|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
1355.1 |
2500.6 |
2908.6 |
2619.3 |
1923.7 |
1012.8 |
20.2 |
-953.1 |
-1833.6 |
-2573.5 |
-3145.0 |
-3535.5 |
-3744.3 |
-3778.7 |
-3652.0 |
-3381.3 |
-2986.0 |
-2486.7 |
-1904.4 |
-1259.7 |
-572.5 |
138.5 |
855.9 |
1564.0 |
2248.6 |
2897.6 |
3500.4 |
4048.4 |
4535.1 |
4955.5 |
5306.7 |
5587.7 |
5798.9 |
5942.4 |
6022.0 |
6042.6 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-76.2 |
-143.8 |
-195.4 |
-221.6 |
-229.2 |
-224.5 |
-213.5 |
-201.2 |
-191.5 |
-187.1 |
-189.8 |
-200.4 |
-219.1 |
-245.6 |
-279.0 |
-318.2 |
-362.0 |
-409.1 |
-458.2 |
-507.9 |
-557.1 |
-604.7 |
-649.9 |
-691.9 |
-730.1 |
-764.2 |
-793.8 |
-818.9 |
-839.5 |
-855.7 |
-867.9 |
-876.3 |
-881.5 |
-884.0 |
-884.2 |
-882.8 |
Investment |
fI |
1139.9 |
2232.1 |
2768.7 |
3042.8 |
3146.8 |
3168.0 |
3139.8 |
3112.9 |
3130.4 |
3221.9 |
3404.6 |
3685.2 |
4060.6 |
4520.6 |
5049.6 |
5628.5 |
6237.0 |
6854.2 |
7460.6 |
8038.5 |
8572.7 |
9050.9 |
9463.8 |
9805.2 |
10071.8 |
10262.9 |
10380.6 |
10428.7 |
10413.2 |
10341.4 |
10221.9 |
10064.0 |
9877.6 |
9673.1 |
9460.4 |
9249.6 |
Export |
fE |
1150.7 |
2588.7 |
4255.5 |
6099.5 |
8106.1 |
10243.4 |
12482.9 |
14794.8 |
17156.1 |
19543.0 |
21933.1 |
24302.5 |
26626.9 |
28881.6 |
31042.0 |
33084.4 |
34986.7 |
36729.4 |
38296.4 |
39675.3 |
40858.0 |
41841.0 |
42625.7 |
43217.8 |
43627.7 |
43869.8 |
43962.2 |
43925.8 |
43784.2 |
43562.8 |
43287.7 |
42986.0 |
42684.1 |
42407.9 |
42181.6 |
42027.7 |
Import |
fM |
1005.5 |
2106.3 |
2772.8 |
3120.8 |
3356.6 |
3579.7 |
3835.0 |
4159.4 |
4579.1 |
5108.6 |
5752.4 |
6506.9 |
7361.7 |
8301.1 |
9306.2 |
10355.6 |
11427.1 |
12498.7 |
13549.4 |
14559.7 |
15512.6 |
16393.7 |
17191.5 |
17897.3 |
18505.8 |
19014.4 |
19423.4 |
19735.8 |
19956.9 |
20094.2 |
20157.0 |
20155.9 |
20102.9 |
20010.7 |
19892.3 |
19761.2 |
GDP |
fY |
2551.2 |
5060.2 |
7084.1 |
8761.9 |
10236.4 |
11563.6 |
12843.1 |
14145.3 |
15527.0 |
17018.8 |
18633.6 |
20366.7 |
22201.0 |
24109.2 |
26057.7 |
28009.6 |
29927.0 |
31773.4 |
33515.6 |
35124.9 |
36577.9 |
37857.2 |
38951.8 |
39856.6 |
40572.5 |
41106.2 |
41468.9 |
41676.5 |
41748.2 |
41706.2 |
41574.8 |
41379.6 |
41147.0 |
40903.1 |
40673.8 |
40483.4 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
2.528 |
5.480 |
8.311 |
10.899 |
13.301 |
15.539 |
17.668 |
19.741 |
21.803 |
23.883 |
25.991 |
28.122 |
30.258 |
32.371 |
34.427 |
36.387 |
38.217 |
39.881 |
41.352 |
42.605 |
43.626 |
44.404 |
44.940 |
45.238 |
45.310 |
45.172 |
44.847 |
44.359 |
43.735 |
43.005 |
42.198 |
41.343 |
40.469 |
39.602 |
38.767 |
37.987 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
16.678 |
13.170 |
12.008 |
10.948 |
9.917 |
8.934 |
7.981 |
7.036 |
6.086 |
5.118 |
4.132 |
3.132 |
2.128 |
1.137 |
0.175 |
-0.737 |
-1.583 |
-2.343 |
-3.005 |
-3.556 |
-3.988 |
-4.297 |
-4.482 |
-4.546 |
-4.495 |
-4.336 |
-4.082 |
-3.744 |
-3.337 |
-2.874 |
-2.371 |
-1.843 |
-1.305 |
-0.769 |
-0.248 |
0.246 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.096 |
-0.049 |
0.012 |
0.069 |
0.111 |
0.146 |
0.175 |
0.202 |
0.229 |
0.258 |
0.288 |
0.322 |
0.357 |
0.394 |
0.433 |
0.472 |
0.510 |
0.548 |
0.584 |
0.617 |
0.648 |
0.675 |
0.699 |
0.719 |
0.737 |
0.751 |
0.762 |
0.770 |
0.777 |
0.781 |
0.783 |
0.785 |
0.786 |
0.786 |
0.787 |
0.787 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
0.063 |
-0.022 |
-0.083 |
-0.114 |
-0.115 |
-0.101 |
-0.077 |
-0.049 |
-0.021 |
0.004 |
0.024 |
0.040 |
0.049 |
0.054 |
0.055 |
0.052 |
0.046 |
0.039 |
0.031 |
0.022 |
0.013 |
0.005 |
-0.002 |
-0.008 |
-0.012 |
-0.015 |
-0.017 |
-0.018 |
-0.018 |
-0.016 |
-0.014 |
-0.011 |
-0.007 |
-0.003 |
0.001 |
0.005 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.033 |
-0.071 |
-0.071 |
-0.045 |
-0.004 |
0.045 |
0.098 |
0.153 |
0.208 |
0.262 |
0.313 |
0.361 |
0.406 |
0.449 |
0.488 |
0.524 |
0.557 |
0.587 |
0.614 |
0.639 |
0.661 |
0.680 |
0.697 |
0.712 |
0.725 |
0.735 |
0.745 |
0.752 |
0.759 |
0.765 |
0.770 |
0.774 |
0.778 |
0.783 |
0.787 |
0.793 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.060 |
0.036 |
0.030 |
0.061 |
0.138 |
0.262 |
0.435 |
0.654 |
0.916 |
1.216 |
1.550 |
1.913 |
2.301 |
2.709 |
3.135 |
3.574 |
4.023 |
4.480 |
4.942 |
5.407 |
5.872 |
6.335 |
6.795 |
7.250 |
7.699 |
8.141 |
8.575 |
9.000 |
9.416 |
9.823 |
10.221 |
10.609 |
10.989 |
11.361 |
11.725 |
12.083 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.098 |
0.161 |
0.169 |
0.126 |
0.047 |
-0.061 |
-0.194 |
-0.349 |
-0.527 |
-0.728 |
-0.953 |
-1.205 |
-1.484 |
-1.790 |
-2.123 |
-2.482 |
-2.866 |
-3.270 |
-3.693 |
-4.131 |
-4.580 |
-5.036 |
-5.496 |
-5.955 |
-6.410 |
-6.859 |
-7.299 |
-7.727 |
-8.141 |
-8.541 |
-8.926 |
-9.294 |
-9.647 |
-9.985 |
-10.309 |
-10.618 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.101 |
-0.193 |
-0.261 |
-0.313 |
-0.358 |
-0.400 |
-0.441 |
-0.484 |
-0.530 |
-0.578 |
-0.627 |
-0.677 |
-0.725 |
-0.770 |
-0.811 |
-0.845 |
-0.872 |
-0.891 |
-0.901 |
-0.903 |
-0.897 |
-0.883 |
-0.862 |
-0.835 |
-0.802 |
-0.766 |
-0.727 |
-0.685 |
-0.643 |
-0.602 |
-0.561 |
-0.523 |
-0.487 |
-0.455 |
-0.426 |
-0.402 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.031 |
-0.052 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
-0.057 |
-0.058 |
-0.059 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.064 |
-0.065 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.064 |
-0.063 |
-0.060 |
-0.057 |
-0.054 |
-0.050 |
-0.046 |
-0.041 |
-0.037 |
-0.033 |
-0.029 |
-0.025 |
-0.022 |
-0.019 |
-0.017 |
-0.015 |
-0.014 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
-0.013 |
User cost |
uim |
-0.127 |
-0.223 |
-0.313 |
-0.399 |
-0.480 |
-0.555 |
-0.626 |
-0.691 |
-0.750 |
-0.803 |
-0.849 |
-0.888 |
-0.920 |
-0.945 |
-0.961 |
-0.971 |
-0.973 |
-0.968 |
-0.957 |
-0.941 |
-0.920 |
-0.894 |
-0.866 |
-0.835 |
-0.803 |
-0.770 |
-0.738 |
-0.707 |
-0.677 |
-0.649 |
-0.625 |
-0.603 |
-0.584 |
-0.569 |
-0.558 |
-0.549 |
Wage |
lna |
-0.293 |
-0.607 |
-0.874 |
-1.117 |
-1.338 |
-1.537 |
-1.714 |
-1.871 |
-2.008 |
-2.123 |
-2.216 |
-2.288 |
-2.339 |
-2.368 |
-2.376 |
-2.365 |
-2.335 |
-2.288 |
-2.227 |
-2.154 |
-2.070 |
-1.980 |
-1.884 |
-1.787 |
-1.690 |
-1.594 |
-1.504 |
-1.419 |
-1.342 |
-1.274 |
-1.216 |
-1.168 |
-1.130 |
-1.103 |
-1.086 |
-1.079 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
-0.106 |
-0.196 |
-0.281 |
-0.363 |
-0.442 |
-0.518 |
-0.589 |
-0.656 |
-0.718 |
-0.775 |
-0.827 |
-0.872 |
-0.910 |
-0.942 |
-0.966 |
-0.983 |
-0.992 |
-0.994 |
-0.989 |
-0.978 |
-0.961 |
-0.940 |
-0.914 |
-0.885 |
-0.854 |
-0.822 |
-0.789 |
-0.756 |
-0.725 |
-0.694 |
-0.666 |
-0.641 |
-0.619 |
-0.600 |
-0.584 |
-0.572 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.065 |
-0.119 |
-0.169 |
-0.218 |
-0.264 |
-0.307 |
-0.348 |
-0.385 |
-0.419 |
-0.449 |
-0.475 |
-0.497 |
-0.514 |
-0.527 |
-0.535 |
-0.538 |
-0.537 |
-0.533 |
-0.524 |
-0.513 |
-0.498 |
-0.482 |
-0.463 |
-0.444 |
-0.424 |
-0.404 |
-0.384 |
-0.364 |
-0.346 |
-0.330 |
-0.315 |
-0.302 |
-0.291 |
-0.282 |
-0.276 |
-0.271 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.103 |
-0.022 |
0.052 |
0.088 |
0.089 |
0.070 |
0.040 |
0.003 |
-0.034 |
-0.070 |
-0.103 |
-0.132 |
-0.156 |
-0.175 |
-0.191 |
-0.203 |
-0.211 |
-0.217 |
-0.220 |
-0.222 |
-0.221 |
-0.220 |
-0.217 |
-0.214 |
-0.210 |
-0.206 |
-0.201 |
-0.196 |
-0.191 |
-0.186 |
-0.181 |
-0.176 |
-0.171 |
-0.167 |
-0.162 |
-0.159 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.101 |
-0.191 |
-0.256 |
-0.305 |
-0.344 |
-0.377 |
-0.405 |
-0.427 |
-0.445 |
-0.458 |
-0.466 |
-0.468 |
-0.466 |
-0.458 |
-0.445 |
-0.428 |
-0.408 |
-0.384 |
-0.358 |
-0.330 |
-0.301 |
-0.272 |
-0.244 |
-0.217 |
-0.191 |
-0.168 |
-0.147 |
-0.130 |
-0.115 |
-0.103 |
-0.095 |
-0.090 |
-0.088 |
-0.088 |
-0.091 |
-0.097 |
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