|
|
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026 |
2027 |
2028 |
2029 |
2030 |
2031 |
2032 |
2033 |
2034 |
2035 |
2036 |
2037 |
2038 |
2039 |
2040 |
2041 |
2042 |
2043 |
2044 |
2045 |
2046 |
2047 |
2048 |
2049 |
2050 |
2051 |
2052 |
2053 |
2054 |
2055 |
2056 |
2057 |
2058 |
|
|
Million 2010-Dkr. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Priv. consumption |
fCp |
-1201.0 |
-1366.7 |
-1631.5 |
-1845.5 |
-1983.4 |
-2024.9 |
-1995.1 |
-1914.9 |
-1807.1 |
-1688.0 |
-1570.5 |
-1464.1 |
-1375.5 |
-1309.1 |
-1267.7 |
-1252.5 |
-1263.7 |
-1300.6 |
-1361.8 |
-1445.4 |
-1549.2 |
-1670.6 |
-1807.1 |
-1955.7 |
-2114.0 |
-2279.1 |
-2448.5 |
-2619.8 |
-2790.8 |
-2959.6 |
-3124.3 |
-3283.5 |
-3435.9 |
-3580.7 |
-3717.0 |
-3844.4 |
Pub. consumption |
fCo |
-46.1 |
-35.0 |
-31.3 |
-27.8 |
-24.6 |
-22.8 |
-22.6 |
-23.7 |
-25.7 |
-27.9 |
-29.9 |
-31.4 |
-32.1 |
-31.9 |
-30.7 |
-28.5 |
-25.3 |
-21.2 |
-16.4 |
-11.0 |
-5.1 |
1.1 |
7.5 |
13.8 |
20.0 |
26.0 |
31.6 |
36.8 |
41.4 |
45.5 |
49.0 |
51.9 |
54.2 |
55.9 |
56.9 |
57.5 |
Investment |
fI |
659.3 |
821.8 |
301.2 |
-3.0 |
-196.2 |
-332.8 |
-436.2 |
-517.2 |
-579.2 |
-631.6 |
-678.9 |
-726.7 |
-778.2 |
-835.9 |
-901.0 |
-973.7 |
-1053.6 |
-1139.4 |
-1229.6 |
-1322.5 |
-1416.0 |
-1508.2 |
-1597.3 |
-1681.7 |
-1760.0 |
-1831.0 |
-1893.9 |
-1948.0 |
-1993.1 |
-2029.2 |
-2056.4 |
-2075.3 |
-2086.4 |
-2090.6 |
-2088.9 |
-2082.1 |
Export |
fE |
2925.7 |
3220.7 |
3486.6 |
3684.4 |
3796.5 |
3823.1 |
3770.1 |
3651.5 |
3477.9 |
3261.4 |
3012.8 |
2742.4 |
2459.6 |
2173.4 |
1891.5 |
1621.0 |
1368.2 |
1138.3 |
935.6 |
763.6 |
624.9 |
521.1 |
453.1 |
421.0 |
424.1 |
461.1 |
530.1 |
628.7 |
754.1 |
903.1 |
1072.4 |
1258.4 |
1457.5 |
1666.1 |
1880.7 |
2097.9 |
Import |
fM |
-750.1 |
-661.4 |
-767.3 |
-762.4 |
-654.6 |
-526.2 |
-392.5 |
-261.5 |
-143.0 |
-42.3 |
37.0 |
93.5 |
127.1 |
138.5 |
129.5 |
102.3 |
59.6 |
4.2 |
-60.9 |
-132.8 |
-208.5 |
-285.5 |
-361.2 |
-433.6 |
-500.8 |
-561.2 |
-613.7 |
-657.4 |
-691.7 |
-716.4 |
-731.4 |
-736.9 |
-733.5 |
-721.7 |
-702.4 |
-676.5 |
GDP |
fY |
3491.2 |
3666.0 |
3344.7 |
3107.3 |
2870.9 |
2625.7 |
2377.5 |
2123.8 |
1863.3 |
1592.5 |
1310.4 |
1016.8 |
713.2 |
401.8 |
86.2 |
-229.8 |
-541.7 |
-845.1 |
-1135.6 |
-1409.1 |
-1661.8 |
-1890.5 |
-2092.8 |
-2266.7 |
-2410.9 |
-2525.1 |
-2609.1 |
-2663.9 |
-2690.6 |
-2691.1 |
-2667.7 |
-2622.9 |
-2559.6 |
-2480.9 |
-2389.9 |
-2290.0 |
|
|
1000 Persons |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Employment |
Q |
4.377 |
5.525 |
5.846 |
5.865 |
5.698 |
5.413 |
5.054 |
4.647 |
4.209 |
3.748 |
3.272 |
2.789 |
2.303 |
1.822 |
1.351 |
0.896 |
0.464 |
0.059 |
-0.313 |
-0.648 |
-0.943 |
-1.196 |
-1.406 |
-1.571 |
-1.693 |
-1.772 |
-1.812 |
-1.813 |
-1.781 |
-1.719 |
-1.630 |
-1.519 |
-1.390 |
-1.248 |
-1.096 |
-0.939 |
Unemployment |
Ul |
-2.473 |
-2.798 |
-2.919 |
-2.934 |
-2.860 |
-2.727 |
-2.555 |
-2.358 |
-2.141 |
-1.912 |
-1.674 |
-1.430 |
-1.185 |
-0.941 |
-0.702 |
-0.470 |
-0.250 |
-0.044 |
0.146 |
0.318 |
0.469 |
0.599 |
0.706 |
0.792 |
0.855 |
0.896 |
0.918 |
0.920 |
0.905 |
0.874 |
0.830 |
0.774 |
0.710 |
0.638 |
0.561 |
0.482 |
|
|
Percent of GDP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pub. budget balance |
Tfn_o/Y |
0.071 |
0.100 |
0.086 |
0.083 |
0.080 |
0.078 |
0.076 |
0.074 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.070 |
0.068 |
0.067 |
0.065 |
0.063 |
0.061 |
0.058 |
0.056 |
0.054 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.049 |
0.050 |
0.051 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.057 |
0.059 |
0.062 |
0.066 |
0.069 |
0.073 |
0.077 |
Priv. saving surplus |
Tfn_hc/Y |
-0.093 |
-0.099 |
-0.058 |
-0.035 |
-0.018 |
-0.008 |
-0.003 |
-0.001 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.007 |
-0.011 |
-0.015 |
-0.019 |
-0.022 |
-0.025 |
-0.028 |
-0.030 |
-0.031 |
-0.032 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.033 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.034 |
-0.035 |
-0.035 |
Balance of payments |
Enl/Y |
-0.022 |
0.001 |
0.028 |
0.049 |
0.062 |
0.070 |
0.073 |
0.073 |
0.071 |
0.067 |
0.062 |
0.057 |
0.051 |
0.046 |
0.040 |
0.035 |
0.030 |
0.026 |
0.023 |
0.020 |
0.018 |
0.016 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.015 |
0.016 |
0.017 |
0.019 |
0.021 |
0.023 |
0.026 |
0.029 |
0.032 |
0.035 |
0.038 |
0.042 |
Foreign receivables |
Wnnb_e/Y |
-0.147 |
-0.165 |
-0.128 |
-0.072 |
0.002 |
0.079 |
0.159 |
0.239 |
0.315 |
0.386 |
0.452 |
0.513 |
0.568 |
0.617 |
0.661 |
0.700 |
0.735 |
0.766 |
0.795 |
0.822 |
0.847 |
0.871 |
0.894 |
0.918 |
0.941 |
0.966 |
0.992 |
1.020 |
1.049 |
1.080 |
1.113 |
1.148 |
1.185 |
1.224 |
1.265 |
1.308 |
Bond debt |
Wbd_os_z/Y |
-0.131 |
-0.249 |
-0.344 |
-0.434 |
-0.517 |
-0.595 |
-0.667 |
-0.734 |
-0.795 |
-0.851 |
-0.902 |
-0.947 |
-0.988 |
-1.024 |
-1.055 |
-1.082 |
-1.104 |
-1.122 |
-1.136 |
-1.147 |
-1.155 |
-1.161 |
-1.166 |
-1.170 |
-1.173 |
-1.176 |
-1.180 |
-1.185 |
-1.192 |
-1.201 |
-1.212 |
-1.226 |
-1.242 |
-1.261 |
-1.284 |
-1.309 |
|
|
Percent |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital intensity |
fKn/fX |
-0.182 |
-0.176 |
-0.158 |
-0.143 |
-0.130 |
-0.117 |
-0.106 |
-0.096 |
-0.085 |
-0.075 |
-0.065 |
-0.056 |
-0.046 |
-0.037 |
-0.029 |
-0.021 |
-0.014 |
-0.008 |
-0.004 |
-0.001 |
0.001 |
0.002 |
0.001 |
0.000 |
-0.003 |
-0.007 |
-0.012 |
-0.017 |
-0.023 |
-0.030 |
-0.036 |
-0.043 |
-0.050 |
-0.057 |
-0.063 |
-0.069 |
Labour intensity |
hq/fX |
-0.042 |
-0.008 |
0.015 |
0.029 |
0.038 |
0.044 |
0.049 |
0.052 |
0.054 |
0.056 |
0.057 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.058 |
0.057 |
0.057 |
0.056 |
0.055 |
0.054 |
0.053 |
0.052 |
0.051 |
0.050 |
0.049 |
0.048 |
0.048 |
0.047 |
0.047 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
0.046 |
User cost |
uim |
0.540 |
0.578 |
0.614 |
0.651 |
0.687 |
0.721 |
0.754 |
0.785 |
0.813 |
0.839 |
0.863 |
0.884 |
0.903 |
0.920 |
0.934 |
0.946 |
0.956 |
0.963 |
0.969 |
0.972 |
0.974 |
0.975 |
0.974 |
0.972 |
0.968 |
0.965 |
0.960 |
0.955 |
0.950 |
0.944 |
0.939 |
0.934 |
0.929 |
0.924 |
0.920 |
0.916 |
Wage |
lna |
0.107 |
0.178 |
0.250 |
0.323 |
0.395 |
0.463 |
0.527 |
0.587 |
0.641 |
0.690 |
0.733 |
0.771 |
0.803 |
0.829 |
0.850 |
0.865 |
0.875 |
0.880 |
0.881 |
0.878 |
0.872 |
0.862 |
0.850 |
0.836 |
0.820 |
0.803 |
0.785 |
0.768 |
0.750 |
0.733 |
0.716 |
0.701 |
0.687 |
0.674 |
0.663 |
0.653 |
Consumption price |
pcp |
0.372 |
0.425 |
0.462 |
0.500 |
0.536 |
0.571 |
0.605 |
0.637 |
0.667 |
0.695 |
0.721 |
0.745 |
0.767 |
0.787 |
0.805 |
0.820 |
0.833 |
0.845 |
0.854 |
0.861 |
0.866 |
0.870 |
0.871 |
0.872 |
0.871 |
0.869 |
0.867 |
0.863 |
0.859 |
0.855 |
0.850 |
0.845 |
0.841 |
0.836 |
0.832 |
0.828 |
Terms of trade |
bpe |
-0.370 |
-0.344 |
-0.321 |
-0.299 |
-0.278 |
-0.258 |
-0.240 |
-0.223 |
-0.207 |
-0.192 |
-0.179 |
-0.167 |
-0.157 |
-0.148 |
-0.140 |
-0.134 |
-0.129 |
-0.125 |
-0.123 |
-0.121 |
-0.120 |
-0.121 |
-0.122 |
-0.123 |
-0.126 |
-0.128 |
-0.131 |
-0.134 |
-0.138 |
-0.141 |
-0.145 |
-0.148 |
-0.151 |
-0.154 |
-0.157 |
-0.159 |
|
|
Percentage-point |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumption ratio |
bcp |
-0.001 |
-0.005 |
-0.038 |
-0.060 |
-0.078 |
-0.089 |
-0.094 |
-0.096 |
-0.094 |
-0.090 |
-0.084 |
-0.078 |
-0.072 |
-0.066 |
-0.060 |
-0.054 |
-0.049 |
-0.044 |
-0.040 |
-0.036 |
-0.033 |
-0.030 |
-0.028 |
-0.026 |
-0.025 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.022 |
-0.023 |
-0.023 |
Wage share |
byw |
-0.027 |
-0.002 |
0.018 |
0.033 |
0.046 |
0.056 |
0.065 |
0.072 |
0.077 |
0.082 |
0.085 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.087 |
0.085 |
0.083 |
0.079 |
0.075 |
0.070 |
0.064 |
0.058 |
0.052 |
0.046 |
0.039 |
0.033 |
0.027 |
0.021 |
0.016 |
0.011 |
0.006 |
0.002 |
-0.001 |
-0.004 |
-0.006 |
-0.008 |
-0.009 |
|
|
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|
|
|
|
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