|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-2047.8 |
-4444.2 |
-5838.5 |
-6851.9 |
-7599.1 |
-8179.5 |
-8648.6 |
-9042.7 |
-9387.8 |
-9699.2 |
-9986.5 |
-10254.5 |
-10505.4 |
-10739.8 |
-10957.6 |
-11158.5 |
-11342.3 |
-11509.2 |
-11660.0 |
-11796.3 |
-11919.8 |
-12033.0 |
-12138.7 |
-12240.0 |
-12340.0 |
-12442.1 |
-12549.3 |
-12664.7 |
-12791.1 |
-12930.9 |
-13086.4 |
-13259.4 |
-13451.3 |
-13663.1 |
-13895.6 |
-14149.1 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
72.1 |
163.7 |
234.6 |
288.4 |
326.9 |
353.1 |
370.0 |
379.8 |
384.4 |
385.2 |
383.3 |
379.5 |
374.4 |
368.5 |
362.1 |
355.5 |
348.9 |
342.5 |
336.3 |
330.6 |
325.3 |
320.8 |
317.0 |
314.0 |
312.0 |
311.0 |
311.1 |
312.3 |
314.7 |
318.3 |
323.1 |
329.1 |
336.2 |
344.3 |
353.4 |
363.5 |
Investment |
fI |
-1506.2 |
-3530.5 |
-4444.3 |
-4815.7 |
-5094.3 |
-5252.7 |
-5301.3 |
-5262.8 |
-5150.6 |
-4987.1 |
-4789.2 |
-4572.4 |
-4347.8 |
-4124.3 |
-3908.0 |
-3703.4 |
-3513.6 |
-3340.8 |
-3186.4 |
-3051.4 |
-2936.5 |
-2842.0 |
-2768.3 |
-2715.3 |
-2682.9 |
-2670.8 |
-2678.7 |
-2705.7 |
-2751.1 |
-2813.8 |
-2892.6 |
-2986.2 |
-3093.0 |
-3211.4 |
-3339.8 |
-3476.5 |
Export |
fE |
-907.0 |
-1409.1 |
-1654.9 |
-1732.9 |
-1683.7 |
-1525.2 |
-1270.3 |
-927.7 |
-513.2 |
-41.5 |
471.0 |
1009.4 |
1558.9 |
2106.4 |
2640.1 |
3149.7 |
3626.8 |
4064.2 |
4456.8 |
4800.7 |
5093.6 |
5334.6 |
5524.0 |
5663.1 |
5754.5 |
5801.3 |
5807.6 |
5777.9 |
5717.1 |
5630.5 |
5523.6 |
5401.8 |
5270.5 |
5135.0 |
5000.1 |
4870.6 |
Import |
fM |
-1488.4 |
-3309.5 |
-4012.7 |
-4348.0 |
-4521.9 |
-4662.2 |
-4737.7 |
-4756.1 |
-4730.2 |
-4670.3 |
-4585.6 |
-4483.3 |
-4369.2 |
-4248.1 |
-4123.9 |
-4000.2 |
-3879.7 |
-3765.2 |
-3658.8 |
-3562.8 |
-3479.0 |
-3409.3 |
-3355.0 |
-3317.3 |
-3297.3 |
-3295.6 |
-3312.4 |
-3348.0 |
-3401.9 |
-3473.8 |
-3562.7 |
-3667.7 |
-3787.6 |
-3920.9 |
-4066.2 |
-4221.7 |
GDP |
fY |
-2791.5 |
-5636.1 |
-7297.3 |
-8259.8 |
-8879.9 |
-9196.7 |
-9281.1 |
-9186.0 |
-8949.9 |
-8612.3 |
-8205.5 |
-7756.6 |
-7287.5 |
-6815.7 |
-6355.4 |
-5917.5 |
-5510.8 |
-5142.0 |
-4816.4 |
-4538.0 |
-4309.3 |
-4132.3 |
-4007.8 |
-3935.6 |
-3915.1 |
-3944.7 |
-4022.2 |
-4144.8 |
-4309.1 |
-4511.3 |
-4747.1 |
-5012.3 |
-5302.0 |
-5611.6 |
-5936.3 |
-6271.6 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
-2.198 |
-4.609 |
-6.224 |
-7.339 |
-8.018 |
-8.302 |
-8.243 |
-7.906 |
-7.354 |
-6.648 |
-5.840 |
-4.973 |
-4.084 |
-3.203 |
-2.351 |
-1.548 |
-0.806 |
-0.133 |
0.463 |
0.979 |
1.415 |
1.770 |
2.047 |
2.250 |
2.381 |
2.448 |
2.455 |
2.408 |
2.316 |
2.184 |
2.019 |
1.829 |
1.619 |
1.397 |
1.168 |
0.938 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
1.242 |
2.441 |
3.188 |
3.723 |
4.052 |
4.189 |
4.159 |
3.992 |
3.719 |
3.368 |
2.966 |
2.533 |
2.087 |
1.645 |
1.216 |
0.810 |
0.434 |
0.092 |
-0.211 |
-0.475 |
-0.698 |
-0.881 |
-1.024 |
-1.129 |
-1.199 |
-1.235 |
-1.241 |
-1.220 |
-1.175 |
-1.109 |
-1.027 |
-0.932 |
-0.827 |
-0.715 |
-0.599 |
-0.483 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
-0.033 |
-0.113 |
-0.173 |
-0.207 |
-0.228 |
-0.241 |
-0.246 |
-0.245 |
-0.241 |
-0.233 |
-0.223 |
-0.212 |
-0.201 |
-0.191 |
-0.181 |
-0.171 |
-0.163 |
-0.156 |
-0.150 |
-0.145 |
-0.141 |
-0.138 |
-0.137 |
-0.136 |
-0.136 |
-0.138 |
-0.140 |
-0.143 |
-0.147 |
-0.151 |
-0.156 |
-0.161 |
-0.166 |
-0.172 |
-0.178 |
-0.185 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.066 |
0.049 |
0.117 |
0.149 |
0.166 |
0.174 |
0.174 |
0.169 |
0.160 |
0.150 |
0.140 |
0.129 |
0.119 |
0.110 |
0.102 |
0.095 |
0.089 |
0.084 |
0.079 |
0.075 |
0.071 |
0.068 |
0.066 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.060 |
0.059 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.099 |
-0.064 |
-0.057 |
-0.058 |
-0.062 |
-0.067 |
-0.072 |
-0.077 |
-0.080 |
-0.082 |
-0.083 |
-0.083 |
-0.082 |
-0.080 |
-0.078 |
-0.076 |
-0.074 |
-0.072 |
-0.071 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.070 |
-0.071 |
-0.073 |
-0.075 |
-0.078 |
-0.081 |
-0.085 |
-0.090 |
-0.094 |
-0.099 |
-0.105 |
-0.110 |
-0.116 |
-0.121 |
-0.127 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
0.024 |
-0.029 |
-0.105 |
-0.190 |
-0.283 |
-0.374 |
-0.468 |
-0.564 |
-0.660 |
-0.756 |
-0.851 |
-0.942 |
-1.030 |
-1.114 |
-1.195 |
-1.271 |
-1.344 |
-1.413 |
-1.480 |
-1.545 |
-1.608 |
-1.670 |
-1.733 |
-1.795 |
-1.859 |
-1.923 |
-1.990 |
-2.058 |
-2.129 |
-2.202 |
-2.278 |
-2.356 |
-2.437 |
-2.521 |
-2.606 |
-2.695 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
0.070 |
0.215 |
0.405 |
0.616 |
0.839 |
1.065 |
1.286 |
1.495 |
1.690 |
1.867 |
2.025 |
2.164 |
2.285 |
2.388 |
2.476 |
2.549 |
2.609 |
2.659 |
2.699 |
2.731 |
2.757 |
2.779 |
2.797 |
2.814 |
2.829 |
2.845 |
2.862 |
2.881 |
2.903 |
2.928 |
2.957 |
2.989 |
3.026 |
3.067 |
3.112 |
3.162 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
0.098 |
0.164 |
0.176 |
0.165 |
0.138 |
0.100 |
0.054 |
0.004 |
-0.046 |
-0.096 |
-0.144 |
-0.188 |
-0.228 |
-0.264 |
-0.295 |
-0.321 |
-0.344 |
-0.361 |
-0.375 |
-0.385 |
-0.392 |
-0.395 |
-0.396 |
-0.395 |
-0.391 |
-0.386 |
-0.379 |
-0.371 |
-0.363 |
-0.353 |
-0.344 |
-0.334 |
-0.325 |
-0.316 |
-0.308 |
-0.300 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
0.043 |
0.067 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.065 |
0.060 |
0.056 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.059 |
0.062 |
0.064 |
0.067 |
0.070 |
0.072 |
0.075 |
0.077 |
0.079 |
0.081 |
0.082 |
0.084 |
0.085 |
0.086 |
0.086 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.086 |
User cost |
uim |
0.075 |
0.085 |
0.074 |
0.056 |
0.033 |
0.006 |
-0.022 |
-0.052 |
-0.081 |
-0.108 |
-0.134 |
-0.157 |
-0.178 |
-0.195 |
-0.210 |
-0.221 |
-0.230 |
-0.235 |
-0.239 |
-0.239 |
-0.238 |
-0.235 |
-0.230 |
-0.225 |
-0.218 |
-0.210 |
-0.202 |
-0.194 |
-0.185 |
-0.177 |
-0.169 |
-0.161 |
-0.154 |
-0.148 |
-0.142 |
-0.137 |
Wage |
lna |
0.011 |
-0.031 |
-0.098 |
-0.178 |
-0.267 |
-0.361 |
-0.455 |
-0.546 |
-0.631 |
-0.710 |
-0.779 |
-0.840 |
-0.890 |
-0.931 |
-0.963 |
-0.985 |
-0.999 |
-1.006 |
-1.005 |
-0.999 |
-0.988 |
-0.972 |
-0.954 |
-0.933 |
-0.910 |
-0.886 |
-0.861 |
-0.837 |
-0.814 |
-0.791 |
-0.770 |
-0.752 |
-0.735 |
-0.720 |
-0.707 |
-0.697 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.197 |
0.242 |
0.236 |
0.223 |
0.203 |
0.178 |
0.149 |
0.119 |
0.088 |
0.058 |
0.029 |
0.002 |
-0.022 |
-0.044 |
-0.063 |
-0.078 |
-0.091 |
-0.101 |
-0.108 |
-0.113 |
-0.115 |
-0.116 |
-0.114 |
-0.110 |
-0.106 |
-0.100 |
-0.093 |
-0.086 |
-0.078 |
-0.070 |
-0.062 |
-0.055 |
-0.047 |
-0.040 |
-0.034 |
-0.028 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.340 |
-0.389 |
-0.397 |
-0.409 |
-0.423 |
-0.439 |
-0.457 |
-0.474 |
-0.491 |
-0.508 |
-0.523 |
-0.537 |
-0.550 |
-0.560 |
-0.569 |
-0.576 |
-0.581 |
-0.585 |
-0.587 |
-0.588 |
-0.587 |
-0.586 |
-0.583 |
-0.580 |
-0.576 |
-0.572 |
-0.567 |
-0.562 |
-0.558 |
-0.553 |
-0.548 |
-0.544 |
-0.540 |
-0.536 |
-0.533 |
-0.530 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
0.137 |
0.061 |
-0.001 |
-0.038 |
-0.056 |
-0.064 |
-0.066 |
-0.065 |
-0.062 |
-0.058 |
-0.055 |
-0.053 |
-0.052 |
-0.051 |
-0.051 |
-0.052 |
-0.053 |
-0.055 |
-0.056 |
-0.058 |
-0.059 |
-0.060 |
-0.061 |
-0.062 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.063 |
-0.062 |
-0.062 |
-0.061 |
-0.060 |
-0.060 |
-0.059 |
-0.058 |
Wage share |
byw |
0.080 |
0.079 |
0.055 |
0.025 |
-0.007 |
-0.037 |
-0.065 |
-0.088 |
-0.107 |
-0.123 |
-0.135 |
-0.143 |
-0.147 |
-0.149 |
-0.149 |
-0.147 |
-0.142 |
-0.137 |
-0.130 |
-0.122 |
-0.114 |
-0.106 |
-0.097 |
-0.089 |
-0.081 |
-0.073 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.045 |
-0.042 |
-0.039 |
-0.037 |
-0.036 |
-0.035 |
|
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