-0.096 |
-0.099 |
-0.101 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
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|
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|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.208 |
-0.088 |
0.029 |
0.102 |
0.132 |
0.137 |
0.124 |
0.103 |
0.077 |
0.051 |
0.026 |
0.004 |
-0.013 |
-0.027 |
-0.037 |
-0.044 |
-0.048 |
-0.050 |
-0.050 |
-0.049 |
-0.047 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.040 |
-0.038 |
-0.036 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.032 |
-0.032 |
-0.031 |
-0.031 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
-0.030 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.096 |
-0.168 |
-0.200 |
-0.208 |
-0.201 |
-0.185 |
-0.165 |
-0.142 |
-0.120 |
-0.099 |
-0.079 |
-0.061 |
-0.046 |
-0.033 |
-0.021 |
-0.012 |
-0.005 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
0.007 |
0.007 |
0.006 |
0.004 |
0.000 |
-0.004 |
-0.009 |
-0.015 |
-0.021 |
-0.027 |
-0.032 |
-0.038 |
-0.042 |
-0.046 |
-0.049 |
-0.052 |
-0.053 |
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